USDCAD: Breakout & Bearish Continuation 🇺🇸🇨🇦
USDCAD broke and closed below a key intraday/daily horizontal support cluster.
I expect a bearish trend continuation after its retest.
Next goal - 1.376
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
CADUSD trade ideas
BUY USDCAD for bearish trend reversal STOP LOSS : 1.37774 BUY USDCAD for bearish trend reversal
STOP LOSS : 1.37774
Regular Bullish Divergence
In case of Regular Bullish Divergence:
* The Indicator shows Higher Lows
* Actual Market Price shows Lower Lows
We can see a strong divergence on the MACD already and There is a strong trend reversal on the daily time frame chart.....
The daily time frame is showing strength of trend reversal from this strong level of Support so we are looking for the trend reversal and correction push from here .....
TAKE PROFIT : take profit will be when the trend comes to an end, feel from to send me a direct DM if you have any question about take profit or anything
Remember to risk only what you are comfortable with…….trading with the trend, patient and good risk management is the key to success here
USDCAD Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for USDCAD.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 1.385.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 1.396 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
USDCAD A break of the 4hr structure would call for the following, A break of the daily that would lead us breaking the 4hr BOT. Unless Trump does the unthinkable, this will be a good swing trade to hold.
Based on the weekly, it would indicate the end of the W. counter trend and a continuation of the bullish move
USD/CAD Analysis (30min TimeframeUSD/CAD
Timeframe: 30-Minute Chart
Trend: Bearish (within a descending channel)
---
Entry Point:
Entry Price: 1.38192 (current market price marked on chart)
---
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 1.37812 (labeled "TARGET 1")
Final TP (TP2): 1.37374 (labeled "TARGET 2")
---
Support Levels:
1.37812 – First major support level (TP1)
1.37374 – Second strong support level (TP2, previous structure low)
---
Resistance Levels:
1.38192 – Current entry zone and minor resistance (short-term reaction level)
1.38400 - 1.38500 – Mid-channel resistance area
1.38700+ – Upper trendline resistance (from channel)
---
Chart Structure:
Descending Channel: Price is respecting a downward sloping parallel channel.
Bearish Momentum: Lower highs and lower lows.
Entry at Pullback: Entry aligns with a pullback to channel mid-zone.
---
Suggested Caption to Share with Your Client:
> USD/CAD Trade Setup (30-Min Chart):
Price is trending inside a descending channel.
Entry: 1.38192
TP1: 1.37812
Final TP: 1.37374
Trend: Bearish
Expecting continuation to downside after pullback.
Key Resistance: 1.38400–1.38700
Key Support: 1.37812, 1.37374
Watch for bearish confirmation at entry level before executing.
USD/CAD - Channel Pattern (22.04.2025)The USD/CAD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.3771
2nd Support – 1.3745
🎁 Please hit the like button and
🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post !
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING
Thank you.
USDCAD Will Explode! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for USDCAD is below:
The market is trading on 1.3840 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 1.3958
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDCAD Ready to Collapse? COT Signals a Bearish Storm!🔎 1. COT Context – Canadian Dollar (CAD)
Asset Managers: Consistently net short for most of the period, but since January 2025, there's been a strong recovery—net positions have become progressively less negative. By mid-April, they’re still short, but significantly less so.
Leveraged Money: Also heavily short in December 2024, but showing a clear bullish reversal starting in early 2025, with net positions turning increasingly positive on CAD.
✅ Interpretation: There's been a clear sentiment shift from bearish to bullish on CAD starting late 2024. This adds downward pressure on USDCAD.
💵 2. COT Context – US Dollar Index (USD)
Asset Managers: Consistently long, but reducing their net exposure since late March 2025.
Leveraged Money: Opposite of CAD – heavily short in December 2024, now recovering, though without strong momentum. Positions are hovering around neutral.
⚠️ Interpretation: While CAD grows stronger, USD shows signs of indecision or profit-taking. This amplifies the bearish bias on USDCAD.
📉 3. Technical Analysis – USDCAD
Current Price: 1.38369, right near a strong demand zone between 1.3700 – 1.3830, which has already been tested multiple times.
The current weekly candle is forming a doji or pin bar, hinting at a potential technical bounce.
Key Resistance: 1.45215 (monthly high).
Key Support: 1.3700. A breakdown below this could trigger a move toward 1.3480.
RSI: Neutral to slightly bearish, no major divergences observed.
🧠 Technical Outlook:
If the 1.3700–1.3830 zone holds, we might see a corrective bounce toward 1.4000–1.4100.
If that zone breaks, expect a bearish continuation toward 1.3580–1.3480.
📊 Trade Summary
Fundamental Bias (COT): Bearish USDCAD → Strong CAD, weakening USD.
Technical Bias: Neutral to bearish, potential for short-term bounce before continuation.
🧭 Trade Plan
🎯 Short on pullback toward 1.4000–1.4100 with stop above 1.4150, targeting 1.3600–1.3500.
🎯 Breakout trade below 1.3700 → Enter on daily close confirmation, target 1.3480.
Could the Loonie reverse from here?USD/CAD is reacting off the support level which is an overlap support and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3833
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Stop loss: 1.3616
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 88% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.4098
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Good strong short on this pair "USDCAD"From my point of view I see market clearly indicating aa strong will for a sell of CAD due to some unseen circumstances its just an ideas that may like come into light if my POI is validated at my price, placing a short for this week. hoping to buy more CAD over US dollars.
USD/CAD – Bullish Reversal Brewing from Key Support (Daily ChartAfter an extended leg lower, USD/CAD is now posting signs of basing near major support at the 1.3815–1.3800 zone. The sellers appear to be exhausting, and bulls may be preparing for a counter-trend rally or even a shift in structure if momentum aligns.
🔍 Technical Setup:
Key Support Holding: Price is respecting the 1.3815–1.3800 area, a level that previously acted as resistance and is now serving as strong support.
Stochastic Momentum: Stochs are deeply oversold and beginning to curl upward, signaling early bullish momentum and potential for a reversal move.
Candlestick Behavior: Multiple small-bodied candles with long lower wicks at this level suggest buyer absorption and fading bearish strength.
EMA Watch: The 8 & 36 EMAs are still bearish, but price consolidating below them could set up a mean reversion play targeting the 1.4180 zone, where EMAs and prior structure converge.
⏫ Bullish Bias Drivers:
Daily Bullish Divergence Watch: Price is printing lower lows, but momentum is failing to confirm — potential for bullish divergence to support a bounce.
Clear Rejection of Bear Continuation: Despite bearish trend structure, there’s no daily close below 1.3800 — which could mean a bull trap failed to trigger.
Measured Move Potential: If this bounce gains traction, a swing move into the 1.4180 resistance zone (former structure and EMA confluence) is on the table.
🌐 Macro Fundamentals Backing a Bounce:
DXY Softness: The U.S. Dollar Index is weakening amid softer economic data and renewed trade concerns. If this cools off, we could see short-term strength as USD rebalances.
Canadian Dollar Sensitivity: Oil prices are high, but extended gains could stall — offering USD/CAD a window to lift off this oversold zone.
Positioning and Sentiment: Bearish sentiment on USD/CAD is becoming crowded — potential for a short squeeze if momentum flips.