DXY Risky Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
DXY has been making some
Pretty wild moves on the
Recent geopolitical news
Lately so we need to be
Trading this index with
Caution, however, the
Dollar index is approaching
A horizontal support of 107.000
From where we will be
Expecting a local
Bullish correction
Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
DXY trade ideas
Dollar index in a bullish daily channel, only doing correction?Drawing out our analysis from a daily time frame we can see the dollar index still in a clear rising uptrend channel. What we currently experiencing could be seen as a correction move after the steep bull move.
If price respects the channel the dollar index could potentially see some bull rally soon.
However, if it breaks the channel,then only my bias would change.
Mighty DollarDxy on Friday saw a rejection of 105.40 with jobs report reading of 227k beating October print of -28k closing the week at 105.97 this area is interesting because of a higher low from rally on November 24. looking ahead cpi on Wednesday could provide fresh direction. capturing a move above 106.35 could approach Fibonacci retracement 0.618 at 107.05 and 0.706 Fibonacci at 107.27. Trade at your own risk.
DXY US Dollar Index Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰🐱👤
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the DXY US Dollar Index Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise placing Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest high or low level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 108.500 (swing Trade) Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 106.000 (or) Escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
DXY US Dollar Index Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors.
🟦Fundamental Analysis:
- The US Dollar Index (DXY) has been under pressure due to the contraction in JOLTS job openings, indicating a tightening job market
- The Federal Reserve's monetary policies, geopolitical stability, and global acceptance of the dollar as a reserve currency contribute to the dollar's strength
- A strong economy with high productivity, low unemployment, and stable inflation provides a foundation for strengthening the dollar's position
🟫Macro Analysis:
- The US economy is expected to remain strong, with low unemployment and stable inflation, supporting the dollar's value
- Global trade tensions and geopolitical instability may impact the dollar's value, but its status as a reserve currency provides stability
- Interest rate decisions by the Federal Reserve will influence the dollar's value, with potential rate cuts impacting its strength
🟪Sentimental Analysis:
- 60% of client accounts on IG are long on the US Dollar Index, indicating a bullish sentiment
- However, the recent contraction in JOLTS job openings and potential Fed rate cuts may lead to a bearish sentiment
🟧COT Analysis:
- The latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report shows that speculators are net long on the US Dollar Index, indicating a bullish sentiment
- However, the report also shows that commercial traders are net short, indicating a potential bearish sentiment
🟨Positioning:
- Corporate traders may consider hedging their exposure to the US Dollar Index due to potential volatility
- Investor and hedge fund traders may consider going long on the US Dollar Index due to its potential strength, but should be cautious of potential rate cuts and geopolitical instability
- Institutional traders may consider diversifying their portfolios to minimize exposure to the US Dollar Index
- Retail traders should exercise caution when trading the US Dollar Index due to its potential volatility and should consider using proper risk management strategies
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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DXY Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for DXY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 107.486.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 108.791 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
DXY Trading JournalDXY Trading Journal
Feb 5
Price actions wild rally on Sunday to swipe the buy side and then has been energetic to rebalance the damage.
Yesterday Price had a run on stops and rebalanced recent inefficiencies, in a distribution cycle. Price rebalanced Sundays and Mondays inefficiencies.
Price is in Premium on W, and Daily chart coming to the 50 level and is still rebalancing a HTF Weekly SIBI.
The range Price is trading in seems to be in deep discount just below the .70 level. Equal lows sell side and volume imbalance could be the magnet if price seeks lower prices.
I would say for the day Price is in a double discount. Asia has opened in a discount on the range and energetically came to the 50 and lowered and for the moment continuing its seeking of lower prices.
My logic says if price takes out the noted sell side liquidity it should react and seek the 50 level at 108,000, and yet it could just keep seeking lower prices.
Non farm payroll week with PMI today in NY session.
Follow your rules, stay out unless your complete model lines up.
The Stablecoin Revolution: Is the Dollar's Reign Over?
