NVDA 136 looks like a good trade in the coming weeksInverse head and shoulders forming on the 15min. Bullish on NVDA anyway, this looks good to the measured move which would be a nice resistance line at around 136.
NVD trade ideas
Nvidia - This Will Change Everything!Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) is creating a massive breakdown:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
For the past decade, Nvidia has been trading in a rising channel formation, perfectly following major rally and retracement cycles. But now we are starting to see some weakness on Nvidia and a break below the smaller timeframe support trendline will lead to a massive move lower.
Levels to watch: $110, $60
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Nvidia - uptrend broken ?Just a simple chart with a few channels.
In January 2024 Nvidia transitioned from one rising channel into a even steeper rising channel with increased volatility.
Looks like price has been working on a new falling channel since November.
These large swings we experienced in January marked the upper line of this channel and now price has left the rising channel entirely.
There were a couple of retests of the green channel in the last few days but they have all failed.
So I am currently not considering long positions until the price gets back into the green channel or creates a new rising trend.
NVIDIA at Crossroads: Will $116 Hold as the New Support? Jan. 3Technical Analysis:
* Trend Overview: NVDA has recently broken below the short-term support trendline, aligning with a bearish pattern. The stock is testing a critical support zone around $116, with declining momentum.
* Key Indicators:
* MACD: Bearish crossover with increasing negative divergence indicates selling pressure.
* Stoch RSI: Currently near oversold levels, showing possible consolidation or a short-term bounce.
* Volume: Rising sell volume signals strong bearish conviction as the price approaches key support.
Support and Resistance Levels:
* Immediate Support: $116 (critical level).
* Secondary Support: $110 (aligned with the next significant demand zone).
* Resistance Levels:
* Near-term resistance at $124.
* Further resistance at $128.95 and $149.10 (as noted by the CALL wall).
Options and GEX Analysis:
* Highest Positive GEX Level: $128.95, serving as the next potential gamma resistance.
* PUT Dominance: Significant PUT support around $116 aligns with technical support, offering a strong defensive zone.
* Volatility Metrics:
* IVR: 70.4% (indicating above-average implied volatility).
* Options Flow: 41.4% CALLs dominance suggests a lack of bullish sentiment, though potential for a rebound remains.
Scenarios:
1. Bullish:
* Entry: Above $124 on strong momentum.
* Target: $128.95 or higher if the gamma squeeze accelerates.
* Stop Loss: Below $120.
2. Bearish:
* Entry: On a breakdown below $116 with strong volume.
* Target: $110 or lower.
* Stop Loss: Above $118.
Conclusion:
NVDA is testing a critical support zone. A break below $116 could intensify the bearish momentum, while holding this level might attract short-term buyers aiming for $124+. Options data suggests bearish sentiment dominates, yet watch for unusual activity at support.
Mr.Million | Why I am Bearish on NVDA Near TermNVDA appears to have completed Wave (3) and could drop to ~$100.
A potential ending diagonal forming + DOUBLE bearish divergence. 🚨
NVDA feels heavy. Unlike the past two breakouts that blasted through resistance like a 🚀, the latest breakout at ~$141 feels like it’s stuck in the mud! 😞
So, where would I go long?
🔥~$100 = Very Strong Buy 🚛🚛🚛
Remember: if NVDA falls, so will Nasdaq (and BTC)! I am holding lots of cash! 💰💰
Up,Up and Away for NVidia. NVDAThere is a constellation of indicator crosses that add meaning to go long on this one, at least in the short run. There is a confluent cross of VZO plus offset and Ehler's Stochastic RSI. Also BB %PCT is looking to cross soon. Adding to the above, both the vWAP and US are supporting upward momentum on price, exiting OBOS area on momentum indicator, but most importantly there is a cross off the green MIDAS line. In our experience any cross of a volume/volatility line is highly, highly significant, presumable because volumes are in essence predictive. More broadly, there is a completed deep butterfly harmonic and now what appear as A wave to be also completed.
NVDA Update: Potential Trend ReversalFor NVDA holders; NVDA has been in a strong downtrend, forming a series of lower highs and lower lows.
The price recently tested a key demand zone (114.49 - 117.07), showing signs of a possible reversal.
Breaking the supply zone (120.02 - 124.79) would be a bullish confirmation.
