$MSTR - WE HAVE IGNITION! 107% UpsideNASDAQ:MSTR - WE HAVE IGNITION 🚀
🎯$448🎯$543🎯$600
✅Falling Wedge Breaking Out
✅Wr% Breaking Out of DownTrend
✅Weekly Hammer Candle
Not Financial Advice
MSTR trade ideas
Assortment of OTM MSTR Puts
MSTR is filling my alerts for the optimal short zone mentioned previously.
I've explained the various macro bear trend setups in MSTR previously. For some additional stuff;
Generally a correction will be two legs. When it's not, there's usually at least 4. 3 corrective legs is rarer. Breaking under might have been a bear break.
If it was, a retracement is always fair game but now we're into the zone this can be faded.
Selling calls into the rally and buying an assortment of deep OTM puts on MSTR
Put $210.00 - Last: $1.22, Bid: $1.07, Ask: $1.21, Vol: 44.0, IV: 115.0%, OTM
Put $205.00 - Last: $1.09, Bid: $0.98, Ask: $1.12, Vol: 53.0, IV: 118.4%, OTM
Put $215.00 - Last: $1.27, Bid: $1.16, Ask: $1.34, Vol: 33.0, IV: 111.9%, OTM
Put $200.00 - Last: $1.00, Bid: $0.90, Ask: $1.04, Vol: 123.0, IV: 121.8%, OTM
Put $220.00 - Last: $1.40, Bid: $1.28, Ask: $1.40, Vol: 22.0, IV: 108.3%, OTM
Saylor: The Bubble Man Saylor The Bubble Man
MicroStrategy (MSTR) – A stock that only shines in bubbles, then burns its holders.
1999 Dot-Com Hype:
MSTR skyrocketed in the late 90s, purely on dot-com speculation. But after aggressive accounting was exposed, it crashed over 90%.
Saylor paid fines, survived – investors didn't.
2021 Bitcoin Mania:
Saylor rebrands as Bitcoin maximalist. MSTR stock pumps as Bitcoin pumps. MicroStrategy stops being a software company and starts being a leveraged Bitcoin ETF in disguise.
Result? Bitcoin cools, MSTR drops over 75%.
2024 ETF Bubble:
Bitcoin ETFs approved, retail hype returns. MicroStrategy issues more debt, doubles down, and rallies hard.
Already down 50% from highs – the pattern repeats.
In between these periods? Nothing. No meaningful growth. No shareholder returns. Just silence until the next bubble.
The Playbook:
Max leverage.
Max hype.
Assured promises about the future justifying all present risks.
Saylor promotes it not just inside his company, but publicly to anyone willing to listen.
Outcome:
Always the same.
Retail buys into the story.
The bubble bursts.
Investors hold the bag.
Saylor resets and waits for the next mania.
History is clear: Saylor doesn’t manage a business; he manages cycles of hype.
Saylor is the Bubble Man.
====
The Bubble Man: Michael Saylor and the Art of Leverage, Hype, and Hollow Returns
Saylor’s career can be accurately described as a cyclical showcase of hype-fueled rallies followed by spectacular busts.
Each surge is orchestrated through deft salesmanship, aggressive leverage, and promises of assured future riches—and each collapse leaves behind little more than shattered shareholder value and a fresh narrative to mask the wreckage. The one Saylor has always done, is promise exceptional gains in the future.
The only time people ever listen, is when the hype of the day supports it.
MicroStrategy: A Company That Rises Only on Hype
A closer inspection of MicroStrategy’s performance history reveals a striking pattern: the company’s stock only shines during the most frothy moments of speculative mania. Strip away these isolated periods, and what remains is a tech firm that has consistently underperformed, failed to deliver long-term operational gains, and leaned heavily on financial engineering and bold proclamations.
1999: The Dot-Com Mirage
MicroStrategy first burst onto the scene during the late 1990s dot-com bubble, riding high on the wave of anything remotely tech-related. Its share price exploded, reaching dizzying heights, only to collapse after revelations of aggressive accounting (culminating in a high-profile SEC settlement in 2000). Investors who bought the hype saw over 90% losses after the bubble popped, while Saylor survived by shifting the narrative and paying fines without criminal consequence.
2021: The Bitcoin Mania
Fast-forward two decades, and Saylor’s next big gamble came—not from the company’s original software business—but from pivoting MicroStrategy into a quasi-Bitcoin ETF, heavily buying Bitcoin using borrowed funds. Once again, the timing was impeccable: MicroStrategy stock surged in 2020-2021, attracting retail frenzy during the Bitcoin bull run. However, as soon as crypto markets cooled, MSTR shares plummeted over 75% from their highs, leaving investors to absorb the fallout while Saylor doubled down on his maximalist rhetoric.
