LOM trade ideas
Lockheed Martin Bull PennantThis is a monthly chart of the defense company Lockheed Martin (LMT).
As you can see, a bull pennant is appearing.
In my experience, I have found that the most valid bull flags or pennants usually retrace back to the Golden Ratio (0.618), then bounce and continue higher (see below chart).
When this occurs, the measured move up is typically one full Fibonacci spiral from this retracement level, which usually occurs over a period of time that is about the same as the period of time it took the bull flag or pennant to form (see below chart)
The above chart suggests that LMT could climb into the 500s or as high as about 600 by the second quarter of next year. The best time to enter a trade would probably be after the seasonal volatility ends, and after a breakout occurs on some lower timeframe.
From a regression standpoint, this bull pennant formed when price rose from the mean to the 1 standard deviation, and retraced to the 0.5 standard deviation. If it pans out, the measured move may reach one full standard deviation higher (to the 1.5 standard deviations). See below chart.
To learn more about the log-linear regression channel that I used here, you can check out my prior post that described it in more detail:
Obviously, anything can happen. Not trading advice. Please do your own research and trade at your own risk. If you disagree, I welcome respectful comments and charts below.
Disclosure: I have no trade position in LMT and do not plan to open any trade at the current time.
Comments before financial release——Lockheed Martin Corporation Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT)
Lockheed Martin Corporation is reporting for the quarter ending June 30, 2022. The aerospace and defense company's consensus earnings per share forecast from the 4 analysts that follow the stock is $6.29. This value represents a 11.78% decrease compared to the same quarter last year. In the past year LMT has beat the expectations every quarter. The highest one was in the 1st calendar quarter where they beat the consensus by 3.54%. Zacks Investment Research reports that the 2022 Price to Earnings ratio for LMT is 14.90 vs. an industry ratio of -10.10, implying that they will have a higher earnings growth than their competitors in the same industry.
late to the party but we'll take what we can get havent looked at this in a minute unfortunately, found the monthly 20sma and 2020 high/low .786 as support, the weekly macd is at the bottom of its megaphone channel, weekly stoch about to break out of a pennant, and we are about to have the strongest weekly/monthly close since the covid wipe. could this mean western capital interest are getting prepared for deeper war?
This week's earnings winners & losersThis week's earnings winners & losers 10/17 - 10/21
up
10/17 LMT
10/18 NFLX
10/19 LVS
10/20 FCX
10/21 SLB
down
10/17 MRTN
10/18 HAS
10/19 TSLA
10/20 SNAP
10/21 AXP
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A butterfly top?One of my more optimistic bear forecasts, since one would hope that seeing declines in war related stocks would coincide with there being a decline in the chances of a serious hot war spreading.
Basic butterfly pattern. Parabolic D leg. Supported by news. First rejection in. First retest in. Could be the start of the reversal.
Rectangle/Descending TriangleThere is a Descending Triangle inside the Rectangle pattern.
The bottom trendline of the Rectangle is the also the support line of the Descending Triangle.
Both are neutral patterns until a trendline is broken with a confirmed trend in that direction.
One way to calculate targets for a triangle is to measure the width at the wide end then project it up or down at the level of the break.
Some would measure targets for a Rectangle by measuring the width and projecting it up or down from the broken trendline. I would use fib levels using this measurement but there are other ways to calculate targets. Since the width of the Rectangle is the same width as the wide end of the Descending Triangle, targets would be virtually the same for each pattern.
I hear defense is one the latest "defensive" buy from analysts. Analysts are often lagging indicators.
When LMT nears a level of resistance in this structure, candles of indecision appear.
Price is at a relatively important level of support today if it holds.
There is also a bearish Shark or a bearish Cypher in the Rectangle. It is kind of like in the middle but either way, it is a crooked W with valley 2 lower than valley 1. The 2nd leg retracement does not rule the Cypher out. I will leave it at that as it appears the 4th leg of the W has terminated.
Price is above the .382 of the trend up from the Covid low, which I have deemed a danger zone for any interest in going long and has actually become a good spot to begin looking at shorting a security. Catching stocks above the .236 in the current market is even better. (To be honest, I have not had any interest in going long lately no matter which fib level price is above or below)
No recommendation. Be safe up there. I have my white line drawn and ready to move using the magnet when the time comes. I will revisit this.
“Nothing is more frightening than a fear you cannot name.”
― Cornelia Funke, Inkheart
LMT: Firing all the way up?Lockheed Martin Corporation
Shortterm - We look to Buy at 423.15 (stop at 403.98)
Price action looks to be forming a bullish flag/pennant. This is positive for sentiment and the uptrend has potential to return. There is scope for mild selling at the open but losses should be limited. Further upside is expected although we prefer to buy into dips close to the 423.00 level. The bias is to break to the upside.
Our profit targets will be 479.96 and 500.00
Resistance: 445.00 / 480.00 / 550.00
Support: 408.00 / 370..00 / 260.00
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LMTLockheed Martin (LMT) rebounded from its recent low of $412.26 to close at $421.53 for the week. However, it’s EMA10-EMA20 and MACD deadly crossovers suggest bearish sentiments persist. Hence a daily close below $412.26 could provide short opportunities towards the $394.66 support. However, a daily close above $426 level could invite buying pressure with a potential retest of $445.49 resistance.
Lockhead Martin LMT is risingLMT is a prominent defense contractor with peer RTX. It is currently showing
It's stuff in Ukraine which may be the beginning of WWIII. The USA's stocks of
its products are depleted. This is a growth stock; no signs of recession for
LMT; it is backlogged USA needs to stockpile after that allies will be
be begging for any surplus as it develops ( think Taiwan and South Korea)
for LMT it is all about fixing supply chains optimizing production and
demanding more than a fair dollar entrenched the monopoly of sorts
with no chance, DOJ will litigate that issue especially given its current
task list
Rising price action MA and RSI divergence are a reflection of
macroeconomic catalysts. Bollinger upper band walk is helpful in confirming
the trend. Recent relative volume spikes may be suggestive of
institutional interest. Positive ADX is supportive. Mass Index
is moderate and stable which discounts any upcoming trend
reversal.
The stock is expensive for retail traders but percentage return is
what it is all about. Contracts can be had for expiration in the fall.
Lockheed Martin: Long Term view and OpportunitiesHi folks,
This is a long term investment idea on a fast growing company, focused on few key sectors which are in constant development, as Aeronautics, Missile and Fire Control, Rotary and Mission Systems, and Space Innovation.
Overall View :
Headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland, Lockheed Martin is a global security and aerospace company that employs approximately 114,000 people worldwide and is principally engaged in the research, design, development, manufacture, integration and sustainment of advanced technology systems, products and services.
My idea of investing on a long term view is given by actual facts: world instability, space innovation rush, strong company with strong reputation and worldwide leadership of his sector.
Please share your ideas and comments below, and thanks for reading :)