USDCADPair trading in a range. Target 1 hit and now moving to target 2. Pair moving to daily zone.Shortby PreniFX1
USDCAD All scenarios Covered Below is a multi‐timeframe synthesis for USDCAD incorporating the Weekly, Daily, 4H, and 1H charts you provided. We’ll conclude with actionable trade ideas (both bullish and bearish scenarios) with asymmetric risk‐to‐reward. Finally, we’ll outline risk management best practices (including ATR‐based stops) and a quick recap on how to post these setups on TradingView. 1) Weekly Recap • Trend: Strongly bullish since mid‐2023. Price remains above the 10/50/100/200 SMAs. • Overextension? Slightly. Price tapped 1.46–1.48 highs before pulling back. • Support Zones: • 1.40–1.41 (confluence of weekly demand & 20 SMA Bollinger middle). • 1.37–1.38 (key bullish order block & 50/100 SMAs). • Resistance: 1.46–1.48 (recent local highs + possible weekly supply). • Momentum: RSI remains above 60 (slightly cooling), MACD still positive but histogram rolling over. Overall big‐picture bias is bullish, but price may be pausing or correcting before another leg up. 2) Daily Recap • Structure: In an uptrend on the daily, but momentum has flattened. Recent price action between ~1.42 and ~1.46. • Key Levels: • Support near 1.41–1.42 (fib 38.2% & bullish OB). • Resistance near 1.46 (upper Bollinger + prior highs). • Indicators: RSI ~50, MACD near zero, OBV generally up, ADX dropping → momentum stalling, no strong impetus short‐term. • Daily Bias: Still bullish in bigger picture, but short‐term neutral/consolidative. Possible deeper pullback toward 1.41–1.40 if 1.42 fails. 3) 4H Recap • Range Choppiness: Price has oscillated between ~1.43 and ~1.45 for weeks. • MAs Clustered: 10/50/100/200 all relatively close → no dominant short‐term trend. • Breakout Points: • Above 1.445–1.45 for bullish continuation. • Below 1.43 for a deeper correction. • Momentum Indicators: RSI around 40–45, MACD flipping near zero, ADX < 25 → subdued short‐term trend. • 4H Bias: Range‐bound until a decisive break. Leaning bullish in the bigger sense, but short‐term direction is unclear. 4) 1H (Intraday) Recap • Recent Whipsaws: Sharp spikes around 1.45–1.4550, then abrupt drops to 1.43. • Moving Averages: 10/50/100/200 MAs frequently crossing, typical of a sideways or whipsaw environment. • RSI: ~37–40, mildly oversold intraday. Rebounds to 50–60 have quickly reversed. • MACD: Also crossing zero frequently, reflecting short‐term indecision & high volatility. • ATR: ~0.0036 (≈36 pips average hourly range), meaning intraday moves are quite volatile at the moment. 1H Conclusion • Price is bearish‐leaning intraday (lower highs, falling from 1.45+ to 1.43). But it sits in the broader daily/weekly range. • Good for short‐term fades near range extremes (e.g., short near 1.445/1.45 or buy near 1.43) until a real breakout. 5) Potential Trade Scenarios & Setups Below are three main scenarios—two on the bullish side (continuation & dip‐buy) and one bearish breakdown. Each includes approximate Entries, Stops, and Targets with at least a 1:1.5 or 1:2 R:R in mind. Important: These are technical scenarios, not financial advice. Always confirm with your own risk tolerance and fundamental factors. A) Bullish Breakout Trade (Short‐Term to Medium‐Term) 1. Trigger: A 4H or Daily close above 1.445–1.450 (preferably with rising volume & momentum signals on 1H/4H). 2. Entry: Near 1.445–1.450 after seeing a confirmed breakout candle (and retest if possible). 3. Stop‐Loss: • For a tighter approach, place stops just below the breakout pivot (~1.437–1.440). • For a swing approach, you could place stops below 1.43 structure. • Use ATR: If 4H ATR is ~0.006 (60 pips), you might set a 1.5×ATR ≈ 90 pips stop. If the break triggers at 1.448, a 90‐pip stop is around 1.439. 4. Targets: • First target ~1.46 (recent highs). • Second target ~1.48 (weekly supply & psychological level). 5. R:R Example: • Entry: 1.448, Stop: 1.438 (100 pips from 1.448 to 1.438 = 0.0100 in the quote). • Target1: 1.46 (120 pips from entry) → R:R ~1.2 • Target2: 1.48 (320 pips from entry if comparing properly, that’s 1.48 minus 1.448 → 0.032, actually 320 pips in five‐digit quotes might be 320 “points” or ~320 ticks. On typical 4 decimal USDCAD, that’s 320 pips. This can yield a 1:3+ if you hold for a bigger run. • Adjust as needed so that the first partial or the final exit is at least 1:1.5 or 1:2. Rationale: Aligns with the larger weekly uptrend, momentum might reignite if we clear overhead supply. Watch for RSI crossing above 60 (on 4H or daily) plus a bullish MACD cross/histogram expansion to confirm. B) Bullish Dip‐Buy (Swing) 1. Trigger: A pullback into strong daily/weekly support—1.41–1.42. 