USDX-BUY straegy Daily chart Regression channelThe USDX shows clearly we should be cautious in selling USD, and this applies across the board. Based on channel and the extreme case we are in, we can bounced back ttowards 101.20-101.70 area in the near term.
Strategy BUY @ 97.80 - 98.20 and take proft in stages 1. @ 100.37 and 2. 101.57.
DXY trade ideas
DXY 4H Chart AnalysisThe U.S. Dollar Index is currently consolidating near the 99.400 level, within a broader bearish trend. Price is sitting just above key H4 support (~99.000), making this a critical decision zone.
Bullish scenario: Rejection from 99.000 could lead to a retracement towards 100.000, and potentially 102.500 if momentum holds.
Bearish scenario: A break below 99.000 would confirm further downside, possibly targeting 97.500 and beyond.
Traders should wait for clear price action confirmation before committing to a direction.
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Potential Bearish Continuation | 4H The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is currently trading at 99.587 on the 4-hour timeframe, showing signs of weakness below a strong supply zone marked near 99.800.
The chart outlines a potential bearish structure, with a series of lower highs suggesting a downward move toward the following key support levels:
99.400 (immediate support)
99.200
99.000
98.600
98.400 (major support)
A rejection from the highlighted resistance zone could lead to sustained bearish momentum. Watch for a break and close below 99.400 to confirm further downside.
Key Resistance Zone:
99.800
Key Support Levels:
99.400
99.200
99.000
98.600
98.400
Idea:
Sellers may look for confirmation at lower timeframe breaks to join the trend. Buyers need a clear break above 99.800 to invalidate the bearish scenario.
USD Tests Long-Term Support + Weekly OversoldLast week I highlighted the oversold reading on the weekly DXY chart. While bulls didn't exactly put in a massive showing it was also one of the first green weekly bars in a month.
Notably, the monthly April bar looks very bearish but the bulk of those losses were in the first 11 days of the month and last week, on Monday, a massive spot of support came into play at the 38.2% retracement of the 2008-2024 major move. This is confluent with a trendline projection, connecting 2001 and 2020 highs, which had come in to hold support back in July of 2023. This adds context to the possibility of a pullback in the USD and this meshes with the 1.1500 resistance test in EUR/USD. - js
DXY "Dollar Index" Market Bullish Heist Plan (Day or Swing)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the DXY "Dollar Index" Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk ATR Line. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (99.900) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level for Pullback entries.
📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss 🛑: "🔊 Yo, listen up! 🗣️ If you're lookin' to get in on a buy stop order, don't even think about settin' that stop loss till after the breakout 🚀. You feel me? Now, if you're smart, you'll place that stop loss where I told you to 📍, but if you're a rebel, you can put it wherever you like 🤪 - just don't say I didn't warn you ⚠️. You're playin' with fire 🔥, and it's your risk, not mine 👊."
📍 Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing low level Using the 1H timeframe (98.900) Day / Swing trade basis.
📍 SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 101.400 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
💰💵💸DXY "Dollar Index" Market Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade) is currently experiencing a Bullish trend.., driven by several key factors.☝☝☝
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Geopolitical and News Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Index-Specific Analysis, Future trend targets with Overall outlook score... go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗🔗
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
Bearish drop?US Dollar Index (DXY) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 100.22
1st Support: 97.47
1st Resistance: 101.83
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
DXY BREAKOUT IN PLAY — Smart Money is Moving!After a clean falling wedge formation, DXY is showing early signs of bullish momentum.
Price action respects the trendline support + bullish orderblock (green zone) beautifully!
Next targets: 101.000 — 103.000 zone.
Watch for pullback entries before continuation.
This is textbook falling wedge breakout behavior — stay sharp!
Levels Marked:
Support: 99.00 zone
Target Zones: 101.000 & 103.000
Breaker structure: Confirmed bullish
Save this setup & be prepared!
DXY / Dollar Index Market Heist Plan (Scalping / Day Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the DXY / Dollar Index Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (104.550) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level.
