MSTR flowthis is how I think MSTR is going to play out, bought shares today and ill dca in. im aiming for a 100% return
MSTR trade ideas
Possible path for MSTRLike CRYPTOCAP:BTC , NASDAQ:MSTR is squeezing against 2 levels of support/resistance. Here is a possible price action path MSTR could follow in the near term.
MSTR vs BTC?MSTR vs BTC?
For some dumb reason MSTR is up +235% in 1 year while BTC is up +167%. That's a wide discrepancy in valuation. As of November 30, 2023 MicroStrategy owns 174,530 bitcoins. MicroStrategy states the average purchase price is $30,252 USD per bitcoin with a total cost of $5.28b USD. MicroStrategy had debt of $2.18B at the end of September 2023. It has $45m in cash leading to a net debt of about $2.14b. MicroStrategy has a current unrealized Bitcoin profit of +43%.
Which coincidently, if they were able to liquidate all of their Bitcoin holdings immediately without tanking the market, would result in MicroStrategy being virtually debt free. However, MicroStrategy Bitcoin HODL strategy has resulted in unrealized losses for 90% of the time. Over the last twelve months MicroStrategy produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Another cause for caution is $580m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months.
Conclusion. MicroStrategy should not be up more than Bitcoin.
Buy MicroStrategy Stock With BTC, Blockstream CEO Adam Back SaysBlockstream CEO, Adam Back revealed that based on the current performance of MicroStrategy and Bitcoin, buying seem a good idea.
Blockstream co-founder and CEO Adam Back has reiterated the fact that many experts are beginning to take cognizance of MicroStrategy Inc.’s constantly increasing Bitcoin per share.
Based on this, he advised that investors to buy MicroStrategy stock with Bitcoin.
MicroStrategy is Winning
Back’s X post came as a reaction to an earlier insight from Ecoinometrics which pointed out that the business intelligence and software firm is winning as it relates to a chart showing MSTR’s stock price performance concerning the current performance of flagship cryptocurrency Bitcoin.
The attention that MicroStrategy is getting presently does not come as a surprise especially as the firm has been raking in more Bitcoin in line with its Treasury Reserve Allocation policy. A few days ago, the Bitcoin-friendly firm purchased of 16,130 BTC at approximately $593.3 million. Each unit of the new Bitcoin acquisition had an average price of $36,785.
Markedly, the purchase brought the current Bitcoin holding of MicroStrategy to a total of 174,530 BTC, considering that the firm had earlier bought 155 units of Bitcoin for $5.3 million as announced in November. As of November 29, MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin portfolio holds as much as 174,530 units of BTC valued at approximately $5.28 billion at an average price of $30,252 per Bitcoin. With the current price of Bitcoin at $41,875.79, the firm is in a major profit on its stack.
MSTR vs Bitcoin Performance
Bitcoin has been on a positive momentum for the last few weeks, driven by some events including the evolving anticipation for spot Bitcoin ETF approval from the United States SEC and the Federal Reserve’s decision to suspend interest rate hikes.
The leading cryptocurrency is stealthily approaching $40,000 and inching towards a new high for 2023. With its price of $38,792.97, the coin is now up 11% for the month
With the volume of BTC that MicroStrategy owns, the current market situation places the firm in an impressive position with profit enough to cover the senior convertible notes debt it has accrued as some of its BTC assets were purchased with the credit.
In addition, MicroStrategy’s (NASDAQ: MSTR) is equally performing outstandingly well in the market. According to data from MarketWatch, the stock price is now valued at $529.98 with a 0.44% per its close on Friday. This improvement is another indication that Michael Saylor’s Bitcoin strategy is a good choice.
By a large margin, the coin’s stock has outperformed its peers since it adopted its Bitcoin strategy.
Technical Analysis
MSTR is trading near the top of its 52-week range and above its 200-day simple moving average.
Investors have been pushing the share price higher, and the stock still appears to have upward momentum. This is a positive sign for the stock's future value.
Shorting Bitcoin via MSTRIf one wants to hedge against the current ETF inspired rally in Bitcoin without selling their Bitcoin a good candidate to 'short' would be MSTR (Microstrategy). The stock is "hard to borrow" meaning it is difficult to short the shares but the options chain is relatively liquid enough to accomplish the bearish thesis.
