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RiskMastery's Red Flag Stocks - EL EditionWelcome to RiskMastery's Red Flag Stocks - Stocks with bearish potential. In this edition, we'll be looking at NYSE:EL ... I believe this code is at a point of potential volatility. If price can hold below $144.43 ... Bearish potential may be unlocked. My key downside targets include: - $133.30 (Conservative) - $110.11 (Medium) - $95.00 (Aggressive) If however price breaks above $158.19 ... Bullish potential may be unlocked. (My key risk targets - C, M,& A - are as noted on the chart) Enjoy, and I look forward to being of further service into the future. If you'd like to connect, feel free to reach out and comment below. Mr RM | Risk Mastery Disclaimer: This post is intended for educational purposes only - Publicly available RiskMastery information & content is not intended to be financial advice in any shape or form. Please do your own research and seek advice from a licensed professional before acting on any of the information contained within this post. This post is not a solicitation or recommendation to buy, sell or hold any positions in any financial instrument. All demonstrated trades are merely incidental to the educational training RiskMastery aims to provide. You are solely responsible for your own investment and trading decisions, of which should be made only according to your own opinion, knowledge and experience. You should not rely on any of the information contained on this site or contained in any RiskMastery material on any website or platform. You assume the sole risk of any trade or investment you elect to make. RiskMastery and affiliates shall not be liable to you for any monetary losses or any other damages incurred directly or indirectly, from your use, reliance or reference of RiskMastery materials, content and educational information. Thank you for your understanding and cooperation - We look forward to working with you into the future to navigate the fine line of trading and investment success.
NYSE:ELShort
by Bullfinder-official
Estée Lauder Surges 6.6% on Analyst UpgradeEstée Lauder (NYSE:EL) is making waves with a significant 6.6% surge following an analyst upgrade from Bank of America. The upgrade, from Neutral to Buy, accompanied by a raised price target, underscores renewed optimism in the beauty giant's future prospects. Bank of America's bullish stance hinges on Estée Lauder's ( NYSE:EL ) strategic pivot towards product innovation and market expansion. The analyst highlights Estée Lauder's recent initiatives, including the rollout of new derma lines, intensified marketing efforts for flagship brands like Clinique and Estée Lauder, rejuvenation of makeup stalwarts MAC and Bobbi Brown, and a targeted marketing push for high-end brands such as LeMer. These strategic maneuvers, coupled with restructuring efforts and supply chain optimizations, position Estée Lauder for robust earnings growth. The analyst predicts a potential earnings per share (EPS) of $6 by fiscal year 2026, buoyed by anticipated sales leverage and operational efficiencies, even in the face of modest growth projections in key markets like China. But is now the opportune moment to add Estée Lauder to your investment portfolio? The market's response to today's news suggests a resounding yes. Despite its historically subdued volatility, Estée Lauder's sharp uptick indicates the market's recognition of the significance of this upgrade. While this boost may not fundamentally alter perceptions overnight, it underscores growing confidence in Estée Lauder's trajectory. Reflecting on Estée Lauder's recent performance offers a nuanced perspective. The company's earnings report paints a mixed picture, with a notable beat on second-quarter expectations offset by a shortfall in earnings forecasts for the upcoming quarter and full year. However, amidst these fluctuations, Estée Lauder remains steadfast in its commitment to a top-line recovery, projecting a return to double-digit organic net sales growth in the latter half of fiscal 2024. Moreover, Estée Lauder's proactive measures, including a restructuring plan aimed at enhancing profitability, instill optimism in its long-term resilience. While the stock may currently trade below its 52-week high, its upward trajectory since the beginning of the year signals momentum building within the company. For investors eyeing Estée Lauder, the journey over the past five years serves as a testament to its enduring value. Despite recent fluctuations, the stock has maintained its allure, offering a compelling opportunity for long-term growth. In conclusion, Estée Lauder's surge on the back of an analyst upgrade underscores its potential as a lucrative investment opportunity. With strategic initiatives poised to drive earnings growth and market expansion, Estée Lauder presents a compelling proposition for investors seeking exposure to the dynamic beauty industry. As the company continues to innovate and adapt, now may indeed be the time to add a touch of Estée Lauder to your investment palette.
