USDCAD INTRADAY range trading capped at 1.4050The USDCAD pair is exhibiting a bearish sentiment, reinforced by the ongoing downtrend. The key trading level to watch is at 1.4060, which represents the current intraday swing low and the falling resistance trendline level.
In the short term, an oversold rally from current levels, followed by a bearish rejection at the 1.4060 resistance, could lead to a downside move targeting support at 1.3780, with further potential declines to 1.3730 and 1.3630 over a longer timeframe.
On the other hand, a confirmed breakout above the 1.4060 resistance level and a daily close above that mark would invalidate the bearish outlook. This scenario could pave the way for a continuation of the rally, aiming to retest the 1.4080 resistance, with a potential extension to 1.4160 levels.
Conclusion:
Currently, the USDCAD sentiment remains bearish, with the 1.4060 level acting as a pivotal resistance. Traders should watch for either a bearish rejection at this level or a breakout and daily close above it to determine the next directional move. Caution is advised until the price action confirms a clear break or rejection.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
CADUSD trade ideas
USDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W19 D7 Y25USDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W19 D7 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Intraday breaks of structure
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
✅15' order block identified
✅ inconclusive regarding 15' mitigated, therefore 5' order block identified after potential 15' mitigation
✅4 Hour order block
✅4 Hour 50 EMA
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
USD_CAD WILL GO DOWN|SHORT|
✅USD_CAD is consolidating
Beneath the horizontal resistance
Of 1.3862 so we are bearish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bearish move down
This trading week
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USDCAD Is Bullish! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDCAD.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 1.378.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 1.399 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
BUY USDCAD for bearish false breakout STOP LOSS : STOP LOSS BUY USDCAD for bearish false breakout
STOP LOSS : STOP LOSS position is left opened ( am only closing this trade based on a candle stick pattern)
First what is false breakout, A false breakout in Forex occurs when the price breaks through a key level (like support or resistance) but quickly reverses and returns to its original range, often trapping traders who were expecting a continuation of the breakout. It's essentially a false signal, indicating a potential trend reversal or continuation, but the price doesn't follow through....
Secondly what is divergence ,In forex trading, divergence occurs when the price of a currency pair moves in one direction, while a technical indicator (like an oscillator) moves in the opposite direction. This mismatch can signal a potential trend reversal or weakening trend. There are two main types: bullish and bearish divergence........
On this trade we are taking it because we saw regular bullish Divergence,
Regular Bullish Divergence
In case of Regular Bullish Divergence:
* The Indicator shows Higher Lows
* Actual Market Price shows Lower Lows
We can see a strong divergence on the RSI already and There is a strong trend reversal on the daily time frame chart.....
The daily time frame is showing strength of trend reversal from this strong level of Support so we are looking for the trend reversal and correction push from here .....
TAKE PROFIT : take profit will be when the trend comes to an end, feel from to send me a direct DM if you have any question about take profit or anything
Remember to risk only what you are comfortable with…….trading with the trend, patient and good risk management is the key to success here
Usdcad PWL?!Good day traders, we back with USDCAD on the 4h TF. Well for this setup I am looking for price to take out out previous week low, previous week we had a candle stick pattern recognition after we saw price move lower but failing to close lower told a different story that price is not yet ready to start moving higher which honestly speaking was my bias last week. For the rest of the day I believe we can expect lower prices to close the day.
USDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W19 D6 Y25USDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W19 D6 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Intraday breaks of structure
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
✅15' order block identified
✅ inconclusive regarding 15' mitigated, therefore 5' order block identified after potential 15' mitigation
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Watching carefully USDCAD this weekWith the abundance of US & CAN data this week, we may see some interesting action in USDCAD pair.
Let's dig in.
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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USDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W19 D5 Y25USDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W19 D5 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Intraday breaks of structure
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
✅15' order block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
USDCAD Monthly – Seller Initiative in PlayHey traders and investors!
Take a look at the monthly chart of USDCAD.
The price has been in a sideways range for quite some time, and the seller initiative is currently active.
📌 At the upper boundary of the range, a seller zone (red box) has formed, along with a seller-side Decision bar (IKC), which has now hit the buyer zone (blue box).
⚠️ With this structure, it makes more sense to look for short setups.
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
Wishing you profitable trades!
USDCADON THE 4HR TIMEFRAME
⚡️We established the key monthly zone.
⚡️weekly trendline.
⚡️wide divergence all signaling bullish and hence rhyming with the monthly,
⚡️weekly and daily bullish bias.
Our confirmation will be the break of the 4hr trend line for a possible quick entry long!!
It's Bullish🚀 guyss
USDCADThis 4-hour chart of USD/CAD presents a bearish channel setup, signaling continuation of the downtrend. Here's a breakdown of the technical context:
Trend & Structure Analysis:
🔻 Descending Channel:
The price is respecting a downward-sloping channel (highlighted in red).
Lower highs are marked by red arrows showing consistent rejection at the upper trendline.
🔹 EMA Resistance:
EMA 9 (blue line) and EMA 21 (orange line) are above price and sloping downward.
The 9 EMA is currently at 1.38199, reinforcing resistance in this area.
🔹 Horizontal Levels:
Daily Resistance around 1.38554 has been rejected repeatedly.
Immediate support lies around 1.37603.
