AAPL bull patternsI just post what I see
AAPL forming an inverse head and shoulders with a nice looking bull flag as the second shoulder.
Following some strong days and slight pullback PM. Earnings day too
APC trade ideas
Apple (AAPL) Stock Price Analysis: Worst Start to the Year SinceApple (AAPL) Stock Price Analysis: Worst Start to the Year Since 2008
On 27 December, while analysing Apple (AAPL) stock, we noted: "Traders should consider the possibility of a pullback below the key psychological level of $250, with the price potentially retreating to the lower purple boundary."
A month later, Bloomberg reports:
→ By the close of trading on Friday, 24 January, the company's shares had fallen 11% since the start of 2025, marking the worst performance among the "Big Seven" companies.
→ This represents the worst start for AAPL shares since 2008, when the global financial crisis was in full swing.
→ Apple has also significantly underperformed the S&P 500, which has risen approximately 3.7% this year and hit a new record high earlier this week.
Can the bulls reverse this disappointing trend?
Technical Analysis of the AAPL chart shows:
→ The price remains within a broad ascending channel (which began in June when the company unveiled its Apple Intelligence tools), but it has now fallen into the lower half of the channel.
→ After briefly dipping below the November low at $219.50, the price recovered – a bullish sign of a Liquidity Grab, suggesting that Smart Money may be turning bullish.
Given this, it is reasonable to expect the downward trend to weaken, with market participants likely adopting a wait-and-see approach ahead of the company’s quarterly earnings report, scheduled for 30 January.
Wall Street analysts are optimistic, forecasting earnings of $2.35 per share and gross revenue of $124.2 billion (compared to $0.97 per share and $94.93 billion in the previous quarter).
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AAPL earnings next ThursdayApple Q1 earnings are on Thursday 1/30 at 4:30pm. Apple (AAPL) reported earnings of 1.64 per share on revenue of 94.93 billion for Q4 ending September 2024. The consensus earnings estimate was 1.49 per share on revenue of 94.48 billion. The company beat expectations by 0.61% while revenue grew 6.07% on a year-over-year basis.
The company said during its conference call it expects Q1 revenue to grow in the low to mid-single digits, or revenue of approximately 120.77 billion to 128.54 billion with gross margins of 46.0% to 47.0%, which calculates to earnings of approximately 2.19 to 2.47 per share.
This long AAPL trade idea is based off SMA200 support at 221, RSI is oversold and it's printing a bullish reversal hammer this morning. Therefore, it's a great long entry position with low risk & high probability, heading into earnings on next Thursday.
Q1 consensus:
EPS = 2.36
Revenue = 124.1 B
SMA200 = 221
Trade idea:
long = 222
stop = 219
profit = 240
Options data:
1/31 expiry
Put Volume Total 10,866
Call Volume Total 25,128
Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.43
Put Open Interest Total 76,428
Call Open Interest Total 126,251
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.61
2/21 expiry
Put Volume Total 3,441
Call Volume Total 11,700
Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.29
Put Open Interest Total 224,398
Call Open Interest Total 315,905
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.71
3/21 expiry
Put Volume Total 2,008
Call Volume Total 12,900
Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.16
Put Open Interest Total 298,306
Call Open Interest Total 317,092
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.94
AAPL Key Technical Analysis and Options GEX Insights-Jan. 28Technical Analysis for AAPL:
* Trend Structure: AAPL is rebounding from a recent downtrend, testing the upper boundary of a descending channel. The momentum suggests a potential breakout if buying pressure sustains.
* Support Levels:
* Immediate support at $222.78.
* Strong demand zone around $218.20, where previous sell-offs reversed.
* Resistance Levels:
* Immediate resistance at $241.46.
* Critical level at $260.10, aligning with the previous high.
* Indicators Analysis:
* MACD: Displays a bullish crossover, signaling potential upward momentum.
* Stochastic RSI: Overbought at 99, suggesting caution for immediate entries.
Options GEX for AAPL:
* Gamma Exposure (GEX):
* $239: Major gamma resistance, acting as the highest positive NETGEX zone.
* $222.5: Current HVL support.
* $218: Critical PUT support wall with a significant negative gamma weight.
* Call and Put Activity:
* Call Volume: Weighted at 15.6%, indicating bullish sentiment.