2. Entry: Look for bullish reversal patterns (double bottom, bullish engulfing, etc.) around 1.41–1.42. 3. Stop‐Loss: • Below 1.40 or below the swing low if it forms. • Use daily ATR ~0.010 (100 pips) → you might place a 2×ATR stop = 200 pips from your entry. If you enter at 1.415, your stop might be near 1.395. 4. Targets: • First target: 1.44–1.45 area (back toward recent daily range top). • Second target: 1.46–1.48 if the uptrend momentum recovers. 5. R:R Example: • Entry ~1.415, Stop ~1.395 (200 pips difference). • Target1 ~1.445 (300 pips difference) → 1:1.5 R:R. • Target2 ~1.46+ → 1:2 or better. Rationale: This trade capitalizes on the bigger bullish structure from the weekly. The idea is that the market might flush out weak longs, but ultimately hold a major fib & SMA confluence near 1.41–1.42, then resume upward. C) Bearish Breakdown (Short‐Term to Possibly Medium‐Term) 1. Trigger: A 4H close below 1.43 with volume + failing retest or a clear break under 1.42 (for a stronger signal). 2. Entry: ~1.428–1.430 on a breakdown or retest from below. 3. Stop‐Loss: • Just above the broken support (~1.435–1.438). • 1H ATR is ~0.0036 (36 pips), 4H ATR ~0.006 (60 pips). You might opt for a 1.5–2× ATR from the breakdown area. 4. Targets: • First target ~1.415–1.41. • Second target near 1.40 or 1.39 if the daily/timeframe correction accelerates. 5. R:R Example: • Entry ~1.430, Stop ~1.438 (80 pips difference). • Target1 ~1.415 (150 pips difference from 1.430 to 1.415) → ~1:1.9 R:R. • Target2 ~1.40 → ~300 pips difference → 1:3+. Rationale: If 1.43 fails, it could open a deeper correction to that 1.41 or 1.40 region. This scenario may simply be a short‐term trade against the bigger weekly uptrend, or it might catch a larger swing if the daily market truly shifts momentum. 6) Risk Management & ATR Position Sizing • 1% Max Risk: • If your stop is X pips away, ensure your position size is such that 1% of your account is the total potential loss. • Using ATR: • For a 4H or daily swing, you might place your stop 1.5–2× the ATR below (for a buy) or above (for a sell) your entry, giving the trade sufficient “breathing room.” • Example: If daily ATR is ~100 pips, a 2×ATR stop is 200 pips away from your entry. • Calculate position size as: • For USDCAD, if each pip is worth $1.00 per standard lot, you adjust proportionally. • Avoid Negative R:R: Always align your profit targets so the trade has the potential of at least 1:1.5 or better. If the setup doesn’t offer that, skip it. 7) How to Post Your Idea on TradingView 1. Open the Chart: Bring up USDCAD on TradingView with your final analysis drawn (trendlines, fib levels, etc.). 2. Use the Long/Short Position Tool: • Mark your Entry where you plan to enter. • Drag the Stop‐Loss (red box) to your intended stop level (e.g., 1.435 for a breakout buy). • Drag the Take‐Profit (green box) to your first or final target level. 3. Annotate Key Levels: • Draw horizontal lines for major support/resistance (e.g., 1.42, 1.43, 1.45) and note order blocks if relevant. • Label fib retracements, demand zones, or any relevant confluence. 4. Publish: • In the top right, click “Publish” → “Publish Idea.” • Add a catchy but clear Title (e.g., “USDCAD Bullish Breakout Setup | Multi‐TF Analysis”). • In the Description, summarize your multi‐timeframe rationale, show your R:R, mention risk management approach, and disclaim it’s not financial advice. 5. Engage: Respond to comments, keep posting consistent analysis, and maintain transparency. This helps build followers. Final Thoughts • Long‐Term: Weekly bias remains bullish. • Medium‐Term: Daily is consolidating; watch for a deeper pullback or a breakout above the range top. • Short‐Term: 4H & 1H are choppy—look for a decisive range break or trade the extremes with tight stops. Whether you choose a breakout buy above 1.45, a dip‐buy near 1.41–1.42, or a short if 1.43 fails, always confirm confluences (e.g., candlestick closes, RSI over/under key levels, MACD crosses) and manage risk properly. Best of luck! If any part needs more detail, let me know, and I’ll refine the analysis. Longby EliteMarketAnalysis117
