that's how trendiness work :)simple charts needs no explanations. its a penchant and see how you can sell resistance and buy support or just keep buying support :)
TL0 trade ideas
TSLA to the NORTHThis asset started buying after kicking me out of my last trade with just a few dollars. This was because my SL was not below my support level
The market did obeyed the support for that zone.
For today, I will buy TSLA at $399 and $400 as my entry.
My entry and SL are on my chart with TP
This is a Risk Reward of 1:2
$TESLA BUY OR SELL??Tesla has been in a tough spot lately, with earnings falling short of expectations. Many investors see this as a turning point, shifting their stance from a “Buy” to a “Sell”—and with good reason. However, despite its recent negative sentiment, I still believe Tesla is a buy, with only a temporary sell-off to it’s $345 levels, assuming it breaks below its current support level of $380, which it has been testing since early January. With further downside to be expected if it moves past $345.
That being said, if $345 holds, Tesla remains structurally intact, having yet to break any major key levels. From a technical perspective, the stock is still in a bullish trend, forming a Bullish Pennant Flag—a continuation pattern that typically signals further upside. As long as Tesla maintains this structure, the broader trend remains in favor of buyers.
However, while the technicals still lean bullish, I believe Tesla will need a catalytic event to reignite momentum and push the price higher. Whether that comes from a surprise earnings beat, positive industry news, or a broader market rally, a strong catalyst could be the key to Tesla’s next major move.
$TESLA BUY OR SELL????Tesla has been in a tough spot lately, with earnings falling short of expectations. Many investors see this as a turning point, shifting their stance from a “Buy” to a “Sell”—and with good reason. However, despite its recent negative sentiment, I still believe Tesla is a buy, with only a temporary sell-off to it’s $345 levels, assuming it breaks below its current support level of $380, which it has been testing since early January. With further downside to be expected if it moves past $345.
That being said, if $345 holds, Tesla remains structurally intact, having yet to break any major key levels. From a technical perspective, the stock is still in a bullish trend, forming a Bullish Pennant Flag—a continuation pattern that typically signals further upside. As long as Tesla maintains this structure, the broader trend remains in favor of buyers.
However, while the technicals still lean bullish, I believe Tesla will need a catalytic event to reignite momentum and push the price higher. Whether that comes from positive industry news, or a broader market rally, a strong catalyst could be the key to Tesla’s next major move.
Tesla (TSLA) Stock Rises Despite Disappointing Earnings ReportTesla (TSLA) Stock Rises Despite Disappointing Earnings Report
Following the close of the main trading session on 29 January, Tesla (TSLA) released an earnings report that fell short of analysts' expectations. The company reported:
→ Earnings per share (EPS) of $0.66, below the expected $0.74.
→ Revenue of $25.7 billion, missing the forecasted $27.3 billion.
Despite this, Tesla’s stock chart shows that the candle on 30 January closed around the key psychological level of $400, approximately 2% higher than the previous day’s close.
Investor concerns over weak quarterly results may have been offset by Elon Musk’s optimistic outlook, as he suggested Tesla’s business would return to growth in 2025, driven by:
→ New, more affordable electric vehicle models.
→ Progress in autonomous driving technology.
According to Business Insider, Musk stated that:
→ Tesla will begin testing a paid autonomous vehicle service in Austin, Texas, by June 2025.
→ The Full Self-Driving (FSD) software will undergo human-free testing in multiple states, including California, within a year.
→ Tesla is on track to become “the most valuable company” in the world, with strengthened production lines making 2026 an “epic” year.
The technical analysis of Tesla (TSLA) stock shows that the bullish momentum (marked by the orange curve), which was supported by the market’s reaction to Trump’s victory, has already weakened as the price has broken below this trendline. Meanwhile:
→ The $433 level has acted as strong resistance, turning the price down three times (marked by black arrows), indicating bearish confidence that TSLA is overbought above this point.
→ The 2025 low around $385 serves as key support, preventing a deeper decline into the long-term rising channel (shown in blue).
TSLA’s price may fluctuate within this range until a fundamental catalyst shifts market sentiment.
Analysts, however, remain sceptical about TSLA’s outlook. According to TipRanks:
→ Only 12 out of 33 analysts recommend buying TSLA shares.
→ The 12-month price target averages $335, below current levels.
