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Canadian Dollar / U.S. Dollar

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USD/CAD breaks 1.41000 as CAD weakens to near 4yr lowsThe USD/CAD pair has reached 1.41057, the CAD's lowest since May 2020, driven by strong US dollar demand amid market speculation about Trump's return. Inflation-driven policies could limit the Fed's rate cut capacity, bolstering the dollar. Additionally, falling oil prices and concerns over China’s economic growth weigh on the Canadian dollar, given Canada's reliance on exports and energy. Potential US import sanctions add pressure by threatening Canadian exports. Despite these challenges, Canada's economy shows resilience with lower-than-expected unemployment and strong PMI data, limiting further CAD declines. The US dollar index hovers around 106.5, fueled by robust retail sales and economic strength, reducing the urgency for imminent rate cuts. Looking ahead, traders should monitor US policy changes, oil price trends, and Canadian economic indicators to anticipate movements in USD/CAD effectively.
by tastyfx
USDCAD Set to Climb If Bulls Break Key 1.395 BarrierFxNews —The August 5 high at 1.395 is the immediate resistance that has prevented the uptrend from resuming. From a technical perspective, the uptrend will likely resume if the bulls pull the USD/CAD price above this resistance. In this scenario, the USD/CAD's path to the %78.6 Fibonacci retracement level at 1.409 will likely be paved. Please note that the critical support dividing the bull market from the bear market stands at 1.382, and the bullish scenario should be invalidated if USD/CAD falls below this level. Full article: fxnews.me
Long
by FxNews-me
USDCAD BULLISH PROFITABLE IDEA#USDCAD is at a bullish sentiment, what we can do from the previous price action is observed the previous Break of structure in the bullish direction. It is important to note hoe the break of structure took place , and as we see there was formation o structure which resulted in an impulsive market action resulting to the break, this area has been untapped till now of any pending liquidity in support of the bullish trend What to do ? Wait or the price action to mitigate this area and look for a suitable entry position based on your entry techniques, esp before the news. #all the best.
Long
by DIGITALASSETSINC
Sell OpportunityUSD/CAD Short Signal Entry Price: 1.4035 Stop Loss: 1.40716 Take Profit: 1.38148 Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:1.59 Time Frame: 4H Signal Analysis: The price has reached a potential resistance area, with a visible bearish volume profile zone above. Momentum indicators show signs of potential weakness, suggesting a pullback or reversal in the USD/CAD pair. Recommendation: Consider entering a short position at the specified entry price, with a stop loss at 1.40716 and a target of 1.38148. Monitor any changes in volume and volatility, as they may affect the trade outcome.
Short
by GODOCM
USDCAD - CAD look at the oil market!The USDCAD currency pair is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its upward channel. Due to the location of this currency pair at the ceiling of the channel, you can save a part of your purchase position. The correction of this currency pair towards the demand zones will provide us with the next buying positions. Monetary Policy in Canada • Interest Rate Cuts: Goldman Sachs forecasts that the Bank of Canada will cut interest rates by 50 basis points in December (previous forecast: 25 basis points). It is expected that this downward trend will continue, reaching a terminal rate of 2.25% by June 2025 (previous forecast: 2.50%). Oil Developments in the U.S. • Crude Oil Production: U.S. crude oil production has reached 13.23 million barrels per day this year, slightly higher than the previous figure of 13.22 million. For 2024, production is forecasted at 13.53 million barrels per day (a minor decrease from the previous forecast of 13.54 million barrels). • Crude Oil Prices: The average price of Brent oil in 2024 is projected at $80.95 per barrel (slightly higher than the previous forecast of $80.89). For 2025, the average is expected to decline to $76.06 per barrel (previous forecast: $77.59). The average price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil is estimated at $77 per barrel in 2024 and $71.6 in 2025, slightly below earlier projections. Oil Demand: • U.S. oil demand for 2024 and 2025 is estimated at 20.3 million and 20.5 million barrels per day, unchanged from previous forecasts. OPEC and Production Adjustments: • Lower Global Demand Growth Forecasts: OPEC has reduced its forecasts for global oil demand growth in 2024 and 2025 to 1.82 and 1.54 million barrels per day, respectively (previous forecasts: 1.93 and 1.64 million). • Increased OPEC Production: OPEC’s average crude production in October rose to 26. 53 million barrels per day, a 466,000-barrel increase from September, primarily due to higher output from Libya. Geopolitical Issues and Iran’s Oil Policies • Iran’s Response to Sanctions: Iran’s oil minister announced that plans have been developed to maintain stable oil exports to counter potential policies from Donald Trump’s administration. • Negotiations Between Iran and the U.S.: Iranian sources reported that Tehran postponed an attack on Israel after Trump’s election to facilitate potential negotiations. Messages conveyed through Baghdad included recommendations to avoid escalating tensions and create an opportunity for talks. Developments in Lebanon and Israel • Ceasefire negotiations in Lebanon are nearing conclusion. Israeli sources have confirmed alignment between the U.S. and Israel on the ceasefire agreement. However, Lebanon’s situation remains complex, with ongoing discussions between Hezbollah, the parliament speaker, the prime minister, and U.S. officials.
Long
by Ali_PSND
USD/CAD 4H Bearish Double Top with RSI Divergence Trade SetupUSD/CAD 4-hour chart is forming a bearish double top pattern near a resistance zone, signaling a potential reversal. The RSI shows bearish divergence, with the price making higher highs while RSI trends lower, indicating weakening upward momentum. This setup suggests that a bearish move is likely if the price breaks below the key support level at 1.38138, which is the designated sell entry level in the plan. The stop loss is set above the double top, at 1.39624, to protect against a breakout above resistance. For targets, Take Profit Level 1 is set at 1.36665, while Take Profit Level 2 is positioned at 1.35443, aligning with lower support levels that could serve as points for a potential reversal or pause in the downtrend. The plan projects the double top breakdown using a red line labeled "Projection of DT," indicating the estimated move downward if the pattern completes. This trade strategy utilizes confluence between price action, RSI divergence, and a clear breakdown structure to establish a high-probability short trade setup.
Short
by Naqash16046
8
POTENTIAL SHORT OPPORTUNITY USDCADHello everybody hope you are doing awesome! Just wanted to come on here and give a potential swing trading opportunity I see on the US DOLLAR VS CANADIAN DOLLAR (USDCAD). So let's dive in! Okay so let me give a breakdown for each timeframe of what I am seeing that led to my bias of the next potential move on USDCAD being to the downside for this upcoming week. Weekly Timeframe 1. Price is overbought coming into a past supply/resistance zone. Price last week left a downside wick (hanging man) formation which I believe will be filled 2. There is a nice demand zone and bullish trendline lining up to the downside (ALSO fib retracement 78.6% confluence) Daily Timeframe 1. Price is slowing down 2. Extreme bearish divergence on the daily timeframe 3. RSI is in overbought conditions (which you can see what has happened in the past) 4H Timeframe 1. Watching the buyer momentum making sure it isn't too strong (dominant) 2. Extreme bearish divergence as well 3. Watching for a run of weekly highs and maybe double divergence/run of highs ALRIGHT! Hope that made sense! I definitely see a good amount of potential confluence here on this setup so let's see how price forms this week and see if it plays out to the downside! If you enjoyed the analysis as always please boost this post and follow my page for more analysis! Cheers!
Short
by JosePips
10