The Future of the Global Cryptocurrency Market: Navigating the Rise of Stablecoins and the Shifting Sands of Global Finance
The cryptocurrency market has exploded in popularity over the past decade, evolving from a niche interest to a global phenomenon. While Bitcoin remains the dominant player, the landscape is rapidly diversifying, with stablecoins like USDC and Tether playing an increasingly crucial role. This article explores the future of the global cryptocurrency market, examining the growing influence of stablecoins and their potential impact on the traditional financial system, particularly in relation to the US dollar and the DXY index.
The Rise of Stablecoins: Bridging the Gap Between Crypto and Fiat
Stablecoins are cryptocurrencies designed to maintain a stable value, typically pegged to a fiat currency like the US dollar. This stability makes them attractive for everyday transactions and as a safe haven within the volatile crypto market. USDC and Tether are the two largest stablecoins, with market capitalizations in the tens of billions of dollars.
The appeal of stablecoins lies in their ability to combine the benefits of cryptocurrencies – such as speed, low transaction costs, and 24/7 availability – with the stability of traditional currencies. This makes them ideal for a variety of use cases, including:
• Remittances: Sending money across borders using stablecoins can be faster and cheaper than traditional methods.
• Payments: Stablecoins can be used for everyday purchases, both online and in physical stores.
• Trading: Stablecoins provide a stable asset for traders to use when navigating the volatile cryptocurrency market.
• Decentralized Finance (DeFi): Stablecoins are a key component of DeFi protocols, where they are used for lending, borrowing, and trading.
The Impact on the US Dollar and the DXY Index
The growing adoption of stablecoins has raised questions about their potential impact on the US dollar and the DXY index, which measures the dollar's strength against a basket of other major currencies. Some analysts believe that the widespread use of stablecoins could weaken the dollar's dominance in global trade and finance.
However, it's important to note that most stablecoins are currently pegged to the US dollar. This means that their value is directly tied to the dollar's performance. As a result, the rise of stablecoins could actually strengthen the dollar's position in the short term.
In the long run, the impact of stablecoins on the dollar will depend on several factors, including:
• Regulation: Governments around the world are beginning to pay close attention to stablecoins. The regulatory frameworks that are developed will play a significant role in shaping the future of these digital assets.
• Adoption: The widespread adoption of stablecoins will be a key factor in determining their impact on the dollar. If stablecoins become a major force in global finance, they could challenge the dollar's dominance.
• Competition: The emergence of other stablecoins pegged to different currencies, or even central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), could reduce the reliance on dollar-pegged stablecoins.
Opportunities and Challenges in the Cryptocurrency Market
The future of the cryptocurrency market is full of opportunities and challenges. The continued growth of stablecoins is likely to play a significant role in shaping this future. Other key trends to watch include:
• Institutional adoption: More and more institutional investors are entering the cryptocurrency market. This is bringing increased legitimacy and liquidity to the market.
• Technological innovation: The cryptocurrency market is constantly evolving, with new technologies and applications being developed all the time. This innovation is driving the growth of the market.
• Regulatory clarity: As governments around the world develop clearer regulatory frameworks for cryptocurrencies, this will help to reduce uncertainty and encourage further adoption.
However, there are also challenges that the cryptocurrency market must overcome, including:
• Volatility: The cryptocurrency market remains highly volatile, which can make it risky for investors.
• Security: There have been a number of high-profile hacks and scams in the cryptocurrency market, which have raised concerns about security.
• Environmental concerns: The energy consumption of some cryptocurrencies, such as Bitcoin, has raised concerns about their environmental impact.
Conclusion
The future of the global cryptocurrency market is bright, with stablecoins playing an increasingly important role. While the impact on the US dollar and the DXY index remains to be seen, it's clear that stablecoins are changing the landscape of global finance. As the market continues to evolve, it will be important to keep an eye on the latest developments and to be aware of the opportunities and challenges that lie ahead.
