Bias Upside on WMT until it hit my entry level $80If you're experiencing FOMO, you might consider buying at the current price of $85, which is near the 200-day moving average (MA) on the daily timeframe.
However, I remain biased to the downside, as there is still some room for further decline.
Key Support at $80:
1) 50-day MA support on the weekly chart
2) 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level
3) Psychological round number support
I'm watching $80 as the next support level before making my first DCA entry.
WMT trade ideas
WMT tells a similar story of bubble like othersA Lot of retail & banking stock are showing low volume prices at the top, like WMT, COST, HD,AXP, JPM and consumer discretionary like TSLA, but not so much in other sectors like Energy, Semi.
I think Banking and retail still have a way to go whereas Semi, energy, tech could be close to support
So a lot of the bubble stock were bound to burst. Trump just provided the catalyst and more. Warrren Buffet started selling before last August, thats when the bubble began forming in many stocks from what Volume profile tells me. The big boys like Buffet weren't buying. So the SPX should come back to last August level ie 5200, thinking logically thats where the smart money is waiting to buy. Of course that assumes there is no recession, else it could go lower
WMT Walmart: Has an Important Top Formed?The price may have formed a major top in Circle Wave 3 in the white scenario, which suggests a potential move toward the $20 area as part of a larger Circle Wave 4. For now, the assumption is that a substantial top has been struck, but whether this marks the end of Wave 3 (yellow scenario) or a broader corrective phase remains to be seen.
Key Levels and Scenarios:
In the yellow scenario, the market should be moving toward the support area between $45.60 and $62.87. A strong, impulsive rally from this zone could indicate one final Wave 5 push higher before a major third-wave top is confirmed.
In the white scenario, if the rally from support turns out to be corrective, it may just be forming a white B wave, reinforcing the outlook for lower prices in a prolonged correction.
Current Focus:
The market is currently moving downward in Circle Wave A toward the orange support area.
Since A waves can unfold in either three or five waves, it is important to monitor whether this decline remains impulsive or corrective.
As long as the price remains below the March high (~$105 on smaller time frames), the focus remains on lower prices.
For now, the priority is to closely observe the microstructure as the move down develops, to determine whether the yellow or white scenario plays out.
Walmart on Major SupportWalmart is quite a bit above it's last solid trend line. That suggests it could range out on this support for a while before it does another big move again. But it could also keep on the current trend and run to $145. Either way owning the stock here seems like a good idea.
Good luck!
Walmart Makes a Lower HighWalmart rallied for more than a year, but some traders may see risk of a deeper pullback.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the rising trendline along the lows of August and January. WMT dropped under that support last month and began March turning it into resistance.
Second, prices have breached the 50-day moving average. That may suggest its intermediate-term uptrend is ending.
Third, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) has crossed under the 21-day EMA. MACD is also falling. Both of those may signal short-term bearishness.
Fourth, the recent peak occurred at a 50 percent retracement of the initial drop. That may also confirm direction is pointing lower.
Finally, the overall price action may be viewed as the start of an A-B-C correction. Such a pattern could potentially include a push to a lower low. Traders may also eye levels around $85, near a price gap from November 19.
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WMT 99 PUT Exp March 7 (Loss but trade went to my TP)My analysis was correct, but I closed out due to my emotions being high right after a loss I took prior to me getting in the trade. Price rejected off the 50% fibonacci level, broke the counter trend line it made on the 4HR timeframe, and gave me a break and retest below the 200EMA. If I would have held it longer and trusted my analysis then I would have received the reward. Lesson learned.
WMT 99 CALL Exp March 7 (Loss)Initially I was under the impression that price was going to continue back upward due to higher timeframe candles, but later realized the heavy rejection on the 50% fibonacci level at a daily key level. Price gave me a very strong and big wick on the 4HR candlestick showing that buyers lost the battle to the sellers.
So I went to the daily timeframe to see the overall trend direction to find out it was starting to go downward, along with fundamental analysis about WMT dipping soon.
Walmart (WMT) Stock Drops Over 6%Walmart (WMT) Stock Drops Over 6%
As shown in the Walmart (WMT) stock chart, trading on 20th February closed at $97.26, whereas the previous day, the stock was trading around $103. The decline of over 6% marks the largest drop in Walmart (WMT) stock price in 15 months.
Why Did Walmart (WMT) Stock Drop?
The bearish momentum emerged after Walmart’s earnings report, which was actually quite strong, as:
→ Sales growth reached 5.2%;
→ The company exceeded analysts' expectations (earnings per share were 2% higher than forecasts);
→ Walmart announced a 13% dividend increase.
However, WMT stock fell because the retail giant released a profit forecast for 2025 that came in below market expectations. This was attributed to uncertain consumer behaviour and geopolitical conditions. Additionally, investors may have been dissatisfied with increased executive compensation.
Walmart (WMT) Stock Technical Analysis
The chart shows that after the decline, the price is consolidating near support levels formed by:
→ The lower boundary of the ascending channel;
→ Former resistance around $96.
