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NIO INC

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$NIO Triple dives, a repeat of 2020-2021. Bears in hibernation.During the first dive, volume is at its lowest. It dips slightly during the formation of the second dive in the middle, then gradually rises as the final shake-off takes shape, eventually reaching a high point. Observe what's happening, a divergence between price and the On Balance Volume. 2020 // While the stock formed lower lows, the OBV stayed near the same level. During the first dive (part of a triple dive pattern), NIO’s On-Balance Volume kept declining until the second dive formed, after which it began to rise. 2025 // The OBV forms higher highs with each dive. While the price is making lower lows against a descending resistance line, the OBV is trending higher. Why is the price dropping when the OBV has reached the same level? I’m sensing a reversal is on the horizon. The OBV is acting up. What do you think? I'm very bullish.
NYSE:NIOLong
by CapitalintheCity
22
NIO Price movements seem Bullish ... Trap ?Summary of NIO's current technical picture. Short-Term Bullish Breakout: On the 4-hour chart, NIO price broke above a trendline, suggesting potential upward momentum. However, the retest of the trendline is a crucial moment. If the price holds above the trendline, it confirms the breakout and could lead to further gains. Strong Support Level: The price is currently at a significant support level, which also coincides with the 80-period Simple Moving Average (SMA). This confluence of support factors increases the likelihood of a price bounce. Long-Term Uptrend: The 5-day chart shows that NIO is trading above a long-term support trendline with an upward slope. This indicates a prevailing uptrend over a longer timeframe. The recent bounce off this trendline further strengthens this bullish scenario. Overall Interpretation: The combination of these factors suggests a potentially bullish outlook for NIO. The short-term breakout, the strong support level, and the long-term uptrend all point towards possible upward price movement. However, the retest of the 4-hour trendline is a critical juncture. Key Points to Watch: Trendline Retest: Closely monitor how the price behaves at the retested trendline. A successful hold above the trendline would be a positive sign. Support Level: The support level and the 80 SMA should act as a strong floor. A break below this level could negate the bullish scenario. Volume: Observe the trading volume during the retest. Increased volume during the bounce would further confirm the strength of the support level.
NYSE:NIO
by peacefulBoa2302
NIO Inc May Start a New Trend to the Upside. NIOI really like the divergences on the new low on more than one occasion and an encompassing divergence between the first low and the very last one. This is a common set piece in these type of complex corrections, where the Elliott count proves to be problematic. I am confident of a high chance of a profitable long, because almost simultaneously there is a flip on BB%PCT, VZO and Stoch/RSI, plus a MIDAS line course. I used Fibonacci clusters to paint some stationary goals.
NYSE:NIOLong
by Rykin_Capital
4
$NIO Price will see a rally to $30 during the coming China rallyNYSE:NIO is an EV maker in China, that moves close to AMEX:KWEB and other ETFs. We didn't see the stock price move like during this TVC:HSI or NYSE:BABA rally, where the large Chinese equities were bid up this week. Instead, NIO has stayed flat. Looking at the historic structure, and NIO's pattern today, I compare them and form a conclusion that this marks the beginning of the rally. I think that the bottom is in, and that this 'triple dives' pattern represents a large reversal pattern, dating back 1 year. Just come back to this chart 12 months from now, and tell me what you think. Update: Look at the tilt of the support lines and compare them to each other.
NYSE:NIOLong
by CapitalintheCity
12
NIO - Double Bullish DragonReal clean chart here, with nearly identical bear trends coming off the highs, making the 3rd higher low here. Expectation here, so long as 4.09 holds up, would be a test into 4.84 next, with resolution to the range high around 6.00. Theres a target up there around 8.20 for a Cypher pattern but above 6 bucks, id be looking for the measured move of the initial double bottom and potential to reach 12.31, for the external 1.618 extension. Cant say my confidence is in the company, but the chart is telling me someones accumulating this asset, with the intention to distribute higher.
NYSE:NIOLong
by TradingNomadic
1
NIO Stock Ready to Soar: Breakout Above $7.50 on the Horizon!NIO (NYSE: NIO) is poised for a massive surge as it completes an ABC correction, with the C-wave forming an ending diagonal. From the current price of $4.43, we anticipate a strong breakout, pushing the stock past the $7.50 resistance and igniting further bullish momentum. ⚡ Key Levels to Watch: 🔹 Bullish Target: $7.50+ 🔹 Invalidation Level: Any drop below $4.02 If NIO holds above $4.02, this rally could be the beginning of something BIG!
