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Reacting to Change Part 2: Evolution of TrendsAdapting to subtle changes within a trend is a key element of successful trading. It's not enough to recognise that a trend exists; to stay ahead, you need to understand how trends evolve. From the initial surge to the steady grind, each phase of a trend carries its own characteristics—and knowing how to react to these transitions is what separates a prepared trader from one caught off guard. The Anatomy of a Trend In this section, we’ll explore the different types, phases, and characteristics of trends: 1. Initial Momentum Drive The first leg of a new trend often follows a prolonged period of sideways consolidation, and this momentum-driven move is typically sparked by a fundamental catalyst. Characterised by a strong surge either higher or lower, this phase usually comes with significant volume and can even include price gaps. The energy in this phase is palpable; it's where the trend announces itself. Apple (AAPL) Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results 2. Standard Pullback, Trend, Pullback Trend In the heart of a trend, the market often moves in a wave-like fashion: trend legs followed by pullbacks. These pullbacks are typically less volatile and weaker in momentum than the dominant trend legs, making them perfect opportunities for traders to enter in the direction of the trend. Whether you're looking at a bullish or bearish market, these pullback-and-trend cycles are the bread and butter of swing trading strategies. Apple (AAPL) Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results 3. Steady Slide Higher A rarer but powerful trend type, the steady slide higher (or lower) features minimal pullbacks and a consistent, almost relentless direction. When a trend is in this phase, it signals sustained pressure from buyers or sellers, and it often grinds slowly but surely in one direction. This trend type is highly attractive to trend-followers, but it requires patience and conviction to hold through what may appear to be an over-stretched market. Tesla (TSLA) Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results 4. Exponential Blow-Off This phase represents the trend on steroids. Expanding ranges, steepening price action, and rising volume all signal that the market has entered an aggressive, almost frantic, final phase. The exponential blow-off can be exhilarating to watch and trade but carries a warning: when this phase comes during an established trend, it's often a sign that the end is near. Traders should be cautious, as a reversal or prolonged consolidation may follow shortly after this euphoric push. Tesla (TSLA) Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Simple Tools to Identify Trend Phases Reacting to these phases means recognising them as they unfold. Luckily, there are several simple tools traders can use to identify which part of the trend they're dealing with. 1. Trendline Fans Trendlines are perhaps the cleanest and most effective tool for gauging trend strength with no lag. By mapping the swings with multiple trendlines, or trendline "fans," you can visually track momentum. A rising trendline fan—where each new trendline is steeper than the last—indicates increasing momentum, while a falling trendline fan suggests that momentum is starting to ebb. Trendline fans are particularly useful for identifying whether a trend is accelerating into an exponential blow-off phase or slowing down into a pullback phase. 2. Keltner Channels Keltner Channels are another versatile tool for identifying different trend phases. These bands are plotted around a central moving average, with the distance between the bands determined by the volatility of the market. A price movement outside the Keltner Channels usually signals strong underlying momentum, often associated with the initial trend phase. A steady grind along the bands is characteristic of the "steady slide higher" trend type, while prolonged periods outside of the bands are usually indicative of the exponential blow-off phase. The midline of the Keltner Channels can also be used to gauge pullbacks and time entries during a trend. 3. Long-Term Moving Averages Long-term moving averages like the 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages (SMA) are essential for gaining perspective on the overall health and strength of a trend. These moving averages act as a dynamic support or resistance level during trends, and their positioning relative to the price can offer clues about the trend's longevity. 