Get started
US Dollar IndexUS Dollar IndexUS Dollar Index

US Dollar Index

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview News
Ideas
Discussions Seasonals

DXY trade ideas

Can the Dollar Index Predict Global Chaos?In the intricate dance of global finance, the U.S. Dollar Index has emerged as a pivotal player, reaching heights unseen in over two years. This surge, coinciding with Donald Trump's anticipated return to the White House, underscores a market bracing for significant policy shifts. The index's climb is not just a number; it's a beacon reflecting the resilience of the U.S. economy amidst high interest rates and a low unemployment rate, painting a picture of optimism where investors envision a 'goldilocks' scenario under new economic policies. However, this rise is shadowed by tariff threats, hinting at potential global trade disruptions. The depreciation of European currencies against the dollar signals a market in flux, with investors recalibrating their strategies in light of possible protectionist measures. This scenario challenges us to ponder the broader implications: How will these tariffs reshape international trade dynamics, and what does this mean for the global economic order that has favored open trade for decades? The Dollar Index's ascent also prompts a deeper reflection on currency as a barometer of geopolitical stability. With the U.S. potentially stepping into a new era of economic policy, the world watches closely. This moment invites investors and policymakers alike to consider global economic relations' immediate impacts and long-term trajectory. Will this lead to a reevaluation of the dollar's role as the world's reserve currency, or will it strengthen its position amidst global uncertainties? This question is not just about economics; it's about understanding the undercurrents of power and influence in a world at a crossroads.
INDEX:DXYLong
by UDIS_View
The Axis of RESISTANCEI have drawn an imaginary ascending parallel channel. The midline of this ascending channel seems to be acting and a giant Resistance at the moment. Breaking above this resistance level is going to send the DXY flying to the moon, which can drown the stock and the crypto market. On the other hand DXY is struggling to break above this resistance level and it is forming a divergence in the 4H RSI chart. The EMA 150 on the daily chart is pointing to a support at around 105-106 level. The interesting part is that the price chart also agrees that 105-106 level is a strong support area to study. DXY has been crushing the crypto market specially the alt coins for the past few weeks. A break below the ascending channel and a visit to the 105-106 support area will give the stock market and the crypto market the chance to breathe.
TVC:DXY
by Se7enSkies
EUR/USD: My walk of shameHello traders I am still long AUD/JPY from 96.96 as mentioned before. So, why the shame? Because I missed out on the EUR/USD bounce to 1.0277, the after NFP print high and also close to a breakdown point. I am located on the USA west coast, so by 2pm, I tune out because conditions become extremely liquid when NZ opens, with spreads of up to 9 points on EUR/USD and up to 30+ points on JPY/major pairs. I therefore missed out on the bounce to short EUR/USD as NZ and presumably early bird Tokyo traders became active, completely forgetting that they were not trading during NFP'S. But I had a good workout at the gym. I did go short at 1.0255 though with a stop above 1.02777. Lesson learnt. Don't make assumptions. And I am not too hard on myself because I gave up trading NFP releases a long time ago. Fundamentally, Euro is still on the backfoot and I expect at least a retracement to 1.0192 on the 4hr chart. The release of USD CPI will be the highlight of this week. Keep in mind that both Central Banks are making back to back rate decisions in about two weeks+ We may become rangebound up until then. Watch those Bollinger Bands. Best of luck all.
TVC:DXYShort
by jvrfxalerts
4
DXY Trading JournalDXY Trading Journal Jan 13 analysis Very happy that Price did come up take buy side liquidity out and then Price did seek the 50% and Price rebalanced Fridays FVG. And it was a side ways day high resistance delivery after NFC and no red folder today. Very happy with my sentiments of Price action. Check my previous days journal it noted! Jan14 I would suspect that Price will come down to seek the clean equal lows and rebalance Fridays FVG before turning around to seek Mondays FVG and 50%.
TVC:DXYShort
by LeanLena
2
