Bearish drop?The Loonie (USD/CAD) is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 1.3580
1st Support: 1.3540
1st Resistance: 1.3601
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
CADUSD trade ideas
Bullilsh bounce?The Loonie (USD/CAD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance which is also a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 1.3576
1st Support: 1.3540
1st Resistance: 1.3629
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDCAD LONG DAILY FORECAST Q3 D4 W27 Y25USDCAD LONG DAILY FORECAST Q3 D4 W27 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily Order block identified
✅4H Order Block identified
✅1H Order Block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
USD/CAD carving out a bottom?The USD/CAD is poking its head above a bearish trend line that has been in place since mid-May, in one of the first signs that suggests we may have seen a low in the Loonie. As well as the trend line, the 21-day exponential is also now below price, further suggesting that the tide is turning.
Key levels
Support levels off this daily chart are seen around 1.3695 then 1.3617
Resistance seen around 1.3750 next, followed by the next round handles like 1.38, 1.39 etc.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
USD/CAD in a Strong Downtrend – Lower Channels Keep FormingUSD/CAD is currently in a strong bearish trend, forming a series of descending channels.
The price initially moved lower within a downward-sloping channel, then broke out to the upside, suggesting a reversal or deeper correction. However, this breakout was short-lived.
Instead of continuing higher, USD/CAD lost momentum and began forming a new descending channel, resuming its bearish movement. This pattern has repeated, each time the price breaks out upward, it quickly shifts back into a new downward channel, making lower lows each time.
This behavior indicates a bearish continuation structure, where temporary upward moves are corrective in nature and serve as setups for the next leg down. The consistent formation of new lower channels after brief pullbacks reflects ongoing selling pressure and trader sentiment favoring the downside.
Potential bearish drop?The Loonie (USD/CAD) has rejected off the pivot, which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 61.8% Fibonacci support.
Pivot: 1.3688
1st Support: 1.3599
1st Resistance: 1.3743
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish reversal?USD/CAD is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3695
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss: 1.3734
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 1.3639
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDCAD buyThe USDCAD 4-hour chart shows a potential long setup, but it comes with increased risk. Price has recently broken above a key resistance-turned-support level and is now pulling back for a possible retest. This could trigger a bullish continuation, especially with the 50 EMA now below price, supporting upward momentum.
However, the setup is riskier because the breakout is still fresh, and there's a chance price could dip back below the support zone.
Bearish reversal?USD/CAD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and the 145% Fibonacci extension and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3656
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 145% Fibonacci extension and the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.3695
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 1.3618
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish rise?USD/CAD has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3660
Why we like it:
There is a a pullback support.
Stop loss: 1.3618
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
Take profit: 1.3780
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USD-CAD Local Rebound! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
USD-CAD is trading in a
Strong downtrend but
The pair made a retest
Of the horizontal support
Level of 1.3540 from where
We are already seeing a
Bullish rebound and we
Will be expecting a
Further move up
Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?USD/CAD has rejected off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3695
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss: 1.3740
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.3618
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDCAD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISUSDCAD has just completed a clean falling wedge breakout—a classic bullish reversal pattern often signaling trend exhaustion. After months of consistent lower highs and lower lows within a well-defined wedge, price has now broken decisively above the descending resistance. The current price sits around 1.367, and we are confidently targeting the 1.407 level in the coming weeks. This breakout aligns perfectly with the seasonal USD strength historically seen in Q3, especially following soft Canadian economic data.
From a fundamental perspective, the Canadian dollar is facing downside pressure amid falling crude oil prices and softening domestic data. Canada’s most recent GDP growth came in below expectations, raising concerns around economic resilience. Meanwhile, the Bank of Canada is expected to remain dovish with growing speculation of another rate cut in the next quarter. In contrast, the US dollar has been gaining traction following stronger-than-expected ISM services data and a better-than-anticipated ADP employment report, supporting the Fed’s “higher for longer” stance on interest rates.
Technically, the breakout is further supported by increasing bullish momentum and a break of market structure on lower timeframes. We’re seeing volume confirmation with this push, adding conviction that buyers are stepping in with strength. The risk-to-reward ratio remains highly favorable here, and any pullback into the 1.36 zone would provide an excellent re-entry opportunity for continuation.
With sentiment shifting in favor of USD bulls and oil-related weakness dragging CAD, USDCAD looks primed for a rally. The 1.407 target aligns with both key resistance levels and Fibonacci projections from the breakout structure. Momentum is with the bulls, and this setup has the potential to deliver solid profits as we head deeper into Q3.
US
USDCAD – July 10 OutlookUSDCAD’s high-risk, high-reward (HRHR) sells from Wednesday are still in play with price currently up 35 pips. Price action remains within the structure as we continue to respect the March trendline, but are now stalling in a tight 4H range.
📍 Key Observations:
1.36647 is acting as strong intraday support
Possible retest of yesterday’s or Wednesday’s high could provide another HRHR sell opportunity
Break below 1.36527 could open the door for a clean 70-pip move toward 1.35827
🔔 Summary: Patience is essential—watching for either another short-term rejection at resistance or a clean structural break to continue the broader bearish bias.
Two Wedges on USD/CAD: Waiting for the FRL ConfirmationWe have two descending wedges on USD/CAD across different timeframes:
H1: Clean falling wedge structure since March, price near the lower boundary.
H4: Same wedge structure, aligning with the larger phase.
FRL Entry Confirmation:
Following the Fractal Reversal Law (FRL), we do not enter immediately.
We wait for:
✅ A full candle close above the neckline of the local double bottom,
✅ Where the neckline on H1 aligns precisely with the 100 SMA.
This confirms phase reversal and removes noise, making the entry safe.
🎯 Targets:
1️⃣ 1.36676 – First take profit, retesting the neckline break.
2️⃣ 1.37914 – Mid-term target, wedge mid-level.
3️⃣ 1.38561 – 1.40155 – Full wedge top, long-term objective.
Why This Matters:
✅ Positive US unemployment data supports USD strength.
✅ The wedge is 3+ months wide, adding reliability to the breakout.
✅ Alignment with 100 SMA increases the accuracy of FRL signals.
✅ The trade offers a clear Risk/Reward above 1:2.5.
Trading is capital management under uncertainty.
The red horizontal zone is uncertainty; the neckline is the Rubicon where the market becomes clear. Don’t fear uncertainty. Wait for clarity.
Heading into 50% Fibonacci resistance?USD/CAD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3681
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.3734
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Take profit: 1.3594
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDCAD My Opinion! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for USDCAD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.3669
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.3621
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Weekly Forecast Based on Simplified Wave Analysis for USD/CADThe downward wave that formed on the USD/CAD chart tis year has been followed by a corrective move since late May. The pair is largely confined to a sideways price channel. The current wave structure remains incomplete, lacking final segment.
Forecast:
The pair may decline further in the coming days, reaching the support zone. A reversal and upward movement from support may follow. The resistance zone reflects the upper boundary of the pair's expected weekly volatility.
Potential Reversal Zones
Resistance: 1.3800/ 1.3850
Support: 1.3640/ 1.3590
Recommendations:
Selling: Possible intraday in small volumes, not beyond the support zone.
Buying: Consider only after confirmed reversal signals appear near support.