CRM trade ideas
Daily CRM stock price trend forecasts analysis.12-JUL
Investing position: In Rising section of high profit & low risk
S&D strength Trend: About to begin an adjustment trend as a upward trend gradually gives way to a slowdown in rises and falling fluctuations
Today's S&D strength Flow: Supply-Demand strength has changed from a strong buying flow to a suddenly strengthening selling flow.
read more: www.pretiming.com
Forecast D+1 Candlestick Color : RED Candlestick
%D+1 Range forecast: -0.3% (HIGH) ~ -1.8% (LOW), -1.2% (CLOSE)
%AVG in case of rising: 1.6% (HIGH) ~ -0.7% (LOW), 1.2% (CLOSE)
%AVG in case of falling: 0.6% (HIGH) ~ -1.9% (LOW), -0.9% (CLOSE)
Weak...This things been underperforming the market waiting to break down for awhile now. It popped off earnings, failed to make new highs. Looked like it was ready to break down in mid June, but Adobe came in with hot earnings and popped the cloud stocks.
148 has been a respected pivot. The lower side of the wedge and 200 day are all sitting in the same vicinity, and no good bounce...Wait for a break of the trendline on some volume and get in. Should be good down to 142. Depending on the market, 136 could come shortly after.
Always gotta look at both sides though. We could break the upper trendline and bull on, but the 50 and 100 day ma are right there. Best to wait for those to hold along with a break of the wedge. Pretty clean shot to 162 from there.
*Not Trading Advice, Please do your own analysis!*
CRM Trailing downSlow but steady CRM price drop. July will prob. confirm it. Multiple short opportunities next month.
CRM ready to bounce back. Top notch company, been range bound for several months. At lowest end of range after DATA announcement despite great earnings. Lagging other tech leaders, is it finally ready to follow others up?
Swing Trade CRM on a fundamental basis!Salesforce has a long track record of strong growth and great management. After killing it on the earnings report they announced the acquisition of Tableau Software overcorrecting the stock to the downside. This is a buying opportunity! The trade thesis has 3 parts. First of all the stock has made several buyouts in the past and they have consistently been very successful because of it. Second of all is the fact that the stock rises in periods of trade conflict because they don't manufacture any hardware. Last time Trump raised tariffs the stock actually made good capital gains! Finally the technicals have shown consolidation and coiling ready to spring to the upside for a while now allowing the value to catch up with the price a bit.
Here is the deal. Buy Salesforce now with a stop loss in (downside 5%) and sell right before the next earnings report to be safe.
-$$$$$$
coiled for a move...bottompickers may wanna gamble on it at the .786 retrace, but the safer play is to wait for a breakout from the smaller schiff channel and a successful retest of 153.
CRM - 2 Bullish Trade IdeasCRM acquired Tableau today and price dropped -4%. Patiently waiting for price to drop to $148.5 to enter two long trade positions. A tight stop loss just below the recent low makes for risk rewards of 6:1 and 11:1. I like the business industry, the product, and the team. The acquisition today was all stock, and Tableau will add around 2.5% ($400M) to their total annual revenue.
CRM Bounces Off Moderate SupportSalesforce.com formed a Rounding Top that broke to the downside. However, it did not complete the Rounding Top Formation yet, as it bounced strongly off of previous monthly highs.
CRM with earnings on play for 06/05/2019 trading sessionHello everyone CRM releasing earnings beats expectations but disappointments regarding the guidance could lead to a fade. Price got to 157sh, 100sMA area and 154sh, 20eMA area in after-hours session.
There is a beautiful bullish wedge holding nicely on 13eMA 10min that is waiting to pop. Curious to see how today's after-hours session will close.
For tomorrow trading session if at the opening at least 50k volumes will be already traded and if the pattern will not change I will long:
1) above 157.33 if price will consolidate in pm above the 20eMA and will break the 100sMA at the open. Caution for the very first minutes, moment in which price still didn't really trace a clear trend.
2) In case of price consolidation above 100sMA level only after the first 15 minutes I will trade the breakout of new level of resistance.
3) In both type of scenario for me to enter the trade uprising volumes has to come in breaking the avg volume of the first 3 minutes. Thus RVOL (relative volume) has to be at least above 2.
Also if at the opening at least 50k volumes will be already traded and if the pattern will not change I will short:
1) the eventual pm main low level of support if price will fade below the 20eMA,
2) below 154.66 (20eMA) if price fill fade below 100sMA
3) below 157.33 (100sMA) if price will fail the breakout.
4) In any type of scenario for me to enter the trade uprising red volumes has to come in breaking the avg volume of the first 3 minutes. Thus RVOL (relative volume) has to be at least above 2.
Have a good trading session!