Technically, both Bitcoin and MSTR are hitting major Weekly Resistances today at the same time. Bitcoin is hitting its COVID low > ATH 50% Retracement level at 36439 while MSTR its November 2021 > May 2022 trend 50% Retracement at 512.73.
Expressing the trade with Puts is not only perhaps the only way for most traders to do so but also advantageous with the current Implied volatility being "low" relative to the last year. This means that if the trade goes in favor of the position IV should rise and add to the profitability.
MICROSTRATEGY ; "I M BACK" ?Hello § Microstrategy benefits from the end of year BTC rally / In the U,S, the £ will soon be worth the value of paper with a record deficit of 8% this year,
MicroStrategy earningsMSTR Q2 June 2023 earnings are on Tuesday 8/1 at 4pm. Here's a 2 split view chart with MicroStrategy and Bitcoin levels. Technically speaking MSTR should trade in line with Bitcoin TTCATR VWMA20 levels, so I am posting this as a short because of the divergence.
Q2 June 2023 Consensus:
Revenue = 124 M
VWMA200 = 277
TTCATR VWMA20:
R3 = 499
R2 = 475
R1 = 451
VWMA20 = 424
S1 = 398
S2 = 373
S3 = 349
Options data:
8/4/23 expiry
Put Volume Total 3,218
Call Volume Total 3,881
Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.83
Put Open Interest Total 8,365
Call Open Interest Total 6,958
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 1.20
8/11/23 expiry
Put Volume Total 1,781
Call Volume Total 618
Put/Call Volume Ratio 2.88
Put Open Interest Total 2,043
Call Open Interest Total 1,306
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 1.56
8/18/23 expiry
Put Volume Total 373
Call Volume Total 557
Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.67
Put Open Interest Total 10,580
Call Open Interest Total 5,919
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 1.79
MSTR Evening Star Poses Whipsaw Risk"Evening stars" are not as reliable as they used to be. They occur after heavy speculation and a steep angle of ascent. A few days ahead of earnings, NASDAQ:MSTR could not break through the resistance above.
The Gap up was HFT driven. This stock has a lot of retail interest at the moment, with every eye on AI. But the selloff from last quarter's reporting season is creating resistance on the daily scales. It is a very pricey stock for this market condition and the emotional state of most investors.
MSTR is likely to gap on earnings news as there are leaks out that it is going to be a blockbuster earnings report.
Bullish on MSTRThe chart of the week is MSTR: MSTR did a perfect extension higher back on the last move up off the roadmap line, moved up into exhaustion then went right back down making another bounce off that line.
Today we are seeing a move up above the 61.8% level and if we can maintain a daily close above $415 that is a signal for an entry.
Stop would be below the last low around $300.
The conservative target is up at $520, and an aggressive target is up at $580.
Remember to move your stop up above the entry once we approach that prior high around the $460-475 area (sooner if you are more conservative) Good Luck!
MSTR holding more than 150,000Btc!MicroStrategy MSTR
If BTC SPOT ETF Approved!
This stock will benefit.
Because They holding more than 150,000Btc.
technical chart looking GOOD.
BreakOut and throwback weekly chart.
#MMRRSL
#BearFaceTrader
Microstrategy could benefit from the rise of BTCGood morning, Traders,
Today, we will analyse with @mauricepriolo the chart of MicroStrategy Incorporated (NASDAQ:MSTR), an American company that provides business intelligence, mobile software, and cloud-based services. Founded in 1989 by Michael J. Saylor, Sanju Bansal, and Thomas Spahr, the firm develops software to analyse internal and external data to make business decisions and develop mobile apps.
After the big crash in 2022, a rebound phase from the lows began in January 2023 that led the stock first to test the 200-period Exponential Moving Average and then to the bullish crossing of the 50 Average on the 200 Average, giving an early hint of a trend reversal.
Since the cross, quote prices have steadily exceeded the EMA-200, using it as support in several situations.
In the last few months, we have observed an important lateralisation between the EMA-50 and the EMA-200 (SHIMANO); after several attempts to break the EMA-50, there has finally been a close above the resistance level in the last few sessions. In addition, the ANTICROSS signal reported by the indicator highlights the failure of further declines and confirms the validity of the given support of the EMA-200.
