NVDA bulls hold the line!another bounce near cluster support, now watching for a break of 115.11 pivot level we should move to 124 if that breaks 🎯 144 / new ATH should come when the downtrend finally comes 🎯
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NVDA trade ideas
NVDA’s Final Act: A Breakout Waiting to HappenNVDA appears to be nearing the completion of its corrective phase, setting the stage for a potential move to new highs. The current pattern resembles a falling wedge, indicative of an ending diagonal formation, which often signals a reversal and the start of an upward trend.
The structure of the corrective channel, along with the termination of the diagonal pattern, suggests a high likelihood of a running flat formation. Buyers are likely to intensify demand pressure as the price approaches the lower boundary of the trendline. A trend reversal may occur if there is a decisive breakout above the Wave 4 level of the ending diagonal.
Buying opportunity with minimal stop is possible after the reversal from lower side of the channel. Targets can be 112 - 120 - 132 - 140.
I'll be sharing more details shortly.
NVIDIA The chance to buy for $230 is NOWNVIDIA is forming a Double Bottom on a 1day RSI bullish divergence, same kind it did on the October 31st 2023 low.
The prevailing pattern is a Channel Up and the double bottom could technically kick start the new bullish wave.
The last one almost reached the 5.0 Fibonacci extension before pulling back under the 1day MA50.
Best opportunity to buy in 2025. Target just under the 5.0 Fib at $230.
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ascending triangle forming on 15m chartNVDA on the 15m chart looking ready to breakout of bullish ascending triangle pattern.
NVDIAgain...long at 111.43This is gonna be my 6th long idea on NVDA since Mid-December. Sorry if this is getting boring, but if it keeps working, why stop?
It's not in a great pattern, but then again it wasn't the other 5 times, either. It has been in a downtrend since early December, but even stocks in downtrends don't have to go down in straight lines, and that's what I'm counting on here. There is some support semi-close by, too.
It's a good company, and trading them in tough times (I think the last 6 weeks qualifies there, don't you?) gives me the best odds of making money. NVDA has never let me down - literally never. Sometimes it takes longer than others, but it always pays. I haven't updated my W/L record on it lately, but the 5 trades on the chart are the last 5 I've made and it was undefeated before all of them. You can go back and look at them if you desperately want to know - I know it's in at least one of those but I don't feel like going back and looking for the exact number right now. I know it's at least 100s to 0. Edit: I felt bad being lazy so I went and looked it up. It's 722-0, and that's a good enough reason for me to trade it today.
So I'm long at 111.43, but I am making a little twist to my usual trade plan. I will be adding if it falls, but not using my usual methodology. It's a twist I've been working on for trading downtrending stocks. It's complicated, so I'll just update here whenever I add, and the adds will still be near the close when I make them. I will still use FPC (first profitable close) to exit any lot on the day it closes at any reasonable profit.
As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
Nvidia Wave Analysis – 31 March 2025
- Nvidia reversed from key support level 105.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 115.00
Nvidia today reversed from the support area located between the key support level 105.00 (which has been reversing the price from last September) and the lower daily Bollinger Band.
The upward reversal from this support zone stopped the earlier short-term ABC correction ii from the start of March.
Given the strength of the support level 3.60 and the bullish divergence on the daily Stochastic, Nvidia can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 115.00.
NVDA Slams into Key Gamma Wall After Tariff Shock. Cont. down?NVDA Slams into Key Gamma Wall After Tariff Shock – Breakdown or Bounce?
🧠 Macro Backdrop:
Today’s broad market sell-off was triggered by news of Trump proposing tariffs, sparking risk-off sentiment, especially in tech and semiconductors like NVDA. The fear of supply chain inflation and global trade disruption hit momentum stocks hard.
This news matters because:
* NVDA is a major global chip exporter.
* Tariffs = higher costs + weaker margins = bearish for NVDA fundamentals.
* Institutions are rapidly de-risking, confirmed by volume + options flow.
📊 Technical Analysis (1H Chart)
Structure:
* NVDA broke back below the 108 support — now acting as resistance.
* Price is currently sitting around 104.13, probing the gamma support band and near a key demand level at 104–105.
* This level coincides with PUT Support and HVL zone, meaning dealers might defend here, if they aren’t forced to hedge further.
Trend:
* Short-term: Bearish.
* Price rejected from the 114–115 CALL wall cluster (Gamma Ceiling).
