GBP/CAD Fall of the Pound A Bearish Trap Has Been Set Rising Channel Breakdown
The chart previously exhibited a rising channel with two parallel white trendlines containing the price movement.
The price broke below the channel, signaling a shift in market structure from bullish to bearish.
Bearish Momentum Confirmation After the breakdown, the price retested the lower trendline but failed to reclaim it, confirming resistance.
A strong bearish rejection followed, indicated by the red shaded area showing selling momentum.
Short Entry & Risk-Reward Setup
The short position was entered near 1.78981, slightly below the breakdown point.
The stop-loss is set at 1.80996, positioned above the breakdown level to avoid whipsaws.
The take-profit target is 1.75724, aligning with previous support and a logical demand zone.
Indicators & Confluence
EMA or Trend-Based Indicator. The red shading suggests the price is trending below a dynamic moving average, reinforcing bearish sentiment.
Bearish Candlestick Formation, A series of red candles and a retest failure further confirm selling pressure.
Trade Rationale & Risk-Reward Analysis
Trade Type: Short
Entry: 1.78981
Stop Loss: 1.80996 (~200 pips above entry)
Take Profit: 1.75724 ( 325 pips below entry) Always book Profit every 10%
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:1.6 , indicating a solid risk-adjusted trade with a favorable reward potential.
This trade capitalizes on the bearish breakdown of the rising channel, with a clear stop-loss placement and a logical take-profit target. If momentum sustains, the price could continue trending lower towards 1.75724 or even extend further.