The situation resembles November 2023, when the market also reacted negatively to an earnings report. However, WMT stock later recovered, and a similar scenario could unfold in 2025.
Analytical Walmart (WMT) Stock Price Forecasts
Analysts remain optimistic. According to Yahoo Finance:
→ The average 12-month price target for WMT is $107.25;
→ Of the 42 analysts surveyed, 38 recommend buying WMT stock.
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2/20/25 - $wmt - breaking news2/20/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:WMT
breaking news
"the consumer is not doing well"
well fkn duh.
if u own wmt... or cost... and think they r 40-50x pe types that grow MSD at best... NGMI
i'm buying today
NICE
loaded the F back into NXT after doing some backlog work
TSM
more BTDR
gl to all. this tape blows daily for some time. do what u can to stay solvent and in places that don't blow up *cough* pltr.
V
Breaking: Walmart Set To Report Earnings Before the BellWalmart will report fiscal fourth-quarter earnings before the bell on Thursday.
Walmart (NYSE: NYSE:WMT ) will report its latest quarterly earnings before the bell on Thursday, as investors try to parse whether softer retail sales in January were a blip or a bigger warning sign.
As Walmart (NYSE: NYSE:WMT ) is the top grocer in the U.S., investors often view it as a pivot of consumer health. The company will report its holiday-season results and is expected to give a forecast for the year ahead. Its leaders may also preview how they see the economic backdrop in the U.S. and weigh in on the potential effect of federal policy decisions, such as tariffs.
According to a survey of analysts by LSEG, here’s what Wall Street expects for the big-box retailer’s fiscal fourth quarter,:
Earnings per share: 64 cents
Revenue: $180.01 billion
Retail sales for January came in weaker than expected, setting off alarm bells for some investors. The metric dropped 0.9% for the month, which was below the Dow Jones estimate for a 0.2% decline.
Holiday data came in strong across the retail industry, as sales rose 3.8% year over year to total $964.4 billion in November and December, according to the National Retail Federation. The trend reflected a return to more typical pre-pandemic gains. Average sales growth during the holiday season was 3.6% from 2010 to 2019, according to NRF data, but shot up during the Covid-19 pandemic.
Some unique factors could work in Walmart’s favor, regardless of the economic backdrop. The big-box retailer’s online sales have been climbing, with 10 straight quarters of double-digit gains. Its advertising business and third-party marketplace are small compared to Amazon’s, but the segments have posted gains and driven higher margins than Walmart’s retail business.
Furthermore, Walmart has attracted more customers with higher incomes. Walmart CEO Doug McMillon said in November that households earning more than $100,000 drove 75% of market share gains in the third quarter.
Simeon Gutman, a retail analyst for Morgan Stanley, raised Walmart’s price target to $153 on Tuesday, pointing to the retailer’s newer and more profitable moneymakers including its advertising business and subscription-based membership program Walmart+.
Technical Outlook
As of Wednesday’s close, shares of Walmart are up about 83% over the past year. Shares closed on Wednesday at $104.00, up about 15% so far this year and outpacing the approximately 4% gains of the S&P 500 during the same period.
As of the time of writing, NYSE:WMT is trading down 0.54% on Thursday's premarket trading. NYSE:WMT ' shares has an RSI of 70 which is somewhat oversold but it hints at a potential bullish surge amidst a falling wedge pattern and as traders awaits earnings reports, a positive earnings beat could send NYSE:WMT on a bullish spree similarly, should selling pressure surmount, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level is serving as support point for Walmart shares (NYSE: NYSE:WMT )
Walmart Earnings Trade Setup: Two Key Levels to WatchWalmart ( NYSE:WMT ) has earnings coming up tomorrow, and I’m eyeing two potential trade setups depending on how the market reacts.
Bullish Scenario : If Walmart pumps post-earnings, I’m targeting a move up to $115. Momentum could easily carry it to this key resistance level.
Bearish Pullback & Reversal : If Walmart sells off on earnings, I’ll be looking at the $96 area as a strong level for a long entry. This zone has historical significance and could provide a solid buying opportunity.
Earnings moves can be unpredictable, but these two levels give me a clear game plan.
Let’s see how it plays out!
What’s your take—will WMT rip or dip?
WMT Walmart Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought WMT before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of WMT Walmart prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 110usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-4-17,
for a premium of approximately $2.33.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
WMT on the Radar: Breakout Potential or Exhaustion? 🔥📊 Technical Analysis (TA):
* Trend: WMT is in a strong uptrend, trading within an ascending channel and recently breaking a resistance zone.
* Support & Resistance:
* Support: $103.41
* Resistance: $105.29
* Indicators:
* MACD: Slight bullish momentum, but showing signs of slowing.
* Stochastic RSI: Overbought at 95.84, signaling potential exhaustion.
