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BABA trade ideas

Beginning of the Uptrend for Stock #01Beginning of the Uptrend for Stock #01: 9988 (BABA) The price has broken out of a consolidation range that lasted approximately two years, supported by a normal volume distribution. The stock has risen to meet the Fibonacci Extension resistance level of 161.8 at a price of 144 HKD. Currently, it is forming a sideways consolidation pattern on the smaller timeframe, establishing a base structure viewed as re-accumulation. The 6-month target is set at the Fibonacci Extension level of 261.8, which corresponds to a price of 189 HKD. This target aligns with a price cluster based on the valuation from sensitivity analysis, using the forward EPS estimates for 2025-2026 as a key variable for calculations, along with the standard deviation of the price-to-earnings ratio. Wait for the Right Moment to Accumulate Shares within the Consolidation Range Purchase near the support level of the range when the price pulls back. Look for a candlestick reversal pattern as a signal to add to your position. However, should the price break down to the lower consolidation range, the stock would lose its upward momentum, potentially leading to a prolonged period of consolidation or a deeper pullback to around 90 HKD. Always have a plan and prioritize risk management.
HKEX:9988Long
by CoachGoii_SuperTrader
Alibaba (BABA) Share Price Declines from 40-Month HighAlibaba (BABA) Share Price Declines from 40-Month High As shown in the Alibaba (BABA) share chart, the price reached a 40-month high this week, surpassing $145 per share. Bullish sentiment is being fuelled by news related to AI prospects in China. According to media reports: → China’s AI spending is increasing through investments from state-owned enterprises, private companies, and local authorities, aiming to keep pace with the US $500 billion Star Gate project. → Alibaba plans to invest $52 billion over three years in artificial intelligence and cloud computing. Technical Analysis of Alibaba (BABA) Shares Despite a positive fundamental backdrop, the chart signals potential concerns: → The price is near the upper boundary of the ascending channel, which could act as resistance. → Bulls attempted to break the $145 level (which has acted as resistance since late February) on 17 March but failed, as the price could not hold above this mark. → Using your preferred oscillator, you are likely to observe a bearish divergence between peaks A and B. This suggests that bullish momentum may be weakening, and investors could consider taking profits after Alibaba’s exceptionally strong price rally—up approximately 70% since early 2025. If so, a break below the orange trendline could lead to a correction towards the median of the blue channel. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NYSE:BABA
by FXOpen
BABA Breaks Out as AI Assistant Makes Waves in ChinaAlibaba’s share price has been on a tear in 2025, surging more than 70% in the first eight weeks of the year before settling into a period of consolidation. That consolidation phase has now given way to a fresh breakout, as the stock pushed through resistance in an ascending triangle pattern. Let’s take a look at the technical and fundamental catalysts that have aligned to make Alibaba a stock to watch this year. The AI Catalyst Alibaba’s latest breakout isn’t happening in a vacuum. The company’s AI assistant, Quark, has been making waves in China, drawing positive reviews and raising hopes that it could become a dominant player in the AI agent space. Powered by Alibaba’s Qwen reasoning AI model, Quark has been repositioned as an all-in-one AI assistant, incorporating online search, cloud storage, and generative AI capabilities. The timing of this development is critical. AI is one of the biggest battlegrounds in tech, and Alibaba is making its presence felt with an open-source approach designed to spur innovation. Broker Jefferies has highlighted Alibaba’s view of AI as a vast, addressable market, and the company’s recent commitment to investing 380 billion yuan ($52 billion) in cloud computing and AI infrastructure underscores the scale of its ambitions. If Quark gains real traction, it could be a meaningful growth driver. Bull Flag Breakout From a price action perspective, Alibaba’s recent move is a textbook bullish breakout. After its rapid rally to start the year, the stock pulled into a consolidation phase, forming a series of higher swing lows against a horizontal resistance level. This created an ascending triangle – a classic continuation pattern that signals a potential breakout when resistance is finally breached. Monday's price action delivered that confirmation, with Alibaba breaking and closing above the bull flag formation. This move suggests the uptrend is back in full swing, and breakout traders will be watching two key levels to ensure the bullish momentum remains intact. The first is the former resistance level, which should now become support. A successful retest would reinforce the breakout. The second is the volume-weighted average price (VWAP) anchored to the bottom of the flag – as long as price stays above this level, the bullish structure remains in place. Alibaba (BABA) Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 83% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
NYSE:BABA
by Capitalcom
Alibaba Wave Analysis – 17 March 2025 - Alibaba broke the key resistance level 145.00 - Likely to rise to resistance level 155.00 Alibaba recently broke the key resistance level 145.00, which stopped the previous waves 3 and (b), as can be seen from the daily BABA chart below. The breakout of the resistance level 145.00 accelerated the active impulse wave 5 of the intermediate impulse wave (C) from January. Given the strong daily uptrend, Alibaba can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 155.00 (target price for the completion of the active impulse wave (C)).
