cadjpy expect a bullish run after a liquidity sweep, also support and resistance at adds to the confluence
CADJPY trade ideas
CAD/JPY 4H and 1H - SELL OANDA:CADJPY Analysis
4-Hour Chart Analysis
The 4-hour chart shows CAD/JPY in a clear downtrend with lower highs and lower lows. Key observations:
Price has been declining from around 110.500 to current levels around 103.079
Recently formed a potential double bottom around 102.500 level
Currently showing some consolidation/minor bounce from these lows
Price is below key moving averages (based on the chart structure)
1-Hour Chart Analysis
The 1-hour chart provides a closer look at recent price action:
Shows a recent bounce from the lows
Price has formed a small consolidation pattern
Currently at 103.079 with a -0.07% daily change
Some short-term resistance likely around 103.500-104.000 area
Trade Setup:
Direction: Looking for potential short entry
Entry Point : Enter short at 103.500-103.700 zone (on a rejection/failure to break higher)
Stop Loss: Place stop at 104.000 (approximately 30 pips from entry, matching your risk tolerance)
Take Profit: Target the recent lows at 102.500 area (100+ pip potential)
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:3
Rationale:
The dominant trend is clearly bearish on larger timeframes
Recent bounce appears corrective rather than trend-changing
Previous support levels often become resistance on retests
The 103.500-104.000 zone should act as resistance
Alternative Scenario:
If price breaks above 104.000 with conviction, I would avoid entering and reassess the setup, as this could indicate a deeper correction or potential trend change.
Important Note:
Wait for price action confirmation at the resistance zone before entering (such as bearish engulfing, rejection candles, or failure to break higher with diminishing volume).
CADJPY - ShortCADJPY is moving in bearish trend with no bullish divergence.
Entry is at retracement at LH.
CADJPY BULLISH CADJPY – Potential Bullish Reversal Setup
CADJPY has been in a sustained bearish trend; however, signs of a potential reversal are emerging. A bullish divergence has been identified on the RSI, signaling weakening bearish momentum. Additionally, the price has broken out of a parallel descending channel, further supporting the possibility of a trend reversal.
Moreover, the structure has shifted as the previous Lower High (LH) has been broken, indicating the first sign of bullish strength. Based on this confluence of factors, I am entering a buy position immediately, anticipating further upside continuation.
Key Confluences:
RSI bullish divergence
Breakout of the descending parallel channel
Structure break of the previous Lower High (LH)
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always manage your risk accordingly.
Sell CADJPYWith Trump's announcement of Tarrifs on Canada and Mexico starting tomorrow, I expect this downward trend to continue on the JPY and CHF pairs
#CADJPY Buy Setup🔼#CADJPY Buy Setup
Currently Trading at 102.940 , Buy On Dip In Range 102.292—101.504 For The Target 105.500—108.780
CAD/JPY SENDS CLEAR BULLISH SIGNALS|LONG
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the CAD/JPY pair and we can see that the pair is going down locally while also being in a downtrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB lower band being nearby indicating that the pair is oversold so we can go long from the support line below and a target at 108.118 level.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
POTENTIAL LONG TRADE SET UP FOR CADJPYAnalysis: Utilizing chart patterns, highs & lows, and impulses & corrections, the focus is on identifying a continuation corrective structure following a breakout.
The price has approached a previous swing low zone on the higher time frame (HTF) while moving within a descending structure on the MTF. The price has broken out of the MTF descending structure and we will now monitor for a continuation structure to identify a potential entry point for the trade.
Expectation: A upward move is expected.
⚠️ Reminder: Always conduct your own analysis and apply proper risk management, as forex trading involves no guarantees. This is a high-risk activity, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trade responsibly!
CAD/JPYOn Daily,
price broke through Monthly trendline (Red Trendline) but stopped short from matching previous Lower-Low.
On 1H,
we can see that price was rejected as soon as it hit the Blue Daily trendline and bounced off.