2024: The ETF Echo Bubble
Today, in 2025, MicroStrategy is basking in yet another speculative surge, this time driven by Bitcoin ETF approvals and renewed crypto enthusiasm. Predictably, the company has used this window to issue more convertible debt, expanding its leveraged Bitcoin bet. However, just months into the rally, the stock has already retraced 50% from recent highs, repeating the same cycle. No meaningful growth has come from MicroStrategy's core business; all attention is once again focused on price speculation.
In response to this Saylor goes to his usual of hyping future gains and promoting people take wreck less risks. This guy has a massive following. Some of these people will obviously be naive and easily influenced and he's made statements ranging from selling your house to selling body parts to speculate in BTC.
The Playbook: Leverage + Salesmanship + Assured Future Promises
At the heart of each of these cycles is Saylor himself—a master promoter whose public persona is equal parts financial evangelist and charismatic pitchman. His message is consistent:
"Ignore short-term volatility."
"The future payoff is inevitable."
"Leverage risk is justified if you believe hard enough."
Not only does Saylor employ this approach with MicroStrategy’s own balance sheet—loading up on debt to fund speculative moves—but he publicly encourages others to follow suit, telling both individuals and institutions to embrace extreme risk under the guise of inevitable exponential returns.
This philosophy sounds eerily familiar to every bubble narrative ever told: risk doesn’t matter, because tomorrow’s gains will make it all worthwhile. Of course, for most investors, tomorrow rarely arrives as promised.
The Aftermath: What Happens When the Music Stops
History offers no ambiguity about the result:
The 1999 hype ended in collapse and accounting scandal.
The 2021 hype ended in massive drawdowns and underperformance.
The 2024 hype, already cracking, is shaping up no differently.
Each time, retail investors, lured in by Saylor’s conviction and bravado, bear the brunt of the losses, while MicroStrategy simply reloads, restructures debt, and awaits the next speculative wave.
Conclusion: The Bubble Man
Michael Saylor is not a visionary leader crafting sustainable shareholder value. He is, instead, the quintessential Bubble Man—a figure who thrives during periods of irrational exuberance, skillfully weaving narratives of certainty and future wealth while encouraging dangerous levels of leverage and risk. His company’s stock has consistently done nothing outside of speculative episodes, and the wreckage following each hype cycle is always left at the feet of those who bought into the story.
The question investors must now ask is not whether MicroStrategy will see another bubble—it’s how many more people will be willing to pay the price for it when it inevitably bursts again.
MSTR Time To RipLooking for long trades at these key levels, mainly anchored vwap from the low for what may be a face ripper rally
MSTR is a ticking time bomb.....down downMSTR is up almost 50% from 2 weeks ago. There is very little upside at the moment, and short term investors are itching to cash out asap! Great time to get into MSTZ (inverse) before this pops ahead of next weeks new round of tariffs that will depress stocks and crypto even more.
Best of luck and always do your own due diligence!
Falling Wedge?The triangle correction seems mostly invalidated, but not entirely. However, it looks like a falling wedge might be forming instead.
In the short term, we should expect to see $275 – $287 as a potential target. If the falling wedge plays out, we might get a breakout to the upside. Let’s see how the price reacts! 🚀
MicroStrategyIt does not matter what we might think of Saylor or MicroStrategy. Throw your emotions away.
What matters most is what the aggregate of market participants think.
This is the chart defined, objective and unbiased analysis.
StrategyThe Strategy hasn’t changed. Ride MSTU to lofty heights. MSTU holders just went through max pain, and it couldn’t produce a 50% drawdown in one day, which would have wiped out MSTU holders, but I’ll tell ya, it came close. That was sketchy.
MicroStrategy To $370?Hello friends! I'm back with an analysis of MSTR. As we can see, the price had a significant drop of 57% from November 2024 to March 2025. The price is highly correlated with Bitcoin, and said cryptocurrency is in a wave 4 within an Elliott wave pattern. Therefore, Bitcoin will be returning to test $110,000. Therefore, MSTR, holding 499,096 bitcoins, will see a very significant rise in its price. In the short term, MSTR will be going to test its luck at $370 per share. However, it is highly likely that it could return to $410 per share. MSTR has many technical and fundamental indicators in its favor to be a highly profitable value asset. The best buying zones are below $300 per share.
Disclaimer: This is only an opinion; it should not be used as investment advice or recommendation.
MSTR Iron Condor $360/380 $220 / 200 iron condor for 4/11?
Looks spicy. Letting bitcoin AND THUSLY MSTR chop around, bounce around, grind around to eventually trade sideways for 1-3 more weeks..
$MSTR ready for it's next leg!Strategy has been consolidating for months now and is breaking out of it's bull flag.
It retested the 20 SMA on the 2W with a lot of buying power. Holding 1,272 btw. Not the time to be bearish!
MSTR - Next ShortThere it is, at the U-MLH, stretched again.
Confluence with the 1/4 line of the white Fork.
Cheap short down to the CL and beyond, if it's able to crack it.
Long term, my view is, that it's going to zero, because it's a Scam in plain sight, accepted by the big rulers.
