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Canadian Dollar / U.S. Dollar

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USDCAD Under PressureSeveral negative data points were released this week for the US dollar, led by the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change, which posted its lowest reading since March 2023 at just 37K. Additionally, the Non-Manufacturing PMI fell below the key 50 level, recording 49.9. These readings add further downside pressure on the US dollar. On the other hand, the Bank of Canada kept interest rates steady at 2.75%. Technical Outlook on the Daily Chart The US Dollar against the Canadian Dollar (USDCAD) is trading in a general downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows, confirming the bearish momentum. Traders should monitor any corrective rise toward the 1.38164 level as a potential opportunity to continue the downtrend and target 1.36015. However, a break and daily candle close above 1.38611 would invalidate the bearish scenario. Note Markets are anticipating the US and Canadian employment data due on Friday, June 6, 2025. Significant volatility is expected upon their release, especially for the USDCAD pair.
by CFI
CAD/USD TRADE ALERT – SELL NOW Sell Entry Point: 1.37216CAD/USD TRADE ALERT – SELL NOW Sell Entry Point: 1.37216 🎯 Final Target: 1.36497 📉 Bearish setup forming – opportunity in play! 🔍 Watching key resistance near 1.3720 📊 Downside momentum could take us toward 1.36497 🧠 Patience and precision matter in execution. 🛑 Always use a stop-loss – protect your capital! ⚠️ Risk Management is NON-NEGOTIABLE 📉 Don't overleverage – smart sizing = long-term survival. 📈 Know your levels – plan before you enter. 🔄 Let the trade play out – no panic, no FOMO. 🧭 Stay focused, stick to your setup. 💡 Each trade is a lesson – win or lose. 🗺️ Economic factors in play – stay informed. 💬 Drop your CAD/USD analysis below! 📚 Consistency beats intensity in trading. ⏳ Trust the process, not the noise. 🙌 Trade with confidence, not hope. 🚨 Watch the charts – price action leads the way. #CADUSD #ForexTrade #SellSetup #RiskManagement #DisciplineMatters
Short
by GoldTradersEdge
3
USDCAD Price Rebounding from Key Support as CAD WeakensUSDCAD is showing signs of a potential reversal from key support around the 1.3700–1.3685 zone. The pair had been declining steadily but recent weakness in the Canadian Dollar — driven by soft economic data and oil market uncertainty — is starting to shift momentum back in favor of the U.S. Dollar. As long as support holds, there is room for a bullish continuation toward 1.3860 or higher in the near term. Technical Analysis (4H Chart) Trend Structure: After a strong impulsive drop earlier in May, USDCAD formed a rounded bottom near 1.3685, followed by a corrective bounce. The recent retracement toward the support area is forming a potential higher low setup. Support Zone: Primary Support: 1.3700–1.3685 This is a clean structure zone and previous demand level. Price tested this area on May 24–25 and rebounded sharply. Resistance Zone: Short-Term Target: 1.3849–1.3860 This is the next major horizontal resistance, and aligns with previous price congestion before the latest decline. Price Projection: The chart suggests a bullish wave may develop from the support zone, targeting the 1.3860 level. If broken, a further move toward 1.3920 (May swing high) is possible. Invalidation Level: A daily close below 1.3680 would negate the bullish bias and signal a deeper correction or trend continuation lower. Fundamental Analysis U.S. Dollar (USD) Drivers: Q1 GDP second estimate shows steady but modest growth. Consumer Confidence fell recently, capping upside for the USD short term. The Fed remains cautious, signaling that inflation risks persist — keeping interest rates elevated, which supports USD. U.S. Treasury yields have been stable to slightly higher, also helping support the dollar. Canadian Dollar (CAD) Drivers: Canada's balance of payments posted a larger-than-expected deficit in Q1 — a negative for CAD. Oil prices, which heavily influence CAD, have been under pressure from global demand uncertainty. Domestic demand is softening: flat retail sales and weak trade balance data reduce CAD appeal. Bank of Canada is showing signs of policy caution, especially as inflation slows faster than in the U.S. Conclusion Outlook: Short-term bullish USDCAD is likely to bounce from the 1.3700–1.3685 zone and retest 1.3849–1.3860 if CAD weakness continues. Trade Plan (if trading): Buy Zone: 1.3700–1.3685 Target: 1.3860 Stop Loss: Below 1.3680 (structure break) The pair is fundamentally supported by CAD weakness and technically primed for a rebound — but confirmation from price action near support is critical.
Long
by ultreosforex
18
USDCAD MARKET ANALYSIS AND PRICE PREDICTIONUSDCAD , has retested the rejection and order zone. Price has already grabbed the Sell Side liquidity and upward movement is mostly certain. An institutional Buy order is going to push the price up. The first target is the breaker block at the renegotiation trend line at 1.37837, and the second target is the renegotiation resistance at 1.38595 to clear off the Buy side liquidity. Entry is now. Entry, take profits and stop loss are clearly stated on the chats. GOOD LUCK GUYS! DIDCLAIMER This analysis might fail due to market uncertainties. Take full responsibility of your capital and manage your own risk!
