Intel GapIntel formed a GAP on April 22 that havent been closed yet at $62.25
Intel have a history of GAP's and sometimes it took over 6 months to close it.
INTC trade ideas
Intel (INTC) the company has very attractive corporate multiples with a P/E around 12, debt under control and a good dividend yield. The problem is that the market does not like it, but an investment at these prices, especially if it falls below $ 50, could prove to be very interesting in the medium or long term. 75% of microchips are manufactured in Asia, and that is THE problem: the supply chain. Intel is the biggest American chipmake, its most advanced fab is outside Phoenix.
Earnings per share ought to increase at a high single-digit clip, on average, over the pull to 2024-2026. These shares are worthy of consideration by investors of all ilks; long-term riskad justed total return potential is wide.
2021 Net Profit (est.) 19.4 B.
2021 Total Debt 30.0 B.
MARKET ALPHA WATCHLIST - INTCHey Everyone!
I hope everyone is having a blessed day. Today I'm posting a symbol from our watchlist. Spotted in the options market. We are watching INTC to see more strength and break above this trendline and possible downward trend. These are the levels to watch over the next few weeks whether long or or short.
NASDAQ:INTC
Undervalued INTEL (Long)Intel has underperformed for a while now and it's price reflects that. However, the chip industry is on fire atm and INTEL still remains the largest Chip producer in the world.
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Price action is currently stuck in a descending wedge (Bullish) with a bearish rejection at the recent resistance. Watch carefully to what happens at the wedge support around 51.70 (1). With strong support we may see it test that wedge resistance again and ideally break through to the levels indicated at 2, 3 and 4.
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Negative scenario: Wedge support is broken and we head to LONG term (Sep, 2018) support around 45-46 level.
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Not financial advice - Do you own DD.
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Let me know your thoughts and GL!
INTEL : FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS + NEXT TARGET LEVEL 🔔Intel was hit hard by rival Advanced Micro Devices in the x86 (central processing unit) processor market, losing share in servers and PC processors thanks to the latter's technological advantage.
But now Chipzilla has aimed at AMD as well as Nvidia, entering the multi-billion dollar discrete graphics processor (GPU) market.
Intel recently announced that the first generation of Arc discrete graphics cards will be available in the first quarter of 2022. Chipzilla claims that these cards will "deliver high-performance gaming, immersive visual effects, seamless streaming, and game creation."
Intel's first-generation discrete graphics cards, codenamed Alchemist, will include ray tracing technology and artificial intelligence-based supersampling. Competitors AMD and Nvidia already equip their cards with such technologies, and gamers willingly buy their graphics processors of the latest generation to improve gameplay. Moreover, Intel plans to have three more generations of Arc graphics cards after Alchemist - Battlemage, Celestial, and Druid, which means that the company plans to consistently improve its GPUs over time.
All of this indicates that Intel is serious about taking a rightful place in the discrete GPU market, which could herald a much-needed turn in the company's fortunes and help stop the recent decline in its financial performance. Moreover, there are several reasons why Chipzilla could take market share away from AMD and Nvidia after launching its cards.
First, the Alchemist GPUs will be based on Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing's N6 6-nanometer (nm) technology node. Current AMD RDNA 2 gaming GPUs are based on 7nm process technology, while Nvidia's Ampere gaming GPUs are based on Samsung's 8nm process technology. AMD is expected to switch to TSMC's 6nm process when it releases its next generation of RDNA 3 graphics cards. Meanwhile, rumors suggest that Nvidia could move to the 5nm process when it releases its next-generation cards, codenamed Ada Lovelace, in 2022.
Identical manufacturing processes mean Intel could find itself on equal footing with Nvidia and AMD on the technology front. Thus, Chipzilla enters the GPU market with a solid background that could make it a viable third choice for gamers who have trouble buying graphics cards because Nvidia and AMD can't produce them in sufficient quantity.
That brings us to the second reason Intel may be in the discrete graphics processor market: Nvidia and AMD can't produce enough cards to meet the huge end-market demand.
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang explained this during the August financial results report:
"The demand for RTX is incredible. ... And now we've zeroed in on the installed base, and Ampere has gotten off to an incredible start, becoming the best-selling GPU architecture in our company's history. And yet, we've only updated about 20% - less than 20% of our total installed base."
Similarly, AMD is also witnessing strong demand, which is why CEO Lisa Su recently noted that supply will remain tight despite the company's efforts to increase capacity.
Intel can fill the void to some extent by offering a viable GPU alternative for Nvidia and AMD. It could poach potential AMD and Nvidia customers and get a good start in the discrete graphics card market if it can produce enough units. So don't be surprised if Intel does well in the GPU market next year, which will be good for the chipmaker due to the wide end-market opportunities.
Intel intends to be in the discrete graphics card business for a long time, as the company has unveiled its horizon, which currently includes four generations of GPUs. Success in this market could add billions of dollars to Intel's revenue; according to Jon Peddie Research, discrete graphics card revenue will be $54 billion by 2025, up significantly from $23.6 billion in 2020.