* Forming lower highs and lower lows, confirming distribution + breakdown structure.
🔥 GEX + Options Flow Analysis
Dealer Positioning:
* GEX: 🔴🔴 — strong negative gamma zone, meaning dealers short gamma and are selling into weakness.
* As price drops, dealers sell more → amplifying downside moves.
* Current GEX Setup:
* Highest positive NETGEX/Call Resistance at 114–115 → unlikely to reclaim this without catalyst.
* Put Support near 104.6, aligning with today’s bounce attempt.
Options Data:
* IVR: 23 → relatively low.
* IVx avg: 54.5 vs current IVx = 23 → volatility is still compressed despite crash.
* CALLS only 6.5% → very bearish skew.
* Put Wall at:
* 104.6 (support) — holding for now.
* 100 — if 104 breaks, this is the next magnet.
🧭 Trade Scenarios
🐻 Bearish Continuation:
* Trigger: Breakdown below 104 support zone.
* Target: 100 psychological + PUT Wall (high confluence).
* Stop: Close above 108.
* Notes: Watch for macro headlines to further accelerate this breakdown.
🐂 Relief Bounce Setup:
* Trigger: Strong bounce and reclaim of 108 with volume.
* Target: 110 → 112 retest (low probability unless sentiment shifts).
* Invalidation: New low below 104 with momentum.
📌 Commentary:
This chart perfectly reflects a dealer-driven gamma crash fueled by a macro catalyst. NVDA was already in a downtrend, and today’s tariff news created the conditions for:
* Breaking demand structure.
* Triggering delta hedging from dealers.
* Pushing price into low-liquidity zones near PUT walls.
The bounce off 104 may be short-lived unless macro fear eases.
⚠️ Final Take:
* Bias: Bearish below 108.
* If 104 breaks, look for a flush to 100.
* Volume confirms institutional exit, and options data shows dealers are selling rips, not buying dips.
📉 Trade Idea:
Buy PUTS (1–2 weeks out) if price rejects 108 retest.
Strike: 102P or 100P
Stop: SPOT above 109
Target: $100–$101 zone
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
NVDA - Moving Average showing Downtrend - Target $100
NVDA
Moving Average showing downward trend. Expecting Target $100 with Bearish Strategy before it starts moving again upward after Trump's Announcement on Tariffs April 02, 2025 at 04:00 PM EST.
Long on NVDAFirst of all, very good company to invest in long term. Uptrend and I am looking the right spot to make a long position. There is a possibility that the retracement will be deeper but I will buy more shares to make a good average price.
NVDA earnings bullish I do dowsing with a pendulum & it's a good test to try it for earnings since there are big moves. It's kind of hit or miss, but really interesting & everyone follows NVDA still, so let's see what energy it has!
I get nervous when there's bullish energy & the stock moves as I'm doing my reading, but this is pretty bullish info I have. Watch for a move up maybe 12%, which takes it to around $145. I also got the number 47, so that's a possibility also.
I did have a little bearishness in saying to sell rallies. I'd be watching the date 3/3 for a possible retracement back down if it does, in fact, go up. It pretty bullish short term though.
I have positive energy in indexes too, so I thought it may be in part because NVDA could influence things, so we'll see.
Will you dare to short NVDIA at 122? Shorting NVDIA something no one would have dared to do in 2024 and rightfully so. It was having a massive uptrend and there was no reason to go against it.
2025 is completely different story. The emergence of DeepSeek has dampened its prospects and NVDIA saw a massive double top at 152 (The same time S&P reversed at 6144).
It has now fallen to a low of 107 and made its way back to 121 where there is a pattern to sell. Here is our thinking:
1) It is in a daily downtrend
2) It is following the H4 trend
3) There is a pattern to sell
4) RSI divergence is present
We will sell around 122 with a stop loss of 125.50 and target the low of 107.
Yes, we just follow the trend and not the news or sentiments.
will the NVDA downtrend break? NVDA is in a downtrend since the start of 2025 but I can see us pushing higher to 128.07, might reject or breakout from there I'm not sure yet 👁️
if we break the downtrend the rally to 144 can happen in days, boost and follow for more ⚡
Nvidia Update New levels to the downside Longs and shortsIn this video I discuss the market structure shift in Nvidia and highlight new levels to be aware of to the downside . Potential here for longs and shorts .