Dollar Index: A Turning Point Ahead?From the recent Commitment of Traders (COT) data, it's evident that the Dollar Index (DXY) has shown significant bullish sentiment in prior weeks. However, as we approach a key resistance zone, there's been a notable shift in the COT index. This drastic change raises the question: what could be driving this potential reversal? One major event looming on the horizon is Trump’s inauguration in a week’s time. While political shifts often stir the markets, the real focus for traders should be on how the weekly candle closes. A bearish close could signal the beginning of USD weakness in the early part of 2025. I don't anticipate any major shocks in the stock market this year, but there is the possibility of a sharp correction. If that happens, knowing where to buy will be critical—such opportunities could offer excellent long-term holds for the next 11 months. For now, I’m watching the DXY closely for signs of exhaustion at resistance and potential bearish momentum in the weeks ahead. Stay sharp and manage risk carefully as this pivotal period unfolds. What are your thoughts on the DXY and USD trends for 2025? Let me know in the comments!
TVC:DXY
by Mike_SnD
3
DXY Long-Term Roadmap🧭 Roadmap Overview: The DXY (US Dollar Index) moves in multi-decade cycles of bull and bear runs, reflecting changes in global economic conditions, monetary policies, and investor sentiment. In this chart, I’ve mapped out a long-term roadmap based on historical cycles that indicate where we are now and what to expect in the future. I’ve also included how crypto adoption and stablecoins could potentially impact the DXY in the coming years. 🔎 Historical Cycles & Trends: 1️⃣ 1980-1985 Bull Run: Driven by Federal Reserve rate hikes to combat inflation. The DXY reached a peak around 160, marking a major bull run. 2️⃣ 1985-1995 Bear Run: The Plaza Accord in 1985 led to a devaluation of the dollar. The DXY dropped significantly during this period. 3️⃣ 1995-2002 Bull Run: The dot-com boom and a period of economic expansion saw the DXY rally once again, reaching highs above 120. 4️⃣ 2002-2008 Bear Run: Post-9/11 and the housing bubble crash triggered a major decline in the DXY. 5️⃣ 2008-2022 Bull Run: The global financial crisis in 2008, combined with Fed tightening policies, triggered a long bull run in the DXY, peaking around 114 in 2022. 🧩 Where We Are Now: Currently, the DXY is at a critical inflection point. Based on historical cycles: The next bear run is expected to start soon, driven by a potential Fed pivot to lower interest rates and increasing global de-dollarization efforts. After this bear run, I expect another multi-year bull run, starting around 2030, as the dollar remains the world’s primary reserve currency. ⚡ How Crypto Could Impact the DXY: 🔵 1. Bitcoin as a Hedge Against USD: Bitcoin is often seen as digital gold, offering investors a way to diversify away from the U.S. dollar. If Bitcoin adoption grows globally, it could reduce demand for USD and put downward pressure on the DXY. 🟢 2. Stablecoins Competing with USD: Stablecoins like USDT, USDC, and DAI are pegged to the USD and used globally as digital dollars. However, if crypto-native stablecoins start to replace traditional banking systems, it could challenge the dominance of the USD in global trade. For example: USDT has a higher daily transaction volume than PayPal. Crypto transactions across borders bypass traditional banking systems, reducing the need for USD reserves. 🟡 3. De-Dollarization & Crypto Adoption: Countries like Russia, China, and BRICS nations are pushing to reduce reliance on the USD. If they adopt crypto or blockchain-based settlement systems, it could accelerate the decline of the DXY. Example: Russia is exploring digital currencies to settle international trade. China’s digital yuan (CBDC) aims to reduce reliance on the USD for cross-border payments. ⚡ Key Risk: The more crypto adoption grows, the more demand for traditional USD may decline, which could negatively impact the DXY in the long term. 🎯 Predicted Cycles: 📉 Bear Run: 2025-2030 📈 Bull Run: 2030-2040 💬 What are your thoughts on how crypto adoption could impact the future of the DXY? Let me know your thoughts below! 👇 #DXY #USD #Crypto #USDT #Stablecoins #Bitcoin #DeDollarization #Forex #Trading #MacroAnalysis #BTC
TVC:DXY
by Ehsanzh
Bullish Bias Until Opposing DisplacementClassic SMC concept: Price at Premium area, in order to gather liquidity it has to go to Discount area. Lets break down it into available Week unfolding Scenario: Scenario A: The easiest target for Price is to take PWH (Premium) and then we may face the some sort of displacement it could create Daily/4h -OB then we may trade up to Thursday for having Bearish Bias (short term) by keeping in mind Bullish Bias intact in mind (long term). Scenario B: Price may drop into FVG:BISI(4h) and may turn Bullish and then we may notice FVG creation on Monday and may ride Tuesday retracement to frame Bullish trade up to Thursday/Friday.
TVC:DXY
by Arrsalaan
1