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AMD Analysis: Navigating Historical Trends 2025.01.01Hello, this is Greedy All-Day. Today’s analysis focuses on AMD (Advanced Micro Devices). Weekly Chart Analysis Looking at AMD's weekly chart, the stock has followed a historical long-term trendline since the 1970s. Over the years, there have been four major trendline breaks, each followed by substantial corrections: 87%, 75%, 93%, and 54% corrections from the trendline break points, with an average correction of approximately 77%. Importantly, these corrections are measured from the trendline break, not the stock's all-time high. Recently, AMD has broken below its long-term trendline again. This suggests we should be prepared for the possibility of a 77% correction from this point. Where Would a 77% Correction Lead? A 77% correction from the trendline break would bring AMD to approximately $35. The $35 Zone: Why It’s Significant The $35 level is particularly noteworthy because: It aligns with the green box zone, which acted as a resistance area before AMD’s breakout to all-time highs in 2018–2019. It coincides with a retest zone in the white box, where historical support was tested. It also matches historical resistance dating back to the 2000s, making it a logical retest zone. If AMD were to rebound, $35 would be a strong candidate for a turnaround point. Bearish Indicators Several factors point to a continued bearish trend: AMD appears to have completed a symmetrical triangle pattern with a downside breakout. It has broken below the August 5, 2024 weekly low, a key support level. The only remaining support is at $116.37, marked by the green box. If $116.37 breaks, and the pattern turns out to be a descending triangle, the target could exceed 85%, reaching levels even lower than $35. Currently, AMD is trading within the white box supply zone. A break below $116.37 opens the door to $93, the lower boundary of the white box. However, if AMD moves like it did in the red box supply zone in the past, we could see an expanded downward pattern. Historically, AMD has experienced declines of up to 67% from its highs, which supports the possibility of further downside. When to Buy? Based on AMD’s historical behavior: Optimal Buy Zone: If AMD drops approximately 70%, reaching $35, it could represent a long-term investment opportunity. This level aligns with key historical support zones and could serve as an excellent entry for investors looking to capitalize on AMD's growth potential. Conservative Buy Levels for Upside Momentum: First Entry: When AMD breaks above the weekly 20 EMA, currently at $140.35. This level is still far from the current price. Second Entry: Upon a breakout above the yellow box supply zone, which marks the upper boundary of the descending triangle pattern. While the pattern and resistance trendline are broken, overhead supply zones remain significant obstacles. Third Entry: If the purple box (Ichimoku Cloud) on the weekly chart provides support, this could also indicate a potential entry point. Conclusion AMD is a unique stock that may not be well-suited for gradual accumulation due to its high volatility and tendency for deep corrections. While it has been a market leader during bullish periods, the stock’s history shows frequent, severe pullbacks of 70% or more. This makes timing critical for successful trades. Bearish Outlook: The current trend is downward, and there’s potential for the stock to drop further, possibly to the $35 zone. Bullish Outlook: For buyers, $35 could represent a once-in-a-decade opportunity to accumulate shares if AMD’s long-term growth narrative remains intact. Alternatively, entering on clear breakout levels with a cautious approach is advised. Investors must remain patient and disciplined, waiting for either a deep correction or a confirmed trend reversal. Only then can AMD offer the high reward-to-risk opportunities it’s historically known for. Let’s stay sharp and trade wisely. 🚀
NASDAQ:AMDShort
by Greedy_allday
2
ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES $AMD | CHIP STOCKS FALL DOWN Dec11'24ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES NASDAQ:AMD | CHIP STOCKS FALL Dec11'24 NASDAQ:AMD BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $141.50 - $166.50 NASDAQ:AMD DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $134.50 - $141.50 NASDAQ:AMD SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $110.00 - $134.50 NASDAQ:AMD Trends: NASDAQ:AMD Weekly Trend: Bearish NASDAQ:AMD Daily Trend: Bearish NASDAQ:AMD 4H Trend: Bearish NASDAQ:AMD 1H Trend: Bearish NASDAQ:AMD Oct29 earnings release started bearish trend. Bears should start targeting the previous quarter's lows. Price is currently breaking my indicator's range to the downside, and all display indicators are pointing to a bearish trend for $amd. Recently, bearish momentum breaks down from the DNT range this week. This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas. ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE! trendanalysis, trendtrading, priceaction, priceactiontrading, technicalindicators, supportandresistance, rangebreakout, rangebreakdown, rangetrading, chartpatterntrading, chartpatterns, advancedmicrodevices, amd, NASDAQ:AMD , chipstocks, microchips, microchipdevices, google, googledrive, googlechip, googlesupercomputer, smci, supermicro, nvda, nvidia, nasdaq, ndq, qqq, techstocks,