📌I strongly advise you to set an alert on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 1H timeframe (103.800) Day trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 105.400 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
DXY / Dollar Index Market Heist Plan (Scalping / Day Trade) is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors.
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Index-Specific Analysis, Positioning and future trend targets.. go ahead to check 👉👉👉
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
Smart Traders Watch the Fed — Smarter Ones Watch the DollarHello Traders 🐺
In this idea, I decided to talk about the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) — because so many people have been asking me:
“How do you predict the Fed’s moves, and how do they affect deflationary assets like BTC?”
My last idea was about BTC, where I explained why I believe a major bull run is coming — and part of that is because the Fed might soon shift back to QE.
But if you're trying to predict QE...
The first thing you need to watch is the U.S. Dollar Index, which reflects the strength of the U.S. Dollar.
So let’s break it all down:
🔍 Part 1: What Does the Fed Actually Do?
The Fed isn’t just a printer — it’s the U.S. central bank, and it has a dual mandate:
✅ Keep prices stable (control inflation)
✅ Promote maximum employment
That means the Fed doesn’t just want growth — it wants sustainable growth. No crazy inflation, no deep recession. Balance is key.
🧰 How Does the Fed Do It?
Through Monetary Policy, which is basically the toolkit used to control liquidity, interest rates, and economic behavior (like how much people borrow, spend, or save).
Let’s break down the main tools:
1️⃣ Federal Funds Rate
This is the most powerful tool the Fed has.
It’s the rate banks use to lend to each other overnight.
If the Fed raises the rate:
→ Loans get expensive
→ Spending slows
→ Inflation drops
→ But markets can crash
If the Fed cuts the rate:
→ Loans get cheaper
→ Demand rises
→ Growth accelerates
→ But inflation can surge
2️⃣ Open Market Operations (OMO)
This is how the Fed injects or removes liquidity using bonds.
Buys bonds → Injects money → 🟩 QE (Quantitative Easing)
Sells bonds / lets them expire → Removes money → 🟥 QT (Quantitative Tightening)
3️⃣ Reserve Requirements
This used to be a big deal — the % banks had to hold in reserves.
But since 2020, it's set to 0%.
4️⃣ Discount Rate
The interest rate the Fed charges banks directly.
A change here sends a strong signal to the markets.
Sometimes the Fed also works in sync with the U.S. government — using fiscal support like:
💸 Stimulus checks
🏢 Corporate bailouts
🧾 Tax relief packages
📈 So... Why Does the Dollar Index (DXY) Matter?
There’s a very clear inverse correlation between the DXY and BTC.
When the dollar gets stronger (DXY pumps), BTC usually dumps.
Why? Because rising DXY often means:
🔺 The Fed is raising rates
🔺 Liquidity is being pulled out
🔺 QT is in play
Let me show you some real chart examples:
📉 July 2014 — DXY pumped → BTC dumped hard
DXY Chart:
BTC Chart:
➡️ Just a 28% DXY pump → 80% BTC crash. Ouch.
📈 2017 — DXY dropped → BTC entered full bull market
DXY Chart:
BTC Chart:
➡️ A 15% DXY drop → Bitcoin bull run of a lifetime.
Now here’s the good news 👇
DXY is starting to look very bearish on the chart:
Combine that with the Fed shifting to QE, and guess what?
We're likely entering the early stages of another bull market.
If you read my last BTC idea, you already know what I’m expecting...
🚀 A massive run is just around the corner.
I hope you found this idea useful, and as always —
🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable, but almost always profitable 🐺
🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
DXY Long-Term Technical Outlook: Channel Structure, Pullbacks & ## **DXY (Dollar Index) Technical Analysis – 2W Chart**
### **1. Uptrend Since 2008**
The Dollar Index (DXY) has been in a **long-term uptrend** since the 2008 bottom (around 70.70). The chart shows a clear pattern of **higher highs and higher lows**, establishing a bullish market structure over the past 15+ years.
