$CCL - Another one about to retest the trendlineNYSE:CCL Another chart that is about to retest trendline started back in Oct 2022. 👀 The market is already pricing in a recession way ahead of time.
CVC1 trade ideas
Carnival Corporation (CCL) Report Financial Results for Q1 2025Carnival Corporation & plc (NYSE/LSE: CCL; NYSE: CUK) announced financial results for the first quarter 2025 and provided an updated outlook for the full year and an outlook for the second quarter 2025.
Record first quarter revenues of $5.8 billion, up over $400 million compared to the prior year.
Record net yields1 significantly outperformed December guidance due to strong close in demand and continued strength in onboard revenue.
Record first quarter operating income of $543 million, nearly double the prior year.
Cumulative advanced booked position for the remainder of the year is in line with the prior year's record levels with pricing (in constant currency) at historical highs. Booking volumes taken during the first quarter for 2026 and beyond reached record levels.
Accelerated efforts to manage the debt profile during the first quarter, opportunistically refinancing $5.5 billion of debt, delivering $145 million in annualized interest savings while reducing the debt balance by another $0.5 billion.
Adjusted net income guidance for 2025 expected to be up over 30 percent compared to 2024 and better than December guidance by $185 million on improved revenue and interest expense expectations.
Expecting to achieve both 2026 SEA Change financial targets one year in advance, with adjusted return on invested capital1 ("ROIC") and adjusted EBITDA per available lower berth1 ("ALBD") for 2025 reaching the highest levels in nearly two decades.
"Our first quarter was truly characterized by outperformance. This was across the board and led by incredibly strong demand throughout our portfolio including exceptional close-in demand that exceeded expectations for both ticket prices and onboard spending," commented Carnival Corporation & plc's Chief Executive Officer Josh Weinstein.
Carnival Corp., Wave 5, the first TP is the previous high, whichWave 5, the first TP is the previous high, which is also fibo 127% NYSE:CCL
CCL in Buy ZoneMy trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell when at three of these events happen:
* Price tags the top or bottom of parallel channel zones
* Money flow spikes beyond it's Bollinger Bands
* Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at near oversold overbought level
* Price at Fibonacci levels
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price in buying zone below bottom of channels
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at oversold level
Money flow momentum is spiked negative and under bottom of Bollinger Band
Entry at $20.43
Target is upper channel around $22.50
CCL 23.5 PUT Exp Feb 28 (Loss)Took the trade due to seeing a weekly double top pattern, small break below a weekly key level as well a mini trend line. Price ended up reversing and respecting the weekly support level all week and rejecting off of it, so I closed my entry after a clear indication of price not wanting to break through to the downside.
CCL PUT OPTION POTENTIAL PLAYBreaking a weekly trendline and dropping below the 200EMA with recent tariff fundamentals we could see as big a 4% drop in the coming week looking for sell opportunities on the way down
Carnival Cruise Lines | CCL | Time to go long in the teens?Carnival Cruise Lines NYSE:CCL , like NYSE:NCLH , never fully recovered from the 2020 market crash. From a technical analysis standpoint, this stock may be poised for a nice upward trend soon after consolidating in my selected primary simple average. It is currently in my personal buy zone in the high teens.
Target #1 - $28.00
Target #2 - $49.00
Target #3 - $62.00 (very long-term)
CCL LongWeekly SMA200 as support
Long 17.36
Stop 12.5
Target 30
Risk management is much more important than a good entry point.
I am not a PRO trader.
In my trading plan, the Max Risk of each short term trade should be less than 1% of an account.
BuyToOpen 2025 Jan Call spread C20/30
Limit 2.02
SellToOpen 2025 Jan Put P12.5 x2 (Delta -0.16)
Limit 1.02 x2
Cost "0", if price stays between 12.5 and 20, no loss.
Stop below 12.5, max loss about $2.0 x 200.
Uptrending Carnival Corporation (CCL) 🌟 Overview:
Carnival Corporation is showing promising uptrend momentum, backed by strong technical indicators and improving fundamentals. The current price of $26.00 places it at a pivotal zone, suggesting potential upside targets.
🔍 Key Technical Insights:
Higher Highs and Higher Lows:
The stock is maintaining an uptrend structure with sequential higher highs and higher lows.
This trend aligns with bullish continuation patterns.
Breakout Potential:
$30.44 is a critical resistance level. A breakout here could confirm further upward momentum.
Fibonacci Levels:
Target zones based on Fibonacci extensions:
$36.94 (0.618 level)
$44.99 (1.0 level)
$58.00 (1.618 level)
Support Zone:
Immediate support rests at $23.93 and $20.93, providing a safety net for pullbacks.
🌍 Fundamental Drivers:
Demand Surge:
Strong rebound in the travel and cruise industry post-pandemic is boosting revenue.
High occupancy rates and forward bookings signal robust demand.
Improved Financial Health:
Carnival’s cost-cutting initiatives and debt reduction strategies are yielding results.