NASDAQ:AMDShort
by TonyAiello
4
AMD’s Chart Shows Potential Life Signs After Nine Tough MonthsIs it finally time semiconductor giant Advanced Micro Devices NASDAQ:AMD to show some life after a more than nine-month-long beatdown? Let's investigate what the stock’s technical and fundamental analysis says. AMD’s Fundamental Analysis Advanced Micro Devices has lost better than 40% since hitting a $227.30 all-time intraday high on March 8. In just in the past two weeks or so, three analysts with five-star rating from TipRanks have reduced their AMD target prices while either reiterating "Hold" ratings or downgrading the stock. Joseph Moore of Morgan Stanley, William Stein of Truist Financial and Vivek Arya of Bank of America took their targets for AMD down from $168.73 on average to a $152.67 mean. The stock closed Friday at $125.24, so even that reduced average target would require AMD to climb more than 21% to hit it. Some "Hold" that would be. Meanwhile, two other five-star analysts -- Gus Richard of Northland Securities and Thomas O'Malley of Barclays -- have recently either reiterated or initiated "Buy" ratings on AMD with target prices in the $170s. AMD’s stock has struggled as the company chased Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA in the generative AI space without really capturing much more market share. Broadcom NASDAQ:AVGO and Marvell Technology NASDAQ:MRVL are starting to crowd into that space as well, not to mention the hyper-scalers like Apple that have started to design their own chips as a means toward saving capital. Still, there are the gaming and PC sectors -- spaces where AMD has practically eaten the lunch of rival chipmaker Intel NASDAQ:INTC . As for earnings, AMD will report Q4 results in about a month's time. The Street is looking for about $1.09 in adjusted earnings per share on $7.5 billion of revenue. If that holds true, the results would compare favorably to AMD’s year-ago $0.77 in adjusted EPS, while reflecting 22% year-over-year sales growth. That would also represent the fifth consecutive quarter of 20%+ year-over-year revenue growth. AMD’s Technical Analysis AMD’s chart as of Tuesday looks like it’s starting to tell us something potentially positive after months of problems -- the possibility of a so-called “double-bottom reversal pattern” completing its development: Bottom No. 1 formed in early August at $121.83, while AMD might have just put in Bottom No. 2 a few days ago at $117.90. The apex of the rally in between these two bottoms (which would form a pivot point in this pattern) occurred in early October at $174. All of that is potentially bullish. Looking at AMD’s other technical indicators, readers will see that the stock’s Relative Strength Index (the gray line at top in the above chart) is still weak, but is rallying out of a technically oversold condition. Meanwhile, the stock’s daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or “MACD,” denoted with the black and gold lines and blue bars at the chart’s bottom) appears to be trying to force a more bullish set-up. Mind you, there's still plenty that could prevent any real bounce-back for AMD. For instance, the histogram for the stock 9-day Exponential Moving Average (or “EMA,” marked with blue bars at the chart’s bottom) has improved, but is still negative. However, the 12-day EMA (marked with a black line) has caught up to the 26-day EMA (the gold line) and could rise above it. That would historically represent a positive development. On the other hand, AMD’s 21-day EMA (the green line above), 50-day SMA (the blue line) and 200-day Simple Moving Average (or “SMA,” marked with a red line) are all above AMD’s Friday close. That historically means there will be algorithmic resistance on the way up for AMD, and that the stock is still technically in a downtrend. That said, those are the lines that AMD will have to retake to pull swing traders and portfolio managers back from a risk-off sentiment toward the stock. Time will tell, but I personally have a little more hope for AMD than I did a week or two ago. (At the time of writing this column, Moomoo Markets Commentator Stephen “Sarge” Guilfoyle was long AMD.) This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Moomoo is a financial information and trading app offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. In the U.S., investment products and services on Moomoo are offered by Moomoo Financial Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC. TradingView is an independent third party not affiliated with Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Technologies Inc., or its affiliates. Moomoo Financial Inc. and its affiliates do not endorse, represent or warrant the completeness and accuracy of the data and information available on the TradingView platform and are not responsible for any services provided by the third-party platform.