Tools used Fibs, Gann Square , Speed Fan , Order blocks .
Please Like and comment if you have any questions . Have a great Day and thanks for your support
NVDA at a Decision Point – Breakout or Breakdown?🔍 Technical Analysis (1H Chart)
* Market Structure & SMC:
NVDA has consistently respected a downward sloping parallel channel. We see multiple CHoCHs (Change of Character) and a recent Break of Structure (BOS), confirming a bearish trend continuation. Price failed to reclaim the mid-supply zone and is hugging the bottom channel support.
* Supply/Resistance Zones:
* Immediate Resistance: $110.69 (top of current rejection zone)
* Mid Resistance: $114.47
* Strong Resistance: $122.25 (major supply zone)
* Support Levels:
* Immediate Support: $108.64
* Next Critical Support: $104.77 (marked as highest negative GEX / Put Wall support)
* Indicators:
* MACD: Momentum remains bearish with flat histogram bars. No bullish crossover yet.
* Stoch RSI: Oversold but not curling up yet – no strong reversal signal here.
* Volume: Slight uptick on recent sell-off, but not panic volume.
📊 Options Flow / GEX Sentiment (Right Chart)
* GEX Analysis:
* Negative GEX Cluster between $109–105, showing Put Dominance.
* HVL Zone (High Volume Liquidity) near $112, suggesting a magnet zone if bulls recover.
* Strong Call Wall at $118 and $122 — tough resistance ahead.
* Max Put Support Zone at $104.77 – could act as a bounce point or trap.
* Options Oscillator:
* IVR: 24.5 – relatively low implied volatility rank.
* IVx avg: 60.1 – moderate implied volatility.
* CALLS only 5.4% – heavily skewed bearish sentiment.
* Red GEX Bars – dominant Put positions hint at hedge-heavy downside pressure.
🧠 Trade Setups
Scalp/Short-Term Setup
* Bearish Bias unless NVDA reclaims $110.69 with volume.
* 📉 Short Entry: Below $108.50
🎯 Target: $105.00 → $104.77
❌ Stop: $111.00
Reversal Play (Speculative)
* Watch for bullish divergence or sharp reclaim of $112.
* 📈 Long Entry: Above $112 (HVL reclaim)
🎯 Target: $114.50 → $118
❌ Stop: $108
🧨 Options Strategy Idea
Bearish Vertical Spread (Short-Term)
* Buy 110 Put / Sell 105 Put
* Expiration: 1-2 weeks
* Net debit: lower cost with defined risk
* Thesis: NVDA fades toward $105 support
Long Call Idea (Only if $112 flips with strength):
* Buy 115 Call – 2 weeks out
* Needs confirmation of reversal or gamma squeeze
🧭 Bias Summary
* ✅ Directional Bias: Bearish until $112 is reclaimed
* 📉 Price is within a bear channel, respecting structure
* 🔴 Options sentiment confirms downside pressure
* 🛑 Do not long blindly at support – wait for signs of strength
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk carefully.
NVDA Trade Setup: Catch the Next Wave Before It BreaksAfter a healthy pullback, NVDA is setting the stage for what could be a powerful rebound—and savvy traders know this is when opportunity knocks.
We’ve identified three key entry points where the risk-reward setup becomes especially attractive:
🔹 104 – A potential bounce zone where early buyers might step in.
🔹 95 – A deeper level with stronger support, ideal for scaling in.
🔹 80 – A high-conviction level where long-term bulls may load up for the ride.
On the upside, here are three profit targets worth watching:
✅ 120 – First take-profit zone, a logical exit as momentum begins to return.
✅ 135 – Mid-level resistance where partial profits can lock in gains.
✅ 145+ – A stretch target for those riding the full recovery wave.
This strategy allows for smart layering of entries and profits, giving flexibility whether the bounce is quick or more gradual. Always stay alert to price action confirmation and use stops that align with your risk tolerance.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Trading in financial markets involves risk, and you should conduct your own research or consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Positioning for Market Repricing: A PE-Based Strategy Involving Both Nvidia and Apple currently have price-to-earnings (PE) ratios near 30, while other technology companies, such as Tesla and Analog Devices, are trading with significantly higher PE ratios of over 125 and 60, respectively. Given the economic headwinds we are facing, I believe stocks with higher PE ratios may experience more pronounced declines compared to those with lower ratios.
