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NVD trade ideas

NVIDIA - Arguments For BearsAs in my last post "Arguments For Bulls" I do my Analysis for NVDA with eyes of a Bear. We see the red down sloping Pendulum Swing Pitchfork. Because the A-Point is LOWER than the C Point, it's a Pullback Fork that would give us the potential downfall target at the Center-Line, before the Pendulum of price would swing to the upside again. - the "Trend Barrier Dow" was breached - price reacted to the tick multiple times at the U-MLH (White Rectangle) (Upper-Medianline-Parallel). This is clear resistance. - Price just filled the GAP from 3 Days ago, so it can continue in the opposite direction (down) again. So, that's it. You have 3 ways to play this: Long, Short, Flat. Earnings of such a Market influential underlying is a pure gamble. I grab some Pop-Corn and watch the show and see, which of the cases is wrong and right. §8-) Happy Profits all
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by Tr8dingN3rd
NVDA in a rising wedge, bearish before earningswww.tradingview.com I have no doubt about NVDA's fundamentals and I'm bullish on the stock on the long-term. However, from a technical analysis perspective, the stock is showing signs of fatigue with a steadily declining 20-day average volume over the past several months. A clear divergence between volume and price suggests a potential reversal after the earnings release. Generally, after a 194% YTD performance and a broadening of the market since the US election, investors may take profits, which could lead to a pullback in the stock. On the chart, NVDA is currently within a rising wedge, which could see it either hit the lower boundary and rebound or break down and find support at previous levels. I'm not currently invested, but I'm preparing to potentially short the stock after the earnings release, post-market.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by EmmaInvests
Nvidia Short trading opportunity(overnight to swing trading) 1I expect a drop of about 5-10% all the way down to $130 from $140.50+- Stop Loss $145.00+-, take profit is $130+-. I am risking 50 shares of Nvidia in a short position. The company is at this point very much overvalued, any negative news might trigger a over-reaction even if not truly impactful (or if impactful), and its undervalued (or not so overvalued) peers might look like the safer place to put money in. That and its just a guess.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by ricomister
NVIDIA Earnings Preview: Strategy Notes for Q3 ReportPre-Earnings Strategy: First things first—know the key numbers and the market expectations. But keep in mind, NVIDIA’s revenue recognition can get tricky, so don’t be surprised by unpredictable results. This is why a solid strategy, proper positioning, and downside protection are essential going into the report. 1. Core Numbers & Expectations Where do Buy-Side Expectations Come From? NVIDIA has been beating guidance by around $2 billion each quarter and then raising guidance by another $2 billion (last quarter they raised it by $2.5 billion). For Q3, the guidance given in Q2 was $32.5B. Based on the trend, buy-side expectation bumps that up by another SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B , so the real expectation for Q3 is $34.5B. Looking ahead to Q4, buy-side is expecting GETTEX:39B (Q3 actual $34.5B + $2.5B + another SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B ). To make the buy-side comfortable with this, the Q4 guide needs to come in at least at $38B (realistically, even FWB:37B could suffice). Key Takeaway for a Big Beat: Q3 revenue needs to hit $34.5B, and Q4 guidance should be at $38B, with Blackwell contributing over SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:5B in Q4. 2. What the Analysts Think This is a mega-cap stock, so pretty much every sell-side analyst has a report. But let’s just focus on the key voices from Goldman (Hari), UBS (Arcuri), and Morgan Stanley (Moore), aka the “HAM Trio.” For Q3: Moore: Bearish—expects $32.5B Hari & Arcuri: Neutral-Bullish—expect around $34.3B For Q4 Guidance: Moore: Bearish—expects $35.3B Hari: Bullish—expects $39.2B Arcuri: Bullish—expects $38.9B 3. Q4 Blackwell Revenue Breakdown Management previously mentioned Q4 Blackwell revenue could be “several billion.” If it’s $2-3B, that’s below expectations. $5-6B would be a strong beat. Moore: Expects $5-6B (bullish on Blackwell) Arcuri: Expects only SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:3B (more conservative) 4. Summary of Analyst Divergence There’s a clear split among the top analysts, particularly around the Q4 guidance. This divergence sets up potential volatility. 5. Trading Strategy 1. Pre-Earnings Positioning: If the stock dips ahead of earnings, consider adding to the position. If there’s a rally, trim some to lock in profits. 2. Post-Earnings Reaction: If it tanks, be ready to add more, since Q1 of FY25 is expected to be a breakout quarter. 3. Hedging with Options: Use options to protect existing stock positions—don’t go into earnings unhedged. Implied Move Post-Earnings: The options market is pricing in about a 9% move, which puts the stock between $128-$153 (current price is around $141). Options Strategies Bullish Play (Betting on a Big Rally): Buy calls, but keep it small—treat it as a high-risk, high-reward play. If it goes to zero, it won’t hurt too much. Lower-Cost Bullish Play: Consider a call spread (buy a lower strike call, sell a higher strike call). This caps your upside but reduces the cost. Protecting Existing Long Stock Positions: Use covered calls. If the stock tanks, you get some downside protection from the premium. If it rallies, you still make money up to the strike price, plus the premium collected. The downside is losing the stock if it gets called away above the strike. Want to Buy the Dip After Earnings? Sell puts. If the stock drops, you get assigned shares at a lower price and keep the premium. If it rallies, you pocket the premium.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by xugina78
