EURCAD Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for EURCAD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.580.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.551 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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CADEUR trade ideas
EURCAD Bearish Setup | Trend Reversal Incoming?The EUR/CAD pair has been respecting a parallel ascending channel, with price recently touching the upper boundary and now showing signs of a potential sharp reversal.
🔹 Key Technical Observations:
Price broke out of a long consolidation zone (early June), followed by a strong bullish impulse.
Currently rejecting the upper boundary of the parallel channel, suggesting bullish exhaustion.
Bearish projection aims for a potential drop toward the 1.55400 support zone, aligning with channel midline or lower boundary.
📊 Trade Idea:
Watch for confirmation of rejection (bearish engulfing / break of minor support).
Short entries can be considered on break below intraday structure.
Target Zone: 1.55400
Invalidation: Clean break and close above 1.58500
⚠ Always manage risk and confirm with your trading strategy.
EUR/CAD Weekly – Bull Flag Breakout with Macro Tailwinds Technical Structure:
The sharp rally from mid-2022 to early 2024 forms the flagpole.
The tight, downward-sloping consolidation (roughly mid-2023 to early 2025) forms the flag.
The recent breakout above the 1.5800–1.6000 zone confirms the flag breakout.
📊 Key Bull Flag Characteristics Met:
Prior strong impulsive move (flagpole)
Consolidation downward/slightly sideways in a tight range (flag)
Breakout with momentum above flag resistance
🌍 Fundamentals Confirm the Technical Picture:
As outlined previously, the macro environment aligns perfectly with this bullish breakout:
🔹 Euro Strength:
ECB is easing cautiously — still relatively hawkish vs peers.
Inflation remains sticky, reducing pressure for rapid cuts.
Eurozone economic data is stabilizing, especially in manufacturing.
🔻 Canadian Dollar Weakness:
Falling oil prices hurt CAD (Canada is a petro-currency).
BoC is dovish and may begin rate cuts sooner.
Domestic economic data (housing, retail) shows cracks.
🧭 Final Summary:
✅ Flag Breakout Thesis
✅ Bull flag structure validated
✅ Clean breakout and momentum
✅ Macro drivers support sustained upside
🔔 Key Levels:
Breakout Zone: 1.5800–1.6000
🔔 What to Watch Next:
ECB July meeting commentary
Canadian employment and CPI data
Crude oil weekly inventory reports
Risk-off sentiment (which usually supports EUR over CAD)
📈 Target Projection:
If 1.6000–1.6095 breaks, we look for:
🎯 Target: 1.72 – 1.74 (mid to late 2025)
🔰 Invalidation: Break back below 1.5250
EurCad 06/19/25 NYPre-Analysis
1) Session Break (NY took out L)
2) Expecting? (Channel)
3) High Volume located at (Breach)
4) Leg being traded? (2)
5) Market digestion? (1hr)
6) Edge? (S1) higher TF is (4hr)
7) Edge Specifics? (S1H)
8) Continuation
9) Micro Timeframe (15min)
10) Class (A)
Improvements
hold trade as analyzed
scale in
EUR/CAD BuyEntry – Buy-limit 1.5560 (front-run zone); back-up bid 1.5520 if you ladder.
Stop-loss – Hard stop 1.5410 (below 1.5500 break-fail line).
Targets
TP1 1.5750 – lock ~1.5 R; trail stop to break-even.
TP2 1.5900 – cash majority.
Runner 1.6000 – only if momentum is strong.
Expiry: cancel if not filled after 5 trading days.
EURCAD: Short Trade Explained
EURCAD
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell EURCAD
Entry - 1.5823
Stop - 1.5865
Take - 1.5738
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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EUR/CAD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
The BB upper band is nearby so EUR-CAD is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 1.575.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EURCAD - Overextended and Ready to Reverse?The EURCAD pair is showing clear signs of exhaustion in its bullish trend on the monthly chart, with an overextended price that has already liquidated a significant high. Futures market analysis confirms the accumulation of short positions, suggesting a potential bearish movement driven by institutional players. On the daily chart, the price has shifted to a clear downtrend.