NYSE:NIO
by VitalDirection
I may not open a Short Trade in my life!This would be shocking news for most of my followers since we made decent money doing that in 2021-2022, but let me explain the mathematics behind it. Before diving into the mathematics, let me tell you I will buy a Naked Put if there is a high conviction for an asset's future lower price. Let me explain the risk-reward profiles for long and short positions: Long Position: When you buy an asset (go long), you purchase it hoping its value will increase Maximum loss: Limited to your initial investment (if asset goes to $0) For example, if you buy a stock at $100, your maximum loss is $100 per share Maximum gain: Theoretically unlimited, as the asset's price can keep rising If the stock goes to $200, $300, $1000+, your profit keeps growing Short Position: When you short an asset, you borrow and sell it, hoping to repurchase it cheaper later Maximum gain: Limited to your initial sale price (if the asset goes to $0) For example, if you short a stock at $100, your maximum gain is $100 per share Maximum loss: Theoretically unlimited, as the asset's price can keep rising If the stock rises to $200, you lose $100; at $300, you lose $200, and so on The asymmetric risk-reward comes from math: Long positions: Asset can't go below $0, but has no upper limit Short positions: Can only profit until $0, but losses grow with each price increase Shorting comes with several additional costs that make it more expensive than going long: Borrowing Costs (Short Interest) You must pay interest to borrow the shares you're shorting Rates can range from very low (0.25%) to very high (50%+) annually for hard-to-borrow stocks This cost reduces your profits or increases losses over time Margin Requirements Need to maintain a margin account with collateral Higher margin requirements for short positions (typically 150% of position value) Risk of margin calls if the position moves against you Dividend Payments Short sellers must pay any dividends to the lender of the shares This is an additional cost that long position holders don't face Can significantly impact profitability for high-dividend stocks Stock Recall Risk The lender can recall their shares at any time This may force you to close your position at unfavorable prices It is particularly risky during short squeezes These costs mean that even if your directional view is correct, you might still lose money on a short position due to holding costs. Asymmetrical Moves "Markets take the stairs up but the elevator down" The opposite happens more often! During bubble collapses and market crashes: Downside moves can be gradual as denial, hope, and orderly selling create a stepped decline Some investors average down, providing temporary support Circuit breakers and trading halts can slow dramatic falls During upside rallies, especially short squeezes: Price can explode upward very rapidly as shorts rush to cover Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) creates buying panic Margin calls force immediate buying Limited available shares can cause bidding wars Historical Examples: GameStop (GME) in 2021: Rose from ~$20 to $483 in just a few weeks Volkswagen in 2008: Briefly became the world's most valuable company during a squeeze Tesla's multiple rallies in 2020: Several sharp upward moves that hurt short sellers This faster upward movement makes short positions particularly dangerous because: Less time to react to adverse moves Higher likelihood of getting caught in a short squeeze Margin calls can come suddenly with little time to add funds. A most recent example: is RGTI my best Idea on the platform got 16x in less than 100 days!
NYSE:NIOEducation
by Moshkelgosha
7
$NIO yieahhhAnother Chinese company. They are all beat down can they get beat down further? - yes can it sink down? - yes am I scared? - yieaahh will I still go in? - yieahhh 1. Awesome R/R 2. Came down on a clear A-B-C 3. Monthly MACD trending green 4. Monthly RSI on a triangle, as soon as this breaks we will see a direction and will be fast, should be soon as we approach apex. 5. Monthly RSI, I like it right now touching the SMA and hopeful that it will use it as a trampolin 6. Weekly RSI not on this idea, seems to have broken up and is now coming down to retest the broken trendline, which I like 7. Hopeful to see a catalyst to send us to $9 quick which ison the next volume shelf, 23% retracement fib from previous high to low, close to the SMA. A lot of confluence here. Be safe out there, this name is vol-a-tile-yieahhh
NYSE:NIOLong
by rubfigue
2
#NIO - USA - so exciting opportunity ,#NIO time frame 1 DAY Created bullish Gartley pattern , in addition there is anther bullish Gartley pattern will be done if prices reached to stop loss of the first pattern ( so exciting ) . First bullish Gartley pattern as follow : Entry level 4.14 to 3.90 , Stop loss 3.65 ( estimated loss -12.36% ), First target at 5.25 ( estimated profit around 26.40% ), Second target 6.17 ( estimated profit around 48% ), Third target 6.84 ( estimated profit around 64% ), Second bullish Gartley pattern is assumption ,it's not done yet . pattern in yellow So if prices reached to 3.65 ( stop loss of first Gartley pattern ) the numbers will be as follow : Entry level 3.65 , Stop loss 3.20 ( estimated loss -12% ), First target at 4.31 ( estimated profit around 19% ), Second target 4.71 ( estimated profit around 29.85% ), Third target 5.00 ( estimated profit around 37% ), IN ADDETION , if prices didn't close under 3.65 the fist bullish Gartley pattern still Active !! There is positive diversion on MACD , that may support our idea . NOTE : this data according to time frame I DAY. Its not an advice for investing only my vision according to the data on chart Please consult your account manager before investing. Thanks and good luck.