* Put Volume: Neutral with slight bearish pressure near $222.50.
* Volatility:
* Implied Volatility (IVR): 60.6, moderate volatility environment.
* Options Oscillator (IVx): Stable at 37.7, favoring bullish setups if the price remains above $222.
Trade Setups:
* Bullish Scenario:
* Entry: Above $241.50.
* Target: $260.00.
* Stop Loss: $222.00.
* Bearish Scenario:
* Entry: Below $222.00.
* Target: $215.00.
* Stop Loss: $230.00.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risks responsibly.
$AAPL yieaahhhoh dear NASDAQ:AAPL why do you do this to us on earnings week.
Beautiful setup.
1. Setting support on the parallel channel since breakout from back in June.
2. Confluent with the 61% fib retracement measured from same breakout from June.
3. Daily RSI at oversold point.
4. Daily MACD giving us turning hopes.
We want this to get back to the mid point on the trendline, depending on timing we can look at 240 to 250.
All this can get nullified with a bad earnings report and get down to $195 area.
Make or break on earnings. Yieaahhh
AAPL Next weak outlook and trade ideaPrice blasted through the Centerline.
The Medianlines framework and rules say, that we should expect a poullback to it.
This would be gift to take another short from there, if we find a trigger.
AAPL's on the my list.
APPLE: Fibonacci Fractal Mapping IApple Inc has some complex cycles which we're about to breakdown to composite phases via fibonacci ratios.
REGULARITIES
Continuous Fractal
Since start 00's, bearish trends in Apple have notably shrunk in percentage terms, painting the past two decades as a period of ever growing optimism. Many long-term cycles remain incomplete for an extended time amplifying the opposing force.
A linear extensions through local tops can serve a future support level.
A parallel line of that same angle carries the same deterministic properties.
This unlocks use of Fibonacci channels to further analyze the structure factoring in specific side tilt.
Continuous Fractal Type - forces alternative approach in interconnecting critical points
Fibonacci Fractal Mapping
Fractal Hierarchy
Guide For Channels Bluprint📢 Welcome, Fellow Traders!
In the ever-evolving world of financial markets, mastering the art of technical analysis is key to making informed and confident decisions. Whether you're a seasoned trader or just starting your journey, understanding the dynamics of ascending, descending, and parallel channels can give you an edge in identifying trends and market opportunities.
This article is crafted to help you navigate these fundamental patterns with clarity and precision. By the end of it, you'll not only recognize these channels but also learn how to leverage them in your trading strategies.
So, let’s dive in together and unravel the secrets of these channels on platforms like TradingView, where the world of analysis comes alive. Here’s to better insights and smarter trades!
Happy Trading! 🚀
⭐⭐ Trading channels are one of the most reliable tools in technical analysis. They help traders identify trends and make informed decisions. In this article, we will dive deep into ascending, descending, and parallel channels, exploring their characteristics, significance, and how to use them effectively.
1. What Are Trading Channels?
📊 A trading channel is a price range formed by two parallel lines: support (lower boundary) and resistance (upper boundary). These lines help identify the direction of the market trend:
Ascending Channel: Indicates an uptrend.
Descending Channel: Indicates a downtrend.
Parallel Channel: Suggests a sideways trend.
2. Ascending Channel
🔼 Definition:
An ascending channel, also called a rising channel, is characterized by higher highs and higher lows. It occurs when the price moves within a range that slopes upward.
🛠 Key Features:
Resistance Line: Connects higher highs.
Support Line: Connects higher lows.
Indicates a strong uptrend, signaling buying opportunities.
💡 How to Trade:
Buy Near Support: Enter trades when the price approaches the lower boundary.
Take Profit at Resistance: Exit trades near the upper boundary.
Breakout Strategy: Watch for a breakout above resistance for stronger bullish signals.
3. Descending Channel
🔽 Definition:
A descending channel, or falling channel, is formed when the price creates lower highs and lower lows. It indicates a downtrend.
🛠 Key Features:
Resistance Line: Connects lower highs.
Support Line: Connects lower lows.
Reflects bearish sentiment, signaling selling opportunities.
💡 How to Trade:
Sell Near Resistance: Short-sell trades when the price approaches the upper boundary.
