Get started

Canadian Dollar / U.S. Dollar

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview News
Ideas
Discussions Technicals Seasonals Economic Calendar

CADUSD trade ideas

Bullish bounce?The Loonie (USD/CAD) is falling towards the pivot that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which has been identified as an overlap resistance. Pivot: 1.3604 1st Support: 1.3441 1st Resistance: 1.3953 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
HTF ALIGNMENT USDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 Y25USDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 Y25 HIGHER TIME FRAME ALIGNMENT! Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. 💡In depth trade confluences provided during the week 📝 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
USDCAD - Continuation Trading Using Structure, Fibs & VolumeWHAT I'M LOOKING AT After ending the week with a lower low & a lower close below a recent level of structure support, I'm predicting a potential bearish trend continuation opportunity here on the $USDCAD. MY PREDICTION If this prediction is correct I would expect a move down to the $1.35 psychological level (or right around it) as we have a confluence from both our Fibonacci extension & a spike in horizontal volume. HOW TO GET INVOLVED To get involved in this move I'll be looking for a a potential retracement/pullback followed by a clear sign of reversal. The 2 price levels that I have on my radar are $1.3750's & $1.3800's If you have any questions, comments, or just want to share your views, please do so below! Akil
Short
by Akil_Stokes
USDCAD Short Setup – Support Broken, More Downside Ahead?Bias: ✅ Strong Sell Timeframe: 4H Pair: USDCAD Week: 26–30 May 2025 ⸻ 🔍 Technical Setup: USDCAD just broke a major support zone around 1.3732, opening the door for continued downside into the next demand zone. • Entry: Break and retest or continuation below 1.3732 • Stop Loss: Above resistance at 1.3813 • Take Profit: Next support near 1.3467 • Risk-Reward Ratio: ~3.9R • Structure: Lower highs, clean breakdown, bearish momentum ⸻ 🧠 Macro Confluence: • 📉 USD Weakness: Dovish Fed, weak macro outlook (Investogenie Score 1.8 ↓) • 🇨🇦 CAD Recovery: Hawkish BoC, conditional score surged from 2 → 10 • 📊 Seasonals: CAD favored • 🧾 COT: Net bearish shift in USD, CAD corrective phase expected • ⚠️ News Risk: CAD GDP & US GDP this week could accelerate the move ⸻ ⚠️ Risk Notes: • Watch for FOMC and GDP reports before scaling positions • Break & close confirmed – trail stops on lower timeframe ⸻ 📌 Momentum is in favor – ride the breakdown, but stay data-aware. Share setups or feedback below 👇
Long
by wajahatarif
How to Rob the Bank (of Canada) – Legally! (USD/CAD Swing Trade)🌍 Hello Global Traders! 🌟 Money Makers, Risk Takers, and Market Shakers! 🤑💸✈️ Dive into our USD/CAD "The Loonie" Forex heist, crafted with the signature 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥, blending sharp technicals and deep fundamentals. Follow the strategy outlined in the TradingView chart, focusing on a long entry targeting the high-risk MA Zone. Expect a wild ride with overbought conditions, consolidation, and potential trend reversals where bearish players lurk. 🏆💰 Celebrate your wins, traders—you’ve earned it! 💪🎉 Entry 📈: The vault’s open! Grab bullish opportunities at any price, but for precision, set buy limit orders on a 15 or 30-minute timeframe near swing lows or highs for pullback entries. Stop Loss 🛑: 📍 Place your Thief SL at the recent swing low on the 4H timeframe (1.38500) for scalping or day trades. 📍 Adjust SL based on your risk tolerance, lot size, and number of open orders. Target 🎯: Aim for 1.42500 💵 USD/CAD "The Loonie" is riding a bullish wave, fueled by key market drivers. ☝ Unlock the full picture—dive into Fundamentals, Macro Insights, COT Reports, Quantitative Analysis, Sentiment Outlook, Intermarket Trends, and Future Targets. Check 👉🌎🔗. ⚠️ Trading Alert: News & Position Management 📰🚨 News can shake the market hard. Protect your trades by: Avoiding new entries during news releases. Using trailing stops to lock in profits and shield running positions. 📌 Markets move fast—stay sharp, keep learning, and adapt your strategy as conditions evolve. 💖 Power up our heist! 🚀 Tap the Boost Button to amplify our Thief Trading Style and make stealing profits a breeze. Join our crew, grow stronger, and conquer the markets daily with ease. 🏆🤝❤️ Catch you at the next heist, traders—stay ready! 🤑🐱‍👤🤩
Long
by Thief_Trader