NVIDA what next..!The chart displays NVIDIA (NVDA) stock on a daily interval with several indicators and clear support and resistance levels. Here is a detailed technical analysis: 1. Support and Resistance Levels: Nearest Resistance Level: $150 (above the closing price). Key Support Levels: $140.75 (immediate support level). $130.62 (secondary support level). $127.21 (critical support level for the medium term). 2. Ascending Channel: The chart shows movement within a clear ascending channel, with the stock nearing the lower boundary of the channel. A drop below the lower support line of the channel (around $140) could indicate a trend reversal. 3. Indicators: Moving Averages: The 50-period moving average (green) is above the closing price, supporting the continuation of the uptrend. The 150-period moving average (dark green) is far below the current price, indicating strong long-term support. CCI (14): The current value is -2.96, indicating a nearly neutral state but slightly leaning bearish. Volume: Higher-than-average volume on the last day suggests significant selling pressure. 4. Candlestick Analysis: The last candlestick is a large red bearish candle, reflecting a strong daily bearish sentiment. The candlestick formation shows bearish pressure but is close to a significant support level. 5. Risk Assessment: The risk level is moderate since the stock is near a clear support level but experiencing strong selling pressure. Position Recommendation: Entry: Around $140.75 (near the immediate support level). Stop-Loss: Below $138 (approximately 2% below the entry point). Profit Target: $147 (around a 5% increase from the entry point). Summary: The stock's trend over the past two weeks is bullish, but the last day indicates a potential correction. It is recommended to monitor the price reaction near the $140.75 level and evaluate the strength of the support. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Please conduct your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by davidezra22
1
NVDA | Unpacking NVIDIA’s Q3 FY25Building the Matrix, One GPU at a Time This week, NVIDIA unveiled its October quarter results, capturing global attention as analysts closely monitored the stock's movements. While Wall Street often emphasizes short-term performance, a broader perspective highlights NVIDIA's remarkable rise. Over two years, its stock value has multiplied tenfold, outpacing tech giants like Alphabet and Amazon in profitability and edging closer to Microsoft and Apple in net income—a meteoric ascent for the history books. The AI Inflection Point NVIDIA's transformation began in November 2022 when OpenAI launched ChatGPT, described by CEO Jensen Huang as AI's "iPhone moment." Fast-forward two years, and NVIDIA's latest Blackwell GPU architecture is scaling up production, meeting surging demand. As Huang explained, "The age of AI is in full steam," driven by foundational model training and inference advancements. Two major trends underpin this shift: -Platform evolution:Transitioning from traditional coding to machine learning. -Emergence of AI factories:New industries powered by generative AI applications. AI native startups are booming, and successful inference services are proliferating. If AI's trajectory mirrors the mobile revolution, this is akin to 2009 a pivotal moment with much more innovation ahead. Q3 FY25 Highlights NVIDIA's fiscal year ends in January, and the recently concluded October quarter (Q3 FY25) demonstrated strong momentum: - Revenue: $35.1 billion (+17% quarter-over-quarter), exceeding expectations by $2 billion. - Segment growth:** - Data Center: +17% QoQ ($30.8 billion). - Gaming: +14% QoQ ($3.3 billion). - Automotive: +30% QoQ ($0.4 billion). - Margins: Gross margin at 75%, operating margin at 62%. - Cash flow: Operating cash flow of $17.6 billion; free cash flow of $16.8 billion. - Q4 FY25 Guidance: Anticipates +7% revenue growth ($37.5 billion). Key Drivers and Insights -Data Center Dominance:Contributing 88% of overall revenue, driven by Hopper GPUs and the anticipated Blackwell production ramp. -Gaming Growth:Propelled by GeForce RTX GPU demand and back-to-school sales. -Automotive Innovation:Growth fueled by AI-powered autonomous driving solutions. -Margins:Slight compression due to Blackwell production ramp, with recovery expected as production scales. Looking ahead, demand for NVIDIA's Hopper and Blackwell GPUs outpaces supply, likely remaining constrained into FY26. However, challenges loom, including intensifying competition from AMD and custom AI chips. The AI Scaling Debate Skeptics argue AI scalability may be approaching its limits, but Huang is optimistic, citing advancements in reinforcement learning and inference-time scaling. He emphasized that AI's growth is driven by empirical laws, suggesting scalability could be extended through methods like post-training and