Take Profit at Support: Exit trades near the lower boundary.
Breakdown Strategy: Monitor for a breakdown below support for stronger bearish momentum.
4. Parallel Channel
➖ Definition:
A parallel channel, also known as a horizontal or range-bound channel, is formed when the price moves sideways with consistent highs and lows.
🛠 Key Features:
Resistance Line: Stays flat, connecting equal highs.
Support Line: Stays flat, connecting equal lows.
Indicates market consolidation or indecision.
💡 How to Trade:
Buy at Support and Sell at Resistance: This is ideal for range-bound markets.
Breakout or Breakdown Strategy: Prepare for significant moves when the price exits the channel.
5. Tips for Identifying Channels on TradingView
🖊 Use Trendlines: Utilize TradingView’s trendline tool to connect support and resistance levels.
📈 Set Alerts: Configure alerts to notify you when the price approaches key levels.
🔍 Combine with Indicators: Use moving averages, RSI, or MACD for confirmation.
Conclusion-:
✅ Trading channels are powerful tools for understanding market behavior and making strategic decisions. Whether you’re analyzing an ascending channel for bullish trends, a descending channel for bearish trends, or a parallel channel for sideways markets, mastering these patterns can elevate your trading skills.
📢 Start practicing on TradingView and refine your approach to technical analysis. Success lies in identifying opportunities and managing risk wisely.
BTC vs APPLThis Bitcoin Chart Could Predict the Next BIG Move!🚨
CRYPTOCAP:BTC (left) is mirroring #AAPL’s (right) 2015 cycle:
🔹 Broke previous ATH → Parabolic rally
🔹 Final leg up? ($120K/$125k target)
🔹 AAPL corrected hard after this move
🔹 BTC could follow → $50K-$60K retest 📉
🔹 #Altseason usually kicks off as BTC enters its “red zone” 🔥
History doesn’t repeat, but it rhymes. 👀
#Bitcoin #Crypto #Altseason #BTC
AAPL: Cautious Optimism Amid Turbulent Market Conditions
- Key Insights: Apple Inc. continues to display short-term bullish tendencies as
it trades above its 20-day moving average. However, concerns around tariff
implications and mixed earnings, especially regarding iPhone sales in China,
warrant a cautious stance. Current market sentiment reflects both optimism
from short-term technical indicators and apprehension about long-term
growth.
- Price Targets: Next week targets are as follows: T1: 240.00, T2: 243.00. Stop
levels are set at: S1: 232.00, S2: 230.57. The configuration implies a long
position, adhering to the price level rules outlined where $230.57 < $232.00
< 236.00 < 240.00 < 243.00.
- Recent Performance: Recently, Apple's stock price fluctuated near resistance
at $236.00. Despite seeing a slight boost after earnings, it closed lower
due to worries over underwhelming iPhone sales in a key market, China. This
reflects a nuanced market sentiment with potential volatility ahead.
- Expert Analysis: Analysts maintain a cautiously optimistic view on Apple,
considering it alongside major players like Nvidia and Tesla in the AI
space. However, there remains skepticism about the company's future earnings
due to rising tariffs and infrastructure costs that could hinder its growth
potential.
- News Impact: Noteworthy developments include Apple's decision to resume
advertising on X, which indicates an adaptive strategy in its outreach.
However, the mixed results from its latest earnings report and ongoing
tariff issues, particularly with China, introduce significant risks that
could impact stock performance in the coming weeks.
AAPL 1.22.2025 IdeaMy assessment is a fair price on the stock of $230 per share. AAPL now sitting at $222.5, I believe there is a high probability for a 5% up move within a few months.
Entry would be favorable if AAPL =< $220. I would enter direct shares here.
AAPL is of those companies that will be affected by tariffs. However, AAPL has benefitted from expanding its services economy. In other words, AAPL is not reliant on iPhone sales to drive their FCF. This opportunity is one for those looking for a discount on a MAG 7. Just be patient! But be flexible and anticipate further disruptions.
Apple Silicon: Running Massive AI models### Why is DeepSeek a Game Changer for Apple
** credits to alexocheema on twitter
Apple might not be the first name you think of when it comes to AI hardware, but their silicon is surprisingly well-suited for running massive models like DeepSeek V3 and R1—at a fraction of the cost of traditional GPUs.