A breakout above 127.87 ( last swing High) would further confirm that the downtrend is over and a new impulsive move is beginning.
The price is challenging the downtrend line at the moment, and a strong breakout could trigger a strong rally.
✅ Bullish Signs to watch:
Break above 120 = Confirmation of strength
Break above 124.79 = Bullish breakout
Break above 127.87 = Strong confirmation for trend reversal
🚨 Bearish Signs:
Rejection at 120 or 124.79 could lead to further downside.
A drop below 114 would invalidate the bullish thesis.
"Amateurs focus on how much money they can make. Professionals focus on how much they can lose." – Jack Schwager
🚨 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk accordingly. 🚨
$NVDA: Broadening Formation & Earnings Play – $180 Calls for MayHey what's up everyone. Here's an analysis on NASDAQ:NVDA 👇🏽
💹 Trade Analysis & Setup
NVIDIA ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) is currently trading at $116.66, showing high volatility inside a Broadening Formation (BF) on both the daily and monthly timeframes.
This setup is a textbook liquidity expansion pattern, where price is making higher highs and lower lows within a widening megaphone structure.
The key catalyst in play is NVDA earnings on Feb 21, 2025, which could drive significant price action and IV expansion.
🔼 Bullish Case (Targets: $129 - $141.88 - $150+)
Earnings Catalyst (Feb 21): AI demand remains strong, with NVDA leading the semiconductor market.
Breakout Zone at $123-$125: NVDA must reclaim this zone to shift into an uptrend.
$129 (Prior Weekly High): A breakout here could bring momentum buyers & institutions into play.
Gap Fill to $141.88: Major upside potential exists if NVDA can sustain bullish momentum post-earnings.
🔻 Bearish Risks (Key Support & Breakdown Levels)
Daily Lower BF Break (~$113-$115): If this level fails, downside could accelerate toward $110-$105.
Monthly Broadening Formation Lower Level (~$100-$95): Extreme downside risk in the worst-case scenario.
Earnings Disappointment: If NVDA’s report fails to meet expectations, a strong move down is possible.
Theta Decay Impact: My contract loses value daily (~$3.53 per day), so a slow move up is not favorable.
IV Crush Post-Earnings: If NVDA doesn’t move much after earnings, option value could rapidly drop.
🚀 My Trade Plan
Bullish Breakout Plan: Hold if NVDA reclaims $123-$129, targeting $141-$150+ before March-April.
Earnings Play Strategy: Hold through earnings ONLY IF NVDA builds strength into Feb 21.
Exit if $113 breaks below with strong volume to prevent further downside losses.
NVDA’s Daily & Monthly Broadening Formations confirm high volatility & liquidity expansion. The next major move is likely earnings-driven.
If NVDA clears $129, I will hold my calls. If support at $113 fails, I may exit early.
💡 Trade Details:
Position: NVDA $180c 16 MAY 25
Entry Price: $2.60
Current Price: $1.72
P/L Open: (-$85.66) / (-33.8%)
Delta: 11.36 (~0.11)
Theta: (-3.53)
Key Catalyst: Earnings on Feb 21, 2025
Is #nvidia coming back on trackeOffcourse the deepseek news are not enough to floor #nvidia.
We all knew it has to go up finally.
Technically, It has to break the suppoer around 128-130 area and then we will have a clear bullish sentiment.
Still having bearish sentiment as long as it trades below this level.
$NVDA - Breakout?So these two lines I drew making a triangle with that last candle closing above it, tells me that price is going to breakout. It doesn’t have to of course. I’m day trading this so $127ish is my target to get out. One thing I’m learning as a trader is to take profits quicker. A wise man once said, “ no one ever lost money by taking profits.” Or something like that..
NVDA GEX Analysis and Option Trading SuggestionsKey Observations
1. Put Support:
* A significant put support level is observed at $115, with a high negative gamma exposure of -73.82%. This level is likely to act as strong support due to market makers hedging their positions.
2. Call Resistance:
* Call walls are visible at $125 and $140, with the second call wall at $140 being the strongest resistance due to the higher gamma concentration (65.46%). These levels may serve as barriers for upward movement.
3. Gamma Flip Zone:
* The $120 level appears to be a key pivot point, where the gamma transitions from negative to positive. If NVDA can hold above $120, it may gain momentum toward $125.