$CRM EARNINGS BETTER BE A BLOWOUT TO AVOID MORE DOWNSIDE. Once the piggy bank stock where you investment was safe has turned a little weaker in recent weeks. The tech massacre has affected the high valuation names in particular and NYSE:CRM certainly fits into that category with a high p/e ratio of 100. The chart is getting increasing weak with indicators all bearish, as is the volume, with high volume on down days which is extremely bearish. On the downside $134 seems like a possible target BUT 3 TREND LINES BELOW COULD GIVE SUPPORT.
AVERAGE ANALYSTS PRICE TARGET $182
AVERAGE ANALYSTS RECOMMENDATION BUY
CRM: One of the most crowded stocks...I'm thinking $CRM will take a big hit here. The anti trust news might be the catalyst crowded big tech names need to drop big time. I'm keen on going long undervalued companies after a sentiment reset, but we might not go anywhere before presidential elections.
Since the market is likely to remain sideways for now, I'll be trying to find both good short trades as well as valid long ones in my stocks account.
Best of luck,
Ivan Labrie.
THE WEEK AHEAD: CRM EARNINGS; QQQ, IWM, XOP, TBT, AAPL, TSLAEARNINGS
CRM (57/42) releases earnings on Tuesday after market close, so look to put on a play in the waning hours of Tuesday's New York session.
Pictured here is an iron condor in the July monthly with the short options nearest the 20 delta strikes. Preliminarily, it's paying 1.61 at the mid price with break evens wide of the expected move at 133.40/171.60 with delta/theta metrics of -.89/2.27.
As of Friday close, the June 7th weekly to July 19th monthly volatility contraction is from 61.8% to 39.0% or about 41.5%.
Look to manage intratrade by rolling the untested side toward current price on approaching worthless with a 50% max take profit target.
BROAD MARKET
EEM (38/21)
QQQ (36/23)
IWM (36/22)
SPY (37/19)
EFA (29/17)
The EEM July 19th 37/41/41/45 iron fly is paying just shy of 25% of the width of the longs (8-wide) at 1.99 and break evens of 39.01/42.99. Look to take profit at 25% max, as you would with a short straddle.
QQQ is paying slightly more than one-third the width of the wings for the short option strikes nearest the 20's -- the 158/161/185/188: 1.01 credit, break evens at 159.99/186.01, delta/theta metrics of -2.66/1.49. Manage intratrade by rolling in untested on approaching worthless toward current price; 50% max take profit.
The IWM iron condor nearest the 20 delta is the July 19th 133/136/154/157, with break evens of 135.01/164.99, delta/theta metrics of -3.27/1.43. 50% max take profit. Manage intratrade by rolling in untested on approaching worthless toward current price; 50% max take profit.
SECTOR EXCHANGE-TRADED FUNDS
Top 5 By Rank: TLT (65/13); USO (58/48); TBT (58/27); OIH (54/42); GDXJ (51/29).
The volatility in oil isn't a particular surprise. /CL (21/46) has been crushed from a late April high of 66.44 to a Friday session low of 53.05, leading to an OVX pop from the mid-20's to a Friday session high of 47.49, so it's an opportunity to sell premium in /CL, USO, or one of the closely correlated proxies like XOP (43/39).
TBT is at a 52-week low; TLT, a similar high with the yield on the 10-year T note yield cratering to finish last week at 2.142, so I could envision putting on a bullish assumption play in TBT either on the notion that we get some risk on post-May sell-off or that yield has bottomed in this vicinity (between 2.00-2.25).
A bullish assumption TBT short put in the July cycle at the 28 strike isn't paying a ton -- .43 at the mid, with a 27.57 break even and delta/theta metrics of 25.35/.85, but the more aggressive 29 pays .73 with a 28.27 break even and delta/theta metrics of 38.97/.96.
SINGLE NAME WITH EARNINGS IN THE REAR VIEW
X (66/61): The July 19th 12 straddle is paying 2.00, 10.00/14.00 break evens, and a delta/theta metric of -2.66/1.99.
AAPL (51/33): The July 19th nearest the 20 delta iron condor, the 155/160/190/195 is paying 1.67 with 158.33/191.67 break evens, and a delta/theta metric of -1.88/2.05.
TSLA (51/73): Some of the volatility leaked out last week, but the nearest the 20 -- the 140/145/215/220 appears to be paying 1.92 at the mid, assuming you can get filled there, with markets showing wide ... .
CRM Technicals Tell Us To Be Cautious - Short Term NeutralTriple top? Held the 100 day but stopped right below the 20/50 day EMA. I'd be cautious long term but will probably have another attempt albeit probably short lived. CRM
long bias on crmLooking for long break out of the wedge after cup formation. Looking for break out of possibly bounce off support line with tight stop.