4. Anchored Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) The Anchored VWAP is a more sophisticated tool for assessing trend strength. VWAP represents the average price at which a market has traded, adjusted for volume, and anchoring the VWAP to the inception of a trend allows traders to see whether those who initiated the trend are still in control. If the price remains above the anchored VWAP in an uptrend, it suggests that buyers are still in control, whereas falling below could signal that sellers are beginning to take over. Example: Brent Crude Daily Candle Chart Let’s take a closer look at how these tools can be applied to understand an evolving trend in the oil market. Recently, oil experienced a strong rally, breaking through the first trendline and surpassing the 50-day moving average. While this initial momentum signals strength, the bigger picture still points to a bearish trend. We see that prices remain below the 200-day moving average, under a long-term descending trendline, and crucially, below the VWAP anchored to the April highs. This combination of tools highlights the importance of maintaining a wider perspective. Even though there is short-term upward momentum, the prevailing longer-term trend suggests that sellers may still have the upper hand. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Conclusion: Adapting to Trend Phases Understanding and reacting to the different phases of a trend is crucial for any trader. From the initial surge of momentum to the steady grind or explosive blow-off, each phase requires a unique strategy and a deep understanding of market dynamics. By using tools like trendline fans, Keltner Channels, moving averages, and Anchored VWAP, traders can stay on top of these phases and maximise their potential for success. Stay flexible, stay alert, and always be prepared to evolve with the trend. Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 82.67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
NASDAQ:AAPLEducation
by Capitalcom
1
Is Apple still the "apple of the eye"?Now we have heard how Huawei time precisely to launch its new foldable model together with Apple 16 which the latter received lacklustre sales in China. And they have to offered a discount shortly to shore up their decreasing revenue. Will she still be the Apple of the eye? Ok, I hear you. Warren Buffett has sold some of his Apple shares but should we be overly concerned as retail investors ? Dun forget his volume is HUGE and in billions so to take profits is pretty common. Then, that begs the question when do you sell a stock ? Hmmm, it depends if the fundamentals of the business has changed or a period of lower sales and profits that warrant a second evaluation. Well, thus far their business is still intact and despite some competition from China , I think it is still doing well.Thus, I will be waiting for opportunity to accumulate again from 207 to 211 price level.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by dchua1969
APPL chart analysis for for mid october apple is primed for more consolidation, mini inverted head and shoulders may form tomorrow sending the price up in to a bigger head and shoulder pattern forming the right shoulder. Rsi is on a down trend as of today. I except support to pick up at 216-217 when we hit the lowest trend formed over the past few months. I do not expect the lower trend line to break for even 1 bar it should be a clean tap and go. The chances of this happening overnight are high if a break under 220 occurs by mid day and we lower towards 217 that would be a signal for me to enter 5 minutes before close.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by TrendsandCycles
Top 5 Weekly Trade Ideas #3 - AAPL Triple Top + TriangleThis is a 15m, but if you zoom out you'll see a longer term triangle that goes back to ATH earlier this year. AAPL has had some brief moves above and below the triangle, but there hasn't been a break yet and it's nearing the completion of the pattern so I expect it to move soon. My bias is down for now, but that'll change if it breaks the triangle to the upside. We have a shorter term descending wedge/bull flag here that we saw a breakout fail that also made a triple top. Will be watching both the longer term triangle and this little wedge. First downside target is around 217, final target being the lows from August. If it can break above the triple top at 233, it should move back up towards ATH and most likely higher.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by AdvancedPlays
Apple Inc . NASDAQDear Traders, I hope you are having a good time. Apple Chart Analysis: After a period of upward movement and growth, it has now been 84 days since this stock has been unable to surpass its previous peak. This situation has arisen due to liquidity shortages. At first, we witnessed the breaking of the strong daily trend line, and despite the collection of liquidity from the block decisional, this stock has still failed to break through the ceiling. Ultimately, the second trend line, which I did not draw to avoid cluttering the chart, was broken, leading to a correction. Considering last week's pullback, as expected, the movement of this stock has begun to head downward, and we are seeing very strong confirmations in this regard. We will be waiting to buy again at the extreme order block, which will be the first buying target on this chart. I have constructed the chart in a simple and straightforward manner to facilitate easy use and benefit for you, my dear friends. Thank you, Fereydoon Bahrami "A retail trader in the Wall Street trading center (Forex)."
