DAILY VIEWLARGER PULLBACK FOR THE LAUNCH .....IT NEEDS TO CLEAR RESISTANCE ,
OR BACK DOWN TO SUPPORT.
CHV trade ideas
MONTHLY VIEWPOSSIBLE 3 DRIVE PATTERN FORMING ...A HIGHER LOW AND A BREAK OF THE SWING HIGH WILL CONFIRM A LARGER MOVE.
Buy set up from a short term corrective move.A clean and neat impulse wave followed by a nice Zig Zag correction.
Break out of the correction pattern can give us another impulse.
cvxDown trend should be put at strike price 85.4
But down trend was conflicted with bullish bar, then 2nd plan is call at strike price 85.74
15% off August low while oil is a new low is a relief itselfClose above 82.75 will encourage me to add more but close below $81 will not like it. Real-time alerts go www.2waytrading.com
Chevron Corp.: How about a Swing?The Head&Shoulders on Chevron Corp is still valid, until the rejection level is breached. Although the Throwback faltered, which has sent the equity towards the rejection level, breaking out of the Neckline, will send CVX seeking 77.31, with 82.73 as a primary objective.
CVX1. Buy call when open higher close price.
2. Stop when CVX is under the support line.
3. Exit when meet the target at 98.14 or nearest.
4. Strategy EMA5>MA21 and passed the resistant line'
DOW JONES OVERVIEW: CVX IS ON MACRO RISKChevron Corp is on risk to fall further on macro and micro basis.
On long term basis, despite price is trading within 1st standard deviation from 10-year mean, it fell below lower 1st standard deviation from 5-year mean, risking more downside.
On short term basis price is in fully fledged downtrend, trading below 1st standard deviations from 1-year and quarterly mean.
Downside risk will remain until price gets back above 93, which turns out to be a key level - 4 pivot levels converged there now (see chart) and breaking above it will cancel all current downtrends.
At a crossroadsRejected the 180ema.
Not oversold.... yet
Kissing the broken downtrend.
Might find support on the trendlines below if oversold.
All hangs on the $CL_F outcome and oil is overbought for now.
Multiple Short Patterns and Indicators for CVXApril 15
Bought my April 24 108 Strike puts
Top of 135 Drive
Previous Resistance
1.272 Extension
786 Retracement of XA
(2) ABCD patterns at same D
Over bought on Stoch and RSI with bearish Divergence on both
(LIVE TEST) - STEVE PRIMO #8 SETUPS - (DAY 1)Here We go, Second Stock Strategy from Steve going live testing.
Enter - Setup +1 day Candle Breakout
Exit - RSI Extreme.
CVX Bull Put Spread and or sell putsCVX has made a strong bullish moved from it low about 102.36 close on 1/30/14 There has been a strong gap and is trading above 10 20 and 50 EMA , and just closed above the 100 SMA. The gap at 107.37 should offer a strong support for a BPS 107/106 EXp 2/27 for .11 or 3/6 for .16.
Should your want to own the shares a 101 put sale will bring in .65 approx.
POTENTIAL LONG ON CVXDouble bottom with confluence of a potential long term bull trendline; reversal candle on increased volume; stochastic divergence; downward channel into a potential broader bullish channel.
Not an entry yet, simply a possible bottom, need to see a bullish move (jump the creek - Wyckoff), then a small retracement (back up to the creek - Wyckoff) with another reversal candle pattern for entry back up to the top of the channel. This current bar could be a "spring" (AKA Terminal Shakeout - Wyckoff).
CVX Not Looking So Hot...Monthly candle chart...
The bearish Moving Average Cross (9 month, 21 month) is by far the most concerning due to the fact that it has so accurately marked the early stages of large downtrends.
This stock has an unhealthy love for everything fibonacci....retracements, extensions, you name it... (some shown).
What appears to be the 4th month after the monthly PSAR flipped to "bearish" looks to be only the beginning.
CVX cracked the 200 week simple moving average support (not shown), which is never a good thing.
The drop in crude oil prices have hurt the industry and therefore CVX.
Not that it will do much good for quite a while, but I am thinking that the bottom of this decline will be in the mid-80's, at which point this becomes an excellent buy.
The only thing that I see as bullish is the respectable dividend, although it is not so high that it will prevent further decline.
...wait and enter in the 80's OR short sell if you choose.
Binary Event - Bullish moveCVX is a correlative equity to XOM. These are consist in trend moves comparable to other equities in their sector. You want volatility for the option's play. Right now, CVX is at a crossroads with an IV of 73 and HV 71. With earnings coming up, we're expecting a shift north till the end of this year's first quarter. That's a good play to go deep in options. FEB (22) Call Strike 105 is our target for front month. APR 15 (78) Call Strike is 110 and/or 115. The decrease in IV over the next months in consideration of the options months shows favorable signs of going north. Tomorrow is we'll know.
CVX, $100 buy at earningsCVX Bearish pennant seems to be holding.
Moving into earnings now. CVX is in a weakened position, will of course oil, slumping...but also strong dollar exposure. CVX has a bunch of big gas projects overseas (Australia) and the strong dollar, weak gas, and high execution cost overseas may just be the drag to break it to the down side.
Volume is nice here...strong buyers at the bottom of the wedge, no one wants it at the top of the wedge.
Should crash down to $100 at earnings and get support with strong dividend buyers
***Overall***
If you love the long term $100 is a great place to buy.
CVX Short ~ 8 to 1 risk rewardAB = CD measured move price target of $98 . Short entry at $106.65 at the B swing point with a $1 stop. 8 to 1 risk reward.