Long
by Akpambang
5
USDCAD Will Explode! BUY! My dear followers, This is my opinion on the USDCAD next move: The asset is approaching an important pivot point 1.3654 Bias - Bullish Safe Stop Loss - 1.3603 Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market. Goal - 1.3751 About Used Indicators: For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
USDCAD POTENTIAL LONG OPPORTUNITY...HISTORY REPEATS ITSELFHey hey TradingView fam! It has been a minute (more like months lol) since I've done a post on here for you guys so just wanted to come on and drop an potential swing trade opportunity I see on the USDCAD currency pair! So let's get straight to it OK so it is pretty straight forward (at least in my eyes) but as you can see on the chart USDCAD is coming into a weekly demand zone. IF you are unfamiliar with what a "demand zone" is it is actually very simple. Think of it this way...a buyer zone/area. Literally simple as that. It is a previous zone that a buyer was interested in before. How do we know that? One of the most incredible thing about the charts is that it is like a receipt. It shows the transactions that have taken place. SO...when we look left back @ the 1.3600 price handle we can see that there was aggressive buying that took place here. How do we know? THE CHART LITERALLY ROSE/SKYROCKETED FROM THIS LEVEL. Ever heard of the phrase history repeats itself? It is ESPECIALLY true in the markets! OK so hopefully you guys got some nuggets from this post was more of a psychological breakdown than anything but truly want to help those of you who may see the charts as this complicated phenomena to realize that it is actually so so simple. And my main goal is to make trading simple again. Love & appreciate you all! Thanks for tuning in! If you found some value in this please boost this post & follow my page for accurate analysis and simple trading! Cheers!
Long
by JosePips
UCAD Bears Ready to Break 2 Month Long Falling Support??OANDA:USDCAD has been supported by a Falling Support Trend line since August 14th and here soon Price could potentially give us a Bearish Break to that Trend line! Once a Breakout is validated, we could look for a Retest Set-Up for some Short Opportunities to take Price down to the Support Zone created by the August and September 2024 Lows. An interesting fact to point out is if you observe the reaction of Price when it tests the Falling Support, we can see Price arc and the following reactions arc smaller, suggesting Bulls are losing strength on the push off of the Falling Support! Price Action is being heavily driven by Fundamentals in the markets this week: -USD- ADP Non-Farm Employment - Previous 60K / Forecast 111K / Actual 37K ISM Services PMI - Previous 51.6 / Forecast 52 / Actual 49.9 ISM Manufacturing PMI - Previous 48.7 / Forecast 49.3 / Actual 48.5 ISM Manufacturing Prices - Previous 69.8 / Forecast 70.2 / Actual 48.5 Unemployment Claims - Previous 239K / Forecast 236K / Actual 247K *Average Hourly Earnings, Non-Farm Employment and Unemployment Rate are to be released tomorrow -CAD- BOC held Interest Rates @ 2.75% Ivey PMI - Previous 47.9 / Forecast 48.3 / Actual 48.9 *Employment Change and Unemployment are to be released tomorrow With BOC holding Interest Rates and the Federal Reserve possibly looking to cut rates because of a "softening labor market", this could fuel CAD to overcome the pair and put Bears in control to pull Prices lower! www.tradingview.com
Short
by Novi_Fibonacci
USDCAD massive breakout on Friday? - superswingI´m expecting massive breakout of this pair on Friday due to US (and CAD) NFP. If you decide to trade this pair, you can enter now at current market price 1,38218 or wait for premium-rejection zone at 1,39300-600. Personally I will use the 1. option and average higher if market let me. Use logical size to trade this idea. Every red line is a rejection zone, so TP your trade partially at these line. Do not try to reach the final target with full size. You can consider to trail your profit by moving the SL continuously down when red line is reached. Wish you good luck.
Short
by Rendon1
2
USD/CAD under pressure as RBC warns of dollar overvaluationRBC Global Asset Management has warned that the U.S. dollar appears significantly overvalued. The firm points to the ballooning U.S. budget deficit—now forecast to surpass $1.9 trillion this year—as a key factor behind its bearish outlook. RBC's position might be reflected in the FX market with the USD/CAD under pressure. The pair has been forming lower highs and lower lows since late May, suggesting a potential continuation of the short-term downtrend. Key support levels to watch might include 1.3640, 1.3600, and potentially 1.3560 if selling accelerates. On the upside, a recovery might need to break above 1.3720, with further resistance possibly around 1.3760 and 1.3820.
by BlackBull_Markets
2
USDCAD BUY SIGNAL Entry Point: 1.36800USDCAD BUY SIGNAL Entry Point: 1.36800 🎯 Target 1: 1.37500 🎯 Target 2: 1.38000 🎯 Final Target: 1.38300 ⚠️ Risk Management is CRUCIAL – Use a proper stop-loss every time – Don’t overexpose your account – Risk only what fits your strategy 📊 Trade Setup Insight: – Price rebounding from support – Bullish structure forming – Momentum favoring upside push ✅ Book profits at each level ✅ Adjust SL to breakeven after T1 ✅ Patience > Emotion in trading 📌 Consistency brings results 📌 Follow your system – not the crowd 📌 Capital protection = long-term success 📢 Educational purposes only – trade smart, trade safe!
Long
by GoldTradersEdge