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by fereydoon1199
AAPL for Tomorrow (10/08/2024)Price Action: Current Price: Around $223.06, with a recent low of $221.80. Recent Trend: The stock has been trending downward since the break below the upward channel, indicating selling pressure. Volume: Volume is relatively higher around the current price range, indicating strong interest in this level, possibly acting as support. Key Levels: Support: Immediate support at $221.80, which was today's low. Further support around $221.22 (tested recently). Resistance: Immediate resistance at $223.85 (current day's close). Higher resistance at $226.80 (former consolidation level) and $228.02 (top of the prior range). Indicators: MACD: Shows low momentum, hovering near the zero line. This indicates weak momentum and suggests a possible sideways movement or further bearishness if no bullish reversal emerges. Outlook for Tomorrow: Bearish Bias: Given the recent downward movement and break from the channel, AAPL may see further downside unless it holds the $221.80 support level. Potential Scenarios: If $221.80 holds, there could be a bounce back towards $223.85 or $226.80 as resistance. A breakdown below $221.80 might lead to testing the lower support levels near $221.22 or even lower. Trading Plan: For Bulls: Look for entries around $221.80 with targets at $223.85 or $226.80. A stop loss could be placed below $221.22. For Bears: Watch for a break below $221.80 to enter short, targeting $220 or lower. Stop loss could be above $223.85. Disclaimer: This analysis is based on historical data and current market trends. It does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making any trading decisions.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by BullBearInsights
AAPL: TA for tomorrow trading (10/07/2024)Key Levels: Resistance Zones: 228.01: This level is acting as a strong resistance, as price has struggled to break above it during previous tests. 227.34: This is a short-term resistance level, which aligns with recent price rejection. The price will need to break and hold above this level to move higher. Support Zones: 225.67: This is an immediate support zone, where the price has previously bounced. 223.01: This is a significant lower support level that acted as a floor during the recent price action. A break below this level could signal a further downside move. Price Action: There’s a range-bound movement in the recent price action, indicated by the green rectangular box. The price has been consolidating within this range between 223.01 and 228.01, with no clear breakout in either direction. The formation of a potential rising wedge can be seen from the lows near 223 to the current price level. This could indicate a possible breakout or breakdown soon. Volume Analysis: There has been a noticeable increase in volume during the recent moves upwards, but the volume tapered off toward the upper range. This could suggest a lack of conviction in breaking resistance. If volume picks up near resistance at 228.01, this would be a key indicator of a possible breakout. Indicators: The chart shows oscillators moving sideways, indicating indecision and consolidation in the market. The next few candles will be crucial for determining a breakout or breakdown. Strategy for Tomorrow: Bullish Scenario: If AAPL breaks above 228.01 with strong volume, it could push higher towards 230 or beyond. The immediate resistance after that will likely be around 231-232. Bearish Scenario: If the price gets rejected at 228.01 or breaks below 225.67, it could move towards testing the 223.01 support level. A break below 223.01 could trigger more downside momentum, with a target near 220. Entry/Exit Points: Bullish Entry: If AAPL breaks above 228.01, consider entering a long position with a target of 230-231. Place a stop-loss below 227.34 to manage risk. Bearish Entry: If AAPL breaks below 225.67, a short position could be considered with a target of 223.01 or lower. Place a stop-loss above 227.34 to minimize risk. Watchlist: Breakout above 228.01: Look for strong volume confirmation. Breakdown below 223.01: Watch for selling pressure to increase.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by BullBearInsights
2
AAPL Weekly & Daily Tech Outlook: Trends and SignalsNASDAQ:AAPL Technical Analysis Weekly Perspective AAPL's weekly technical indicators present a mostly bullish scenario, with the majority of moving averages signaling buys. Oscillators: Most oscillators are in neutral territory. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 62.86, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions. The Momentum (10) is the only oscillator showing a buy signal, suggesting increasing bullish momentum. On the other hand, the MACD is signaling a sell, which could indicate some weakening in the momentum. Moving Averages: All moving averages, both exponential and simple, are signaling buys. The 10, 20, 50, 100, and 200-period moving averages are all below the current price, reinforcing the long-term bullish trend. The fact that the Hull Moving Average shows a sell signal might indicate a potential short-term pullback, but this doesn’t seem significant in the broader picture. Overall, the weekly chart for AAPL presents a clear uptrend supported by moving averages, though oscillators indicate some caution as momentum isn’t fully confirmed. Daily Perspective On the daily chart, the technical analysis is more mixed, with some contradictory signals. Oscillators: Similar to the weekly chart, most oscillators are in neutral territory. The RSI stands at 53.03, indicating balance between buyers and sellers. However, the Momentum (10) shows a negative value (-1.40), suggesting some bearish pressure, though this is counterbalanced by buy signals from the MACD and Bull Bear Power. This divergence in signals suggests that the price could be in a consolidation phase or transitioning into a new move. Moving Averages: Daily moving averages show a more positive outlook, with most indicating buys. The current price is above most exponential and simple moving averages (except the 10-period SMA). This behavior suggests that despite some potential short-term bearish pressure, the medium-term trend remains bullish. In summary, the daily analysis suggests AAPL might be undergoing a minor correction or consolidation before continuing its upward trend. The buy signals from the moving averages remain strong, though caution is advised due to mixed oscillator signals. Conclusion AAPL is maintaining a bullish trend, particularly supported by moving averages in both timeframes. However, oscillators reflect some uncertainty in the short term, which could indicate a consolidation phase or a minor pullback before resuming the uptrend. It's important to closely monitor support and resistance levels in the coming days, especially if momentum indicators begin to weaken. Disclaimer: The information provided in this analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by CF_444
Apple - How I'm Looking to Trade Apple This Week Monthly & Weekly MAC strategy suggests dips into the Weekly &/or Monthly MAC low are good setup areas for going long. Essentially, I'm looking to buy the dip if we get a price move into the levels noted in the video. I would not just be buying the MAC lows. I would be looking for entry triggers on my entry timeframes in those areas. I also point out that there are some Monthly/Quarterly bearish divergences forming, but nowhere near confirmation, so bulls need not worry. In short, I'm looking to buy the dip on Apple. Have a great weekend.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by Tradius_Trades
2
AAPL Shows Mixed Signals in the MarketAnalysis of NASDAQ:AAPL 4-Hour Indicators Oscillators: Relative Strength Index (RSI): At 47.64, the RSI is neutral, suggesting that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold. There is room for movement in either direction. Stochastic %K: This indicator is at 17.70, which implies that the asset is in a bearish trend but may be approaching oversold conditions. MACD Level: The MACD is currently at 0.34, indicating a bearish momentum, as it is below the signal line. Awesome Oscillator: At 0.69, this indicator suggests that there is a slight bullish momentum but not strong enough to trigger a buy signal. Momentum: With a value of -3.16, this indicates selling pressure in the short term. Moving Averages: Short-term MAs (10, 20, 30): The short-term moving averages are all signaling a sell, indicating a bearish sentiment in the immediate price action. Long-term MAs (50, 100, 200): The 50, 100, and 200 period moving averages are all showing buy signals, indicating a potential bullish trend in the longer term. Hull Moving Average (9): This indicator at 224.39 is also showing a buy signal, suggesting that there could be a potential for upward movement if prices stabilize above this level. Trading Recommendation Given the mixed signals in the indicators, the current sentiment for AAPL appears to lean bearish in the short term due to the short-term moving averages and momentum indicators suggesting a sell. However, the long-term moving averages (50, 100, 200) indicate a bullish outlook, suggesting that a recovery could be on the horizon. Trade Signal: Action: Wait for a confirmation of bullish momentum. Conclusion AAPL is currently experiencing bearish pressure, but the indicators suggest potential for a bullish reversal if the stock can hold above key support levels. Monitoring price action for confirmation will be crucial for entering a trade. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by CF_444
AAPL: 25% Correction / Liquidity Gap at $175🔸Hello traders, today let's review 12H price chart for AAPL/Apple. This is advanced technical trade setup based on historic price fractal. 🔸AAPL currently entering distribution at the top stage with distribution defined by the ABCD fractal. Same price fractal was observed in the market in Dec21/Jan22 before a subsequent 25% market correction in AAPL. 🔸ABCD ongoing distribution defined by range highs at 230 USD and range lows at 205 USD. Once we complete the ABCD structure expect a sharp mark-down in price / correction from point D into point E near 175 USD liquidity gap / open gap will drag price down. 🔸Recommended strategy AAPL traders: Advanced traders may short AAPL / buy May 2025 LEAP put options. No valid strategy currently for the bulls, it's best to wait until liquidity gap gets filled later in Q1/Q2 2025 before buying low at/near 175 usd. 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by ProjectSyndicate
16