#### **How Apple’s M2 Ultra Stacks Up Against the Competition**
Here’s a look at some of the top AI chips on the market and how they compare in memory capacity, bandwidth, and price per GB:
- **NVIDIA H100**: 80GB @ 3TB/s → **$25,000** ($312.50 per GB)
- **AMD MI300X**: 192GB @ 5.3TB/s → **$20,000** ($104.17 per GB)
- **Apple M2 Ultra**: 192GB @ 800GB/s → **$5,000** ($26.04 (!!) per GB)
Apple’s M2 Ultra, launched in mid-2023, is *4x cheaper* per GB than AMD's MI300X and a *staggering 12x cheaper* than NVIDIA's H100. That’s a huge advantage, especially for models that require large amounts of memory.
#### **Why Does This Matter for DeepSeek?**
DeepSeek V3 and R1 are *Mixture of Experts (MoE)* models with a total of **671 billion parameters**—but here’s the trick: only **37 billion** of those parameters are active at any given time when generating a token. The challenge? We don’t know which 37B will be needed in advance, so they must all be ready in **high-speed GPU memory**.
This means system RAM is too slow (resulting in less than 1 token per second), while GPU memory is expensive. Apple Silicon, however, plays a different game. Instead of going all-in on raw speed, it offers a sweet spot—a large pool of medium-fast unified memory at a much lower cost.
#### **What Makes Apple Silicon Special?**
Apple has two key technologies that make this possible:
- **Unified Memory** – Apple Silicon uses a single shared memory pool instead of keeping separate memory pools for the CPU and GPU (like NVIDIA and AMD do). This eliminates the need for expensive and slow data transfers between CPU and GPU.
- **UltraFusion** – Apple’s proprietary interconnect technology that links two chip dies together at **2.5TB/s** of bandwidth. The M2 Ultra is literally two M2 Max chips fused into one, giving it **192GB** of unified memory with **800GB/s** bandwidth.
Now, if the rumors about the **M4 Ultra** are true, Apple will take this even further by fusing two **M4 Max** chips, resulting in:
✅ **256GB of unified memory**
✅ **1146GB/s bandwidth**
✅ **57 tokens per second** for DeepSeek V3/R1 (4-bit) with **two M4 Ultras**
This means Apple users could have **serious AI compute power** at a fraction of the cost of traditional GPU setups.
#### **More Than Just Hardware**
Apple is not just delivering great hardware—it’s also making **big strides in AI software** (which is rare for them).
- **MLX** has made it easy to run machine learning workloads on Apple Silicon.
- **ExoLabs** has successfully **clustered multiple Apple devices** to run large AI models, including DeepSeek R1 (671B) on **7 Mac Minis**.
While it's still unclear which company will dominate AI model development, **one thing seems certain: AI will likely run on American hardware & Apple Silicon**
Apple - Long -290Apple has shown the potential to hit the levels of 290.
The price might see the levels of 230 or even 205 before moving the higher levels.
AAPL on the Verge of a Breakout! Critical Trade Setups and GammaTechnical Analysis (TA)
* Trend Overview: AAPL has been forming a rising wedge pattern on the 1-hour chart, suggesting a potential breakout. Current resistance lies near $240, with support established around $227.50 and $220.
* Indicators:
* MACD: Showing a bullish crossover, suggesting upward momentum.
* Stochastic RSI: Overbought levels, cautioning traders about potential retracement before continuation.
* Volume Analysis: Increasing volume near the $239-$240 level indicates heightened interest, signaling a potential attempt to breach resistance.
GEX (Gamma Exposure) Analysis
* Key Levels:
* Gamma Resistance: $250 - Highest positive NETGEX, suggesting strong resistance if price nears this level.
* Gamma Support: $227.50, acting as a safety net for pullbacks.
* Options Walls:
* CALL Walls: 57% at $240 and 58.2% at $260.
* PUT Walls: -17.5% at $225 and -32.44% at $220.
* Implied Volatility Metrics:
* IVR: 57.7, indicating elevated implied volatility.
* IVx Average: 40.1, slightly above the norm, highlighting potential big moves.
Trading Plan
1. Bullish Scenario:
* Entry: Above $240 with strong volume confirmation.