NYSE:BABALong
by FxProGlobal
Bullish Play on (BABA) Ahead of Chinese Economic Data & Alibaba (BABA) is forming a triple top pattern near the $142-$145 resistance zone ahead of key economic data releases and potential positive stimulus measures from the Chinese Congress meeting. While a triple top is traditionally seen as a bearish formation, a breakout above resistance could signal strong bullish momentum, fueled by market optimism regarding Chinese economic support and potential tariff relief. Trade Setup: Long Position on BABA 📈 Entry Point: Breakout confirmation above $145 (previous resistance). If momentum is strong, consider scaling in at $143-$144 for an early entry. 🎯 Target Price: First Target: $155 (short-term resistance from early 2023). Second Target: $165 (next major psychological level if sentiment remains strong). 🛑 Stop-Loss: Below $138 (recent swing low and key support zone). Alternatively, a trailing stop-loss to secure profits as the price rises. Catalysts Supporting a Bullish Breakout: 1️⃣ China’s Economic Stimulus 🏦 The Chinese government is expected to announce new stimulus measures to support growth, which could boost investor confidence in Alibaba and other Chinese tech stocks. Potential fiscal easing & liquidity injections may drive funds into large-cap Chinese equities. 2️⃣ Positive Economic Data Expectations 📊 Retail Sales & Industrial Production (March 17, 2025) Strong numbers would indicate a rebound in consumer spending & manufacturing, benefiting Alibaba’s core e-commerce business. 3️⃣ Tariff Reduction Speculations 🌎 If the Chinese Congress signals progress on easing U.S.-China tariffs, Alibaba could see increased foreign investment & improved profitability. 4️⃣ Technical Breakout Potential 🔍 The triple-top pattern could turn into a breakout if volume surges past resistance ($145). A move above this level could trigger short-covering & FOMO buying, leading to a quick rally. What If the Data Disappoints? If economic data underwhelms, BABA could reject resistance and pull back toward $130-$135. In this case, waiting for a confirmed breakout before entering long positions is advisable. 📌 Final Thought: BABA is at a critical inflection point. If economic optimism and stimulus expectations materialize, a breakout past $145 could fuel a strong rally toward $155-$165. Traders should watch for volume confirmation and be prepared to ride the upside while managing risk carefully. 🚀💹 Check out my other ideas about chineese stocks and more:
NYSE:BABALong
by Elite_Forex
Baba Price is overbought on the monthly and weekly money flow and RSI.. This current rang trade is likely distribution Also we are 30% extended from the 50 SMA . This is extreme I would buy this at all up here , I think we will retest 104-108 (Weekly200ma) on a pullback before we break over 150. I don't know when this distribution breaks and price resets but until then you can just trade the range 145-130... Id take a short at 145-150 a few months out . .stop loss over 150. Below I will show you a perfect example of price being extended and over bought at resistance and distributing.. This is AVGO. Notice how it tagged it's trendline (Red arrow. Now at that point the technicals were pretty overbought similar to where baba is now Now zoom in here and notice price traded in what looked like a bullish pennant here at resistance But look how it panned out It was never a pennant, it was distribution in disguise.. every now and then you get a meme type of movement like PLTR or Mstr where technicals are thrown to the window but I don't think this is it
NYSE:BABAShort
by ContraryTrader
4
$BABA on its way to $120s into AprilI would honestly be surprised if it doesnt gap down this Monday before the open. The weekly imo, looks like a mess atm and could gap into $120s easy. If it doesn't, I would expect some consolidation for a fall into the First week of April. We're right at the golden pocket retrace at the .618, very common retracement level, if we look at Fibs with a bearish perspective and measure a retrace back to the lower golden pocket at 1.61 fib from highs, $112.30 would be my ultimate target if we can break $126. $126 opens the flood gates to our ultimate target at $112.
