Stock Of The Day / 03.13.25 / ADBE03.13.2025 / NASDAQ:ADBE #ADBE
Fundamentals. Positive earnings report, but forecasts are slightly lower than expected.
Technical analysis.
Daily chart: Downtrend. Yearly minimum is ahead.
Premarket: Gap Down on increased volume.
Trading session: The pullback after the initial impulse from the opening was stopped at 393.80. The next few attempts to return and hold above 393.80 were also unsuccessful. At the same time, the price formed a tightening to the level from below. We are considering a short trade to continue the downward movement.
Trading scenario: Pullback along the trend (false tightening) to level 393.80
Entry: 391.17 when the structure of the tightening to the level is broken
Stop: 394.81 we hide it above the candlestick of the last pullback
Exit: We observe a pullback-free movement without a clear trend structure after entering the trade. It is optimal to fix such movements in parts upon reaching certain Risk/Rewards targets (1/3, 1/4, etc.) with subsequent stop tightening.
Risk Rewards: 1/3
P.S. In order to understand the idea of the Stock Of The Day analysis, please read the following information .
ADB trade ideas
Breaking: Adobe Inc. (ADBE) Down 10% Amidst Disappointed OutlookAdobe Inc. shares (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:ADBE ) tanked 9% in Thursday premarket trading amidst a disappointed outlook as shares faces downgrade.
Adobe (ADBE) reported record quarterly revenue above analysts’ expectations, though its outlook disappointed. The Creative Cloud developer’s revenue climbed 10% year-over-year to a record $5.71 billion, above the analyst consensus from Visible Alpha. Adjusted earnings of $2.22 billion, or $5.08 per share, rose from $2.05 billion, or $4.48 per share, a year earlier and topped estimates.
Adobe’s Digital Media arm, which includes Creative Cloud subscriptions, saw revenue of $4.23 billion, up 11% year-over-year and exceeding analysts' projections.
CEO Shantanu Narayen said Adobe is "well-positioned to capitalize on the acceleration of the creative economy driven by AI." The results come ahead of the company's Adobe Summit event next week, with analysts saying they'll be watching for updates on generative AI metrics.
Looking ahead, Adobe maintained its full-year revenue outlook of $23.3 billion to $23.55 billion, and adjusted earnings per share of $20.20 to $20.50, both below analyst consensus projections at the midpoint.
Technical Outlook
as of the time of writing, shares of Adobe Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:ADBE ) are down 10.67% trading within oversold levels with the RSI at 26. This disappointed outlook led to a gap down pattern on the chart which is a very strong bearish pattern, however, it gets filled up overtime. NASDAQ:ADBE has already broken the 1-month low base and approached the support point a break below that level could be canning for ADBE shares.
Higher Highs, Higher Lows on Adobe. ADBEAnd on top of that a few more technical signals acting in unison to suggest a bullish picture. Simultaneous or near simultaneous crosses on VZO, Stoch/RSI. There is a cross of zero line BB%PT. Last candle crossed vWAP and sits on both vWAP and VZO. Fibonacci clusters offer some static profit goals. In practice these are never used and I just throw them in there to keep track of how my ideas go in terms of reaching goals.
Bear Flag in Adobe?Adobe trended lower most of 2024, and now some traders may expect another push to the downside.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the series of higher lows since mid-January. The software company recently slid below that line, which may be viewed as a bear flag breakdown.
Second, bearish gaps after the last two earnings reports could reflect weak sentiment.
Third, ADBE has been unable to get above its falling 50-day simple moving average (SMA). That may indicate a negative intermediate-term trend.
Also notice how the 50-day SMA is under the 100-day SMA and both are below the 200-day SMA. That configuration, with faster SMAs below slower ones, may indicate a negative long-term trend.
Next, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) just crossed below the 21-day EMA. MACD is falling as well. Those patterns may be consistent with bearishness in the short term.
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Going Long with ADBE!ADBE after hitting take-profit, sold off during first hour of day and got stopped, only to reverse. Typically when trades start to win, they continue doing so, which is why I went long when the signal fired earlier.
The King Trading Momentum Strategy combines the 5 EMA crossing above the 13 EMA, RSI strength, favorable momentum as measured by ADX plus evaluating recent volume changes and even something that measures breakout momentum called Beta for this one! ARKK and over 100 equities are built into this script with optimal backtest take profits and stop losses and can be toggled on by simply checking a box (default they are turned off).
Bullish behaviour on ADBE stockIt looks like, after half a year of retracement, Adobe Inc. stock (Ticker NASDAQ: ADBE) is now setting up for longs again.
On the gap-down daily bar following the December 11th 2024 earnings report, professionals bought. Then, over December and January 2025, more buying can be seen. It has to be noted that recent professional activity took place around the previous level of support ($433.97) which adds to the strength. By January 10th supply has been absorbed, in February the price pushed above the support level and has been tested with relatively low volume creating conditions for the move up.
Today's bar is a positive reaction to the recent testing and might be the beginning of the rally towards $566.79 - $576.30 with minor resistances around $482.66 - $489.52 and $541.74 on the way.