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TSLA at a Critical Level! Bullish Momentum or Resistance BreakouPrice Action Analysis
* Current Price: $401.00 (Ask)
* TSLA is trading within a consolidation zone near $400. Recent price action suggests indecision, as the stock tested resistance at $413 but failed to sustain momentum.
* Key Support Levels:
* $395: Immediate support, aligning with previous consolidation zones.
* $378.85: A stronger level that could act as a potential demand zone if the price breaks lower.
* Key Resistance Levels:
* $413: Immediate resistance. A breakout above could signal a bullish continuation.
* $420.73: The next critical level for bullish momentum.
Indicators
* MACD: Flattening near the signal line, indicating a lack of momentum but suggesting a potential bullish crossover.
* Stochastic RSI: Neutral at 52.77, suggesting a balanced condition. A cross above 70 could confirm momentum.
GEX Analysis and Option Sentiment
* Gamma Exposure (GEX): 93.2% calls, suggesting a bullish sentiment in the options market.
* High Positive NETGEX Level: $420 (Gamma Wall) serves as a strong resistance point.
* Key GEX Levels:
* $450: Strong CALL wall, potential upside target.
* $365: PUT support, strong demand zone.
Trading Plan
Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout
* Entry: Above $413
* Target 1: $420
* Target 2: $430
* Stop Loss: Below $395
Scenario 2: Bearish Rejection
* Entry: Below $395
* Target 1: $378
* Target 2: $365
* Stop Loss: Above $413
Option Strategy
1. Bullish:
* Calls: Buy $420 Calls (expiration within 2 weeks).
* Target premium growth if TSLA breaks $413 convincingly.
2. Bearish:
* Puts: Buy $380 Puts (expiration within 2 weeks).
* Target profits if price breaks $395.
My Thoughts
Tesla is poised for a significant move. The consolidation near $400 suggests that the next breakout or rejection will dictate the short-term direction. With GEX supporting a bullish case, $420 remains a critical target. However, a failure to hold $395 could bring a bearish wave.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market conditions may vary at premarket open. Traders are advised to adjust strategies accordingly. For questions, please PM me!
Tesla Poised for a Major Rebound Before a Deeper Correction!Our Elliott Wave analysis suggests that Tesla is gearing up for a strong rally to the $428 region by the first week of February. However, we anticipate a sharp correction thereafter, with the price dipping towards $310 by the last week of February before launching into a massive bullish wave, ultimately breaking the $500 resistance!
This movement aligns with our wave structure, where we expect a short-term rally before a necessary correction sets the stage for a parabolic move upwards.
Opening (IRA): TSLA February 21st 330/340/460/470 Iron Condor... for a 3.35 credit.
Comments: High IVR/IV earnings announcement volatility contraction play.
Metrics:
Max Profit: 3.35
Buying Power Effect: 6.65
ROC at Max: 50.4%
50% Max: 1.68
ROC at 50% Max: 25.2%
TSLA: Buy idea: Bearish ChannelBuy idea on TSLA as you can see on the chart if only if we have the breakout with force the vwap and the RL by a big green candle follow by a large green volume.
TESLA: Bullish reversal starting towards $480.Tesla is about to turn neutral again on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 44.564, MACD = 2.800, ADX = 35.697) in an attempt to recover the 1D MA50 that it lost yesterday. The pattern since the ATH correction started looks a lot like July-September 2024, where a Channel Down made the necessary technical correction of the June rally and then a subsequent Channel Up recovered the losses all the way to almost the R1 level. With Tesla having corrected by almost -25%, it is worth going long now and aim for the R1 again (TP = 480.00).
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TSLA after correction/ PullbackTSLA after correction/ Pullback
My trade is as follows.
Entry: $397
SL: $387
TP 1: $440
TSLA fake pump....beware of dipTSLA has been pumping the last 1-2 hours and it looks like a complete pump and dump. Don't be fooled. Missed quarter and estimates, not much to love there. Great company and technology, but looks like there will be a healthy pull down to low 300s.
$TSLA - crazy chart nothing to see - Individual researchChart analysis that involves a strategic use of long-term trend lines to identify significant points of convergence.