4. IVR (Implied Volatility Rank):
* IVR at 69.2 indicates relatively high implied volatility compared to historical levels, suggesting elevated options premiums.
* This high IVR can be leveraged for credit strategies.
5. Implied Volatility (IVx):
* IVx at 73.6 indicates substantial movement expectations in the near term.
Option Trading Suggestions
1. Bullish Scenario:
* If NVDA breaks and holds above $120:
* Trade Idea: Buy a Call Debit Spread.
* Strike 1: $120 (Buy Call)
* Strike 2: $125 (Sell Call)
* Expiry: 1-2 weeks out.
* Reasoning: The goal is to target the next resistance level at $125 while mitigating high IV costs.
2. Bearish Scenario:
* If NVDA fails to hold $115:
* Trade Idea: Buy a Put Debit Spread.
* Strike 1: $115 (Buy Put)
* Strike 2: $110 (Sell Put)
* Expiry: 1-2 weeks out.
* Reasoning: Targets the next support at $110, aligning with put gamma walls.
3. Neutral Strategy:
* For range-bound movement between $115 and $125:
* Trade Idea: Sell an Iron Condor.
* Sell Put: $115
* Buy Put: $110
* Sell Call: $125
* Buy Call: $130
* Reasoning: Capitalizes on elevated IV while limiting risk.
Thoughts and Insights
* Momentum Assessment: NVDA's ability to hold $120 is critical for a bullish continuation. If it fails, the focus shifts to $115 as the next support.
* Volatility Expectation: Elevated IV suggests potential for sharp moves; however, premium collection strategies can be lucrative.
* Key Levels to Monitor:
* Support: $115, $110
* Resistance: $120, $125, $140
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own due diligence and risk management before trading.
NVDA correctionNVDA appears to be rejecter at minor resistance zone. Can go down or sideways within some corridor.
Nvidia's Price Approaches the $110 MarkThe stock has dropped more than 11% over the past five trading sessions due to newly imposed tariffs on Taiwanese semiconductors (which could increase Nvidia's costs) and growing concerns over DeepSeek's advanced AI model, which has intensified competition in the sector. Additionally, rising global trade tensions have led investors to lose confidence in Nvidia's future market outlook. As one of the most influential technology companies worldwide, a potential slowdown in global economic growth could negatively impact Nvidia's sales and revenue projections.
Accelerated Downtrend
Nvidia has already undergone a significant decline from the $150 price zone and is now approaching the key support level at $114 per share. So far, the sharp bearish moves have largely been accompanied by price gaps, and no clear trend-defining structure has emerged to establish a decisive bearish bias. This suggests that, in the long run, investors should watch for potential bullish corrections, given the speed of the recent sell-off.
RSI Indicator
The RSI line has consistently declined and is now approaching the oversold zone near the 30 level. This signals a strong imbalance between buying and selling pressure, which could increase the likelihood of short-term upward corrections in the stock price.
Key Levels
$130: The most significant resistance level, representing a neutral price zone over the past few months. A return to this level could reinforce a sideways market outlook in the coming weeks.
$114: A critical support level, aligning with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement barrier. Sustained movements below this level could reinforce the bearish perspective and trigger a more extended selling wave.
By Julian Pineda, CFA - Market Analyst
NVDA SHORTYou need firstly understand the setup, then forecast the entry and TP point. Then look for a good R:R and enter the trade. !BUT YOU NEED TO WAIT UNTIL IT HITS TP OR SL!
Be patient.
10 tricks for developing discipline or here was WarrenIf you asked me, what is the most valuable trait an investor should have, I would call it the ability to follow your own rules. In other words, it is discipline. A novice investor can learn quickly, know all the features of the chosen strategy from A to Z, but it is unlikely that he will succeed without this trait. So, Warren Buffett called persistence your engine, and discipline the guarantee of a successful future.
Imagine that you have sailed to an unusually beautiful island with the goal of finding a treasure chest. To achieve this, you have a map with a description of all the paths and turns that you need to take to reach your goal. However, after the first 100 meters of the path you understand that this island has a huge number of amazing plants, ripe fruits, and curious animals. All this is very interesting and attractive for you: firstly, you want to take a photo of a beautiful flower, secondly, try a tropical fruit, thirdly, play with a funny monkey. “Why not? This is a great chance!” you think. After a while, having enjoyed the life of the island, you realize that it is already evening, and it is easier to spend the night somewhere under a palm tree and continue the search for treasure tomorrow, during daylight hours. “That’s a smart idea!” you note and begin to prepare a place to sleep.