The Basics of Fibonacci TheoryBefore diving into Fibonacci theory, let's first answer the question, "Who is Fibonacci?" After all, knowing the history will give you the background you need to understand how this trading theory is rooted in mathematics and history. Leonardo Pisano, better known as Leonardo Fibonacci, was a European mathematician in the Middle Ages. He wrote Liber Abaci (Book of Calculation) in 1202. It’s there that the Fibonacci Sequence was born: A series of numbers where each figure is the sum of the two preceding it. The Fibonacci sequence begins with zero and one, which are known as seed numbers. Each subsequent number is the sum of the two preceding ones, so here's how the sequence starts: 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144… While the sequence itself isn't crucial for traders, it provides the basis for Fibonacci ratios that you often see traders adding to their charts to anticipate price action. What are Fibonacci Ratios? Fibonacci ratios are percentages derived from dividing numbers in the Fibonacci sequence. Key ratios include 23.6%, 38.2%, 61.8%, 78.6%, and 161.8%. For example, the 61.8% ratio is found by dividing a number in the sequence by the one that follows it, resulting in approximately 0.618. These ratios, known as the golden ratios, frequently appear in mathematics, geometry, architecture, and art. Fibonacci Retracements for Traders Fibonacci retracements are often used to help predict support and resistance levels when a market retraces after a significant move. For instance, if a market drops 150 points in a bear trend, a countertrend might find support or resistance at a Fibonacci ratio of the initial move, such as 23.6%, 38.2%, 61.8%, or 78.6% of the move. With this simple bit of knowledge, you now have the basic understanding of Fibonacci ratios, and you can utilize this to better understand charts that have ratios drawn on them, as well as experimenting with the various Fibonacci tools available on TradingView. Whether you're analyzing short-term trends or long-term movements, incorporating Fibonacci principles can provide unique insight into possible moves based on universal mathematical principles. Did you learn something new? Our team of researchers and market specialists will be sharing more educational content, so be sure to follow our TradingView account for instant updates. Also, be sure to check out our latest ideas here . The FOREX.com team by FOREXcom7
Canada CPI fractionally lower. BoC in the spotlight next weekUSDCAD continues to experience strong fluctuations due to recent political and economic events. Next week it will BoC's turn to shape the near-term faith of the Canadian dollar. FX_IDC:USDCAD MARKETSCOM:USDCAD RISK DISCLAIMER 74.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.10:05by Marketscom6
Going out of time correction rangeIf price break out the time correction range strongly, it may reach to the target easley.Longby NargeskhalajUpdated 2
US Dollar continuing to SMASH the Canadian Dollar.US Dollar continuing to SMASH the Canadian Dollar. You never should front run a possible breakout. But when it does happen, you should really pay attention. Now $1.44 on route to $1.60.by Badcharts2
USDCAD TRADE SETUPWait for retest the key level and multiple rejection candle and bullish momentum shift then take a trade for Buy otherwise skip this setup Longby JinnatAlamSumon2
USD/CAD "The Loonie" Forex Market Heist Plan on Bullish🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the USD/CAD "The Loonie" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 👀 Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull trade at anypoint, however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 2h period, the recent / nearest low or high level. Goal 🎯: 1.44850 (or) Escape before the target Scalpers, take note : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release. Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️ The USD/CAD pair is expected to move in a bullish trend, driven by several fundamental factors: US Economy: The US economy is expected to grow, driven by a strong labor market and increasing consumer spending. Canadian Economy: The Canadian economy is expected to slow down, driven by a decline in crude oil prices and a decrease in housing market activity. Interest Rate Divergence: The Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to keep interest rates steady, while the Bank of Canada (BOC) is expected to cut interest rates, which could lead to a widening of the interest rate differential between the two currencies. Commodity Prices: Canada is a major commodity exporter, and a decline in commodity prices could hurt the Canadian economy and support the USD. UPCOMING NEWS: US Retail Sales: The US retail sales for July are expected to increase by 0.3% monthly, which could lead to a strengthening of the USD. Canadian Retail Sales: The Canadian retail sales for July are expected to decrease by 0.2% monthly, which could lead to a weakening of the CAD. US Consumer Price Index (CPI): The US CPI for July is expected to increase by 0.2% monthly, which could lead to a strengthening of the USD. Canadian CPI: The Canadian CPI for July is expected to decrease by 0.1% monthly, which could lead to a weakening of the CAD. Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan. Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂Longby Thief_TraderUpdated 113
Market Analysis: USD/CAD Powers HigherMarket Analysis: USD/CAD Powers Higher USD/CAD is rising and might aim for more gains above the 1.4500 resistance. Important Takeaways for USD/CAD Analysis Today - USD/CAD is showing positive signs above the 1.4400 support zone. - There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at 1.4420 on the hourly chart at FXOpen. USD/CAD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of USD/CAD at FXOpen, the pair formed a strong support base above the 1.4300 level. The US Dollar started a fresh increase above the 1.4345 resistance against the Canadian Dollar. The bulls pushed the pair above the 1.4380 and 1.4400 levels. The pair cleared the 50-hour simple moving average and climbed above 1.4450. A high was formed at 1.4485 and the pair recently corrected some gains. There was a move toward the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.4302 swing low to the 1.4485 high. Initial support is near the 1.4420 level. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support at 1.4420. The next major support is near the 1.4395 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.4302 swing low to the 1.4485 high. The main support sits near the 1.4345 zone on the same USD/CAD chart. A downside break below the 1.4345 level could push the pair further lower. The next major support is near the 1.4300 support zone, below which the pair might visit 1.4250. If there is another increase, the pair might face resistance near the 1.4485 level. A clear upside break above 1.4485 could start another steady increase. The next major resistance is the 1.4540 level. A close above the 1.4540 level might send the pair toward the 1.4580 level. Any more gains could open the doors for a test of the 1.4620 level. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.by FXOpen117
USDCAD H1 | Bullish Bounce off Based on the H1 chart, price is falling toward the buy entry at 1.44197, which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and for a bullish bounce off the key support level at. This level is expected to act as a strong entry point in the bullish setup. Our take profit is set at 1.44777, targeting a swing high resistance level, marking a logical exit point for the trade. The stop loss is set at 1.43675, below the recent swing low, allowing room for price fluctuations while protecting against invalidation of the bullish bias. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants. Longby FXCM1
USDCAD Analysis - 4H TimeframeHI Traders The price has reached a strong rejection zone around the 1.4480 level, which has previously acted as a key area for determining the direction. There’s potential for a bullish bounce if this zone confirms as support. Key Observations: Critical Zone: 1.4450 - 1.4480 (monitor price action closely here). If the price holds and continues upward, the first target could be around 1.4550. Alternative Scenario: Breaking below this key zone could lead to a retest of lower levels, possibly near 1.4400. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Please manage your risk and follow the price action carefully. What are your thoughts on this setup? Share your feedback! 😊Longby hamidTrader212