* Targets: $244 (short-term), $250 (medium-term).
* Stop-Loss: Below $236.
2. Bearish Scenario:
* Entry: Below $235 on heavy selling pressure.
* Targets: $227.50 (initial support), $220 (secondary support).
* Stop-Loss: Above $239.
Options Strategy
* Bullish:
* Buy 240 CALLs expiring in March 2025 to capitalize on potential upside toward $250.
* Risk management: Exit options if AAPL retraces below $235.
* Bearish:
* Buy 230 PUTs for downside coverage, targeting $220.
* Exit options if AAPL moves above $240.
Thoughts on Direction
AAPL appears to be consolidating for a significant move. The rising wedge pattern and bullish indicators hint at a possible breakout above $240. However, caution is advised as the Stochastic RSI indicates overbought conditions, and price may retest lower levels before continuing its upward journey.
Key Note
Price levels may change with the next premarket session. Traders should adapt to new developments and reassess setups accordingly. If you need updates or guidance, feel free to reach out.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your research and manage your risks before trading.
DOA trading Strategy - AAPL#AAPL - Red DOA meter and Sniper fired, we're rejecting at LH and created a nice 3rd point like SPY
AAPL - pre earnings channel breakoutAAPL - Stock has a downtrend channel breakout on daily time frame. Stock closed above 9 and 21 Key EMA levels. looking for calls over $240 for a move higher. Stock has earnings after hours on jan 30th. could see a pre earnings move towards $245 or $250
Swinging $AAPLDaily chart. recovery from negative news last few weeks. Primed to pop on earnings and at least take the swing high.
AAPL: Rebound in Play, but Resistance Looms🔥 LucanInvestor's Strategy:
🩸 Short: Below $236, targeting $228. Breakdown below the 200 EMA could accelerate selling pressure.
🩸 Long: Above $242, targeting $258. A break above this level could confirm a bullish continuation.
🔥 LucanInvestor's Commands:
🩸 Resistance: $242 — A breakout level to reclaim previous highs.
🩸 Support: $236 — 200 EMA acting as a critical pivot point.
Apple has bounced from its support zone, supported by a MACD bullish crossover, but the 200 EMA remains a barrier. A sustained move above resistance is required for further upside.
👑 "Momentum is everything—move before the crowd reacts."
Don’t be the early worm who got eaten upWait for MACD to curl on daily time frame before entering. Stock has respected MACD crosses in the past. Now is not the time to FOMO.
Apple Wave Analysis 27 January 2025
- Apple reversed from support zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 237.00
Apple recently reversed up from the support zone located between the key support level 220.00 (which has been reversing the price from October), lower daily Bollinger Band and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the sharp upward impulse (C) from August.
The upward reversal from the support level 220.00 stopped the previous minor impulse wave 1, which belongs to wave (C) from the start of January.
Given the clear daily uptrend and the oversold daily Stochastic, Apple can be expected to rise further to the next resistance level 237.00.
$AAPL: Price action analysis on Three TimeframesHey there!
I will be picking different Tickers and analyzing them, using the Concept of lower highs & lower lows, as well as higher highs and higher lows.
Today, I made an update for AMEX:SPY and in this post for $AAPL.
Understanding these patterns has really transformed the way I approach trading and my personal fear & green control during the different market regimes. 📈 It is a kind of meditation while you are drawing all lines, marking meaningful Highs and Lows. No news is needed.
Speaking of these patterns, let's check out this simple and clear Big Picture. 📊
Here's a quick snapshot: We have analyzed NASDAQ:AAPL NASDAQ:AAPL on a monthly, weekly, and daily basis. Check out the chart for more details.
Stay tuned! 🚀
PS: Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
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**Disclaimer:** This research abstract is created and is intended solely for informational and educational use. It does not consider the specific investment needs, objectives, or risk tolerances of its recipients. The author`s actual investment positions may differ from the views presented in this post due to different factors. This content is strictly for informational and educational purposes.
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#Beyondtechnicalanalysis
#ChartPatterns
#Trend Analysis
#SPY
AAPL - END of 2025Dear friend
This is just a loud thinking. Don't take it seriously.
If #aapl follows his path of the last two years from the bottom of 2023 until now, then it will end 2025 around $275 with an upper band of $305 and a lower band of $250.