Apple Stock:The 3 Steps Rocket Booster Strategy [Learn More]Apple stock looks like its trending upwards. Today I was thinking about how to trade the markets with less risk and if that's even possible. - Do you think you can trade the markets without risk? What is your risk management strategy? - As traders we are all different that's why its not easy to teach risk management, and profit-taking because its a personality thing - The rocket booster strategy is technical analysis. It has the following steps according to this NASDAQ:AAPL stock chart: -The price has to be above the 50 EMA -The price has to be above the 200 EMA -The 50 EMA should cross above the 200 EMA - That is the rocket booster strategy To learn more rocket boost this content. Disclaimer: Trading is risky, please learn risk management and profit-taking strategies.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by lubosi
New indicator with a better Weekday Highlight capability Weekday Highlighter (ICT) This Indicator can be used across all assets (Crypto, Forex, Stocks, ETFs...). The Weekday Highlighter will be handy while trader analyze an asset using ICT-SMC methodology to understand AMD cycle (Accumulation, Manipulation, Distribution) which is crucial for understanding weekly candle patterns Why this Indicator? I did try few available indicators in trading view that are used to highlight weekday. They do work fine, but has few problems like the ones that I have mentioned below. This being a straight forward script and does not have any complex logics underneath, I gave a shot to just address that and added features that are good to have. • Other Indicators just Highlights the selected weekday in the main chart. However, it would still be amidst the clutter of other candles. • Weekday Highlighter (ICT) Indicator just refines those candles that are “Selected” on to a separate pane thus mitigating visual discomfort, moreover enhances this option to highlight with different colors for different days as needed. • As a good to have feature I tried to show the selection done in the input screen and furnish in a tidy Table. • I do respect traders choice and their inclination towards having different table position or Alignment and Size. Hence added the same. • You can also disable this table display from the style tab in settings popup. I have planned to add few more features in future on this script, stay tuned. I am also creating few more scripts similar to this one and scripts on other concepts to find dynamic Levels, Screeners etc. Please reach out to me for Queries on this script or new script creation requests. Learn More, Trade safe, Earn More...
NASDAQ:AAPLEducation
by LUCARYC
Greer BuyZone Release UpdatesIn this video I explain the updates to the Greer Buyzone Indicator Release Notes: 9/12/24: Clean-up of options so vertical lines are removed by default but can be added if desired. Improved text readability by adjusting the text size. 9/29/24: Adjusted the "BuyZone Begins" text to appear below the price bar for better readability. 9/30/24: Added an optional BuyZone Box to better visualize buy periods, along with the ability to toggle text labels on or off. 10/3/24: Introduced alert capability to notify users when BuyZone periods begin and end.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by controllinghand
Apple (AAPL) Ultra-Bearish (Months Long Correction Confirmed)We have the same signal here on this APPL chart as with other major stocks and indexes. We have a major high in July 2024 and a confirmed lower high in September; this signals the confirmation of the bearish-trend and now the continuation of the bearish move. This bearish move will last longer than July, likely, because more space needs to be covered, that is, prices are likely to move much lower and thus it can take longer unless we get a major flash crash. The bearish signals are clear, classic and simple. Let's review them: 1) Rising bearish volume. The biggest volume bars are red and this can be clearly seen on the chart. 3-May, 21-June and 20-September. This reveals selling pressure. 2) The lower high just mentioned is the most revealing signal. Volume is the supporting signal. 3) Moving average. This is another supporting signal. Prices are now moving daily below EMA8, EMA13, EMA21 and EMA34. The main support range is mapped on the chart. These are high probability targets. This correction can last between 3-6 weeks, in the best of cases. Thank you for reading. You are appreciated. Namaste.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by AlanSantana
1
AAPL's clear path to $4T market cap Apple has been in this consolidation box for 1,190 days i.e., 3 yrs, 3 mos. It broke out on strong volume, followed through and then back-tested. What does this mean? If we are still in mid-cycle in this long duration secular bull trend, and not late cycle, then this break-out has legs to go. Couple of fundamental catalysts: iPhone 16 super cycle, refreshed Watch, AI assistant and new wearables e.g., hearing aid. The previous trading range peak to trough was 30%. If we were to assume the same trading range in this new peak trough, what would upper price be in this range? ~$258. And what is the market cap if it hits this price? $4 trillion.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by rigs54321
1