Positive cash flow trends indicate financial stability.
Macro Tailwinds:
Lower energy costs and increased consumer spending power support the leisure sector.
🚨 Trade Setup:
Entry Zone: $25.00 - $26.00
Stop-Loss: Below $23.93
Take-Profit Targets:
Short-term: $36.94
Medium-term: $44.99
Long-term: $58.00
📌 Summary:
CCL presents a bullish opportunity driven by technical alignment and fundamental improvements. A breakout above $30.44 could accelerate gains toward the defined targets. However, traders should monitor key levels for confirmation.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This post is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own analysis before trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. 🚨
New Setup: CCLCCL : I have a swing trade setup signal. I'm looking to enter long if the stock can manage to CLOSE above the last candle high(BUY). If triggered, I will then place a stop-loss below (SL) and a price target above it(TP-50%,move SL to breakeven), then using the close below the 10SMA as my trailing stop loss. **Note: The above setups will remain valid until the stock CLOSES BELOW my set stop-loss level(SL). Cheers!
Could Carnival Cruise (CCL) sink in December?
We see a correction happening this December. Why?
Primary technical reasons:
- Wave 5 on 8h candles
- Divergence from Stoch RSI
Other reasons:
CCL has surged 92% this year. Such rapid gains can sometimes lead to profit-taking by investors, causing short-term price declines.
Debt Levels: Carnival carries a significant debt load, a remnant from the pandemic period. This high leverage could weigh on investor sentiment.
Competitive Landscape: The cruise industry is highly competitive, with companies like Royal Caribbean and Norwegian Cruise Line also vying for market share.
Is all this enough to take CCL into troubled waters, at least for December?
Shorts will agree.
WILL CARNIVAL CRUISE LINE ($CCL) CONTINUE TO SAIL HIGHER?! 50%+🚢 WILL CARNIVAL CRUISE LINE ( NYSE:CCL ) CONTINUE TO SAIL HIGHER?! 50%+ Potential! 🚢
NYSE:CCL had a rough ride during the COVID pandemic as everyone stayed home, not vacationing, and definitely not cruising. But could it be ready for a massive comeback?
In my latest video, I break down the "High Five Setup" trading strategy, the ascending triangle breakout, and when to possibly enter this exciting trade.
Trade Idea:
Entry: $20
Exit: $17.88
PT1: $26
PT2: $30.64
Thanks for watching and for all the support! Let me know what stock or video you want to see next.
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Not financial advice.
#StockMarket #Trading #Investing #CarnivalCruise #HighFiveSetup
Bullish After a period of price consolidation within the triangle, a breakout has occurred, putting the bulls in control.
Target around 28.
N/b just a speculative analysis
Bullish After a period of price consolidation within the triangle, a breakout has occurred, putting the bulls in control.
Target around 28.
N/b just a speculative analysis
Third wave comingPrice is skyrocketing when sma20 (yellow line) meet trendline last two times
Get ready for the last jump that is coming soon
Long CCLBuying the breakout. Buy stop at 18.10
As the current range is between 14-18, the target of this breakout should be 22. Note that there is resistance around 20.
CCL Swing Play
Bullish Bias Key Points
- CCL retested the 200ma on the Weekly chart.
- Reverse trending
- Has a good PE ratio at 18.19
- RCL which is also in the same sector is at ATH right now and expect CCL to recover its losses soon.
Entry Anywhere within the range between15-21
First scale out target - 27
Target price - 30-31
Max Target for Long Term - 50 and beyond
Break and retest for CCL?🔉Sound on!🔉
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
CCL - Big base break-out for Carnival
Carnival is breaking out big base starting early 2022 to 2024.
Recently Carnival released their earnings for their Q3 2024 (June-July-August), which is the best quarter for the industry.
The company made 1.74 bln USD net income from 7.9 bln USD revenue in the quarter.
For the current fiscal year, Carnival is expected to post earnings of $1.28 per share on $25.13 billion in revenues.
For the next fiscal year, the company is expected to earn $1.62 per share on $26.03 billion in revenues.
Citi analysts in a research note said the cruising industry is experiencing strong web traffic and positive pricing trends, particularly for bookings in 2025.
They additionally raised Carnival's price target to $28 from $25
In terms of valuation, the stock currently trades at 15.8X current fiscal year EPS estimates, while peer industry average is 17.8X
Carnival Corporation (NYSE: CCL) Q3 Earnings PreviewAs Carnival Corporation (NYSE: CCL) prepares to report its Q3 earnings today, September 30th, 2024, before the market opens, investors are eager to see if the company can continue its positive momentum. Following a strong Q2 performance where Carnival beat analysts’ revenue estimates by 1.9%, the company has set high expectations for Q3. In this article, we will analyze both the technical and fundamental aspects of Carnival's stock, helping investors understand what to expect and how the market may react.