NASDAQ:AMD
by moomoo
13
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) AnalysisCompany Overview: Advanced Micro Devices NASDAQ:AMD is a global leader in high-performance computing, graphics, and AI solutions, catering to enterprise, gaming, and data center markets. The company's strategic focus on innovation, competitive pricing, and market expansion has solidified its position as a compelling alternative to larger industry players. Key Growth Catalysts Data Center Momentum: AMD’s EPYC CPUs and Instinct GPUs are gaining significant traction among enterprise and cloud customers. Increasing adoption of AMD’s products by major hyperscalers reflects its strong positioning in AI workloads and high-performance computing (HPC). AI Leadership Expansion: Recent acquisitions of Silo AI and ZT Systems bolster AMD's expertise in AI model development and HPC systems, addressing growing demand for scalable AI infrastructure. Partnerships with leading cloud providers like Microsoft Azure and Google Cloud further strengthen its foothold in the AI and gaming-as-a-service markets. Gaming and Graphics: AMD’s Radeon GPUs and Ryzen CPUs remain highly competitive in the gaming sector, supported by robust demand for gaming consoles and PC components. Collaboration with console manufacturers like Sony (PlayStation) and Microsoft (Xbox) ensures consistent revenue streams. Innovation and Pricing: AMD’s focus on delivering price-performance leadership positions it as a viable competitor to industry giants like NVIDIA and Intel. Cutting-edge technologies like 3D chip stacking and advanced manufacturing nodes give AMD a technical edge. Financial and Market Outlook Strategic Partnerships: Collaborations with Microsoft and Google provide long-term growth potential in cloud computing and AI services. Revenue Growth: AMD’s expansion into AI accelerators and HPC ensures consistent double-digit growth in revenue and profitability. Investment Thesis Bullish Case: We remain bullish on AMD above the $108.00-$110.00 range, supported by its strong product lineup, strategic acquisitions, and partnerships in key growth sectors like AI, cloud, and gaming. Upside Potential: Our price target is $225.00-$230.00, reflecting confidence in AMD’s ability to expand market share and sustain innovation-driven growth. 🚀 AMD—Leading the Next Wave of High-Performance Computing and AI Transformation. #AI #CloudComputing #Gaming #HPC
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by Richtv_official
AMD Among My Top 10 Picks for 2025 | Price TargetIf you haven`t bought AMD on this strong buy rating: My price target for AMD in 2025 is $175, driven by the following fundamental factors: Robust Growth in Data Center and AI Segments: AMD is experiencing significant momentum in its data center business, particularly with its EPYC processors and AI accelerators. The company has raised its revenue outlook for its MI300 AI accelerators to over $5 billion for 2024, reflecting robust demand and an expanding market presence. Analysts project that AMD's earnings per share (EPS) will grow by approximately 55% in 2025, driven by increasing contributions from these high-margin segments. This growth trajectory positions AMD favorably to capture a larger share of the rapidly expanding AI and data center markets, which are projected to see substantial investments in the coming years. Competitive Positioning Against Rivals: AMD's strategic focus on providing cost-effective and high-performance solutions allows it to compete effectively against industry giants like NVIDIA. The launch of its MI325X accelerator, which offers competitive performance at lower price points compared to NVIDIA's offerings, is expected to attract hyperscale clients. This competitive edge is crucial as demand for AI processing power continues to surge across various industries. Strong Financial Health and Valuation: AMD's financial metrics indicate a solid foundation for growth. The company has demonstrated impressive gross margins, recently reported at around 52%, and is expected to see further margin expansion as it shifts towards higher-margin products. Currently trading at a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of approximately 24x for fiscal 2025, AMD is considered undervalued compared to its peers, particularly given its projected earnings growth. Analysts have set an average price target of $182 for AMD by the end of 2025, suggesting significant upside potential from current levels. Strategic Acquisitions and Leadership: Under CEO Lisa Su's leadership, AMD has transformed into a powerhouse in the semiconductor industry. Recent strategic acquisitions, such as ZT Systems, enhance AMD's capabilities in providing comprehensive AI infrastructure solutions. This strategy not only expands AMD's product offerings but also strengthens its relationships with key clients in the cloud computing space.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by TopgOptions
