GBPCAD Wave Analysis 21 November 2024
- GBPCAD broke support zone
- Likely to fall to support level 1.7500
GBPCAD currency pair today broke the support zone between the support level 1.7700 (which reversed the price in August and September) and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward price move from April.
The breakout of this support zone accelerated the active minor impulse wave C of the ABC correction 4 from May.
GBPCAD currency pair can be expected to fall further to the next support level 1.7500, target price for the completion of the active wave 4.
CADGBP trade ideas
GBPCAD: Bullish Continuation & Long Signal
GBPCAD
- Classic bullish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy GBPCAD
Entry - 1.7712
Stop - 1.7653
Take - 1.7852
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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GBPCAD H4 300 pips dump incoming short it🔸Hello traders, let's review the 4hour chart for GBPCAD today. Weak
support breakdown in progress currently on H4 and I don't expect it
to hold the sell side pressure.
🔸There is no strong S/R zones until 7440 currently we are trading at 7730
so I expect the price to slide through the weak s/r zone. S/R zone
was tested multiple times recently and only produced a weak bounce
therefore expecting breakdown and new dump.
🔸Recommended strategy for GBPCAD traders: short sell at market or
short sell any weak bounces near market price, SL 60 pips TP1 +150 pips
TP2 +300 pips. good luck traders!
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GBPCAD Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPCAD.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.772.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.782 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
GBP/CAD: Double Bottom & Bullish Divergence Suggest ReversalGBP/CAD is currently at its daily support level, forming a double bottom with bullish divergence, indicating a potential upward price movement. A buy stop order above the breakout of the last lower high is recommended to confirm the price reversal.
GBP/CAD Breaks Uptrend Line: Is a Downward Movement Imminent?The GBP/CAD pair has exhibited considerable strength since April 2024, climbing steadily until it reached key resistance at approximately 1.8070. This resistance area is close to the highest level seen since 2018, when GBP/CAD traded around 1.8400.
Following its engagement with resistance on the daily chart, the price began to show signs of exhaustion. On 12 November, the pair broke below its established uptrend line, indicating a potential reversal or, at the very least, a deeper corrective pullback in the short term.
Support and Resistance Context
Historically, once a support level is breached, it often transforms into resistance. Thus, the area where GBP/CAD broke the uptrend line may now act as a barrier preventing further price increases.
Resistance and Fibonacci Confluence
The breakout point of the ascending trendline now corresponds to the zone between the 38.2% and 50% Fibonacci retracement levels of the recent downward movement. This area, which previously provided support to the price, is positioned to play a vital role as resistance during any corrective phase.
Potential Selling Opportunity
The break below the trendline indicates a potential weakening in bullish momentum. A retracement to the 38.2% to 50% Fibonacci region would constitute a healthy correction, allowing sellers to position themselves at a key technical confluence.
This retracement area aligns with the prior breakout point of the trendline and coincides with a newly established resistance level, significantly increasing the likelihood of price rejection.
Sell Entry : A viable selling opportunity may arise if the price retraces to the 1.7870 to 1.7930 zone and displays signs of rejection, such as the formation of a Pin Bar or Engulfing candlestick pattern on the daily chart.
Target Projections : The initial target could be set at the recent low of 1.7700, with a further extension down to 1.7300, where the price may find new support. Notably, the 1.7300 level represents a crucial historical resistance that could now serve as significant support.
Stop Loss : A protective stop loss should be positioned above the 1.8070 level, the historical resistance, to shield against a potential reversal in the upward trend.
An alternative scenario
While the resistance observed on the daily chart is significant, traders should remain vigilant for a potential breakout above this level, as it could propel the GBP/CAD towards the next resistance target of around 1.8400. Additionally, the upcoming release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for the British Pound on Wednesday is a crucial factor to consider, as it may set the tone for future monetary policies in the UK.
If inflation comes in higher than anticipated, it could lead to a more restrictive monetary policy in the medium term. Should this occur, GBP/CAD might break through the resistance level and continue its upward trajectory on the daily chart.
In this scenario, a buying opportunity could materialise if the CPI data exceeds expectations and the price successfully breaks above the resistance level. An initial target for this trade would be the 1.8400 region, where the price may encounter additional resistance.
In Summary
GBP/CAD is at an important level in the daily chart, with both Buying and Selling possibilities depending on what comes next. From a technical point of view, a Sell opportunity can appear if the price respects the 1.7870 ~ 1,7930 region.
A buying opportunity could appear depending on Consumer Price Index data to be released on Wednesday and the breakout of a resistance level at 1.8200.
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GBPCAD BUY IDEACurrent Price: 1.77887
Sell Price: 1.77887
Buy Price: 1.77887
Take Profit (TP): 1.79842
Buy Stop: 1.78388
Stop Loss (SL): 1.76987
The price fluctuating within a range, which suggests a period of consolidation after recent movements.
The Stop Loss (SL) set at 1.76987 is a critical support level. If the price breaks below this level, it might indicate a further downward trend.
The Take Profit (TP) set at 1.79842 is the immediate resistance. If the price reaches and breaks above this level, it suggests a bullish breakout.
Current RSI Values: 50.79 and 50.48
RSI around 50 suggests that the market is in a neutral zone, neither overbought nor oversold.
You should watch for the RSI to move towards the 70 level (overbought) or 30 level (oversold) for potential reversal signals.
Consider entering a buy position if the price approaches the Buy Stop at 1.78388, indicating upward momentum.
Monitor for bullish candlestick patterns, such as the hammer or bullish engulfing pattern near this level, to confirm the entry.
Set a Stop Loss (SL) at 1.76987 to manage downside risk. This level acts as a safety net if the trade moves against you.
The Take Profit (TP) at 1.79842 provides a target level to secure profits.
Look for increased trading volume near the buy stop and take profit levels to confirm strong buying or selling interest.
GBPCAD: Enter a Buy Trade or Sell Below 1.7860Currently, GBPCAD is trading at 1.7970, and we're opting for a buy trade with a target set at 1.8110. If we’re considering a sell trade, we’ll need to keep a close watch for a break below the support level at 1.7860. This level is crucial because it indicates where buyers have previously stepped in to support the price. If the price drops below this level, it signals that the buyers may no longer be able to hold the price up, and that could be a good time for us to enter a sell position. In this case, our target for the sell trade would be set at 1.7710.
Developing inverse head and shoulder Pound Cad appears to have found support on a significantly higher timeframe low, yielding a potential pullback to the upside. However, stability under 1.77000 may continue downward pressure. Also, as long as price is above the mark, the pair may find bullish pressure.