USDCAD: Price Approaching Buying Zone, Will DXY Bounce Back? The USDCAD pair has dropped significantly in recent times, particularly as the DXY index has plummeted. The extremely bearish nature of the DXY suggests that the price of USDCAD is melting. Both fundamental and technical indicators indicate a potential bullish price reversal for this pair, which could potentially hit our first take-profit area. This is a swing analysis, so please give time for the trade to get activated and for it to work out in our favour. Please note that this analysis does not guarantee that the price will move as suggested. Before trading, it’s essential to conduct your own research. If you’d like to assist us, we encourage you to consider the following actions: - Like our ideas - Provide comments on our ideas - Share our ideas Kind regards, Team Setupsfx_ Much love ❤️🚀
Long
by Setupsfx_
10
USDCAD: Weekly AnalysisThe last week sharp fall of the pair was not irrelated to US-Iran negotiations. Possible war in Persian Gulf means higher prices in oil and more raises in CAD. The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones. Some of these points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray. You can enter with/without confirmation. IF you want to take confirmation you can use LTF analysis, Spike move confirmation, Trend Strength confrimation and ETC. SL could be placed below the zone or regarding the LTF swings. TP is the next zone or the nearest moving S&R, which are median and borders of the drawn channels. ******************************************************************* Role of different zones: GREEN: Just long trades allowed on them. RED: Just Short trades allowed on them. BLUE: both long and short trades allowed on them. WHITE: No trades allowed on them! just use them as TP points
Short
by AliSignals
Follow Iran news to take advantage of USDCAD:Dear Traders, follow Iran news! Really do that! Again, Trump negotiations could change everything! How? It's all about oil! any war in the Middle east could rise the oil prices and Loonie will pump! So, any bad news about the US-Iran negotiations, I'll take long trades with cautions. and I'll be ready to take short from any possible Zones. If everything goes normal, I'm ready to take Long/Short after confirmation from the Green and the Blue zones. Expectations: (Just for normal situations, A war in middle east I'll short the pair) The Green zone is not suitable for short trades. The White zone is not suitable for any trades. After all, 71Billion $ for Canda economy is considerable. Persian Gulf is one of the most important energy hubs of the world.
Long
by AliSignals
2
USDCADKey Reasons for CAD Strengthening Today Market-Wide US Dollar Weakness The CAD gained sharply against the USD, rising about 1% and reaching seven-month highs, largely driven by broad US dollar weakness rather than strong Canadian data alone. Renewed tariff threats from US President Donald Trump against the EU and tech companies fueled risk-off sentiment, weakening the USD and benefiting the CAD as a commodity-linked currency. Mid-Tier Canadian Economic Data and Oil Prices Although Canadian economic data this week has been mostly mid-tier and not spectacular, the market focused on stable fundamentals like retail sales and trade balance, which support the currency. Canada’s oil prices, a major export driver, remain supportive, helping underpin the CAD’s value. Inflation and Interest Rate Expectations Canada’s inflation remains somewhat elevated but controlled, with the Bank of Canada (BoC) expected to maintain relatively higher interest rates compared to other economies. This attracts capital inflows and supports the CAD. The BoC’s stance contrasts with expectations of US Federal Reserve easing, contributing to the interest rate differential favoring the CAD. Improved Trade Outlook and Economic Resilience Talks between US and Canadian officials have eased some trade uncertainties, reducing risks to Canadian exports. Canada’s trade deficit narrowed recently, and GDP growth showed resilience in key sectors, supporting market confidence in the CAD. Risk-On Sentiment and Global Capital Flows Investors’ risk appetite improved amid easing fears of a US recession and trade war escalation, leading to increased demand for risk-sensitive currencies like the CAD. Risk-On Market Sentiment Encourages investment in CAD USD and CAD Interest Rate Differential and 10-Year Bond Prices (May 2025) Interest Rate Differential The US 10-year Treasury yield is approximately 4.54% (recent 2025 data). The Canadian 10-year Government Bond yield is slightly lower, around 3.50% to 3.60% (typical range in early 2025). This creates an interest rate differential of roughly 0.9% to 1.0% in favor of the US. Impact of Interest Rate Differential The widening interest rate gap, with US yields higher than Canadian yields by about 1 percentage point, has contributed to a modest depreciation of the Canadian dollar (CAD) against the US dollar (USD) since late 2024. Investors find US assets more attractive due to higher yields, leading to capital flows into USD and downward pressure on CAD. The Bank of Canada’s expected policy rate is around 2.5% by end-2025, while the US Federal Reserve’s expected rate is higher near 3.75–4.0%, reinforcing the yield advantage for USD assets. 