Paypal - Long @ 67Small speculative position for a bounce post-earnings.
Not much trading this week with CPI and very light volumes cross-market.
PYPL trade ideas
Do you buy Paypal after earnings $PYPL Do you buy Paypal after earnings NASDAQ:PYPL double bottom or do you wait for the 3 day rule.
Paypal’s bearish momentum does not seem to bother the “whales” Shares in Paypal Holdings, Inc. (symbol ‘PYPL’) is sitting on a small profit percentage in the first quarter of the year. The company is expected to report its earnings for the fiscal quarter ending March 2023 on Monday 8th of May, after market close. The consensus EPS is $0,82 compared to the result for the same quarter last year of $0.54.
‘ With the institutional ownership being more than 70% the share of the payments giant is a favorite among the big investors. The latest current ratio figure on December 2022 is at 128% while the strong balance sheet contains assets that outweigh the liabilities by almost $20 Billions the company is showing healthy financial strength.‘’ said Antreas Themistokleous, an analyst at Exness.
On the technical side the price has been trading in a descending triangle for the last couple of months and seems to be approaching the end of the formation. Even though the Stochastic oscillator is not indicating any oversold or overbought levels the 50 SMA has crossed below the 100 SMA possibly indicating that a bearish correction might be imminent in the following sessions.
If this scenario is confirmed in the near short term we might see some strong support around the $71 price area which consists of the lower boundary of the current formation as well as the 78.6% of the weekly Fibonacci retracement level. Of course for this to happen the price needs to break below the technical support level of the $74,50 which includes the moving averages area and th e61.8% of the Fibonacci.
PYPL bearish setup going into earnings😜below resistance zone/trend resistance/50 and 100 Simple moving average..
tempting to do lotto short before close but no position yet..
ER beat and we break long trigger, ER Miss and we break short trigger
goodluck, boost and follow for more!
PYPL miss on earnings earnings?Based on the financial data, here's a summary of the company's performance:
Share Values:
- The company's earnings per share (EPS) have decreased by 68.27% YoY to $2.09 in the TTM.
- The book value per share has slightly decreased by 4.23% YoY to $17.85.
- Free cash flow per share has declined by 14.72% YoY to $4.80.
Profitability:
- Return on equity (ROE) has significantly decreased by 73.40% YoY to 11.519%.
- Return on assets (ROA) has also dropped by 73.18% YoY to 3.4418%.
- The gross profit margin has decreased by 10.96% YoY to 42.347%.
- The operating profit margin has decreased by 15.97% YoY to 14.696%.
Activity Ratios:
- The total asset turnover has increased by 4.26% to 0.34958.
Financial Ratios:
- The long-term debt to capital has increased by 20.36% to 33.942%.
- The financial leverage (assets/equity) has increased by 10.14% to 3.8827.
- The quick ratio has improved slightly by 3.35% to 1.2332, and the current ratio has increased by 4.19% to 1.2753.
Valuation:
- The current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 36.382, lower than the 5-year average of 53.032.
- The current price-to-cash flow ratio is 13.16, lower than the 5-year average of 26.607.
- The current price-to-book value ratio is 3.9906, lower than the 5-year average of 8.4692.
Growth Rates:
- Revenue growth rate is 8.4624%, lower than the 3-year and 5-year averages of 15.689% and 16.044%, respectively.
- The net income growth rate is negative at -41.976%.
- The earnings per share (EPS) growth rate is negative at -40.573%.
- The book value per share growth rate is negative at -4.059%.
In summary, the company has experienced a decline in profitability, with significant drops in ROE, ROA, and EPS. The gross profit margin and operating profit margin have also decreased. The company's valuation ratios are lower compared to the 5-year average.
NASDAQ:PYPL PayPal Holdings Inc. (PYPL) has been moving in a sideways pattern since mid-February, facing strong resistance at the 95.50 level. The last time PYPL broke above this level was in August 2022, and the rise was short-lived, with the stock only gaining $5 before falling back. The company's financial performance has been weak, with significant declines in ROE, ROA, and EPS, as well as deteriorating profit margins. While the valuation ratios suggest that the stock might be undervalued, it is essential to consider the overall financial health, current market conditions, and future growth prospects before making any investment decisions.
Trading Idea Summary:
This trading idea aims to capitalize on a potential missed earnings due to the company's weak financial performance. The goal is to enter a short position if NASDAQ:PYPL goes below $73.53
Profit Target:
Set a profit target based on a minimum risk-reward ratio of 1:2 or 1:3. For example, if your stop loss is $1 away from the entry point, set the profit target at $2 or $3 below the entry price.
Risk Management:
Ensure proper risk management by risking only 1-2% of your trading capital on this trade. Calculate your position size based on your account size, the entry price, and the stop-loss level.
Trade Management:
Monitor the trade for any significant changes in the company's financial performance, market sentiment, or industry-specific news that could impact the trade. If the stock starts to show signs of strength or breaks above the resistance level, consider closing the trade early to protect profits.
Note: This trading idea is based on the technical analysis of PYPL and the company's financial performance, along with current market conditions. It is essential to conduct your own research and analysis before entering any trade, and adjust your risk management and trade setup according to your personal trading style and risk tolerance.