Nvidia is currently the dominant player in this area with an 83% market share in the second quarter, while AMD holds the remainder. As it turns out, AMD is having a hard time withstanding the competitive pressure from Nvidia, and this could be an opportunity for Intel to do its part. If Intel starts taking GPU market share away from AMD and poaching potential Nvidia customers by producing enough cards and offering stable supply, it could gradually establish itself as a key player in the GPU market in the long run.
That could give Intel a much-needed boost, as the company's revenue will drop to $73.5 billion this year, compared with revenues of $77.9 billion in 2020. Analysts estimate that the downtrend could continue into 2022, but steady progress in the GPU market could give Intel a much-needed breather and help these tech stocks regain their spirit.
Intel bounced off 200 MA and is ready to post some gainsNASDAQ:INTC bounced off the 200 MA and is setup for some gains. Anticipated price action and targets are shown on the chart, stop is daily close below 53$$.
Hit the like button please if you find this useful :)
This is only my own view and not a financial advice, do your own analysis before buying or selling
Happy Trading!
Intel Corp.Company Description:
Intel Corporation is one of the world's largest semiconductor chip maker. The Company develops advanced integrated digital technology products, primarily integrated circuits, for industries such as computing and communications. It also develops platforms, which it defines as integrated suites of digital computing technologies that are designed and configured to work together to provide an optimized user computing solution compared to components that are used separately. Intel designs and manufactures computing and communications components, such as microprocessors, chipsets, motherboards, and wireless and wired connectivity products, as well as platforms that incorporate these components. The Company sells its products primarily to original equipment manufacturers, original design manufacturers, PC and network communications products users, and other manufacturers of industrial and communications equipment. Intel Corporation is based in Santa Clara, California.
Analysis:
When taking a look at the 4 hour chart, I see a few indicators that give me bullish sentiment:
1. Candles near strong support.
2. RSI Oversold.
3. Mac D on it's down side.
4. High before the most recent previous high was broken.
5. 200/50 EMA Cross w/ 2 Orange Renkos.
Looking for a price target of $57 and up! Not Financial Advice. Always Do Research Before Decision!
CTS - #INTEL COPORATIONAdd up Biden's emission
Chip mining
This analysis is designed to provide information that CTS believes to be accurate on the subject matter, but is shared with the understanding that the author is NOT offering individualized advice tailored to any specific portfolio or the particular needs of any individual.
The author of the analysis specifically disclaims any responsibility for any personal or other loss or risk incurred as a consequence, directly or indirectly, of the use and application of any of the contents of this analysis.
There are Lot of Stocks moving up with Divergences
I monitor a pile of stocks to see whats going on under the hood.
While I have chosen Intel for the example - a lot big names look like this.
We all know that Jackson Hole is Friday - I'm not sure how anyone can think it will bullish meeting.
While the Fed is buying bonds the continues - the reverse repo is actually taking more money out of the system - this is a fact. DM me if you want to more.
Right now volatility is being pushed down making options cheaper - so this is the quiet before the storm.
As you can see in this chart - they are holding up INTC
With SPX at 4500 - whats the upside?
I don't think this is summer doldrums - its a setup, in this case to the downside.
Looking at the /ES there are single prints down around 4455 - this needs to be cleaned up - all this price action 50 points higher is based on a push up on one 5 minute candle.
The /NQ has left a VPOC at 15066 - this will be returned to.
Todays move is with divergence on the YM(DOW) and ES (SPX) - pushing all these stocks up while crushing vol with divergence.
Both the 6J (Yen) and ZB (Bonds) sold off today - those getting long thinking there is negative news - too soon. These have been reset for a move higher.
INTC going 200$+++Intel can only go up from here, with all the hype stocks like AMD and Nvidia for example just relentlessly going up and are way overpriced at this point, you are overpaying for growth.
All you need to do is look at INTC 1999/2000 hype run up and 20+ years later the stock never made a new all the time. While the stock never made a new all time high i strongly believe now is the time for Intel.
With the new intel GPUs that are coming out early next year they will take market share from both Nvidia and AMD, the growth potential is almost unlimited for them as they start from zero.
CPUs are still not as good as AMD ones but Intel is still on 14nm process node while AMD is using TSMC 7nm and that is main reason they are ahead but the cap is not that huge, Intel is still on very old 14nm process node and are able to compete still with AMD just fine.
*Massive cash flow
*Intel 10nm is coming online soon.(It will be equal or better then TSMC 7nm)
*Intel is investing between $60 billion and $120 billion on brand-new fab complex.
*Intel got a alliance/deal with IBM(yes that boring IBM the research company) to use the new revolutionary 2nm process, IBM’s 2nm process offers greater density (more transistors per square millimeter) and lower power than TSMC’s 3nm(This news is so massive yet none talks about it).