10-Year Bond Prices Bond prices move inversely to yields. With US 10-year yields higher, US bond prices have declined relative to Canadian bonds. The higher US yields reflect tighter monetary policy and stronger economic outlook compared to Canada, where monetary policy is expected to be more accommodative. This divergence in bond prices and yields supports the USD’s relative strength versus CAD USD/CAD Exchange Rate and Market Sentiment USD/CAD has been trading in a broad range in 2025, with forecasts varying between 1.25 and 1.45 for the year. The Canadian dollar is considered overvalued by about 9 cents relative to the USD, according to some models. Market analysts expect the USD to maintain moderate strength against CAD due to the interest rate differential and divergent monetary policies. Summary Table Metric USD CAD 10-Year Bond Yield (%) ~4.54% ~3.50–3.60% Interest Rate Differential +0.9% to 1.0% (USD over CAD) — Bond Price Trend Lower (due to higher yield) Higher (due to lower yield) Exchange Rate (USD/CAD) Stronger USD Weaker CAD Conclusion Today’s CAD strength was largely driven by broad US dollar weakness amid renewed trade tensions and tariff threats, combined with stable Canadian economic fundamentals and supportive oil prices. While Canadian data was not overwhelmingly strong, it was sufficient to maintain investor confidence, especially against a weakening USD, resulting in a notable rally in the Canadian dollar. The higher US 10-year bond yields relative to Canada’s have contributed to a significant interest rate differential (~1%), favoring USD assets. This has led to USD strength against CAD and lower US bond prices compared to Canadian bonds. The ongoing divergence in monetary policy outlooks between the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Canada underpins this trend, influencing currency flows and bond market dynamics in 2025.
by Shavyfxhub
USDCAD: 1D Death Cross signals more selling.USDCAD is almost oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 31.307, MACD = -0.005, ADX = 41.498) as it is having one of the strongest red 1D candles of 2025, which is dominated by a Channel Down pattern. The market formed today a 1D Death Cross and since the new bearish wave started on a 1D MA200 rejection, we expect the selling to continue despite the oversold technical condition. Short and aim for a new -3.80% decline TP = 1.35000. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
USD/CAD 1.4000 Rejection -> 2025 LowsUSD-weakness was back in a big way this week and even as other pairs had yielded to the USD-breakout into last Monday, with fresh lows in EUR/USD and fresh highs in USD/JPY - USD/CAD retained its bearish structure with a hold of resistance right at the 1.4000 level. Price is now 250ish pips lower as sellers have went back to work and there's potential for breakdown scenarios given this hold near support following a pullback to the big figure. For those looking to work with pullbacks, there's now resistance potential at prior swing lows 1.3814 and then 1.3846, and USD/CAD remains one of the more attractive venues for a continuation of Dollar weakness as we move towards the final week of May trade. - js
by FOREXcom
USDCAD Wave Analysis – 23 May 2025 - USDCAD reversed from strong resistance area - Likely to fall to support level 1.3755 USDCAD currency pair recently reversed down from the strong resistance area between the round resistance level 1.4000 intersecting with the upper daily Bollinger Band and the resistance trendline of the daily down channel from March. The downward reversal from this resistance area started the C-wave of the active ABC correction (2). USDCAD currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 1.3755 (the former low from the start of May and the target for the completion of the active ABC correction (2)).
Short
by FxProGlobal
USDCAD Is Bullish! Buy! Take a look at our analysis for USDCAD. Time Frame: 10h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is on a crucial zone of demand 1.379. The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 1.387 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
USD/CAD - Triangle Breakout (23.05.2025)The USD/CAD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.3792 2nd Support – 1.3760 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
28