Bullish bounce?US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 107.57
1st Support: 106.51
1st Resistance: 108.79
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Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
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Is the Dollar Index (DXY) Rolling Over?Chart Analysis:
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has pulled back from its recent highs after testing the 110.00 resistance level. The index remains within an established upward channel, but the latest price action suggests a short-term loss of momentum.
1️⃣ Uptrend Intact but Testing Support:
The index has been trading within a rising channel (highlighted in green).
Recent price action shows a rejection near 110.00, with a sharp pullback testing the lower boundary of the channel.
2️⃣ Moving Averages as Key Support:
50-day SMA (blue): Currently at 107.76, acting as dynamic support.
200-day SMA (red): Trending at 104.80, confirming a longer-term bullish structure.
3️⃣ Momentum Indicators Show Weakness:
RSI: At 47.53, below the neutral 50 level, indicating fading bullish momentum.
MACD: Slightly positive but showing signs of flattening, suggesting a potential slowdown in upside momentum.
What to Watch:
A break below 107.50 could accelerate selling pressure, leading to a deeper retracement.
Holding above the 50-day SMA may support a rebound attempt toward 110.00 resistance.
A confirmed breakout above 110.00 would reinforce bullish continuation, while failure to reclaim the highs may lead to further downside testing.
The U.S. Dollar Index remains within a bullish structure, but the recent rejection at resistance calls for caution. Traders should monitor price action around key support levels to gauge the next move.
-MW
DXY - "Pullback or Breakdown? Key Levels to Watch!"📉 Price Action Update: Key Levels to Watch
Currently, the price is trading within the 108 – 107.800 range. There are two potential scenarios to anticipate:
1️⃣ If the price continues to decline, we could see a drop toward 106.950.
2️⃣ Alternatively, a pullback from 108 could push the price toward 108.500 – 108.700 before resuming its downside move.
This analysis is based on DXY's price action on February 3rd, where it faced monthly timeframe resistance. Such a significant resistance level often leads to a short-term downtrend, especially on lower timeframes like the 1-hour chart.
📊 Stay alert to price reactions at these key levels! 🚀
DXY : Reaching for the skyThe chart above explains.
My charts are straightforward. So there isn't much to talk about. But TV insist that I write something or else it would not publish.
TV also offers me many 'trading tools' - of course, I have to pay. But the thing is that I have no use for such tools. So in the end, I use it for FREE
Thank you TV.
Principle of predictionThe Principle of Prediction – How We Are Prediction Machines
"Every action we take is based on a prediction—whether we realize it or not. Mastery comes from refining those predictions through data and analysis."
🔍 Understanding the Principle of Prediction
- The human brain is wired for prediction. Every decision we make—whether in trading, business, or life—is an attempt to anticipate an outcome.
- Prediction is about stability. Our ability to predict future events determines how well we adapt to uncertainty, manage risk, and maintain control.
- The role of data and analysis: While intuition plays a role, true mastery comes from combining biological instinct with structured data-driven refinement.
📊 The Chart & Its Meaning
- The chart illustrates how patterns emerge over time, reinforcing the idea that recognizing, testing, and refining these patterns enhances predictive accuracy.
- Human Perception vs. Statistical Reality:
- Our intuition is often biased—we see what we expect to see.
- Data analysis acts as a corrective lens , aligning perception with objective reality.
- Performance Optimization:
- Stability in decision-making is achieved when human prediction aligns with statistical
probability.
- Tracking and refining pattern recognition improves predictive power over time.
🧠 Key Takeaways
✅ Prediction is survival. The better we predict, the more control we exert over uncertainty.
✅ Data refines intuition. Without measurement, prediction is just an educated guess.
✅ Mastering prediction = mastering stability. Stability isn’t found in avoiding risk, but in learning to predict and manage it effectively.
💡 The First of The Seven Principles
This establishes The Principle of Prediction as the foundation of stability.
- In future annotations, we can progressively introduce the next principles in a way that naturally builds on this concept.
- Each principle will connect back to scientific reasoning, human needs, and performance optimization.