*All Intel competitors are fabless and are using TSMC to produce the chips...even Apple. With China being unpredictable right now, tension with Taiwan would have unknown consequences. Nvidia, AMD, Apple etc all those companies would have no way to make the chips anymore, yes crazy right?
www.tomshardware.com
www.forbes.com
INTEL:FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS|PRICE ACTION|DOWNTREND SETUP 🔔The past five years have been tough for Intel, the world's largest maker of x86 processors for PCs and data centers. It has underperformed Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company and Samsung in the "technology race" to produce smaller, more high-level chips, and persistent lags and chip shortages have ended in a huge loss of market to AMD.
INTC has also rejected the mobile market, ceasing production of chips for smartphones and baseband modems, and made scattered investments in programmable chips, Internet of Things (IoT) chips, and automotive chips - none of which have solved the company's core problems.
Former Intel CEO Brian Krzanich unexpectedly quit three years ago. His "inheritor", Bob Swan, concentrated on lowering costs and buying back stock instead of addressing pressing R&D issues. Swann had even considered outsourcing much of Intel's production to TSMC - rather than upgrading his foundries - before he was ousted in January.
Swan's successor, Pat Gelsinger, has rejected the concept of Intel growing a "fabless" chipmaker similar to AMD and has redoubled efforts to expand its internal foundries. The company is reportedly even considering an acquisition of GlobalFoundries, AMD's past factory division, to stimulate those intentions. Gelsinger anticipates that the manufacturing extension will benefit Intel regain technology leadership from TSMC and win back succumbed market share from AMD.
If Intel can achieve those lofty goals remains a controversial question. But Intel lately updated its 2025 plans, and there are some dramatic changes. Let's take a look at the most significant changes and how they might affect Intel's growth over the next five years.
The technology race is measured in nodes. Smaller nodes, which are currently measured in nanometers, are commonly recognized as more advanced than larger nodes since they are more energy-efficient.
TSMC began mass production of 7-nanometer chips in 2018 and 5-nanometer chips in 2020. Intel began mass production of 10-nanometer chips in 2019 after several years of delays, and previously delayed production of the next generation of 7-nanometer chips until late 2022 or early 2023.
Initially, it appears that Intel is two generations behind TSMC's chips. However, Intel's 10-nanometer chips have the same density as TSMC's 7-nanometer chips, about 100 million transistors per millimeter square. Basically, Intel's 10-nanometer chips are technically comparable to TSMC's 7-nanometer chips, but the size of the nodes (which are set by each foundry instead of a single industry standard) still puts TSMC in the lead.
But as part of its new plan, Intel is renaming its 10+ node, also known as the 10-nm Super Fin node, to the "new" 7-nanometer node. These new chips, to be released by the end of 2021, should offer better performance than TSMC's 7-nanometer chips, but won't be able to match TSMC's 5-nanometer chips.
Intel is renaming its old 7-nanometer node, which was originally delayed, to a "new" 4-nanometer node to show that it will outperform TSMC's 5-nanometer node. Intel still prepares to release chips later next year or early 2023, but it will then lag behind TSMC, which will begin mass production of its 3-nanometer chips in the second half of 2022 and possibly release its 2-nanometer chips in 2023.
Intel intends to slowly gain on TSMC by supplying its new factories with more high-tech extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines. It also wants to become the first chipmaker to use next-generation EUV machines with the high NA required to produce smaller chips beyond the 3-nanometer node. The company claims to be working closely with ASML, the world's only EUV and High-NA machine maker, to get these orders-but ASML also supplies the same machines to TSMC.
Intel plans to release its first 3-nanometer chips in the second half of 2023. The company expects the performance of the new node to be 18 percent faster than earlier projected 3-nanometer chips.
Intel plans to begin production of 2-nanometer chips, also known as "20A" (20 angstrom) chips, in 2024. These chips, which will replace Intel's old 5-nanometer process, could have nearly twice the density of 3-nanometer chips. In 2025, the company will release 18A (1.8-nanometer) chips. We don't know much about these chips yet, but the company believes that the 20A and 18A chips will help it wrest technology leadership from TSMC and Samsung by 2025.
Intel factories in Arizona, Ireland, Israel, and Oregon are getting ready to produce 4-nanometer, 3-nanometer, and 20A chips. That speedup, likely to be backed by subsidies in the U.S. and Europe, could greatly expand its contract chip manufacturing services and help fabless chipmakers decrease their over-dependence on TSMC and Samsung.
It is not that obvious whether Intel can accomplish its lofty new purposes, but its new schedule shows that it intends to keep pace with TSMC and Samsung by expanding its capacity and ordering more high-performance machines from ASML.
Many still have doubts that Intel will be able to regain its lead in process technology by 2025, particularly as TSMC decidedly
increases its costs to maintain its advantage, but significant changes in its foundry business could back it to evade expected delays and shortages and recover some of its lost market share from AMD.