Potential Short on USDCADOANDA:USDCAD had been caught up in a consolidation phase for a while, trapped within the range at 1.4465 and 1.43424. We saw a breakout to the lower side and its retest which can potentially lead to a drop in the market. I will place my target at 1.38799. Do your Due diligence, past results does not guarantee future resultsShortby MbjoeyUpdated 7
USD/CAD BUY USD/CAD has broken above a key resistance level, confirming strong bullish momentum. This breakout suggests a high probability of further upside movement, with the next target around 1.4615. While the bullish trend remains intact, there is a possibility of a short-term correction, with a retest of the broken resistance to confirm it as new support. Such a move would provide a stronger foundation for the continuation of the uptrend. Traders should remain focused on the bullish potential but must set their stop-loss levels according to their risk management strategies to account for possible short-term retracements. This is a great opportunity to ride the momentum while managing risk effectively! 💪📈 Longby Charts_M7M5
USDCADWhat a beautiful setup that was missed by me. Nevertheless same bullish bias is expected from me on this pair. Haven’t reached my overall target as yet so I’m expecting it to hit this week. As seen in the chart I’m going to wait for a retest of weekly zone and a test of the trendline I has drawn on the chart which I will be taking buys at. Target is shown on the chart. Longby PreniFX332
Weekly outlook for the weekIn this video i will show my friends my weekly outlook what i want to see.Long07:24by Thymo211
USDCAD Will Grow! Long! Please, check our technical outlook for USDCAD. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.448. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.469 level soon. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!Longby SignalProvider112
USDCAD - ANALYSIS👀 Observation: Hello traders! Let’s analyze the USD/CAD pair. Based on the current price action, we are observing a range breakout, and I expect the price to continue its bullish movement upward. My first target for this bullish move lies between 1.46685 and 1.46966 . 📈 Expectation: Bullish continuation towards the target range of 1.46685 - 1.46966 , following the range breakout. 💡 Key Levels to Watch: Target Range: 1.46685 - 1.46966 💬 What’s your outlook for USD/CAD? Share your analysis in the comments below! Trade safeLongby PouyanTradeFX5
USDCADUSD/CAD represents the exchange rate between the U.S. dollar (USD) and the Canadian dollar (CAD), showing how many Canadian dollars are needed to buy one U.S. dollar. It reflects the economic relationship between the United States and Canada. The exchange rate is influenced by factors such as monetary policies of the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of Canada (BoC), interest rate differentials, inflation, employment data, and GDP growth. Since Canada is a major oil exporter, oil prices have a strong impact on the CAD’s value. When oil prices rise, the CAD tends to strengthen, pushing USD/CAD lower. USD/CAD is widely traded in forex markets and is considered a commodity currency pair due to Canada’s dependence on natural resources. It is often affected by trade relations and economic ties between the two countries.Shortby HavalMamar2
swing idea. big pips!!! possible 1000pipsThis Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For educational Purpose to Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions. Disclaimer The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingViewShortby kF_pippinright1
USDCAD Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance ) Risk Disclaimer: Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in this analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)Longby ShahedZare0
USD/CAD Daily AnalysisPrice has been moving in a steady uptrend since the last quarter of 2024 with the big number 1.4600 next in sight. However, an observation to note is that that the MACD has recently made a lower high, contradicting what is happening with price. We call this divergence and it's a sign that in this case buyers may be losing their grip of the market. We could see either a short term or longer term sell off, but while price remains above the swing low of 1.42612, it would be advisable to remain patient and wait for a sell setup below this key price point.by FusionMarkets0