The levels to monitor for further bullish momentum are:
- Last week's high (white line) at 362.00 could be an important trigger point for an upward acceleration
- The first target zone (green rectangle) at 440.00, congestion area before the annual highs at 475.09
- The second target zone (red rectangle) is in the 500.00 area, the resistance zone that rejected the price in March 2022
Analysing the Intraday Timeframes, we find an upward crossing of the Slow Averages on the 1H chart, confirming a change of trend in the short term; we can await the Breakout movement by helping with the EMA-10 or using the EMA-50 as support, an eventual close below the EMA-200 could invalidate the bullish scenario of MSTR.
Taking a look at the data provided by Tradingview, the stock is aiming to hit its targets of returning to positive Earnings Per Share (EPS), from -129 in 2022 to an expected 30 in 2023, with the first half of the year seeing revenues in line with early year forecasts. Also, from the news provided by Trading View (source router), the stock is linked to Bitcoin's performance and could benefit from consolidating the 30,000 level by the cryptocurrency. The earnings release scheduled for November 1 is expected to give volatility to the stock, which has beaten market expectations so far.
In collaboration with @mauricepriolo
Thanks for the support.
Wall Street Bulls Look Optimistic About MicroStrategy (MSTR)MicroStrategy currently has an average brokerage recommendation (ABR) of 1.60, on a scale of 1 to 5 (Strong Buy to Strong Sell), calculated based on the actual recommendations (Buy, Hold, Sell, etc.) made by five brokerage firms. An ABR of 1.60 approximates between Strong Buy and Buy.
While the ABR calls for buying MicroStrategy, it may not be wise to make an investment decision solely based on this information. Several studies have shown limited to no success of brokerage recommendations in guiding investors to pick stocks with the best price increase potential.
Do you wonder why? As a result of the vested interest of brokerage firms in a stock they cover, their analysts tend to rate it with a strong positive bias. According to our research, brokerage firms assign five "Strong Buy" recommendations for every "Strong Sell" recommendation.
This means that the interests of these institutions are not always aligned with those of retail investors, giving little insight into the direction of a stock's future price movement. It would therefore be best to use this information to validate your own analysis or a tool that has proven to be highly effective at predicting stock price movements.
With an impressive externally audited track record, our proprietary stock rating tool, the Zacks Rank, which classifies stocks into five groups, ranging from Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) to Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell), is a reliable indicator of a stock's near -term price performance. So, validating the Zacks Rank with ABR could go a long way in making a profitable investment decision.
MSTR MicroStrategy Puts and the Cryptocurrency LandscapeIf you haven`t sold MSTR here:
Then you need to understand the recent crypto landscape:
Binance disputes the SEC's allegations of mishandling customer funds, deceiving investors, and violating securities laws.
The legal battle between Binance and the SEC has sent shockwaves through the cryptocurrency community.
Binance and its affiliates assert that the SEC is overreaching its jurisdiction on digital assets, especially without any clear legislative guidance from Congress. The original lawsuit, filed in June, accused Binance of unlawfully listing unregistered securities.
Historically, the actions of whales have been instrumental in shaping the price movements of Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market.
Non-whale addresses, those holding less than 100 BTC, now account for over 41% of the total Bitcoin supply. Meanwhile, whales, entities holding between 100 and 100,000 BTC, have witnessed a decline in their collective holdings to 55.5%, marking their lowest ownership level since May.
The decrease in whale holdings could signal a potential change in the market's dynamics, potentially leading to increased volatility and uncertainty.
These developments collectively cast a shadow over the cryptocurrency market's near-term prospects.
In this context, I`m considering the following puts for MSTR MicroStrategy:
2023-10-20 expiration date
$307.50 strike price
$12.60 premium
Looking forward to read your opinion about it!
watch out below 🐻MSTR very strong trend resistance zone, bears have all control at the moment...
break past 321.09 and I think quick push down to 269-214 can come
boost and follow for more, thanks 💜
Where is the area to buy $MSTR stock?Where is NASDAQ:MSTR best area to buy?
A pattern that follows the direction of the trendline that I got in BMV:MSTR , don't miss this
This pattern is called bullish flag and this pattern will follow the direction of the supply or retracement.
Then the buy area of BCBA:MSTR in the 356.28 area and the shortest sell area is probably at 469.99 or can be below that if for a short hold to release goods in the 460.00 area is enough.
For long-term hold can be sold for ASX:MSTR stock in the area of 523.10, 630.89, 730.86, 880.82.
LFG saylor
Double bottom for MSTR
After finding support at the bottom of the channel, NASDAQ:MSTR formed a double bottom in 1H. The target of this move should be 375 if CRYPTOCAP:BTC continues the up move.