---
### **2. Ascending Channel**
The price has been moving consistently within a well-defined **ascending channel**. Several reactions from the channel boundaries are visible:
- **Support (lower trendline):** 2008, 2011, 2018, 2021, 2024
- **Resistance (upper trendline):** 2009, 2017, 2022
This suggests that the market is respecting the technical boundaries of the channel remarkably well.
---
### **3. Historical Pullbacks Within the Channel (13.5% – 15%)**
The chart highlights major **pullbacks** from local tops, all falling within the **-12.6% to -16.9%** range, showing high consistency:
| Year | Drop | % Decline |
|-------------|----------|----------------|
| 2009 | -14.76 | -16.47% |
| 2010 | -14.97 | -16.90% |
| 2017 | -15.17 | -14.61% |
| 2020 | -13.65 | -13.25% |
| 2022 | -14.90 | -12.98% |
| 2024/2025 | -13.90 | -12.61% |
This implies that **a retracement of 13–15%** from a local high is a historically "normal" correction within the ongoing uptrend.
---
### **4. EMA Analysis – 24, 120, 240** (2Y,5Y,10Y)
The chart includes three Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), reflecting short-, medium-, and long-term trends:
- **EMA 24 (white line):** Reacts to short-term price action. Price is currently breaking below it, suggesting weakness in short-term momentum.
- **EMA 120 (red line):** Reflects the mid-term trend. Price is **right at the edge**, often acting as a **support level** in bullish markets.
- **EMA 240 (blue line):** Represents the long-term outlook. **Price has never stayed below this level for long** over the past 15 years, making this EMA a **critical support** for the long-term trend.
---
### **Conclusion & Potential Scenarios**
📉 **Bearish Scenario:**
If DXY breaks below the **EMA 240** and the **lower channel boundary**, it could indicate a **reversal of the long-term uptrend**, which hasn’t happened since 2008.
📈 **Bullish Scenario:**
If DXY holds above the **EMA 120** or bounces from the **EMA 240** and the **channel support**, we could expect a rally toward the **Fibonacci levels** (0.5 at 102.04 or 0.382 at 105.04), or even a retest of the highs around **114.78**.
DXY Bearish Pennant Breakdown | More Downside Ahead?The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has broken down from a well-defined bearish pennant pattern on the 4H chart, signaling continuation of the prevailing downtrend.
🔹 Technical Setup:
Pattern: Bearish Pennant
Breakdown Level: Below 99.00
Target: ~94.50 based on pennant pole projection
Confirmation: Clear follow-through after breakdown, low volume consolidation
🔹 Fundamentals:
Weak U.S. economic data and dovish Fed expectations continue to weigh on the dollar.
Rising gold and commodity prices further support DXY downside.
📌 Outlook: As long as DXY trades below 99.00 resistance, bearish momentum is likely to extend toward the 94.50 target zone.
NOTE: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. Always do your own research.
DXY TO RETRACE, BUYMy yearly target for DXY has been smashed in April, not even 6 months in, lol. The move was fast and brutal, many were left out.
Now I think we will see some cool off, a retracement or a range, dont hold trades as the market may range after such big move and I don't like holding a ranging market.
Learn to let your profit run, stop chasing few pips. Dxy fell thousands pips and you caught only 100 pips due to day trading, it doesn't make sense. Learn to see the bigger picture
My TP 1 is 99
TP 2 = 101.3
Enjoy
Follow me as my trades are market order, so you'll see it on time and enter at premium
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Tuesday, 22nd April 2024)Bias: Bullish
USD News(Red Folder):
-None
Analysis:
-Current ATH at 2443
-Looking for pullback
-Potential BUY if there's confirmation on lower timeframe
-Pivot point: 3300
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
NEW WORLD ORDER BLUEPRINT : THE GRAND DESIGN I have said everything in prior posts
but this analysis dates to ray dalios hegemony video
looks like this is the time
so dxy will rebound in value good news will spur the economic tank willthen crash trump vs powell you cant rig the economy couple this with the bad after taste of tariffs negative sentiment from the world no one coming to sretch their hand out then boom
ni hao wo jiao Lao Ban Muji, wo ai bin qili
ai, shuo, follow
zaijian