NYSE:BABAShort
by TazmanianTrader
Possible the biggest genie wish everThe massive rally Alibaba has experienced has enabled it to close a significant 3M selling fair value gap from 2021. Interestingly, the price of around $140 is around equal highs January 22 ‘s12M candle. This looks like a double top…..on the 12M!!!! Now, I will point out that we HAVE NO CONFIRMATION at this point that this is a 12M double top at all. But there are a few reasons why I am speculating that we could see a sharp decline. 1. We have just filled a 4 year old 3 month selling FVG (highlighted in red) 2. We did not break above the 2022 high 3. We are Heavily Overbought on the Weekly TF 4. In February we breached the previous 1/4s low, the is the main key to my suspicions After pumping 80% in less than 2 months, like any timeframe you’d, expect a retracement. The Golden Retracement level is 0.618 which is highlighted however there are WEEKLY buying FVGs all the way to back to the Previous 1/4s low which has already been breached! So there is a strong possibility of a full 100% retracement back to 82, if BABA does not continue to pump. The second big IF……If Baba returns to 82, the price then has a much bigger problem than a 100% retracement. The price would be close enough and have enough momentum to test at ATL, which would be the neck of the 12M double top. I think the price would fall through 82. If price gets there, I don’t think the current ATL prices would get supported and I think we’d get a new ATL of around 80 The new ATL price I’ve guesstimated using Standard Deviations. This is of course highly speculative but I’ve given my rationale at least.
NYSE:BABAShort
by TheTradeBorough
6
Alibaba - This Chart Is Pretty Beautiful!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) is perfectly respecting structure: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 With a rally of about +80% within a couple of weeks, Alibaba is clearly showing signs of bulls completely taking over. This pressure was not unexpected though after we perfectly witnessed the major trendline breakout a couple of months ago and a retest of the confluence of support. Levels to watch: $140, $110 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NYSE:BABALong
by basictradingtv
22
CHINA FIN MARKETS | Investing in China & AIChina's market resurgence might pose some great opportunities for investors, especially after a long bearish cycle for the global Chinese financial markets. February 2025 saw a significant shake-up in global markets, with China emerging as a key player driving investor sentiment. The MSCI China Index surged by 11.2% for the month, vastly outperforming the MSCI US Index: One of the biggest catalysts behind China’s recent rally has been its advancements in Artificial Intelligence (DeepSeekAI being one of the key drivers). By operating at a fraction of the cost of their US counterparts, such as OpenAI and Meta, DeepSeek's competitive advantage has given China an edge in the AI space, which can be seen in the market confidence. XIAOMI has been one of the top gainers, largely as they are expanding their market penetration: Chinese markets in February saw a boost when President Xi Jinping was warmly received by tech industry leaders. A handshake between Xi and Alibaba’s Jack Ma who previously stepped back from the public eye following regulatory crackdowns, was seen as a major gesture of reconciliation between the government and the private sector. This renewed support for private enterprises. China’s long-term strategy has been paying dividends in high-tech industries. China has increased its global market share in nearly all industries and is outperforming competitors in cost-efficiency, particularly in sectors like copper smelting. Despite recent gains, China’s stock market has yet to fully recover from its underperformance over the past decade. While the MSCI China Index has risen 34.6% over the past year, long-term returns still lag behind global markets. A US$100 investment in an MSCI World Index tracker in 2010 would have grown to US$480 by early 2024, whereas the same amount invested in an MSCI China Index fund would have only reached US$175. China’s resurgence has brought a renewed sense of optimism, but investors remain cautious. While AI advancements and low cost of labor have positioned China as a competitive force, historical challenges like regulatory intervention, tariffs and economic instability still loom. _________________________
NYSE:BABALong
by CryptoCheck-
3