NYSE:ELLong
by DEXWireNews
EL jumps on analyst upgrade LONGEL like ULTA was beaten down in covid times. It jumped in 2021 and fell in 2022 and 2023. 2024 might be the year they thrive again. On the weekly chart, EL is back to the support of its levels of 2018. With an analyst upgrade coming from Bank of America it is now getting a bit of attention. Trend strength and relative strength were down. I see this as a good entry for a new long position in EL while also looking at ULTA. Targets are the fib zone and a correction / consolidation area on the downtrend so 200 and 250. Now is the time to invest in female beauty.....
NYSE:EL
by AwesomeAvani
Estee Lauder's Bold Restructuring Move: A Triumph Amidst HurdlesEstee Lauder ( NYSE:EL ) has emerged as a beacon of resilience in the cosmetics industry. The company's stock witnessed a remarkable surge of over 14% following the announcement of its second-quarter fiscal 2024 earnings, which exceeded analysts' expectations. The cosmetics giant also unveiled a strategic restructuring plan that involves job cuts, signaling a bold move to navigate the challenges of the current market landscape. Earnings Beat: Estee Lauder ( NYSE:EL ) reported second-quarter fiscal 2024 earnings per share (EPS) of $0.88, surpassing analysts' estimates. Despite a 7.4% decline in revenue from the previous year, the company's revenue of $4.28 billion also outperformed forecasts. This stellar financial performance comes at a crucial time for Estee Lauder ( NYSE:EL ), showcasing its ability to adapt and thrive in a changing market environment. CEO's Vision: CEO Fabrizio Freda articulated that Estee Lauder is at "an inflection point" and highlighted the progress made in the year's first half across various strategic priorities. Freda emphasized the reduction of inventory in the trade of Asia travel retail, improved working capital, strategic price increases, and disciplined expense management as key drivers of the positive results. Strategic Restructuring: Estee Lauder's ( NYSE:EL ) commitment to future growth is underscored by its decision to implement a Profit Recovery Plan, extending through fiscal years 2025 and 2026. The plan kicks off with immediate steps, including a restructuring that involves job cuts. The company aims to eliminate 3% to 5% of its workforce, impacting approximately 3,150 employees. This bold move aligns with Estee Lauder's ( NYSE:EL ) focus on enhancing efficiency and streamlining operations to drive sustained profitability. Outlook and Projections: Estee Lauder ( NYSE:EL ) projects a return to double-digit percent organic sales growth in the second half of the fiscal year. This optimistic outlook reflects the company's confidence in its ability to navigate challenges, capitalize on strategic initiatives, and capitalize on evolving consumer trends. Market Response: The market responded favorably to Estee Lauder's ( NYSE:EL ) earnings beat and restructuring plans, with shares surging 14.3% to $153.24 at on Monday. However, it's worth noting that, despite these gains, the stock is still down 41% over the past year. This discrepancy highlights both the challenges faced by the cosmetics industry and the potential for Estee Lauder to regain lost ground through decisive actions. Conclusion: Estee Lauder's ( NYSE:EL ) recent performance and strategic initiatives position the company as a resilient player in the cosmetics industry. The earnings beat and restructuring plan underscores Estee Lauder's ( NYSE:EL ) commitment to adapting to market dynamics and setting a course for sustained growth. Estee Lauder ( NYSE:EL ) will face challenges in the post-pandemic era, but investors and industry experts will closely monitor their progress.
