MSFT close negative for 5 weeksMSFT close negative for 5 weeks
This chart shows the weekly candle chart of Microsoft stock for the past year. The graph overlays the bottom to top golden section of October 2022. As shown in the figure, the highest point of Microsoft's stock just hit the 3.000 level of the golden section at the bottom, while the recent low point hit the 2.000 level! Due to Microsoft's stock closing negative for 5 consecutive weeks since its recent peak, it has only rebounded in the past two weeks, not reversed! In the future, Microsoft's stock market is likely to continue to weaken. Let's explore the strong support below, with the bottom of the chart facing the 1.618 gold split!
MSF trade ideas
Possible but not very likely ......scenario for MSFTA follower asked me if ??? could be the next place for MSFT. That intrigues me to relook at the chart and my conclusions is as follows -
1. That fall, if it happens will be similar to 15 Nov 21 where it falls almost 40% from its peak to end the bottom on 7 Nov 22.
2. I draw 2 support level to show where it is likely to fall back on and ONLY when support level 2 is breached, will I consider the likelihood of it going to ??? level
3. The bullish trend is still strong and intact. For the price level to come down to ???, it has to first breach the 260 price level (after support level 2).
Fundamentally, the company is growing from strength to strength and its financial figures remain strong.
Therefore, I will not be overly pessimistic and draw premature conclusions about where the price level will falls to. There are so many options and tools that one can use to anticipate the moves of the stock charts and only on hindsight can one say he is right or wrong. That is why trading is a higher risk game that short term traders are betting against the price level.
From a longer time frame, I will be happy to accumulate more shares if it falls to support level 1 as I believe it will continue to rally higher. However, this pullback may take a while for it to go sideway before the move up, imo. So, I will watch the chart over the next few months and not in a hurry to get in.
I hope my two cents of analysis offers a different perspective to some of you and show you the importance of investing for the long term instead of day to day performance where the ups and downs , the bearish pin bar or engulfing candles become your target.
MSFT Daily MSFT: 6.49% of SPX
below Ichy cloud on daily (not shown)
below sharply declining 50 day EMA
Declining accum/distr trend (under distribution)
declining RSI(9) on daily.
attempted a bottom above the 50% fib on daily
currently at the top edge of a pennant flag channel, after a failed breakout attempt from the channel.
a key question to ask: is this pennant flag a bull flag or the beginnings of a trend reversal?
My take: although the 12 week RSI is positive at 54, there is a lot of overhead at the 335 area. I personally would not touch this long until the flag breakout occurs and the momentum and accumulation metrics change for the positive.
[S-005] MicrosoftTrading idea number S-005 | Microsoft stock could fall toward support in the 300 USD area.
The setup is negative: The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. MACD is negative and below its signal line. In addition, the stock is trading below the 20-day and 50-day moving averages within a short downtrend, where just during yesterday's session it tested the resistance line.
On a weekly basis we can observe prices below the 20-period moving average (within the bollinger bands). The RSI and MACD show a reversal of the trend after an overbought phase.
📉 Short Entry at 321.88 USD
💰 Take Profit at 300 USD
💸 Stop Loss at 330.50 USD
MSFT Microsoft found support and bouncedMSFT Microsoft stock found support around $312, trading over 10sma and touching the 50sma, and RSI almost at the trigger level.
A little disappointed that volume did not pickup today (just slightly below it's 20 day average).
Stock is up 5% in aftermarket trading due to NVDA forecast.
MSFT AnalysisPrice filled the fair value gap at 318.25 nicely and grabbed the lows at 312.61, giving us a nice bullish retracement. No break of structure to the upside yet. I want to see a solid break above 325.09 and a confirmation on the lower timeframe in order to go long. If not, I'm expecting price to continue lower to fill the fair value gap at 292.73.
$MSFT -Looking for Trades after TP- We had a good trade with OTC:MSTF last week, resulting to a 32% ROI.
For now, awaiting more confirmations to occurr in price action.
Regarding last weekly close bounce,
it appears to me it was more of Techncnical bounce nearing the *D-*W Support-Trendline.
Zooming in to Smaller time-frames,
price remains in a downtrend until price breaks-out from
descending channel pattern and key levels.
In case Support-Trendline fails to hold the price above it,
292.11$ would be the next downside target.
_______ BingX _________
All in one place;
- Stocks
- Commodities
- Forex
- Indicies
- Indexes
- Cryptocurrencies
User-friendly for advanced and beginner traders.
Join today for plenty rewards to be won, especially for first timers
bingx.com
TRADE SAFE
*** Note that this is not Financial Advice !
Please do your own research and consult your own Financial Advisor
before partaking on any Trading Activity based Solely on this Idea.
Watching support level 3 & 4 closely for MSFTThus far, the first 2 support levels has been breached. Next week, we will know if there is buying power to sustain support level 3. If not, we will see the price action revisit support level 4 and if that breaks as well, then it is more conceivable to say that the gap will be filled up.