In the morning, you wake up in a good mood, you are greeted by familiar flowers, fruits and a cheerful parrot. Since you already know all this, you decide to continue following the map to find the treasure today and sail on. The path is easy for you: the entire route is marked in advance, you just follow these instructions. So, here you are. At the roots of the largest palm tree, under many branches, there should be a treasure chest hidden. You clear away the branches, and here your expectation collides with a shocking reality. Instead of a chest, you see a hole, where at the bottom, with a wooden stick, is written: “Warren was here”.
In this example, Warren had the same map as you. Moreover, he arrived on the island much later. The only difference is his model of achieving the goal. He understood that exploring the island was not a priority for him right now. Warren would be happy to return there, but this time with the goal of relaxing, perhaps on his brand-new ship. And while he came to the island to look for treasure, he is looking for it. Everything else, despite all its attractiveness, is for him a risk of not achieving the goal.
I also think of my stock investing strategy as a map that helps me understand where I should turn in any given situation. The only thing that makes me follow the route is discipline. Unfortunately, I can't put the stock market on pause or ignore corporate news - they all require my attention. If I choose this path, I follow it. In other words, if I am not going to follow the recommendations of my map, then why did I choose this path?
However, how difficult it is to look calmly at temptations. A man is not a robot. So we need some tricks that can help us with discipline. I think that in this regard, the most brilliant invention of mankind was and remains the alarm clock. No matter how much we sleep, when the alarm rings, we wake up. The most disciplined people even set several alarms to make sure they wake up! On the one hand, it irritates us like crazy, on the other hand, have you ever thought about how well it helps us relax? After all, there is no longer a need to wake up and determine the time by the brightness of the sun from the window - now we have an alarm clock! It turns out that discipline can be associated with pleasant things.
By the way, on TradingView, such a brilliant invention is “Alerts”. I wrote about this function in the article: “A pill for missed opportunities” . I will only add that the alert system can be applied not only to the stock price, but also to the indicators that you use on the chart, as well as to a whole watch list. So, make a list of companies you want to keep an eye on. Then set alerts when a certain condition related to price or indicator value is reached. And finally, wait calmly. Yes, this is what will take up all your time - waiting. And believe me, it takes a lot of discipline to just wait.
To develop this trait, I recommend creating habits that are organically linked to your strategy. For example, to decide about a deal, I constantly refer to news about the selected companies. It is significant for me to understand whether critical events have arisen that could influence my decision to open or close a position. However, regularly reading corporate news can hardly be called a fascinating activity for everyone. This is not looking at memes at all. Therefore, below I will give a few tricks that will help make this (and not only this) activity systemic:
1. Set your alarm for 1 hour before the stock market opens. Let this signal remind you that it is time to study the news on companies that have already been bought or are very close to being bought.
2. Make access to news as convenient as possible. Install the TradingView app on your phone, tablet, home computer or laptop. Don't have problems accessing information in any situation: if you are lying on the couch, sitting at the table or walking in the park.
3. Start with small steps. For example, start by reading only the headlines of news stories, rather than the entire story at once. Gradually increase the amount of incoming information. In one full hour, you can easily gather all the information you need to get a complete picture before the market opens.
4. Use modern technologies. For example, reading news from your voice assistant. This is convenient if you are on the move.
5. Combine your habit with another direction you are developing. For example, if you are learning a foreign language, practice reading the news in that language.
6. Organize public attention to your habit. For example, agree with your wife that for every time you skip a habit, you take her to a new restaurant (I think the most effective method for married men). Chat with like-minded people and/or post your thoughts on the news on social networks. The extra attention will motivate you to keep doing it.
7. Add a little joy to your news reading habit. If you like freshly squeezed juice, place a glass of it next to you. After the work you've done, be sure to thank yourself. For example, a delicious dessert or watching one episode of your favorite TV series.
8. Formulate your goal as follows: not to be someone who understands everything, but to be someone who never misses a single event.