NYSE:ELLong
by DEXWireNews
Estee Lauder ($NYSE:EL) touching key levels: time to buy?TLDR: Estee Lauder's recent price action at the historic monthly trend line and the $176 resistance level presents an intriguing trading opportunity. While considering the potential correction in the broader market, the stock's undervaluation based on fundamentals adds further appeal. As always, it is crucial to conduct thorough analysis, manage risk effectively, and remain adaptive to changing market conditions. By closely monitoring Estee Lauder's price action, traders may capitalize on a potential long opportunity. Introduction: In this trading idea, we will be focusing on Estee Lauder ( NYSE:EL ), a company that has recently touched a historic monthly trend line, coinciding with a significant resistance level at $176. With the broader market, represented by the S&P 500 (SPX), showing signs of a potential correction from its recent bullish run, we will explore the potential trading opportunity that Estee Lauder presents. Technical Analysis: Estee Lauder's price action has reached a critical juncture, with the stock touching a historic monthly trend line alongside the notable resistance level at $176. This convergence of key levels adds significance to the current price action and warrants close attention from traders. Market Context: Considering the broader market conditions, it appears that the SPX may be on the brink of a correction following its recent strong upward movement. This context should be taken into account when assessing the potential trade. Fundamental Analysis: Despite the uncertainty in the market, Estee Lauder shows promise from a fundamental perspective. The company is currently undervalued based on its fundamentals and growth projections. This suggests that there may be underlying strength in the stock, which could support a potential bounce. Trade Idea: Given the technical and fundamental factors discussed, it is prudent to closely monitor Estee Lauder for a potential long position. If the stock demonstrates resilience in the face of broader market headwinds and successfully breaks above the $176 resistance level, it could signal a strong bullish move. Risk Management: As with any trade, proper risk management is essential. Traders should consider setting a stop-loss order below key support levels to protect against downside risk. Additionally, monitoring market conditions, news events, and any significant developments within the company is crucial to assess the ongoing viability of the trade. Disclaimer: This trading idea is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Traders should conduct their own analysis and exercise due diligence before making any trading decisions. Trading involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
NYSE:ELLong
by arielfuggini
3
$EL Upgraded – Bottom Fishing ReversalNYSE:EL I bought a ¼ size position yesterday, June 14, and added again this morning on follow through. Now ½ sized. It recaptured it’s 21 EMA yesterday and just barely had a Pocket Pivot. I have a tight stop on this as it’s way below the 50 DMA and the 40 Week MA. If you like bottom fishing, you might want to look at this one. Oh, and they also say they are working on an anti-aging cosmetic… but who isn’t? Ideas, not investing / trading advice.
NYSE:ELLong
by jaxdog
EL - due for some rebound (bullish divergence)After a heaving sell off, EL appears to be finding support at the 78.6% fib retracement of it's major upswing AB (see mthly chart on Left). Odds appear good that a rebound could be in the works as the bullish divergence seen on the daily chart spanning over the last few weeks is now supported by a mildly bullish divergence seen on the monthly chart as well. I would consider to long upon the clearance of the last candle high @ 189 with a small stop loss about $1 below the recent low @ 182. Raise stop loss to breakeven as soon as it is able to clear 195 with a possible exit around $209. Just a short term trading idea with 1 : 2.5 risk-reward ratio. Let's see if it works out! Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
NYSE:ELLong
by Juliac
Seizing the Opportunity Greetings, traders! Today, I am thrilled to present a compelling long trade opportunity that revolves around a fair value gap at $181.41. This trade aims to capture potential upward momentum, with a specific target set at buyside liquidity, offering an attractive risk-reward ratio. Based on thorough analysis, I have identified an opportune entry point at fair value gap. This area represents a significant support level, providing a solid foundation for initiating a long position. To manage risk effectively, it is recommended to place a stop loss at $185.29. By positioning the stop loss above the order block, we aim to limit potential losses in case of an adverse price movement. The profit target for this trade is set at $201.84, aligning with buyside liquidity. This level represents a potential area of significant resistance, offering a favorable profit potential for the trade. It's important to closely monitor the trade's progress and adjust your stop loss or take profit levels as needed. Consider trailing your stop loss to secure profits as the trade progresses in your favor, while also allowing for potential upside continuation. Please remember that trading carries inherent risks, and this trade idea should be diligently evaluated before making any trading decisions. Conduct your own analysis and consider seeking professional advice when necessary. Wishing you success and profitable trades!