test-time scaling. CEO and CFO Perspectives - Huang likens modern data centers to "AI factories," producing intelligence like power plants generate electricity. - The shift to "physical AI" unlocks applications in industrial and robotics sectors, powered by NVIDIA's Omniverse. - Blackwell GPUs are delivering significant cost reductions and accelerating AI workloads. Investment Outlook Despite valuation concerns, NVIDIA's profitability is tangible. However, the company's reliance on sustained GPU demand and a concentrated customer base presents risks. Meanwhile, competition from AMD is intensifying. Final Thoughts If ChatGPT was AI's "iPhone moment," the transformation is just beginning. Like the app economy in 2009, the AI-first revolution is poised to unlock entirely new markets and reshape industries. NVIDIA's leadership positions it at the forefront of this multi-trillion-dollar opportunity.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by moonypto
SHORT NVIDIA!!🔴 SHORT NVIDIA!! Well yes, you got me... this is such a clickbait title, isn't it? But NASDAQ:NVDA has shown, for the first time in several months, a short opportunity that bears should not ignore. The bull trend that we have since September has been broken and we are not retesting the trend. It's a great moment to sell with: 🔴 50% short with: -> stop loss at just 2% over the blue trendline. -> 3% take profits over the red dotted trendline. This first 50% should give you in a few days a 3% return. 🔴 The other 50% short with: -> stop loss at just 2% over the blue trendline. -> 10% take profits over the red dotted trendline. This combination allows you to risk just a 2% while giving you the chance to lock in a risk-free trade very soon and maintaining the other 50% for a longer term short. 🟢 What if I'm a NVILIVER? If you believe in NASDAQ:NVDA you could buy more stock over the red line, hopping that the support works and new highs are reached, but right now it's better to stay neutral if you are bullish in my opinion.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by TopChartPatterns
NVIDIA’s Next Move: Ready to Rally or Slip Lower?Good morning, trading family! Let’s take a simple look at NVIDIA (NVDA) and where it might be headed from here. We’re at an important crossroads, so here’s what we’re watching: If NVDA Moves Higher: If NVDA can hold its current position, it has room to drive up into the $150 range. This could signal that buyers are stepping in and momentum is building for a rally. If NVDA Moves Lower: A drop could take us to the following key levels: $144: First potential stop for support. $138–$137: A zone where buyers might try to step in. $132: A deeper pullback that could see some consolidation. $129 and $120: These are lower support areas to watch if selling pressure continues. How to Approach This: Mark These Levels: Add them to your chart for reference. Wait for Confirmation: Don’t rush in—see how NVDA reacts at each level. Trade What You See: Let the price action guide you, not your emotions. We’re at a moment where NVDA could make a strong move in either direction. Keep it simple, stay patient, and watch the levels. Let’s make it a great trading day! Mindbloome Trading // Kris
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Mindbloome-Trading
What happened? $Nvidia surged nearly 5%!!!!Reason1: Cooling of Blackwell overheating issues boosts confidence. Concerns about overheating in Nvidia's latest high-end chip, Blackwell, had been widely discussed. However, multiple authoritative analysis firms and Nvidia's CEO Jensen Huang confirmed that these issues have been resolved. Industry analysts noted that such problems have been effectively mitigated, with negligible impact on chip performance and supply cadence. This clear positive signal has instilled confidence in investors regarding Blackwell’s stability and market prospects. Reason2: Technological advancements raise expectations. As Nvidia's most advanced chip to date, the complete resolution of design issues marks its research and production entering a mature phase. Coupled with its powerful computing capabilities and potential applications in AI and data centers, market expectations for the product's profitability have significantly increased, serving as a key driver of Nvidia's stock surge. Reason3: Professional analysis alleviates concerns. Semiconductor analysis firm-Semianalysis indicated that the supply chain adjustments related to the overheating issue were merely "minor modifications" with almost no effect on the chip's actual performance. This analysis helped the market move past excessive worries about Blackwell’s overheating issues, laying the groundwork for Nvidia to regain investor trust in the short term. Reason4: Stock price retraces to strong support levels. From a technical analysis perspective, the stock price moving in a bullish channel, recently retracing to an upward trend line and the 0.236 Fibonacci support level. This support has triggered a rise, indicating that previous movements were merely weak short-term corrections. Under the combined influence of these favorable factors, Nvidia's stock jumped nearly 5% in a single day, not only boosting its own valuation but also uplifting the tech sector and the broader market. However, whether this upward trend can continue in the short term will depend on today's earnings report. For specific operational strategies, please refer to my last post : "NVIDIA Earnings Preview: Strategy Notes for Q3 Report."