In my opinion, we should wait until it hit the Daily Blue trend line or make a Double Down formationand tyhen go for short Bullish reversal.
CADJPY Buy Trade IdeaCADJPY buy trade can be taken above the mentioned area as it's break higher high on 4hrs to target mentioned in the chart.
Manage your risk according to your account size!
CAD/JPY: Diverging Fundamentals Signal More DownsideFundamental Analysis:
• The Non-Weighted Currency Index of the JPY has just broken out of a triangle to the upside, indicating JPY strength at the moment.
• Japan’s 10-year bonds have been in an uptrend for months and have just rejected the 50% Fibonacci level to the upside.
• The BoJ remains one of the most hawkish central banks, and Japan’s economy continues to show strength, marked by rising inflation since November 2024.
• Meanwhile, the Non-Weighted Currency Index of the CAD has been in a downtrend for a long time, signaling CAD weakness against other currencies.
• Canada’s 10-year bonds are currently range-bound, but the structure resembles a bearish flag, suggesting a possible breakdown below support.
• The Canadian economy is stagnating, and while unemployment has decreased compared to the previous month, it remains relatively high.
• Canadian inflation is slightly below the BoC’s target, which suggests that after their recent 25 bps rate cut, they may cut rates further to boost inflation back to 2%, stimulate the labor market, and increase GDP growth.
• Additionally, the downtrend in oil prices does not support CAD appreciation.
Technical Analysis:
• On the Weekly timeframe, we observe an ascending triangle that has just broken to the downside.
• On the Daily timeframe, sellers failed to push the price down significantly, indicating weak momentum on the breakout. This suggests a pullback/retest towards the trendline or Fibonacci levels is likely.
• The 50 SMA on the Daily chart is acting as strong resistance.
• The 200 SMA has also been rejected on the Daily timeframe.
• On the 4H timeframe, price is indeed retracing towards the trendline and/or Fibonacci levels.
• COT Report aligns with my bias.
• 82% of retail traders are positioned on the opposite side (buying).
CADJPY Short4 hour created a higher lower with a 15 min double top break of neckline, possible continue to the downside. tp prices called
CADJPY 28.02.2025+Tariffs: tariffs on Canada are confirmed and upcoming soon, new 10% tariffs on China
~+BoJ rhetoric is more hawkish
~- JPY COT is bearish
- Fresh good CAD ec. data (not so crucial for a very short-term trade)
Trade Recap CW9Quick Breakdown of the 3 positions I took last week plus two missed positions. Enjoy and feel free to ask any questions
CAD_JPY CORRECTION EXPECTED|LONG|
✅CAD_JPY is going down to retest a horizontal support of 102.815
Which makes me locally bullish biased
And I think that we will see a rebound
And a move up from the level
Towards the target above at 103.793
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
BEARS IN CONTROL!Bears are in control as price continues to fall! We may continue to see a bear trend in CADJPY. A support level of 105.175 is broken. A pullback to that area will further increase a probability of sell opportunity.
CAD JPY Entry Setup 30 mins timeframe.CAD JPY has formed a bullish break and retest pattern that also align with Fib Retracement level.
Now we wait for entry confirmation.
CADJPY Buy IdeaWait for Zone - 2nd Entry . . . a High Probability Setup
Entry on VSA Confirmation . . - We can Hold This Trade For Long Target if 1trade Hit TP
CADJPY - Potential buying opportunity in sightOANDA:CADJPY is trading near a clear support level that triggered bullish reversals in the past. The recent bearish move into this area creates a potential opportunity for buyers to regain control.
If bullish confirmation appears, such as increased buying volume or candlestick reversal patterns, I expect the price to move toward 105.550. On the other hand though, a break below this support would weaken the bullish scenario and suggest further downside.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice.
Best of luck in the markets.
CADJPY: Massive Breakout 🇨🇦🇯🇵
There is a high probability that CADJPY will drop much lower.
The violation of a significant daily demand cluster leaves clear bearish clues.
Next support - 103.5
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
