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FORD MOTOR COFORD MOTOR COFORD MOTOR CO

FORD MOTOR CO

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FMC1 trade ideas

F WEEK 11/11/24F WEEK 11/11/24 Trying to keep this as simple as possible. Once price breaks outside of the Blue range, watch for possible retest of broken level and be ready to long or short into the YELLOW ranges. Price may exceed YELLOW range targets, but it’s at least a strong help to make profit 🎯🫡. *LEVELS ARE NOT RANDOM OR BASED OFF EMOTION OR PERSONAL BIAS. BACKTESTED WITH THOROUGH RESEARCH WITH OVER 90% ACCURACY....HENCE WHY MOVE WILL MOST LIKELY BE GREATER THAN ESTIMATED.*
NYSE:F
by J3Trad3s
Ford Motor Company (NYSE: F) - November 2024 StockOverview Ford Motor Company, headquartered in Dearborn, Michigan, is a global automotive and mobility company known for its Ford+ plan, which focuses on combining its strengths in traditional vehicles with new capabilities in electric vehicles (EVs) and digital customer experiences. Ford operates through three main segments: Ford Blue: Developing iconic gas-powered and hybrid vehicles. Ford Model e: Focusing on innovative EVs and embedded software for enhanced digital experiences. Ford Pro: Serving commercial customers with vehicles and services tailored to their needs. Ford employs approximately 175,000 people worldwide and also offers financial services through Ford Motor Credit Company. Recent Developments Stock Performance: Ford's stock recently traded at $10.22, shedding 0.68% in a recent session, underperforming some of its competitors, such as Tesla. Trading volume was lower than the 50-day average, suggesting reduced investor activity or interest at this price level. Dividend Update: Ford announced a $0.15 dividend per share to be paid on December 2, offering a 7.6% yield, which is considered attractive for income-focused investors. The projected earnings growth and a conservative payout ratio of around 37% suggest the sustainability of this dividend. Q3 2024 Financial Results: Ford reported $46.196 billion in revenue, marking an increase from the previous year's $43.801 billion. Net income, however, declined to $892 million from $1.199 billion in the same quarter last year, highlighting some profitability challenges. Key elements of the Ford+ strategy were discussed during the Q3 earnings call, emphasizing a focus on growth in EV and connected vehicle services. Strategic Initiatives: Ford+ Plan: Continues to drive the company's transformation towards sustainable growth and value creation through innovation in EVs, cost improvements, and expansion in the Ford Pro segment. Cost Optimization: Ford is actively working on cost improvements and restructuring efforts to boost profitability. Manager Incentives: Ford is linking manager bonuses to performance metrics, reflecting a push for accountability and strategic alignment within the company. SWOT Analysis Highlights: Strengths: Strong legacy in automotive manufacturing, established brand value, and a growing EV presence. Weaknesses: Declining profitability, competition from EV-focused companies like Tesla. Opportunities: Expansion in EV offerings, digital transformation, and cost improvements. Threats: Intense competition in the EV market, potential macroeconomic challenges affecting demand. Outlook Ford’s future outlook appears to be a mix of cautious optimism and strategic challenges: Bullish Factors: A sustainable dividend policy, offering a high yield. The Ford+ plan positions the company for growth in the EV and digital service market segments. Revenue growth in recent quarters indicates potential resilience in core business areas. Bearish Factors: Declining net income in recent quarters points to profitability challenges. Underperformance compared to peers in the stock market raises concerns about investor sentiment. High competition in the EV market may pressure Ford's ability to capture significant market share. Conclusion On balance, Ford Motor Company presents a stable dividend-paying stock with strategic initiatives aimed at long-term transformation through its Ford+ strategy. While profitability issues and competition in the EV space are notable risks, Ford’s efforts in cost management and EV expansion offer some upside potential.
NYSE:FShort
by Joekenstein7
Ford (F): Eyeing Earnings for Potential Resistance FlipFord is set to release its earnings report in a few hours, and analysts generally anticipate that results will meet or slightly exceed consensus expectations. Currently, Ford is trading around a significant resistance level, and a breakout above this level could mark an important shift, opening the door for further gains. Our outlook remains bullish, with expectations that Ford will fill the large gap visible on the chart in the coming months. Recent analyst targets align with our view, with ratings from Barclays, Goldman Sachs, and Morgan Stanley averaging around $13 for Ford stock. This target range corresponds well with our technical analysis, reinforcing our approach to Ford. However, we’re holding off on any immediate action until after the earnings report to avoid an unpredictable reaction. We’ll be monitoring the market’s response closely, avoiding impulsive moves, as the true direction often becomes clearer after the initial post-earnings volatility. Until then, patience remains crucial—trade the plan, stay disciplined, and seize the opportunity when it aligns with our setup.
NYSE:FLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
2
Ford also has a Gap to Fill?Observations on the Wave Count: Primary Impulse Waves: The count of 1-5 for an impulse seems to be accurate. You have a clearly labeled 5-wave structure moving upwards. This is likely a larger degree move, possibly at the "Primary" or "Cycle" level. Wave 5 appears to have extended further compared to the prior impulse waves, which is common. Elliott Wave Theory suggests that either Wave 3 or Wave 5 can extend, and this seems to show that Wave 5 is the extended one. Corrective Wave (A-B-C): After the 5th wave, there is what looks like an A-B-C corrective structure. It's possible that this is a Zig-Zag correction based on the sharp drop after Wave 5 and the bounce that follows. This seems to be followed by a potential expanded or running flat, where wave C fails to exceed the end of Wave A. Recent Wave Count: Your latest count appears to be unfolding into a smaller degree (minute or micro) corrective structure, likely a W-X-Y or some form of