At present, I intend to initiate a long position in Nvidia at its current price around $110, with plans to take profits by shorting the stock at approximately $118, targeting a price of $115. Additionally, once Nvidia reaches my profit target of $118, I will look to short both Tesla and Analog Devices at that price range.
This strategy is based on the expectation that the broader market may place additional pressure on high-PE stocks in the near term.
NVDA NVIDIA Price Target by Year-EndNVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) remains a dominant force in the AI and semiconductor markets, with its forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio currently at 19.37—a reasonable valuation considering its growth trajectory and market position.
NVIDIA’s leadership in the AI sector, particularly through its cutting-edge GPUs, has driven strong demand from data centers, cloud providers, and AI developers. The company’s recent product launches, including the Hopper and Blackwell architectures, have further solidified its competitive edge.
Despite recent market volatility, NVIDIA's consistent revenue growth and expanding profit margins support the bullish case. The current P/E of 19.37 reflects a balanced risk-reward profile, suggesting that the stock is not overvalued despite its impressive performance.
A price target of $145 by year-end reflects approximately 15% upside from current levels, driven by sustained AI demand and growing market penetration. Investors should watch for quarterly earnings reports and updates on AI chip demand, as these will likely act as key catalysts for upward momentum.
Nvidia (NVDA) Share Price Continues Bearish TrendNvidia (NVDA) Share Price Continues Bearish Trend
Earlier this month, our analysis of NVDA's share price led us to:
→ Establish a downward channel (marked in red).
→ Suggest that the lower boundary could act as support, which was confirmed (circled).
On 13 March, we anticipated the median line of this channel might serve as resistance, and yesterday’s ~5% drop in NVDA’s share price (marked by a red arrow) aligns with this scenario.
As a result, NVDA’s price has declined by approximately 17% since the start of 2025, despite being a market leader in 2024.
Why Did Nvidia (NVDA) Shares Drop Yesterday?
Market sentiment turned negative amid concerns that the Trump administration may soon impose previously delayed international trade tariffs.
Additionally, the Financial Times reported that Chinese regulators are encouraging firms to adopt data centre chips that meet stringent environmental standards. This raises concerns that Nvidia’s H20 chip, despite complying with U.S. export controls, may not meet China’s environmental regulations. Investors seemingly viewed this as a bearish signal for Nvidia’s future sales in China.
Technical Analysis of Nvidia’s Share Price
Currently, NVDA’s price is encountering resistance at the bullish gap formed on 12 March, around $112.50.
Given the broader market context, this setup could indicate an attempt by bears to resume the downtrend after a temporary rebound from oversold conditions. A consolidation pattern in the form of a narrowing triangle (marked in red) has also emerged.
If market conditions remain challenging, bears may push NVDA’s price towards the psychologically significant $100 level.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NVDA Rounding Topping Pattern!I started warning about NASDAQ:NVDA back on Nov. 4th, 2024, and we all saw a healthy -30% decline since then.
Updating that chart reveals a rounding topping pattern in place. Despite the 30% collapse, the pattern remains as bearish as ever.
CAUTION is in order!
NVDA gap downseems to be falling off a cliff here and ready to break a long term trend.
I think $75 is incoming
THE BATTLE FOR AI SUPREMACY....WHO WILL WIN???Chinese artificial intelligence model called DeepSeek sparked a selloff in Al related shares, with megacap stocks including Nvidia which has been hit the most. The DeepSeek has launched a free assistant that uses cheaper chips and less data.This move seems to challenge the common belief in financial market that AI will boost demand for everything from chipmakers to data centres. As this startup threatens the dominance of US AI companies the market has sharply declined making a major sell off across other assets. L
On the technical side, Nvidia has been trading in a rise channel which has broken further confirming a sell. COULD WE SEE IT SELL FURTHER DOWN PAST $70??? MHHH
WHAT ARE YOUR THOUGHTS ? CAN US AI BEAT THE DeepSeeK?
NVIDIA Update 3 Rangebound with new Low for longsIn this video I bring to your attention what we could possibly expect if we lose the current level and if we do then where is the next crucial zone to look for Longs.
If you have read this then pls do Boost my work and any questions then leave them below
NVIDIA short then longI still think NVIDIA has about 10% downside to go, then enjoy a nice long ride up. Hope the chart makes sense. Have a great day!!