9. Separately, I would like to draw attention to keeping a diary of your operations. This is an essential document that will help you track your progress - your Track Record. At the same time, it is one of the systemic habits. I recommend adding to Track Record information about cash transactions, trades, taxes, dividends, conditions that prompted you to open or close a position in shares. You can organize such a diary in any spreadsheet to calculate some of the metrics using formulas.
Below, I will present the metrics that I use in my Track Record. All data in it will be provided as an example only.
10. And finally, I think it is significant to visualize your achievements not only in electronic form, but also to have a physical embodiment of your results. For example, these can be empty glass flasks where you can put coins or balls corresponding to certain actions: opening a position, closing a position with a profit, closing a position with a loss, paying dividends. One flask - one year. Such an installation will look beautiful in your room or office and will remind you of what you have finally achieved. You might even have some interesting stories to tell to curious guests who notice this piece of furniture.
NVDA continuation along Phi-ChannelSo I have drawn a phi-channel off the weekly chart from the overall uptrend NVDA has been in, and the most recent sell-off stopped at the 0% coefficient as every other recent low has.
This gap down also left a significant unfinished auction which price will retrace to at some point or another.
I use volatility rank and percentile to try and determine possible direction from this point, and we have the IV percentile in the 90s, the IV rank peaking at 80, currently at 50 and falling, price usually rises as IV falls.
The WIlliams VixFix line also hasn't been this high since the last major higher low.
I'd be bullish on NVDA and look to sell puts around 120, and buy call diagonals for more upside. Or just keep it simple and buy calls if you have enough capital.
NVDA - Waiting for a pullback to add to my short exposureThe first NVDA analysis went pretty well.
Let's see what we can do from here.
Over the weekend the world was going crazy once more. This knocked the markets down and they opened in the red, and so does NVDA.
I would like to see a pullback to the 1/4 line. Because this would give me the chance to load the short even more.
Target is the Center-Line.
(Former analysis linked)
NVDA I am thinking this scenario over the next few months, I am thinking of DCA'ing into some long term shares. some NVDL 2X leveraged for Swing trades, and some LEAP options.
I personally am not fond of short term options on this name. IV is often high and the moves are large.
I would likely take less risk with spreads or sell premium.
I'm not a professional, just like to participate and this is accountability for me...
NVIDIA's Record Drop: Live with TradeStation (TradingView Show)Join us once again LIVE with David Russell, Head of Market Strategy at TradeStation, as we dive into the stock market sell-off and what it means for your portfolio heading into February 2025. With heightened volatility, NVIDIA taking a hit, and AI-driven tools like DeepSeek offering new market analysis, it’s key to understand how to navigate the current turbulence. As January winds down, we’ll discuss strategies to stay ahead, leverage relative strength, and position for long-term success despite the ongoing downturn.
Here’s a sneak peek of what we’ll cover:
1. NVIDIA’s recent drop is tied to DeepSeek’s shift in AI pricing, raising concerns about future profitability. Investors are still assessing how this will affect NVIDIA’s growth trajectory.
2. While attention is on volatility, some stocks have quietly hit all-time highs, revealing hidden strength in overlooked sectors. These gains suggest opportunities many may be missing.
3. Emerging strength is especially evident in sectors like communications and certain industrials, with companies showing resilience and strong earnings. These sectors could offer solid value plays for those willing to look beyond the obvious.
4. Traders heading into 2025 should focus on managing risk and staying nimble, especially with potential rate hikes and geopolitical risks on the horizon. Flexibility and discipline will be essential.
5. As the Fed meeting and GDP report approach, the market is primed for volatility. These key releases could signal shifts in monetary policy or economic conditions, making it vital to stay informed and adjust your positions accordingly.
Don’t miss this session for actionable insights on how to navigate this market turbulence and set yourself up for success in 2025.
This show is sponsored by TradeStation. TradeStation pursues a singular vision to offer the ultimate online trading platform and services for self-directed traders and investors across the equities, equity index options, futures, and futures options markets. Equities, equities options, and commodity futures products and services are offered by TradeStation Securities Inc., member NYSE, FINRA, CME, and SIPC.
See below:
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My BY Entries for NVIDIAHere are my 2 buy entries for NVIDIA.
Please study my chart and see my reasons.
Entry 1: buy at the current price of $123.5.
Entry 2: wait to retrace back to $120
SL for the two entries: $114.8
TP1 and TP2 : $150
Trade with care