Disclaimer – WhaleGambit. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
MSTR - Long-Term 10x potentialCould be a lucrative investment if it plays out. $3K is also 1999 peak
MicroStrategy is flirting with the support of the channelBitcoin related stocks have been front-running the price compared to BTC. NASDAQ:MSTR was no exception of that. The price created a nice up trend, however, we reached to the support with the recent drop of BTC price. If we don't see a reversal from BTC, NASDAQ:MSTR may visit 275. Having said this, it is at the good levels for a long position with a calculated stop.
Disclaimer – WhaleGambit. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Whales Selling BTC and MSTRWhales are selling BTC and MSTR Stocks.
The Price Target based on the liquidity present in the Hyblock Capital Chart, is $24,200
MSTR next FTX bubble MicroStrategy owns 152,800 BTC bought for $4.53 billion.The company has $2.2 billion of debt issued by MicroStrategy, the parent company, consisting of $500 million of 6.125% senior secured notes due 2028 (the “secured notes”) and two series of convertible notes, one maturing in 2025 and the other in 2027 (together, the “convertible notes”). The secured notes are guaranteed by MicroStrategy’s subsidiaries (other than MacroStrategy and its subsidiaries) and are secured by substantially all of MicroStrategy’s assets, which include its software business and, as of Sept. 30, 2022, a total of 14,890 bitcoin.
Although MacroStrategy and its subsidiaries are technically restricted subsidiaries under MicroStrategy’s secured notes, in many ways they have the freedom of an unrestricted subsidiary, including their ability to incur debt secured by their bitcoin holdings.MacroStrategy is carved out from the limitations of the debt covenant, so it can incur unlimited debt. In addition, any crypto assets held by MacroStrategy at the time the secured notes were issued are carved out of the liens covenant; as a result, MacroStrategy may incur unlimited debt secured by the bitcoin that it held on the date the secured notes were issued.
The fact is that FTX and Alameda were created by one person - Sam Bankman-Freed. And from the very beginning, Alameda served as a liquidity provider on FTX. Alameda wallets interacted with FTX even before the launch in May 2019 and apart from other addresses, it was the only clearly identifiable counterparty. In 2020, the chief engineer of the FTX crypto exchange made secret changes to the exchange software. They allowed Alameda Research, owned by Sam Bankman-Fried, to continue to borrow funds from FTX regardless of the value of the collateral.
Weller said the prospect of such a fund coming to market after about a decade of trying by a number of issuers could pose a "big risk" for MicroStrategy.
“Many investors are buying MicroStrategy shares as a widely available proxy to gain exposure to bitcoin,” he said. “But if a simple, low-fee alternative emerges, much of the current demand for the stock could dry up, leaving a costly, slow-growing operating company to manage a cumbersome, unstable balance sheet.”
The Spot Bitcoin ETF, if approved, “won’t offer the same leverage returns as MicroStrategy,” Saylor said during the company’s Aug. 1 earnings announcement.
However, he acknowledged that a subset of institutional investors would choose Bitcoin ETFs to participate in this space.
I'll draw an analogy. Think of the rest yourself. The debtor company has doubled its capital. This is Carl's air, emptiness! Bitcoin-ETF no longer needs an intermediary in the form of this company, which can repeat the fate of FTX. Half of the Bitcoins will have to be sold on the market if the Bitcoin ETF spot is approved, because 2.2 billion debts and unlimited lending to yourself may end. Even now, investors will have a reason to doubt Michael Saylor and withdraw their funds, which will deprive the company of reliability. Will he repeat the fate of Sam? Time will show.
$MSTR Setting UpNASDAQ:MSTR setting up clean pivot while testing its 50 MA for the first time after a powerful base breakout.
Pure technical/momentum trade.
MicroStrategy Coiled: Are Bitcoin Bulls Ready for $35,000 in AugMicroStrategy Incorporated provides enterprise analytics software and services in the United States, Canada, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally. It offers MicroStrategy, an enterprise analytics software platform that enables users to create visualizations, customize apps, and embed analytics directly into workflows; and MicroStrategy Cloud Environment, a managed software-as-a-service solution, which offers always-on threat monitoring and enables rapid analytics development and deployment to deliver security and data privacy requirements. The company also provides MicroStrategy Support that helps customers to achieve their system availability