The Loonie's Fate: Can CAD Hold Against USD?The Canadian dollar (CAD) has been losing ground against the U.S. dollar (USD) for years, and this chart suggests that weakness could continue. Since 2015, every time CAD has tried to strengthen, it has failed to break below 1.20, showing a long-term downward trend. USD/CAD at 1.47: A Critical Turning Point Right now, the exchange rate is sitting at 1.4527, just below a key resistance level (1.47). Historically, this level has acted as a ceiling where CAD has struggled to hold its value. Two Possible Outcomes: 1. If CAD Holds Below 1.47 → Potential for Stabilization A rejection at 1.47 would mean CAD could regain some strength, at least in the short term. This could happen if the Bank of Canada holds rates steady while the U.S. Federal Reserve signals rate cuts. If USD weakens, CAD could stabilize around 1.39 or lower. 2. If USD/CAD Breaks Above 1.47 → CAD Could Sink Further A breakout above 1.47 would mean further CAD weakness, and we could see 1.60 or even 1.80 in the long run. This would be bad news for Canadian consumers, as inflation would likely surge. The Bank of Canada might be forced to act aggressively, keeping interest rates high for longer to stabilize the loonie. The Big Picture: Could We See 1.80? The chart suggests that if USD/CAD breaks out above 1.47, the next long-term move could reach 1.80, which would mean an additional 21% devaluation of CAD against USD. What That Would Mean for Canadians: More Expensive Imports: A weaker CAD means higher costs for goods priced in USD—electronics, vehicles, food, and even vacations in the U.S. Higher Inflation Risk: Imported goods would become more expensive, keeping inflation high and making it harder for the Bank of Canada (BoC) to cut rates. Potential Rate Hikes: If CAD weakens too much, the BoC may need to raise interest rates again to stabilize the currency, which could keep borrowing costs high. What Canadians Should Watch Oil Prices: Canada is a commodity-based economy, and higher oil prices typically strengthen CAD (since Canada is a major oil exporter). If oil prices rise, CAD could get some strength back, slowing the decline. Bank of Canada vs. U.S. Federal Reserve Policy: If the Bank of Canada keeps rates high while the U.S. Federal Reserve cuts rates, CAD could strengthen. But if the BoC cuts rates too early, CAD could fall further. Global Market Sentiment: In a risk-off environment, investors flock to USD for safety, weakening CAD. If risk appetite returns, CAD could stabilize. What Canadians Can Do to Prepare If USD/CAD Breaks 1.47 and Moves Higher: Hedge Against a Weak CAD: Consider holding some USD-denominated assets (U.S. stocks, USD savings). Lock in Loan Rates Now: A weakening CAD could keep rates high longer—fixed-rate mortgages may offer stability. Invest in Inflation-Protected Assets: If CAD weakens, commodities, energy stocks, and foreign investments could help hedge against inflation. Buy USD for Future U.S. Expenses: If you travel to the U.S. frequently, it might make sense to buy USD now before CAD weakens further. If USD/CAD Gets Rejected at 1.47 and CAD Recovers: Monitor U.S. Rate Cuts: If the Fed cuts rates, USD may weaken, giving CAD a chance to rebound. Be Ready for Short-Term Relief, But Plan for Long-Term Weakness: Even if CAD strengthens in the short term, the long-term trend still suggests CAD is vulnerable. Final Thoughts: The Loonie’s Fate Rests on 1.47 Right now, CAD is at a make-or-break level. If 1.47 holds, CAD may see short-term strength. If 1.47 breaks, CAD could face a significant decline, making life more expensive for Canadians. With inflation, interest rates, and oil prices all playing a role, this is a crucial time to pay attention to macroeconomic trends, as the next move in USD/CAD will impact Canadians' cost of living, mortgages, and investments. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. Always do your own research before making investment decisions. by LGLMUCHO0
USDCAD STRONG BULLISH TRENDUSDCAD is in a strong bullish trend . a buy opportunity is in place after a pullback down . Good LUckLongby Alpha_54321Updated 0