NYSE:ELLong
by yura_trades
A bad quarter but solid fundementals Estee Lauder produced another disappointing result for the quarter – organic net sales shrank 8% while net sales (incl. FX) decreased 12%. EPS came in at 0.43c. China is given as the reason for the company’s subpar results, but delving into the results deeper it looks to be actually Europe, The Middle East and Africa which are showing weakness – net sales fell 24%. It’s a pretty bad result, and management should be starting to question their strategy in Europe — we think it is partially a wider reflection of actual economic weakness in the Eurozone driven by sticky inflation, but we don’t think that is a good enough explanation on management’s part: how will they get back to growth? We still like the company — over time it has compounded earnings extremely well and typically runs at ~18% operating margins, and its stable of premium products like La Mer and Tom Ford afford it strong pricing power. Yet this was not a good quarter. Expecting to under-perform rest of year. Upside +$250 downside -$180. Read more at: www.tradingview.com
NYSE:EL
by BlackBull_Markets
Estes Lauder ($EL) LongLooking long into earnings via call debit spreads or put credit spreads. The 5/19 240P had some action Friday; traded 985x 5.80ish a contract, looked like a roll up from the 220's, same expiration more juicy premium $$; break even/if assigned, long at HKEX:234 , or prior support level. Daily chart with inverse head and shoulders setup. Goldman wrote a piece on 4/18 that included EL put underwriting on a six month put sell (Oct 240P), based on support levels for EV/EBITDA, EV/Sales and P/FCF.
NYSE:ELLong
by airborne99
1
Should I stay or should I go?Three factors for good trade management Knowing when to make your move is key to being a successful and profitable trader. Here are three things you need to handle to keep on track: 1. Know the probability of the trade Make sure you know whether your trade is low or high probability and whether it’s against the trend or with it. If a trader goes long in a short market it’s a low-probability trade so more than likely it is going to end up in a losing trade. If you have a high-probability trade that failed, the market likely wants to change direction. If you have a high-probability trade that you don’t make a lot of points on, it means the market is slowing down or reversing. Sometimes low-probability trades also bring in points. Lower probability trades are against the prevailing trend, so taking a trade to the opposite side becomes preferable and may end up being a high-probability trade. That is because the trends start to change from the lower time frames to the higher timeframes. But you have to keep an eye on the higher ones especially as it might be a retracement on a higher-level timeframe (typically a 5 or 15 minute timeframe). 2. Know your rules for risk Be very clear how much money you want to allocate to a trade. Is your rule that you only ever risk half a percent per position or a maximum of 6% of your portfolio on any one trade? Having this clear boundary means that if you lose a few percent it doesn’t make a material difference to your account, your mindset and your wellbeing. Remember that your risk management will improve over time. Never get put off by the occasional trade that goes against you. If it doesn’t work out, look at your trading plan and see where there is something that could be changed. 3. Practice your strategy and approach Believe in your system and stick to it and your trading plan strictly, even if it looks like the market is going against you. Of course not all trades will be successful - with any business you have profits and losses. As long as the profits are more than the losses it’s ok. It’s about practice too, which includes practicing the skill of not doing anything for a few hours until you see a setup that meets your criteria. You never want to be making involuntary or emotional moves.
NYSE:ELEducation
by Trade-to-Win_from_Tradeguider
Ways to improve your chart reading Part 1 – VolumeIt is essential to look at volume when analyzing the charts. Volume equates to activity: it is either the number of contracts placed to the market during the duration of the bar (in the case of exchange volume ) or the number of price changes during the duration of the bar (in the case of tick volume) It shows when and how the professionals (or as they are called in Wyckoff Volume Spread Analysis, the smart money) are acting. If the volume is relatively big, the smart money is buying or selling. Low volume means they are not interested. So volume is one of the tools that not only helps us to understand what is happening on the chart, but also helps traders avoid serious mistakes in determining the further direction of the price movement. Take a look at the Estee Lauder Companies, Inc (NYSE:EL) stock as an example. This stock was in a down trend since August 2022. On October 20th 2022 we saw the first significant increase in volume on a down bar (the bar with its close price lower than the close price of the previous bar) followed by another price bar with big volume on the 24th of October and then by the huge volume spike on November 2nd. Professionals were active on those bars and they were buying! The final confirmation that the stock is ready to move higher came on November 9th when after a few bars of sideways movement a down bar appeared on very low volume. This indicates the absence of professional interest in lower prices. Please note that on this day the trend of the instrument did not change to the up side yet and many traders still expected the down trend to restore. While we are focusing on high-volume bars here, the example above also shows how low volume, when it appears at specific areas of the chart, can provide a lot of useful information too. To be continued.
NYSE:ELLong
by Trade-to-Win_from_Tradeguider