Fibonacci Levels & Bearish Projection:
Fibonacci retracement from a recent swing shows:
0.382 ≈ 1.38241
0.5 ≈ 1.38133 (currently acting as resistance)
Fibonacci Extensions (Downside Targets):
1.618 = 1.36972
2.618 = 1.35951
3.618 = 1.34930
4.236 = 1.34371 (aligns with Daily Demand Zone)
Trade Setup Idea (Short Bias):
Bias: Bearish while price stays below the descending channel’s upper boundary and EMA resistance.
Entry: Near 1.3813–1.3824 (after a potential pullback)
Stop-Loss: Above 1.3855 (daily resistance)
Targets:
TP1: 1.3760
TP2: 1.3697
TP3: 1.3595
TP4: 1.3437 (Daily Demand Zone)
USDCAD Key Levels in SightUSDCAD is mirroring the DXY’s broader trend — rebounding off oversold momentum levels last seen in 2021 and facing resistance due to softer US economic data.
• Bullish scenario: A break and hold above 1.4020 may open the way for gains toward 1.4080, 1.4150, and 1.4270.
• Bearish scenario: A decisive break below 1.3930 could trigger further downside toward 1.3830, 1.3750, and 1.3600.
Key Events to watch for next week:
- Canadian CPI on Tuesday
- Canadian Retail Sales on Friday
- US Trade Deal Developments
Written by Razan Hilal,CMT
USD/CAD(20250516)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Fed Chairman Powell: The Fed is adjusting its overall policy-making framework. Zero interest rate is no longer a basic situation. The wording of underemployment and average inflation rate needs to be reconsidered. PCE is expected to drop to 2.2% in April.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.3972
Support and resistance levels:
1.4020
1.4002
1.3990
1.3953
1.3941
1.3923
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.3972, consider buying, the first target price is 1.3990
If the price breaks through 1.3953, consider selling, the first target price is 1.3941
USDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W20 D16 Y25USDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W20 D16 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Intraday breaks of structure
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
✅15' order block identified
✅4 Hour order block
✅4 Hour 50 EMA
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Long trade
1Hr TF overview
30 TF entry
🟩 Buyside Trade Log
📈 Pair: USD/CAD
🏷️ Type: Intraday | Tokyo Session PM
🧠 Setup: Breakout
🆔 Trade ID: #USDCAD-0512A
📅 Date: Monday, 12th May 2025
🕔 Time: 5:00 PM
🔹 Entry Price: 1.39273
🔹 Profit Target: 1.41764 (+1.79%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 1.38991 (-0.20%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 8.83
🔍 Reasoning: Price action context
Buyside trade initiated based on Wyckoff methodology, identifying accumulation phases during the Tokyo PM session. Breakout entry was timed as price moved out of the accumulation zone, aligning with Phase D, where price begins to mark up toward higher liquidity zones.
usdcad RBR demand zone O/S range here we have a clear rally base rally outside the range on usd-cad. On the 5 min we had a strong move away. the market then gave us a great fair value. big range allowing us a lot of room for profit. the market tapped into the zone the second time on May 14th 5 days after its creation
USDCAD Is Bullish! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDCAD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.398.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.401 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
USD/CAD Recovery Faces First TestPrice marked an outside-weekly reversal off key support last week with USD/CAD rallying more than 1.9% off the lows. The advance is now testing initial resistance hurdles at 1.3962/97 - a region defined by the 52-week moving average, the 2022 swing high, and the 23.6% retracement of the yearly range.
The immediate focus is on a reaction off this mark with key resistance eyed just higher at the 38.2% retracement near 1.4150 . Note that the March channel line converges on this threshold over the next few weeks and a breach / close above would be needed to suggest a more significant low as registered last week / a larger trend reversal is underway. Subsequent resistance objectives seen at the high-week close (HWC) at 1.4292 and the 2025 yearly open at 1.4383 .
Initial weekly support rests at the 1.39 -hande with key support unchanged at 1.3729/95 - a region defined by the 38.2% retracement of the 2021 advance and the 61.8% retracement of the late-2023 advance. A break / weekly close below this pivot zone would threaten another bout of accelerated declines with initial support objectives seen at 1.618% extension of the February decline / 78.6% retracement at 1.3504/23 .
Bottom line: USD/CAD has responded to confluent uptrend support with the recovery now testing initial resistance- risk for possible price inflection here. From a trading standpoint, losses should be limited to the 1.39-handle IF price is heading higher on this stretch with a close above this pivo zone needed to fuel the next leg of the advance. Watch the weekly closes for guidance here.
-MB
Positive US-China trade talks maintain upward momentum for USD🔔🔔🔔 USD/CAD news:
➡️ USD/CAD is on track for a fifth consecutive daily gain, hovering around 1.3970 during Tuesday’s European session. However, the pair faced some resistance as the U.S. dollar pulled back ahead of the highly anticipated U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for April, which is scheduled to be released later in the North American session.
Personal opinion:
➡️ Despite a slight decline in the U.S. dollar, the USD/CAD pair remains supported by positive developments in the U.S.-China trade negotiations.
➡️ This breakthrough has boosted market sentiment and is viewed as a positive sign for global trade stability. As a result, it is expected to support the U.S. dollar, allowing the USD/CAD pair to continue its upward trend.
➡️ Analysis based on important resistance - support and Fibonacci levels combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
FM's personal plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy USD/CAD 1.3970- 1.3980
❌SL: 1.3940 | ✅TP: 1.4040
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