Q3 Expectations and Broader Market Sentiment
Carnival’s Q2 2024 earnings were a resounding success. The cruise giant reported revenues of $5.78 billion, up 17.7% year on year, surpassing expectations. Passenger cruise days also saw a significant increase, reaching 24.3 million, an 11.5% growth over the previous year. These solid figures reflected the company's resilience and recovery in a post-pandemic environment. For Q3, analysts expect revenues to grow by 14.1% year-on-year to $7.82 billion, albeit at a slower pace compared to the explosive 59.2% growth seen in Q3 2023. Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) are projected at $1.15.
Analysts have largely reconfirmed their estimates for Carnival over the last month, suggesting confidence in the company’s ability to meet its guidance. However, Carnival has missed revenue expectations twice in the past two years, keeping investors cautious. Meanwhile, positive sentiment surrounding the consumer discretionary sector has driven average stock prices up by 4.9% in the past month, with Carnival outperforming the sector, climbing 14.6% over the same period.
In terms of valuation, the average analyst price target for Carnival stands at $28, representing significant upside potential from its current share price of $18.72. With a healthy balance sheet, Carnival is also well-positioned for share buybacks, adding further value to shareholders if management chooses to repurchase shares at attractive levels.
Technical Analysis: A Balanced Picture with Cautious Optimism
From a technical perspective, Carnival’s stock has been in a generally bullish trend, currently trading above its key moving averages. As of this morning’s premarket session, NYSE:CCL is up 0.86%, showing investor confidence heading into the earnings release. The relative strength index (RSI) for CCL stock stood at 62 last Friday, indicating a positive sentiment but not yet at overbought levels. This suggests that there’s room for further gains if Carnival delivers strong earnings today.
However, there are potential risks on the horizon. The stock has been trading in a rising channel pattern for some time, which is generally bullish, but recent candlestick formations indicate a possible cooldown. This has raised concerns about a near-term correction, especially if earnings disappoint. A negative earnings surprise could trigger a selloff, with the stock potentially dropping back to its recent 1-month lows.
Conversely, a positive earnings beat could drive Carnival’s stock to new highs, pushing past resistance levels and potentially sparking further momentum as institutional investors pile in. The next critical resistance level sits around $22, while support is closer to $16.50.
Industry Tailwinds: Cruise Sector Recovery
Despite short-term technical concerns, Carnival remains well-positioned within the broader travel and cruise industry. Cruise demand has surged in 2024 as pent-up demand from the pandemic has fueled consumer interest in leisure travel. Carnival has capitalized on this by raising its FY2024 guidance and providing optimistic commentary on FY2025. In fact, many of Carnival's peers in the travel and cruise segment have reported similar trends, showing strong demand and improving profitability.
Additionally, inflation has started to ease, and fuel costs, a significant expense for cruise operators, have remained relatively stable. This should benefit Carnival’s operating margins moving forward.
Conclusion
Carnival Corporation’s Q3 earnings report will serve as a critical indicator of the company’s future trajectory. While the company has shown resilience with strong revenue and passenger growth, the market will be watching closely to see if this momentum continues into the latter half of 2024.
From a technical standpoint, the stock appears poised for further gains, but bearish signals warrant caution. A strong earnings beat could push NYSE:CCL to new highs, but a disappointing report may trigger a near-term pullback. Fundamentals remain solid with promising industry tailwinds and analyst confidence, making Carnival a stock to watch closely in the coming days.
Investors should keep an eye on both the earnings report and the stock’s price action post-release to gauge market sentiment and adjust their strategies accordingly. Whether Carnival can continue its upward trajectory or faces short-term volatility, one thing is certain: all eyes are on the cruise giant as it sets sail into Q3 earnings.
CCL Carnival Corporation, Too cheap? Bullish candlesPrice broke a resistance, and the difference between the other breaks, is that one are followed by a DMI and ADX confirming Long, The fast SMA have already crossed the others moving averages, increasing the idea of a continuation of price rising
With the cut in interest rates, and earnings in 11days, I think this will be a great price to buy.
Will the contracting triangle be confirmed?NYSE:CCL The Carnival Corporation listed in the New York Stock Exchange is aiming for a spurt to $19.00. Within a contracting triangle, the next target could well be the upper resistance.
Carnival Cruise Income StrategyI am watching $CCL. The trade plan is to scale into my position. planning on buying small share amounts daily until the price gets into my buy zone which is $14.00-$14.48.(where i plan i buying in blocks of 50-100 shares) $14 is a solid support for this stock and don't see any reason to keep the position if we break 2-2.5% below that. there is potential upside to the $18.80's That is POTENTIAL upside of 29% Also keeping an eye on the 19.54 resistance for a momentum breakout if we can break it. During the mean time i will be selling $20 covered calls (1 contract for every 200 shares i hold). i will selll the shares not committed to the options(covered call) if we get to the 18.80's
Carnival will be reporting at the end of the month so keep an eye for this to move as we get into the busy season for the carribean.
#coveredcalls
#options
#CCL
#s&p
AMEX:SPY