DeGRAM | DXY dollar strengthened againThe DXY is in an ascending channel between trend lines.
The price has already reached the upper boundary of the channel and the dynamic resistance, which previously acted as a pullback point.
During the growth in the channel, the chart formed a gap.
We expect a pullback.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
DXY Bullish Breakout – USD Strengthening Towards 120+?📊 DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) Monthly Chart Analysis 🚀
📈 Breakout in Progress:
The chart shows a breakout from a horizontal resistance zone (previous highs). This signals bullish momentum.
📊 Trend & Structure:
Higher Lows & Higher Highs indicate an uptrend.
Price has been moving within an ascending channel for years.
📉 EMA 200 Support:
The 200-month EMA (95.63) is well below the current price, acting as a strong long-term support level.
🔮 Future Projection:
A potential pullback to confirm support, followed by a strong bullish move toward 120-125 levels.
Chart Projection Suggests: 🚀 Upside continuation if support holds.
🔥 Key Levels to Watch:
✅ Support: 104-108 (Breakout retest zone)
🎯 Target: 116-124 (Upper trendline)
💡 Conclusion: Bullish bias remains strong. If DXY holds above 108, the dollar could gain more strength in 2025. 🚀📊
Monday CLS, KL OB Midpoint, Model 1Monday CLS, KL OB Midpoint, Model 1
you are welcome to comment with your thoughts and share your charts or questions below, I like any constructive discussion.
What is CLS?
This company is trading for the biggest investment banks and central banks. They trade over 6.5 trillion daily volume. They are smart money of the all markets.
CLS operates in the specific times which will give you huge advantage and precisions to you entries. Focus on that. Its accuracy is amazing.
Good luck and I hope this educational post helps to become better trader
“Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.”
Dave FX Hunter ⚔
Levels discussed during livestream 3rd Feb 20253rd Feb 2025
DXY: If price stays above 109.30, could see it trade up to 110, beyond that 111
NZDUSD: Sell 0.5530 SL 25 TP 60
AUDUSD: Sell 0.6080 SL 30 TP 80
GBPUSD: Sell 1.2230 SL 40 TP 120 (hesitation at 1.2164)
EURUSD: Sell 1.0160 SL 50 TP 150
USDJPY: Buy 156 SL 35 TP 70
EURJPY: Sell 159.40 SL 50 TP 100
GBPJPY: Sell 191.70 SL 50 TP 110
USDCHF: Wait and look for reaction at 0.92 resistance level
USDCAD: Sell 1.4655 SL 50 TP 100
XAUUSD: Look for reaction at 2790 resistance (break upwards to 2812 on recessionary/reinflation/trade war fear) or reject down on DXY strength (inverse relationship)
USD Driving on Tariff DramaThe Dollar put in a massive move to start the week but already a large portion of that has been pared back. On a longer-term basis, it was support at prior resistance last week that held the lows, around the 107.35 level that came in to mark the highs in 2023.
The next major focal point on tariffs is Europe and given the outsized 57.6% allocation of the Euro in the DXY quote, that could have a large push point in the US Dollar.
In DXY, the 110.00 level is key resistance and bulls haven't been able to do much above that price yet.
Bigger picture, if sellers can sink the pair back below 106.50, then mean reversion setups come back on the radar and that would likely couple with a EUR/USD push back towards a 1.0700-1.0800 area, and USD/CAD back towards 1.4000 or lower. - JS
Tariffs and Gold: A Trade War’s Golden Ripple EffectTariffs, especially those involving major economies like the U.S. and China, can impact gold prices by influencing inflation, economic growth, and market uncertainty. If tariffs lead to trade wars, economic slowdowns, or higher consumer prices, investors may seek gold as a hedge against inflation and economic instability, driving prices up. Conversely, if tariffs strengthen a country’s economy by protecting domestic industries and boosting confidence in the local currency, gold prices may decline as investors favor riskier assets. The overall effect depends on how tariffs influence global economic conditions and investor sentiment.