At the same time, as we've seen a high volume around the support level (January 27th, 28th and 31st bars), there is still the possibility of its re-testing and the beginning of the rally from there.
ADBE: A Top Buy for 2025**ADBE: A Top Buy for 2025** 🚀📈
ADBE is setting up for a strong year ahead. Solid fundamentals, technicals aligning, and market conditions could drive a major move. This could be one of the best opportunities of 2025—watching key levels closely!
#ADBE #Investing #Trading #StockMarket
Longggg Term Best Buy #adobeMay be not towards the end of 2025, but for more long term
Fundamental Reasons:
A diversified Tech Business which operates as a technology company worldwide. It operates through three segments: Digital Media, Digital Experience, and Publishing and Advertising.
Its CEO, Shantanu has been recognized by several publications as one of the world’s leading executives, including Barron’s World’s Best CEOs and Fortune Businessperson of the Year lists, and named a Top CEO by Glassdoor based on employee feedback. He is a recipient of India’s civilian honor Padma Shri and the Economic Times Global Indian of the Year award.
10 years revenue CAGR is 6.5 %
The largest Market Cap in its Sector > 192 B USD
Technical Reason:
On Monthly chart it took 4 years to make a Head & Shoulder pattern.
The best monthly closing on 31st Jan 2025 , the doji which is signalling for long term bullish reversal at the end of its right shoulder on montly chart.
This week it enters into its strong resistance Level above 440 - 446
Come to Daily chart, a bullish Harami formed on 29th January .
If this level remains till tomorrow, 31st Jan 2025 , then we have a strong bullish reversal.
1st Long Term Target 700
2nd Long Term Target 800
Best Of luck to me you all!!!
ADBE near Confluence Support - 33% ROI PossibleNASDAQ:ADBE is currently nearing a confluence support (an area where multiple support elements are combined) at around $410-$420. Nevertheless, opening a first position right now is already an option given the attractive valuation and the horizontal support (blue zone). In addition there are two big daily gaps (red zones) above the current price giving us some potential pulling factor towards $580. The trendline you can see is very weak and has only two real re-tests in October 2022. So, take that with a grain of salt and try to concentrate more on the horizontal support and the $410-$420 area (61.8 fib).
Looking at fundamentals (I know most of you are not really interested in such things, but they do help with swing trades) we can see a price-to-sales ratio of 9.xx suggesting upside of 50% when comparing it to the long-term average of 14.xx. ARR increased 23% YoY to $3.48B. In terms of AI, firefly generated more than 16 billion assets so far, and FY24 revenue increased by a little more than 11% to $21.51B. Current PE ratio is just short of 22.
So, adding here and more towards that $410 will give us a huge potential ROI over the next couple of months.
Support Zones
$440
$410-420
Targe Zones
$540
$580-600
Adobe (ADBE): Patience Pays Off After 35% RallyFollowing our last analysis of Adobe (ADBE), the stock saw a 35% rally from June to September, only to flush back to our preferred range—a clear reminder of the importance of considering the bigger picture rather than chasing every setup. Six months later, Adobe now trades below our initial analysis levels, reinforcing the value of patience. Currently, the stock has tagged the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, showing a promising reaction. However, reclaiming and flipping the key resistance at $446 with strong momentum is crucial. If this level is reclaimed, we will look for a pullback to bid at this key zone.
Should Adobe fail to reclaim $446, another drop toward the $386–$350 support range becomes highly likely. As such, we are not rushing into long positions for the sake of being positioned.
On the fundamental side, Adobe faces critical challenges as investors question its ability to monetize new AI features and fend off competition from emerging startups. These factors will play a key role in shaping the company’s outlook. For now, we remain patient, watching for clear rejections or reclaiming of the key levels.
Key Resistance: $446
Key Support: $386–$350
ADBE - Pullback From The BalanceNo, I don’t like Adobe.
But it doesn’t matter at all which company I like or don’t like. My only goal is to make money in the markets.
Let’s take a look at what we have on the chart:
Adobe has reached the centerline.
The market is in balance and has reached Pivot 3.
According to Andrew's Framework, P5 is considered a reversal point, whereas P3 is expected to see a relatively smaller pullback before P5 ultimately unfolds.
Nevertheless, a reversal is likely at the centerline. Additionally, we are in a support/accumulation zone after the market has dropped over 40% from its 2022 high.
I'm stalking a long entry and put my money to work.
Long ADBE <--- ME §8-)
Adobe: In Our Target Zone!The ADBE stock has continued its downward movement, heading directly toward the center of our beige Target Zone (coordinates: $449.61 – $331.93). With this range now reached, the minimum requirement for the ongoing correction has been met. However, our primary expectation remains that the price will engage more extensively within our Zone, as we anticipate the bottom of the beige wave x to form deeper within it. Once the low is established, we expect the subsequent wave y to resume the upward trend and surpass the resistance at $640. There, the larger blue wave (b) should be completed as well.