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Trading Strategy for Parabolic Markets [Part 3]In part 1 I outlined an approach that I have been working on that is aimed towards trading parabolic markets. In part 2 I outlined 4 trades with entries, stop losses and risk:reward calculations. The best position (in terms of risk:reward) has been saved for last. Notes: Tyler Jenks says, “All hyperwaves are bubbles but not all bubbles are hyperwaves.” This looks much more like a legit bubble than a hyper wave. Weekly chart has been included to illustrate that. | 200 MA > 10 MA > 50 MA | ADX is getting ready to cross 20 in confluence with the bull flag breakout | Weekly ADX getting ready to cross below 20 | Price is currently below 200 day MA and is acting as resistance | 50 week MA is also acting as resistance | Daily RSI = 56.81 and weekly RSI = 53 | Visible Range Volume Profile shows all of the volume at $19 - $50 and very little resistance at higher prices. Since this is not a hyperwave the VRPR and FIB Retracement levels will be very important. The profit targets are also much easier to recognize/calculate. Q-2 Earnings Report: Deposits: Expected earnings per share: $1.54 vs $1.62 actual earnings per share for a +5.19% surprise. $996.7B vs Projection: $1.009T | Fixed income trading revenue: $308B vs Projection: $3.11B' | Sales from consumer banking and institutional clients: $8.25B & 9.691B for a growth of 2% & 3% respectively. Time Analysis: Could see it gapping over the 200 day MA on Monday, could also see months of consolidation to follow death cross from 4/26 and ADX falling below 25 on weekly chart. Possible Entries: Breakout above 200 day MA and 50 week MA - I have set a price alert at $75.59 | Breakout above local high of $81.54 (second price alert) | 50 and 200 day MA golden cross Risk: Need new low to be established on the weekly after breaking through the 200 MA. If use current low then the risk is 21.25%. Profit Targets: $125 (+56%) | $236 (+195%) | $399 (+398%) Risk:Reward: Depends on how much is profit is capitalized at each target and where the next weekly low comes in. Suffice it to say this is the best r:r out of all the positions listed. When there are too many good opportunities for an entry then I like to use the risk:reward ratio to determine the best entry. Part 1 Part 2 Thank you for reading! If you found this helpful then please like, comment and subscribe!
NYSE:CLong
by Sawcruhteez
Citi Is In For a Technically Bumpy RideI did this analysis really elucidate what an "extended ceiling" looks like. The annotations are pretty straight forward AND if you look well enough you'll see an upside-down cup and handle forming and if you squint just right you'll see a head and shoulders forming. I would've shown it on the diagram but the drawing would've become too busy to make sense. Notice too, that the 21-day moving average is working well as a support and as a resistance. Admittedly, I haven't done any fundamental analysis but preliminary, doing things in reverse, we see that Citi, technically, is in for a rough ride. If there's a stock you're fixing to take a position, put the ticker in comments section also what position, long or short, you want to take.
NYSE:C
by ReadySetBudget
1
Break out or Break down - $C - CitigroupShort-term call? After a quick drop and sharp earnings reversal, Citigroup seems to be ready to break out of the "Head and Shoulders" pattern it has been setting for a year. In the past two years especially, the second half of the year has typically been a boon to the Financial Sector. Due to the lack of resistance, if Citigroup does resume it's trend, it's clear skies until $73 or 8 strikes from it's Monday (7/16/18) close of $69.47. MACD & RSI divergence, higher lows & highs, hint it's break out time; although $C tends to test support when closing below a mid-dollar strike (e.g. $68.5, $69.5 ... ) many signs seem bullish. Short-term Put? Since the 100-day MA hasn't been traversed quite yet and dimming global outlook for a very globally diverse financial institution are pertinent concerns: a resumption of $C's breakdown toward $67.50 is still plausible; Less likely after $66.50 was touched and multiple lines of support drawn there after during the post-earnings fire-sell, but still plausible all the same. Having a complete collapse like the "Head & Shoulders" suggests, and a fall straight through $66 is more of a longer term trend that is unlikely, but still possible. Caution would be to start with a strangle or straddle around the $69.50 strike, with the call focusing on the resistance-turn-support of $69 (firmly in the money) and roll the dice with the put's placement, with one's choice on potential gains. At the end of the day: Financial deregulation, tactical global divestment, Citigroup's 10% share buyback, increase in dividend payouts and a solid beat on it's Q2 earnings (despite the sell-off) all point toward a brighter future. Old allies and Old foes becoming the opposite, nationalistic rhetoric and new Middle-Eastern oil deals all are obstacles, but whether they are insurmountable is up to your short-term hypothesis because only time tells; and time is always money.
NYSE:C
by Arizard
Citi (C) bullish butterfly pattern and daily hammer!The banks showed significant relative weakness against the market since 2018. While, with regard to the rate hike cycle, put some banks in the portfolio is still one of the major investing ideas. Therefore, this daily bullish butterfly pattern and the daily hammer combination may be a short-term set-up to long C! Without abundant EMA correction rooms, I won't prefer trading the hammer with the breakout strategy; on the other hand, the 50% or 0.618 pullback buy and put the out below 62.80 would be the trade for me! Let's see how it goes!
NYSE:CLong
by Trader_Joe_Lee
Citigroup Support & PredictionI believe the market support is going to be around $67 for the next few weeks, and a short call of it going to reach a $70 market price within a timely manner is reasonable. The negative correlations and left skewed spread though seems unattractive to investors, but it is still not considered a high risk stock. Overall Citigroup is investable for a conservative portfolio and both an expectancy of it surpassing the $70 price, as well as strong market support trailing at $67 in the meantime, is a reasonable analysis.
NYSE:CShort
by gamer456148