AMD - Long-term Long!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈AMD has been in a correction phase approaching the lower bound of the red channel. Moreover, the $100 is a strong round number and support! 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of support and lower trendline acting as non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #AMD approaches the blue circle, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by TheSignalyst
11
Will AMD recover and catch up with NVDA? updated/Revised Outlook🔸Hello traders, today let's review 2days/candle price chart for AMD. Price contained within bullish channel since 2021, however currently pullback/correction in progress. 🔸65% correction in progress, based on previous swings expected to complete at/near 88/90 USD in Q1 2025. Until then it's recommended to stay out. 🔸Once we bottom out near 90 USD in Q1 2025, expecting bullish swing 265% gains off the lows, so projected high is 310/320 USD. 🔸Recommended strategy bulls: Bulls wait for correction to complete at/near 85 usd in Q1 2025 and get ready to BUY/HOLD. Bullish impulse / reversal off the lows price target based on measured move projection is 310/320 USD. patience required, do not expect miracle/overnight gains in this market. good luck! 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by ProjectSyndicate
18
Could AMD See a Retracement Soon?There’s been a lot of talk about AMD lately, so let’s take a closer look: The price has reached a strong support area formed by the confluence of two Fibonacci levels and a potential double bottom. However, buying inflows remain insufficient, and bearish sentiment continues to dominate. A breakout above the top level of the descending trend (around $140–$150), supported by strong momentum, could signal a favorable entry point. A sustained move above $160 could potentially drive the price back to its previous highs. Trade cautiously and manage your risks Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Conduct your own research before making investment decisions.
NASDAQ:AMD
by aloni-ta
AMD: Chart Insights and Trading OpportunitiesAdvanced Micro Devices (AMD) remains one of the most closely watched stocks in the tech sector, with its chart signaling key levels that traders and investors should focus on. With both bullish and bearish scenarios in play, AMD’s next move could set the tone for months ahead. Chart Breakdown Key Support Levels:The primary support zone lies between $118 and $126. This range has historically acted as a reliable base where buyers tend to step in. Key Resistance Levels: The first major movement is $158.15, a critical pivot point that AMD must clear for any sustained bullish move, thus that will become our entry. If this level is broken, AMD could aim for $180, with a longer-term target at $218.40. Possible Scenarios Bullish Case: A breakout above $158.15, backed by strong buying volume, could drive AMD toward $180 in the short term. If momentum continues, the stock could test its long-term target near $218.40. Bearish Case:On the downside, a break below the $118 support zone might trigger a deeper correction. AMD could potentially fall to $100 or even lower, depending on market conditions. Trading Plan Bullish Setup: Entry: Above $158.15 with strong volume. Target 1: $180 Target 2: $218.40 Stop-Loss: Below $148 Bearish Setup: Entry: Below $118, with confirmed selling pressure. Target 1: $100 Target 2: $90 Stop-Loss: Above $125 What’s your take on AMD? Will it break out or retrace further? Share your thoughts in the comments below! 📈📉 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This blog is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your research before making investment decisions. 💡 Like, Follow, and Share to stay updated on the latest trading insights and chart analyses. Let’s conquer the markets together! 🚀
NASDAQ:AMD
by niveshIQ
AMD Stock Price Rebounds from Yearly Low. 2025 ForecastAMD Stock Price Rebounds from Yearly Low. 2025 Forecast As the chart indicates, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) reached its yearly low on 20th December, dropping below $120. However, on Monday, AMD emerged as one of the top-performing stocks in the market. The trading session opened with a bullish gap, and by the close, the stock had gained approximately 4.5% compared to Friday's close. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) rose by 0.7% on the same day. According to technical analysis of the AMD stock chart, in 2024, the price formed a descending price channel (highlighted in red), characterised by the following: - Bears broke below three trendlines, forming a structure reminiscent of Gann fans. - The fourth (lowest) trendline could serve as a strong support level, preventing the price from reaching the bottom of the channel. The sharp upward reversal from the $120 level may be considered a sign supporting this scenario. Price action suggests increasing demand, and analysts (as outlined below) believe buyers may play a more active role in 2025. AMD Stock Price Forecast for 2025 In 2024, AMD underperformed the market. Amid the AI boom, Nvidia (NVDA) and Broadcom (AVGO) stocks reached all-time highs, while AMD's stock price dropped by about 12% since the beginning of 2024. According to Yahoo Finance, the company’s strategic approach provides a rationale for investors to hold or buy AMD shares heading into 2025. AMD has historically avoided introducing revolutionary products. Instead, the company enters established markets with alternative products that offer specific advantages. This strategy could apply to the AI boom: - 2024: AMD’s stock declines as the company adopts a wait-and-see approach, assessing the AI market's needs. - 2025: AMD could benefit from the AI race, possibly through new processors in its EPYC series. According to TipRanks: - 22 out of 30 surveyed analysts recommend buying AMD shares. - The average price target for AMD is $182 by the end of 2025, representing a 46% increase from current levels. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:AMD
by FXOpen
4
$AMD GAP FILL 138 & 160A stock gap occurs when there's a significant jump in a stock's price after market closure, typically driven by some news. When this gap is filled, it indicates that the stock's price has reverted to its pre-gap, or "normal," level. This common occurrence happens as the price stabilizes after the initial rush of buying and trading sparked by the news subsides. Exhaustion gaps are usually the most likely to be filled because they indicate the end of a price trend. BUY NOW According to 30 Wall Street analysts who provided 12-month price targets for Advanced Micro Devices over the past three months, the average price target is $182.18. The high forecast is $220.00, and the low forecast is $145.00. This average price target indicates a 46.14% change from the last price of $124.60 (as of 12/23/2024) NASDAQ:AMD 's growing presence in the markets for central processing units (CPUs) and graphics processing units (GPUs) is poised to drive significant stock gains. We foresee a robust outlook for the semiconductor specialist's Epyc CPUs in the server and data center segment, as well as strong performance from the company's M1350 and M1400 GPUs. + NASDAQ:AMD net profit YoY grew by 777.88% which is 633.31% above its peer average + NASDAQ:AMD revenue has grown by 17.57% YoY from Q3 2023 to Q3 2024 + NYSE:MD EPS is forecasted to grow by 41.26% YoY from Q4 2023 to Q4 2024 + NASDAQ:AMD has a lower debt to equity ratio (3.02%) compared to its peer average (33.87%) + NASDAQ:AMD 's debt to equity ratio has reduced from 40.07% to 3.02% over the past 5 year
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by sej4974
Safe entry AMD Buy and HoldNASDAQ:AMD AMD is currently showing a solid pullback from its all-time high (ATH), with shares trading around $124. While $120 looks like a strong entry point, there’s potential for the stock to dip further, possibly hitting $100. Time will tell if it reaches that level. Under the leadership of CEO Lisa Su, AMD has evolved into one of the top semiconductor giants, making impressive gains in both CPU market share and stock value in recent years. With a rapidly expanding footprint in the AI chip market, the company is well-positioned for future growth. My 2025 price target for AMD is approximately $250, driven by its continued innovation and strong market dynamics.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by Hoosh
AMD Strongest buy signal in more than a yearAdvanced Micro Devices (AMD) is approaching the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), extending a 10-month correction of Lower Highs and Lower Lows since the March 04 2024 High. The last time the price came close to the 1W MA200 was more than a year ago on the October 23 2023 1W candle, which was the previous Higher Low of the Bull Cycle that started on the October 10 2022 market bottom. The 1W MA200 has been basically holding as the stock's long-term Support since the January 23 2023 bullish break-out and has been successfully tested 3 times already. The 1W RSI shows that the corrective wave since October 2024 is very similar to those that led to the previous 2 bottoms. In fact the whole correction since the March 2024 High has been almost -48%, approximately the same as the late 2022 correction. Notice also that so far each Bullish Leg (green Channel Up) rose by +141.87%. If the 1W MA200 holds yet again and kick-starts the new Bullish Leg, we expect another +141.87% rally until the next market Top, so we set a Target at $280.00. As a side-note, see how accurately the Sine Waves display the previous two bottoms, indicating that there is a high degree of symmetry on this Bull Cycle. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by TradingShot
19