Not closing above 344.85 will be a move downThis channel is not providing individualized trading or investment advice, nor is it a banking service, brokerage service, trading service, investment service or money management service.
MSTR is likely going northMSTR is likely going north.
My buy view for Microstrategy with risk-reward ratios of 1:2 & 1:4.7
Trade 1: RR 1:2
Trade 2: RR 1:4.7
Trade with care
MSTR...to $260Downward channel, lower lows and lower highs. What else do you need to see? Oh, a ponzi model that is based on selling high volatility digital coins to unsophisticated retail investors. High chance of MSTR dipping to mid $200s esp. with this crappy economy. Leverage MSTZ (inverse) to profit from this!!
Best of luck and always do your own due diligece!
Will it close above 298.70 on weekly basis?This channel is not providing individualized trading or investment advice, nor is it a banking service, brokerage service, trading service, investment service or money management service.
MSTR Trading Plan - Bounce then new lows to key year 2000 levelMSTR has a lot going on. I think we're going to see the chart build structure in this low volume top and ultimately retrace to important levels made in the year 2000. Specifically, $177.
The $177 Price level has so many points of confluence it boggles the mind:
$177 is the exact 61.8 retraca from the 2023 low of $13
$177 is the very strong resistance we saw in the first half of 2024
$177 is a key level from way back in the year 2000 (yes, MSTR was this high. In fact it hit a high of $336 way back then)
$177 is also where the current lower trendline (log chart) and the 61.8 and the lower trendlien of the current wedge intersect.
What do you think?
Go Long on MSTR: Bitcoin Correlation Presents Opportunity
-Key Insights: MicroStrategy's strategy of using leveraged positions to invest
in Bitcoin provides a unique investment angle for those seeking exposure to
cryptocurrency without direct involvement. This strategy poses risks due to
Bitcoin's inherent volatility, but it also presents opportunities for gains when
Bitcoin prices rise. Investors should keep an eye on Bitcoin's market movements
as they directly affect MSTR's stock price, creating potential entry points for
informed traders.
-Price Targets: For a long position on MSTR, consider the following: Next week
targets (T1, T2): T1 at $305, T2 at $320.49. Stop levels (S1, S2): S1 at $290,
S2 at $285. These levels take into account current market support and
resistance, suggesting a strategic plan to benefit from potential upward
momentum if MSTR aligns with Bitcoin's bullish trends.
-Recent Performance: MSTR has shown a tight link to Bitcoin, with stock
performance rising and falling in tandem with Bitcoin's price swings. This
correlation has led to mixed short-term sentiment as investors evaluate the
cryptocurrency market's stability. The current price of $297.4899902 places it
between the identified support and resistance zones, making it a critical
decision point for upcoming trades.
-Expert Analysis: Experts remain divided on MSTR due to its high leverage, with
some cautioning against indirect exposure to Bitcoin through the stock. However,
proponents of the stock argue that its strategy provides a diversified approach
to participating in the cryptocurrency market without direct investment in
Bitcoin, offering potential advantages in portfolio diversification.
-News Impact: Recent market discussions highlight MSTR's strategic Bitcoin
acquisitions and their impact on stock volatility. The company's financial
maneuvers and significant shareholder interests may further influence investor
sentiment. Future Bitcoin price trends will likely dictate MSTR's performance,
making cryptocurrency developments a vital aspect to monitor in the coming weeks
for informed trading decisions.
StrategyHi y’all. I’m seeing Strategy attempt to find support on prior resistance, as BTC finds support on the 200DMA. Also, there is a MSTR/BTC divergence, where MSTR runs bullish sats again. You can look at my MSTR/BTC charts to see my target. I bought the dip even heavier.
MSTR: Is 300 Enough?MicroStrategy is seeing tremendous strength off the lows along with the rest of the crypto space. We are eyeing this 300 level to see if it offers a proper buy zone to coincide with Bitcoin 85,000 which has also seen tremendous outperformance relative to equities. Watch the overhead trendline drawn here as well as Bitcoin 90,000 for profit takes or continuations. We will decide which if and when we get there.
MSTR...tik tok and BOOOM down 10-20%It's just a matter of time IMHO, most likely tomorrow / next few days, when MSTR will drop like a brick. The fact that anyone is buying this is just bonkers; they buy high volatile BTC with debt. What could ever go wrong with this Ponzi scheme? You've been warned about this house of cards. Great if you're leveraging MSTZ!
Best of luck and be careful out there....
3/27/2025 MSTR_BearishHi traders,
There’s a high probability that MSTR will move lower from here. Friday’s session will determine its direction, as the weekly candle is forming a shooting star, but getting in early isn’t a bad idea.
The BTC chart also looks bearish— the 0.618 Fib level from the previous high and low has been acting as resistance for several days. We need to watch if the 50 SMA will hold as support, but I don’t think it will, given my bearish outlook on SPY.
My target is 250 area, 200SMA will act as support.
May the trend be with you.
AP