NYSE:NIOLong
by tfcgeorge
NIO Long Undervalued by 58% (Fundamentals + Technicals)Tgt; 16.63 Partial Take profit; 10.92 Intrinsic Value Wall street target: 6.774 Target Price (Tgt): $16.63 Partial Take Profit: $10.92 Intrinsic Value: $6.774 (Wall Street target) Global Trend Governments are prioritizing green energy initiatives, and NIO, as an electric car manufacturer, is a key competitor to Tesla. The mentality for 2025 in Europe and America is increasingly shifting toward green energy solutions. News The official launch of the Firefly model is expected in April 2025. Info: In the bustling heart of China's innovation hub, the city of Shanghai, NIO Inc. emerged in 2014 as one of the frontrunners in the electric vehicle revolution. This startup, with an eye on revolutionizing the transportation industry, quickly established itself as a formidable competitor to electric vehicle giants like Tesla. NIO's primary focus is on designing, manufacturing, and selling smart electric vehicles that blend cutting-edge technology with luxury aesthetics, appealing to a growing demographic of environmentally conscious consumers eager for sustainable mobility solutions. At its core, NIO operates through the design and production of electric vehicles (EVs) that emphasize technological integration and user experience. Its vehicles are equipped with advanced features such as NIO Pilot—an autonomous driving system, and NOMI—an artificial intelligence-powered in-car assistant. Q4 2024 data 72k vehicles delivered. increasing by 45% year over year Vehicle margin in the third quarter of 20024 was 13,1% compared with 11% in the third quarter of 2023 and 12,2% in the second quarter of 2024 Revenue: 24% 3year CAGR Solvency score: 31 Net income expected to increase Net Margin -33% Technicals The stock is at a Global Point of Control (POC), indicating a strong price area with significant accumulation. The Local POC is at the $4.50 price level. The daily timeframe shows a falling parallel channel, typically bearish, but in this case, it appears bullish. There is strong resistance at higher levels.
NYSE:NIOLong
by Risk_Adj_Return
1
NIO Price Prediction and Analysis on Weekly TimeframeThe weekly chart shows a clear falling wedge, a historically bullish reversal pattern. The price is approaching the apex of this wedge, testing strong resistance and support levels repeatedly. Past interactions with the trendlines resulted in rejections; however, this time, the setup appears different due to a few key factors: Higher High Formation: At ~$7.7, the formation of a higher high signals a change of character in the trend. Strong Demand Zone: The $4.3 level shows persistent buying interest, preventing further downside. Historical Parallels to 2020: In 2020, a similar scenario unfolded: bond yields hit record lows, the price traded below the 50-day moving average (50MA), and the market was in a phase of depression. Once the price broke above the 50MA on the weekly chart, it surged significantly. Current conditions mirror this setup, as the price remains under the 50MA, and CN10Y yields have hit a bottom, signaling a potential reversal. Fundamental Analysis Guidance Beating Expectations: NYSE:NIO is outperforming market expectations with robust Q4 guidance: Minimum revenue projection for Q4 with an average selling price (ASP) of $35k is ~$2.84 billion, beating consensus estimates. Key catalysts include the ET9 and Firefly models, which are gaining traction and showing strong market performance. Investor Sentiment and Activity: Buy-the-Dip Behavior: Investors are increasingly holding and accumulating during dips, as evidenced by the robust support at $4.3. Despite perceived market manipulation, buying activity suggests growing confidence among long-term holders. Macro Factors: Expectations of easing tensions between China and the U.S., potentially accelerated by a change in U.S. leadership in January 2025. Historical parallels suggest a rally when bond yields reverse, with the CN10Y already showing signs of bottoming. Market Psychology Sentiment is divided but leans bullish: Long-term investors demonstrate resilience and confidence, continuing to hold and accumulate. Short-term skepticism persists but may dissipate as technicals align with positive fundamentals. Price Targets Short-Term Target (March 2025): $9 to $10. Mid-to-Long-Term Target (End of 2025): $20, assuming macro conditions improve and technical breakouts materialize. Key Notes: The confluence of a falling wedge breakout, 50MA reclaim, and bond yield reversal signals a potential price surge. Positive developments in earnings, vehicle performance, and geopolitical stability could act as catalysts. This is an environment reminiscent of 2020, suggesting a strong bullish potential Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
NYSE:NIOLong
by MarketPax
2