Technical Analysis:
🔹 Monthly Chart:
The price has reached overextended levels, signaling a possible reversal.
A key high has been liquidated, indicating potential demand exhaustion.
🔹 Futures Market Data:
Short positions are accumulating, showing that major market participants are positioning for a bearish move.
Commercial market conditions reflect a weakening bullish sentiment.
🔹 Daily Chart:
Structural change confirms a bearish trend.
Possible selling opportunities on pullbacks to recent resistance levels.
EURCAD Sell- Go for short term sell then manage your trade
- keep looking for sell even if price goes one more up
- potentially go lower
- in any case it has to at least go down to 1.5500 level or lower
- Refine entry with smaller SL for better RR, if your strategy allow
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EURCAD Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the EURCAD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.5718
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.5674
My Stop Loss - 1.5743
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EUR/CAD Long Bias🚀 EUR/CAD – Strong Long Opportunity Based on Multi-Factor Confluence
Over the past week, I conducted a comprehensive macro and sentiment-driven analysis across G10 FX pairs. Among several potential setups, EUR/CAD emerged as the most fundamentally and technically aligned long opportunity, supported by a confluence of high-probability signals across positioning, macro divergence, and capital flow sentiment.
🔍 Key Drivers Behind the EUR/CAD Long Bias:
1️⃣ Macroeconomic Divergence (ENDO View)
🇪🇺 Eurozone has shown relative stability in core macro indicators:
Inflation continues to cool, providing flexibility for ECB rate guidance.
GDP growth remains structurally flat but not contracting — suggesting resilience.
🇨🇦 Canada, on the other hand:
Shows a deteriorating inflation-growth mix.
Retail Sales and Industrial Production trends are softening.
ENDO analysis flags CAD as one of the weakest among G10 currencies.
2️⃣ Positioning – COT Report & Z-Scores
Speculative traders are increasing their long exposure to EUR (COT net longs rising +13,887 last week).
Z-Score on EUR long positions: +1.33 → statistically elevated interest in long EUR exposure.
CAD positioning is flat-to-negative, with no bullish buildup in speculative flows.
This gives EUR a clear relative edge in terms of speculative conviction.
3️⃣ Score & EXO Sentiment Framework
EUR/CAD is one of few pairs showing clear directional consensus across:
✅ EXO Score Sheet: Long Bias confirmed.
✅ RR_w Sheet: Strong risk/reward rating supports further upside.
✅ IR Forecast Sheet: ECB-CAD policy spread favors EUR strength in medium term.
4️⃣ Market Sentiment – Risk Regime
We are currently in a “Risk-On” sentiment regime, which generally favors currencies like EUR over defensive, commodity-linked currencies like CAD.
CAD tends to underperform in reflationary sentiment waves — especially when Oil fails to support the currency.
5️⃣ Cluster & Trend Confirmation
While not a primary factor, cluster analysis shows that EUR/CAD is not in a weak trend regime.
Trend alignment over 30 and 14 days remains favorable.
🔚 Conclusion:
EUR/CAD is one of the few pairs this week that aligns across all analytical fronts: macro, positioning, sentiment, and structure. In a crowded FX environment, such confluence is rare and valuable.
EUR/CAD Weekly Short Setup – Bearish Reversal Play
Initiated a short position on EUR/CAD from a key resistance zone after a significant upward move showing signs of exhaustion.
🔻 Entry: ~1.5689
🔻 Stop Loss: 1.6100 (Approx. 3.10%)
🎯 Take Profit: 1.3390 (Approx. 14.67%)
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 4.73
Price is reacting to a weekly supply zone with multiple confluences, including weakening bullish momentum on the VMC Cipher B indicator. The divergence signals a potential top, supporting a bearish outlook.
Looking for a move back to the lower range of the broader consolidation. Patience is key on this swing setup.
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