What causes all this tech shares downfall ?
Some blame it on the seasonality effect (Aug & Sep are bearish months) , others said it is due to China weak economy and stock market that causes the rippling effect.
To me, the reasons are less important compared to utilising the opportunity to accumulate this great company. Of course, it is hard and tough to time the market but the tech sectors have rallied quite a bit since last Oct so a pull back is inevitable.
Coincidentally, the drop from the peak to support level 4 is also around 20% mark which registers a bearish trend for MSFT.
Let's wait and see
MSFT, 10d+/-4.64%falling cycle -4.64% more than 10 days.
==================================================================================
This data is analyzed by robots. Analyze historical trends based on The Adam Theory of Markets (20 moving averages/60 moving averages/120 moving averages/240 moving averages) and estimate the trend in the next 10 days. The white line is the robot's expected price, and the upper and lower horizontal line stop loss and stop profit prices have no financial basis. The results are for reference only.
Microsoft -> A Long Term Double Top?Hello Traders and Investors ,
my name is Philip and today I will provide a free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis of Microsoft💪
On the monthly timeframe you can see that Microsoft stock once again retested the previous all time high at the $340 level and once again rejected it towards the downside.
You can also see that after the recent retracement on Microsoft, MSFT stock is approaching previous structure at the $320 level from which we could see a short term bullish bounce.
And last but not least I am just waiting for the daily timeframe to shift back to a bullish market before I then do expect a short term rejection away from the daily and weekly support area.
Keep in mind: Don't get caught up in short term moves and always look at the long term picture; building wealth is a marathon and not a quick sprint📈
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
My previous analysis of this asset:
Falling Wedge in Microsoft Technology stocks have retreated this month as the AI frenzy cools. Microsoft, in particular, has pulled back.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the narrowing range since the slide began in late July. MSFT has made lower highs, but lower lows at a shallower pace. That could have produced a descending triangle, which is potentially bullish.
Second, consider the rally between April 25, when results beat estimates, and July 18, when the company announced pricing for its AI services. The current pullback represents about a 50 percent retracement of that move.
Third, the software giant has remained above its 100-day simple moving average (SMA) since January. But now prices are returning to the vicinity of this longer-term trend indicator.
Finally, stochastics have been in oversold territory for more than a week.
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options, futures and cryptocurrencies. See our Overview for more.
Important Information
TradeStation Securities, Inc., TradeStation Crypto, Inc., and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., all operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. TradeStation Crypto, Inc. offers to self-directed investors and traders cryptocurrency brokerage services. It is neither licensed with the SEC or the CFTC nor is it a Member of NFA. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products, and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Please click here for further important information explaining what this means.
This content is for informational and educational purposes only. This is not a recommendation regarding any investment or investment strategy. Any opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not represent the views or opinions of TradeStation or any of its affiliates.
Investing involves risks. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options, futures, or digital assets); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Before trading any asset class, first read the relevant risk disclosure statements on the Important Documents page, found here: www.tradestation.com .
Microsoft future trends will get betterMicrosoft Announces Official Launch of Virtual Machine Azure ND H100 V5 VM Series to Help Organizations Handle Generative AI Tasks More Efficiently
ONE. The most powerful and highly scalable AI VM series to date
ND H100 v5 VM, Azure's most powerful and highly scalable AI VM series to date
This VM supports on-demand configurations of up to 8 to thousands of NVIDIA H100 GPUs interconnected via Quantum-2 nfiniBand network, enabling significantly higher performance of AI models. Compared to the previous generation of ND A100 v4 VMs, this release includes the following innovations.
8 NVIDIA H100 Tensor Core GPUs connected via the next generation NV Switch and NV Link 4.0. In a non-blocking fat tree network, each GPU carries 400GD/s NVDIA Quantum-2 CX7 nfiniBand and 3.2Tb /s performance per VM. The eight ground GPUS in each VM are interconnected via 3.8Tb/s pairs of split bandwidth NV Switch and NV Link 4.0 interconnections with fourth-generation Intel Xeon Scalable processors. PCIE Gen 5 host-to-GPU interconnections are available with 64Gb/s 16-channel 4800 MHZ DDR5 memory per GPU bandwidth.
The new VMs use NVIDIA's NVIDIA Tensor Core H100 GPUs and NVIDIA Quantum-2 nfiniBand networking, Microsoft added, adding that the company is working to add hundreds of thousands of new GPUs to its VMs over the next year
#MSFT Straddle/trade plan Less expensive than previous but still is considerable. Exp date is 15-Sep-23.
We placed both for clarity.
Based on our team's research of the options market, we expect buy activity at the support level or sell activity at the resistance.
We primarily consider levels to be activity zones, but not to be a super-fine level for establishing a limit order. Use them in combination with our own strategy, not in alone.
We do the best research as we can to find new opportunities in the massive amount of information every day to help you make data-driven trading decision.
Please feel free to leave any comments you have and like this idea if you agree with us. Any feedback or comments will be read. We appreciate it all!