complex correction. The zigzag shown in the most recent wave count (image 3) suggests you're nearing the end of a corrective phase. Wave 4 seems to have formed a triangle or complex correction, a common occurrence for 4th waves, which typically form either triangles or complex structures. You seem to be working towards completing a fifth wave of a larger degree correction or starting a new impulse down. Feedback on the Current Count: Wave 4 Triangle or Flat: If this is a triangle in the 4th wave, you're likely correct that the next move could be the start of a larger degree wave down (Wave 5) or an extension. Triangles generally precede the final move in the current direction. If the count you've labeled shows a flat correction, make sure Wave C is equal to or longer than Wave A to confirm this pattern, especially if it's an expanded flat. Price Levels & Key Resistance Zones: The key resistance level at $12.05-$12.15 is important to watch for in confirming the start of a new trend, especially if the price breaks above or gets rejected strongly. The gap shown on the chart may also influence the price action as gaps tend to act as strong support or resistance, and it's likely that the price will revisit this zone soon. Divergences: The oscillators at the bottom seem to show that momentum is waning. Divergences between price action and oscillators (like MACD or RSI) can help confirm the completion of wave structures, especially if the corrective structure is nearing an end. Summery generated by my custom Elliot Wave GPT. It seems we are seeing a rotation into domestic value with a eye towards Heavy industry?
NYSE:FLong
by Darth_Buddha
Ford Motor Could Be Skidding LowerFord Motor fell sharply over the summer, and now traders may think it will keep skidding lower. The first pattern on today’s chart is the bearish gap on July 25 after earnings and revenue missed estimates. That potentially reflects concerns about its growth and profitability. Next, F's 50-day simple moving average (SMA) had a “death cross” below the 200-day SMA the following month. That may suggest its longer-term trend has turned bearish. Third is the pair of monthly highs around $11.28 in August and September. The resulting double top, below the pre-earnings lows, may suggest new resistance has developed below old support. Next, the series of lower highs in the last three weeks has created a potential bearish descending triangle for the automaker. Finally, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is below the 21-day EMA and prices are below the 50-day SMA. Those patterns may reflect bearishness in the short and intermediate terms. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NYSE:F
by TradeStation
Ford (F): Waiting for the right moment after recent bounceAfter being stopped out at break-even with profits already taken on NYSE:F , we are now observing the chart again. We're pleased that we didn't buy any shares as the anticipated bounce did not materialize. However, Ford did bounce almost exactly at point X, which is where wave 2 should not have dropped below—it briefly wicked under before pumping back up. This is something we can respect, as we haven't been stuck below the designated level for an extended time. From a technical perspective, the plan is clear, but Ford is highly impacted by the current political climate, as car companies are in the spotlight right now. Despite this, we are planning for a push upwards after the recent dip. Ideally, we should not revisit the $9.64 level or, even better, avoid the wave (ii) level. Multiple levels need to be flipped for us to be confident that there's enough strength for future success. We've marked the "Ideal Entry Point" with a green dot, and it should be clear what we want to see. For now, we're standing on the sidelines, letting it develop and play out. If our scenario unfolds as anticipated, we can capitalize on it. Plan the trade and trade the plan.
NYSE:FLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
Long F (unless you think a recession is coming)Just a couple of weeks ago I called for a 20% fall in Ford that happened a LOT faster than I expected. Now, I think there is a compelling case to be made to go long. Technically, it is right at support (circled in white) as I write this. That is a low that hasn't been eclipsed since the COVID crash. It's also VERY oversold. In fact, the last 4 times it's been this oversold (going back to 2011), 3 of the 4 times it has closed at least 18% higher within 3 months. The other time was the COVID crash and it was higher 6 months later that time. From a more fundamental perspective, the impending rate cut(s) will make cars more affordable along with lowering mortgage rates and opening the possibility of refinancing and cost savings there (though I think it will take more than one cut to get that effect). The bad news from their last earnings report was already baked in before this recent market collapse as well. Finally, the dividend is over 6% right now. So I'm being paid a higher rate than bonds to sit and wait for the stock to come back. Could we go into recession? Sure, but I don't think that's where we are headed and overall market action today leads me to believe the big players don't think that either. The Fed has lots of powder to fight that right now. Could F lower its dividend? Yep. But until I see that happen I'm not betting on that either. Trump tariffs? Those actually do scare me, but I suspect that's mostly talk that appeals to his base. If Harris gets elected, I think protecting the auto industry and its workers will be a very high priortiy, so I don't see immense political risk either. So that's my case for long F right now. I'm making this trade and will keep it updated as things happen.
NYSE:FLong
by redwingcoach
6
F - Ford: a Buy Now After Declining 23% in a Month? Yes, yes ! Price-To-Earnings ratio (10x) is below the US market (17x) Earnings are forecast to grow 16% per year Trading at good value compared to peers and industry Ford Pro, the company's commercial vehicle division, showed strength with a 15.1% operating margin, driven by high demand for Super Duty trucks and Transit vans. Plans to increase production capacity by 100,000 units by 2026 further support future growth. Additionally, Ford’s focus on software technology and services positions it well in the evolving automotive landscape. This dip presents a potential buying opportunity as Ford continues to innovate and expand.
NYSE:FLong
by Maximus20000