First, i draw several long trend lines across the chart, which could be both support and resistance lines based on the historical price action of Tesla's stock. These lines are not just randomly placed but are drawn connecting the highs and lows over an extended period, perhaps months or even years. This approach helps in understanding the broader market sentiment and long-term price trends.
Convergence Points: Where these long trend lines intersect, you've marked these as key 'convergence points'. These points are crucial because they represent areas where multiple levels of support or resistance might come into play simultaneously. The theory here is that these convergences could act as significant barriers or springboards for price movements due to the confluence of multiple trend lines.
Observation and Reaction: After identifying these points, you watch how the stock price reacts as it approaches these convergences. If the price touches or nears a convergence point:
Breakout: If the price breaks through the convergence, it might indicate a strong continuation in the direction of the breakout, suggesting a potential for a new trend or acceleration in the current one.
Rejection: If the price is repelled by the convergence, it could signal that the current trend might be losing steam, or that the market is respecting these historical levels, potentially leading to a reversal or consolidation.
Trading Strategy: Based on these observations, you might adjust your trading strategy:
Entry/Exit Points: You could look for entry points near these convergences if the price reacts favorably (e.g., bounces off support), or consider exiting if the price breaks through a resistance with high volume, suggesting a potential shift in market sentiment.
Risk Management: These convergence points also help in setting stop-loss orders just below or above these points to manage risk, depending on whether you're long or short.
TSLA Pre Earnings Spread - Short 1/31 400 and Long 2/7 400TSLA is in a symmetrical butterfly or Iron Butterfly configuration and is awaiting earnings tomorrow evening.
It is sitting at institutional support at the bottom of its long term ascending channel flashing a double bottom.
The 400 strike is dominant in terms of TSLA open interest with approximately equal open contracts for both puts and calls going out 90 days and the implied volatility of the 1/31 expiry is massive.
I deployed calendar put spreads earlier this afternoon that I plan to close tomorrow afternoon.
1/31 400 puts were trading for around $22.00 per contract this afternoon and are massively decaying. This position should be profitable by the open and its breakeven levels are 360 to the downside and 450 to the upside.
I assess the probability of a significant move in TSLA before earnings to be minimal and so I'm looking to scalp some IV inflated rapid theta decay for a quick win. I mistakenly believed that TSLA's earnings were the 30th rather than the 29th and so I'm going to get less time on this trade than I would have liked, but, them's the breaks.
See associated spread:
optionstrat.com
Tesla Stock Goes 'Interesting', Ahead of Earnings CallTesla is preparing to release its fourth-quarter earnings report on January 29, 2025, and analysts are closely watching the stock as it approaches this key event.
Here are some important points regarding Tesla's current stock situation and what to expect:
Current Stock Performance
Tesla shares have seen a 10% increase in 2025, but recently experienced a more than 5% decline, trading at Monday's pre-marker below $400, approximately $395.
The stock's valuation is considered high, with some analysts stating it is "priced for perfection," indicating that any earnings miss could lead to a significant pullback.
Earnings Expectations
Analysts forecast earnings per share (EPS) of 72 cents and revenue of $27.23 billion for the fourth quarter.
Gross profit margins are expected to widen slightly to 18.85%.
Key Factors Influencing Stock Valuation
👉 Delivery Performance. Tesla's deliveries were slightly below expectations in 2024, with 1.79 million units delivered, compared to 1.81 million in 20231. Investors will be keenly interested in guidance for 2025, especially with increasing competition from Chinese manufacturers like BYD and NIO.
👉 New Vehicle Launches/ The anticipated launch of the smaller SUV, referred to as the Model Q, is expected later this year, which could impact Tesla's growth trajectory.
👉 Technological Developments. Progress in autonomous driving software and energy generation will also be focal points during the earnings call.
👉 The company aims to launch its Level 3 Full Self-Driving software in specific U.S. states and expand its energy storage business.
Analyst Sentiment
There is a mix of opinions among analysts; while some maintain a cautious stance due to potential delivery shortfalls and market competition, others see Tesla as a strong buy-and-hold investment for the long term.
The average price target among analysts is around $345.11, suggesting a potential downside from current levels.
Technical Sentiment
Technical graph indicates on epic upside channel breakthrough, as a result of China DeepSeek AI model influence.
Ahead of Tesla Earnings Call our "super-duper" Team is Bearishly calling to $300 per Tesla share, that is correspond to major current support of 125-day SMA.