NASDAQ:NVDA
by xugina78
NVIDIA (NVDA): Targeting $166 amid AI momentumNVIDIA continues to dominate the AI and computing landscape, with a significant development in Japan: SoftBank’s telecom unit will soon receive Nvidia’s advanced Blackwell chip design for its supercomputers. The upcoming earnings report on November 20 is critical in sustaining NVIDIA’s exceptional growth trajectory. CEO Jensen Huang’s company has projected third-quarter revenue of approximately $32.5 billion, propelled by substantial demand for Hopper and Blackwell GPUs. These GPUs are crucial for strengthening NVIDIA’s data center segment, which currently operates with an impressive 68% margin. Priced between $30,000 and $40,000, Blackwell chips are already seeing high demand, with production scaling in Q4 2024. From a technical perspective, NASDAQ:NVDA still has room to grow, with a targeted area of $166 or higher in the short term. We are closely monitoring the stock for either a move into this target or a shift in market structure that could change the outlook. Stay tuned for updates as we approach the earnings call and as NVIDIA continues to set new milestones in the tech space.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by freeguy_by_wmc
NVIDIA $NVDA | NVIDIA EARNINGS REPORT Nov. 20th, 2024NVIDIA NASDAQ:NVDA | NVIDIA EARNINGS REPORT Nov. 20th, 2024 BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $148.75 - $165.00 DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $138.00 - $148.75 SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $118.25 - $138.00 Weekly: Bullish Daily: Bullish 4H: Bullish NASDAQ:NVDA reports earnings today, these are the areas that I will look for significant price movement at. The market is anticipating around an 8.5% move, roughly an $11.50 move in either direction, based on ATM option prices, or an 11%-12% move, roughly $16.50 move in either direction, based on volatility calculations. This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas. ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE! trendanalysis, trendtrading, priceaction, priceactiontrading, technicalindicators, supportandresistance, rangebreakout, rangebreakdown, rangetrading, chartpatterntrading, chartpatterns, spy, sp500, s&p, fed, federalreserve, fedrate, fedratecut, interestrate, jeromepowell, fedchair, 50bps, volatile, volatility, nvidia, nvidiapricetarget, nvdatrend, nvidiatrend, nvdasetup, nvidialongs, nvidiashorts,
NASDAQ:NVDA
by TonyAiello
NVDA Exhaust NVDA has a unique way of going down to scale up in a multiple flag pattern towards each highs. Last time NVDA had a leg on it’s major trend-line was July 2024. This up movement it just did is changing the way NVDA usually scales back up and bring a similarity to when it dropped when it bounced of 131 resistance down to 110. My prediction is this high movement to the upside is a reaction before earnings, which will cause a reason to take liquidity on the remaining portion of the resistance to become bearish. NVDA can drop down to the FVP that never closed on the 120 area in order to make another leg on its bullish major trend-line. If the news are good enough after the chip issue then it invalidates my prediction. But I am feeling confident on this change of structure, since NVDA is moving differently in nature.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by soymundo21
NVDA Nears Key Levels: Amid Consolidation. TA for Nov. 14NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) is experiencing a period of consolidation, trading between well-defined support and resistance levels. Let’s break down the key zones, price action, MACD, volume insights, and potential setups for scalping and swing trades. Market Structure Overview: NVDA is consolidating after a recent rally, indicating that buyers and sellers are in a standoff. This period of low volatility could lead to a breakout or breakdown, depending on volume and momentum. The stock is positioned close to a critical support level, with resistance nearby, making this a pivotal moment. Key Zones: Demand Zone (Support): $143.41 - $144.00 NVDA has held support in this area, making it a solid demand zone. If price revisits this range and bounces, it could provide a potential entry for long positions. Supply Zone (Resistance): $149.95 - $151.00 This level represents the upper boundary of the recent range and serves as immediate resistance. A breakout above this level could lead to a bullish continuation toward higher targets. Order Block Insight: An order block has formed around $146-$147, where there has been significant trading activity. This level acts as a midpoint, with reactions here providing clues about short-term direction. Watching price movement in this area can offer scalping opportunities, especially for traders looking to play the range. Support & Resistance with Entry, Exit, and Stop Suggestions: Immediate Support: $144 Long Entry: Near $144 if there is a bounce, targeting exits around $146 and $149. Stop-Loss: Below $143 to manage risk in case of a breakdown. Immediate Resistance: $149 Short Entry: Around $149 if there’s resistance, targeting $147 and $144. Stop-Loss: Above $151 to limit potential upside risk. Swing Trade Setup: Swing Long: Above $151, with targets at $155 and $160 if momentum supports the move. Stop-Loss: Below $149 to control risk if the breakout fails. Swing Short: Below $143, aiming for $140 as the next support level. Stop-Loss: Above $144 to manage risk if NVDA reverses. Price Action Insights: NVDA’s price action shows a tightening range with higher lows and lower highs, indicating indecision in the market. The price is moving within a consolidation zone, and a breakout or breakdown could provide directional cues. The recent price action suggests that buyers are defending the $144 area, but sellers are stepping in at $149. MACD and Volume Analysis: MACD: The MACD has shown a bearish crossover, reflecting a slowing momentum. The histogram is slightly negative, indicating weak buying pressure. This bearish bias may continue unless NVDA breaks above $149 with strong volume. Volume: Volume has been relatively stable, with no significant spikes. A breakout move would ideally be accompanied by higher volume to confirm a shift in momentum. Watch for volume increase near key levels for signs of potential breakouts or breakdowns. Scalping & Swing Outlook: Scalping: Look for quick entries around $144 for long scalps if support holds, with exits near $146 and $149. For short scalps, consider entries around $149, targeting $147 or lower. Use tight stops due to NVDA’s choppy price action in this range. Swing: A confirmed breakout above $151 could favor swing longs, aiming for a higher price target. Alternatively, a break below $143 could open the door for a swing short. Directional Thoughts & Suggestions: Given NVDA’s consolidation near key levels, I lean toward a bearish outlook if it fails to break above $149 and maintains low volume. My suggestion is to watch for a potential breakdown below $143, targeting $140 or lower. However, if NVDA can clear $151 on strong volume, it could signal a bullish continuation, targeting $155 and higher. Conclusion: NVDA is at a critical juncture, with clear support and resistance levels providing actionable opportunities. The setup suggests staying alert for a breakout or breakdown. Tight stops and disciplined entries are key, especially for scalpers. Swing traders should wait for confirmed moves to capture the next significant trend. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Please conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor. Trading involves risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by BullBear-Insights
4
NVDA 🚨 Nvidia Smashes Records on AI! 🚨 NASDAQ:NVDA 🚀 Delivered spectacular results for Q3, reporting revenue of $35.1 billion (+94% YoY) and adjusted EPS of $0.81, significantly beating expectations. The company also forecasts sales of $37.5 billion for next quarter, solidifying its position as a leader in the AI revolution. 💻 Key Highlights ▫️ Data Center🟰 $30.8 billion (+112% YoY), driven by demand for advanced chips like “Blackwell.” ▫️ Gaming🟰 $3.28 billion (+8% YoY), fueled by GPUs for PCs and consoles like the Nintendo Switch. ▫️ Automotive & Robotics🟰 $449 million (+72% YoY), led by autonomous vehicle and robotics chips. 🎯 Nvidia by the Numbers Stock Performance in 2024🟰 Nearly tripled. AI Chips🟰 Hopper and Blackwell models are in high demand, with sales expected to outpace supply into 2025.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Mariofxtr