GS Bear - Second ChartGoldman appears to have relatively recently confirmed completion of a head and shoulders tops. The head and shoulders are marked by short horizontal blue lines, and the neckline forms at about 172. Volume during this time period appears to support the formation, as does the attempted rally (around January 29th) on the initial steep decline below neckline support.
Based on the distance (46) between the head and the neck, a long term price bottom of approximately 126 is appropriate, albeit only an approximation.
Regarding Goldmans recent movements, a key support/resistance level for the past two months appears to be 150. While GS has for the moment bulled its way above that point, I would note that for the YTD volume is much higher when GS declines than when it rises. This is supportive of my theory that GS is still declining from a long term head and shoulders tops, as selling pressure is greater than buying pressure. This is also the case on its most recent movement to 154.65 - daily volume was at 6.489M compared to a moving average of 6.363M - not a strong enough spike to suggest the Bulls are back in charge of the big picture just yet, but completely in line with its previous bounces in the year to date.
Again, I'd love any critiques or comments at all.
Oh, as a side note I have no current or planned positions in GS - this chart is purely academic.