Conclusion
As Tesla approaches its earnings report, investors should remain vigilant about delivery numbers and guidance for the upcoming year. The stock's high valuation combined with competitive pressures makes it susceptible to volatility based on the forthcoming financial results.
TSLA - Correction & Recovery TimeTesla plans to release fourth-quarter results after the bell on Wednesday.
Here’s what analysts are expecting, based on an average of estimates compiled by LSEG:
Earnings per share: 76 cents
Revenue: $27.26 billion
Tesla’s earnings report follows a steep rally in the company’s stock price tied to the election of President Donald Trump. Tesla CEO Elon Musk was the biggest backer of Trump’s campaign efforts and is now leading the president’s new government efficiency advisory board.
The electric vehicle maker’s stock price is up 58% since Trump’s victory in November as investors bet that Musk’s influence would lead to both favorable policies and less oversight of his companies.
In early January, Tesla reported deliveries for the fourth quarter of 495,570. For the full year, deliveries came in at about 1.8 million, marking the company’s first annual decline. Deliveries are the closest approximation of sales reported by Tesla, but are not precisely defined in the company’s shareholder communications.
To end 2024, Tesla offered a range of discounts on inventory vehicles and special discounts for buyers in North America who were referred by another Tesla customer. In China, Tesla cut prices on its popular Model Y SUVs before debuting a refreshed version, the Model Y Juniper.
crossing SMA200...not Good for TSLATSLA has just crossed 200 SMA, which does not bode well. Price target of low 300s (best case scenario). Great company and products, but let's not fool ourselves that much of this hike in prices was purely because of the Champgne effect of Trump. Tesla may cross over to higher levels later, but my opinion is that it will def dip very soon and one could leverage MSTZ on this set-up.
All the best and always do your own due diligence!
Too good to be true, TESLA STRONG BULLA simple and scholastic triangle formation shows a possible rise in the stock price even in view of the earnings release. Too simple to be true, but if it were it would be a regret not having tried. It is not a bet and just an opportunity to carry out a good study.
$TSLA Pattern IdeaNASDAQ:TSLA stock is moving similarly to the previous consolidation cycle. I expect it to revisit the 20 weeks EMA very very soon and then head to 1.618 fib!
$TSLA expected move for earnings todaySo for earnings today the expected move for TSLA is between 359-437 That is a 9.83% move implied... let's goooo...
I'm rooting for down, I'm not a big fan of TSLA or Musk.
TSLA: Testing a Key Decision Zone🔥 LucanInvestor's Strategy:
🩸 Short: Below $395, targeting $380 and $365. Weak momentum suggests a possible downside continuation.
🩸 Long: Above $410, targeting $435. A strong breakout over the 200 EMA ($403) would confirm renewed bullish sentiment.
🔥 LucanInvestor's Commands:
🩸 Resistance: $410 — Key breakout level to watch.
🩸 Support: $395 — Holding above strengthens bullish confidence.
Tesla remains under pressure after a significant rally, currently hovering near key moving averages. MACD signals a potential turnaround, but volume remains neutral.
👑 "Survivors react, winners anticipate. Know the levels, strike with precision."
TSLA Not Looking Too GoodTSLA has been subject to some extreme volatility recently with shareholders hoping for good news and optimism as Elon Musk partners with Donald Trump.
At the moment, I understand that Tesla earnings can be a potential positive catalyst for the stock if good news is reported, however shareholders may be in for a larger surprise as the price action may be suggesting a potential ABC or larger WXY corrective structure is currently at play.
For this structure, I would like to see the overall 1-1 extension of the trend based fibonacci. To me, it looks as though this structure is made up of many smaller corrective patterns, which are creating a very choppy and volatile environment.
While many stocks have retraced to their "Trump pump" gap levels, Tesla is still quite a ways away, being potentially overvalued.
I will personally be looking for the 0.618 retracement on Tesla just above $440-$450 for a short trade back down to the low of $330 where the latest fomo rally began up to nearly $500.
From there, I would be very much open to taking a long trade or a longer term investment on Tesla.
Only time will tell!
Target around 270-260This is what I see and I am thinking this will go down. Cup and handle, inverted of course. However, it can break out of the sequence, but I do like the downside right now.