⚡ Options Market & GEX Insights:
* Key GEX Levels:
* Bullish Gamma Wall Resistance: $106
* Call Wall Targets: $110
* Put Support Zones: $94, $93, $92
* IV & Sentiment:
* IVR: 76.4 (High, indicating strong interest)
* IVX Avg: 33.3 (-0.31%)
* Call Positioning: 9.3% bullish positioning
🎯 Trade Setups:
📈 Bullish Scenario:
* Entry: Above $105.30 for continuation.
* Target: $106, then $110 (Gamma squeeze possibility).
* Stop: Below $103.50.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
* Entry: Below $103.40 for a retracement.
* Target: $101.59.
* Stop: Above $105.
⚠️ Final Thoughts:
WMT is at a key breakout level. If it maintains strength above $105.29, expect further upside, but beware of exhaustion signs from indicators. Watch for volume confirmation!
🔥 Stay sharp—WMT is on the radar for a strong move! 🔥
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trade responsibly.
100% Gains in Walmart! What’s Next at This Key Level?Hello readers,
Back in July 2023, I pointed out a major breakout in Walmart (WMT) after years of struggle around the $150-$154 zone. Fast forward, and here we are – Walmart has doubled in price! 📈
Of course, this isn't the raw $300 we might expect because of the 3-for-1 stock split, but the percentage gain remains a solid 100%+ from our entry.
What Now?
$100 is a round number, and historically, NYSE:WMT has reacted to these psychological levels. The market has started to range in these level, suggesting some hesitation.
Taking partial or full profits could be a smart move – but as always, the choice is yours!
This is just a reminder and a heads-up to stay aware of price action. Trade smart! 💡
Let me know your thoughts – are you holding or booking profits?
Cheers,
Vaido
WALMART Bullish Leg of Channel Up on full extent.Walmart (WMT) has been trading within a Channel Up since January 2024 and is being supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) since August 14. The last contact with the 1D MA50 has been on January 16 and is what started the current Bullish Leg.
The standard %rise within this pattern has been +21.86% and as a result our short-term Target is $108.00.
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WMT Showing Bullish Momentum – Move Toward $99.00 ExpectedNYSE:WMT is demonstrating strong bullish momentum, driven by consistent price strength and support from key moving averages. The recent price action confirms buyers' dominance, with a clear uptrend evident on the chart. The stock has advanced steadily, breaking out of prior consolidation zones, and is now poised to target the $99.00 level, which serves as the next significant milestone.
This setup aligns with the expectation of a bullish continuation, offering a potential long opportunity if pullbacks or consolidations occur near current levels.
If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts here!
Walmart Hits All-Time High, Goldman Sachs Adjusts Price Target.!Walmart has recently surpassed its historical peak of $96 per share, indicating strong momentum in its stock performance. In a recent analysis, Goldman Sachs has revised its price target for Walmart, increasing it from $93 to $101 while sustaining a 'buy' rating. This upward adjustment reflects the firm's confidence in the company's growth potential and market position. Given this context, investors might consider waiting for a potential retest of the $96 support level before committing to a long position, as this could provide a more favorable entry point and reduce the risk of buying at a peak.
Walmart Inc. TP-$94Technical Analysis:
-Accumulation pattern in the equilibrium zone
-Detected behavior pattern (bounces off the standard Ichimoku Cloud on the daily chart and MACD crossovers, which tend to indicate inflection points)
-Harmony
-Momentum
The trend is overextended, so the target is modest ($94). I would dismiss this analysis if it weren't for the fact that assets with momentum tend to give trend continuation reactions before changing their structure.
WALMART: The first buy opportunity of 2025 is here.Walmart has turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.502, MACD = 0.350, ADX = 31.554) as it is trading sideways on top of the 1D MA50. This is a strong support level that has been unbroken since August 14th 2024 but the sideways trending 1D RSI resembles all times since September 2022 that it crossed under it and then rallied. Consequently this is already a strong buy signal, regardless of whether the price breaks the 1D MA50 or not as, at worst it is expected to trade sideways for another 1-2 weeks and then rebound. We aim for a +22% price increase (TP = 108.00) like the last two bullish waves delivered.
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Bullish on Walmart. WMTThere is a squeeze developing on this stock, whether you look at Bollinger Bands or the Band formed by the upper and lower MIDAS curves. If a move is imminent, it is more likely to the upside given the stochastics and volatility indicators. This is certainly supported by increase. One major worrying equation is the progressively dropping volumes as the peaks progress.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in green or purple with invalidation in red. Confirmation level, where relevant, is a pink dotted, finite line.
Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis.
Professionally, we are big fans of any indicators from Jurik, De Mark and Ehlers, which we use in addendum in analysis prior to putting down positions.
We prefer a combination of at least four technical factors to favor a particular stance. A stance is never decided by this constellation, rather the constellation merely confirms the stance.
Trading is a true one man sport. No single confluence of indicators is truly good enough, and a professional trader's sense must be developed through a lot of hard work and over a significant period of time. Good luck out there and stay safe.