PayPal to find buyers at yearly lows?PayPal - 30d expiry - We look to Buy at 69.11 (stop at 65.31)
Levels below 69 continue to attract buyers. 67.58 has been pivotal.
66.39 has been pivotal.
Early pessimism is likely to lead to losses although extended attempts lower are expected to fail.
We look to buy dips.
This stock has seen good sales growth.
Our profit targets will be 78.51 and 80.51
Resistance: 75.30 / 77.80 / 79.30
Support: 73.00 / 71.09 / 69.00
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
Warren Buffett, Peter Lynch, and Benjamin Graham math on PayPalApplying Warren Buffett, Peter Lynch, and Benjamin Graham valuation math on PayPal.
thanks to Luxerich for the suggested analysis video www.tradingview.com follow em!
ill have my work sheet in comments again for free.
PayPal Keeps Making Lower HighsPayPal has struggled in recent months despite the broader Nasdaq bouncing sharply. Is the payments stock poised for another leg to the downside?
The first pattern on today’s chart is the series of lower highs since August. Interestingly, the peak in early February was below the November high. The Nasdaq-100, on the other hand, made successively higher highs in February and April. That difference may reflect a lack of relative strength.
Second, PYPL has mostly remained below its 200-day simple moving average (SMA). That’s also a weaker showing than the broader index.
Third, notice how prices tried unsuccessfully to break an earlier weekly high of $77.11. That failed breakout may suggest sellers remain in control.
Next, PYPL has slipped back under its the 50-day SMA (which is also now falling).
Finally, our 2 MA Ratio custom script is in the lower study. The line dipped below zero today as the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) crossed under the 21-day EMA. That could indicate a bearish turn in the short-term trend.
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PYPL buyPayPal Holdings, Inc. is an American multinational financial technology company operating an online payments system in the majority of countries that support online money transfers, and serves as an electronic alternative to traditional paper methods such as checks and money orders.
Small Descending TriangleThis also measures out on a Fib table to be ABC/D. Stop under C. Target is D. Pattern will most likely reverse when D is reached, if it can even get to D.
Triangles are neutral until broken.
Patterns and especially targets can become extremely difficult to reach in some instances due to the various and multiple resistance levels hanging over many securities right now. If price busts up through one resistance level, then there will be another and another to break for many securities right now. This is one with a ton of concrete overhead.
Earnings are 5-8 BMO. An earnings beat could help PYPL break some resistance levels. Price is above the .886 and below the .786 of the trend up. Fib levels can also act as support and resistance levels.
If I measure for targets and see the pattern calls for a higher target than the next hard resistance zone, I remain cautious.
No recommendation.
Paypal Support and Resistance setupIt seems a quite good setup if it goes the entry price will trigger and if it goes down then too the entry price will trigger. Expecting a play according to the chart and yes stop loss is must
Returning to normal growth2020 and 2021 were anomalies to Paypal's growth pattern due to COVID. Paypal's Net income on annual basis from DEC 2019 to 2022 represents a 1.62% decrease. The last 2 quarters saw strong net income growth over the previous 3 from Dec 2021- Jun 2022. September of 2022 realized 22% growth in net income for the respective quarter of 2021 and 491% Q/Q. Dec 2022 saw 14.9% net income growth for the respective prior year quarter and 30% decrease Q/Q. This could be viewed as the industry and company returning to prior growth patterns.
Paypal is currently valued 30% below where it was prior to COVID with similar fundamentals. Morningstar Rates PYPL as a 5 Star stock at 44% discount. Fair Value of HKEX:135 implies a 24.1 multiple of projected 2024 adjusted EPS.
Paypal is not necessarily cheap right now depending on how you value it, but when comparing several growth rates to the sector median you will see that PYPL valuation risk is minimal.
From a TA perspective, an intermediate trend- mean reversion to recent prices combined with a Fib retracement of 61.8% could see the SP retrace to 190-216 during a period exuberance in best case scenario, barring another pandemic.
Does history repeat itself?Doe's the history become again?
Famous company + 3 Gap's above the head + pass the 150MA average + "Does history repeat itself?" (See Green's area) = A potential increase of 300% for a long term (1-1.5 YEARS)?
The idea does not constitute any kind of recommendation.
PayPal: More Weight! 🏋️Load up – PayPal needs more weight to gain enough downwards pressure! We expect the share to make it below the support at $66.11 and thus into the gray zone between $66.16 and $34.93. There, the course should complete wave II in gray and take off above the resistance at $93.52 afterward. However, there is a 35% chance that PayPal could conquer this mark earlier and skip its visit to the gray zone. In that case, we would consider wave alt.II to be already finished.
PYPL:Buy ideaBuy idea on PYPL as you see on the chart because we have the breakout of the resistance line.Thanks!
PayPal Holdings - What's Happening? What's happening with PayPal?
PayPal is currently hovering around its low estimate according to analyst predictions. The stock isn't seeing much interest despite remaining quite profitable, and despite the U.S likely falling into a deeper recession through the year, expectations of 9% revenue growth in 23'. What're some opinions on this stock and the future of the company itself?
PayPal to find buyers at yearly lows?PayPal - 30d expiry - We look to Buy at 69.11 (stop at 65.31)
Levels below 69 continue to attract buyers. 67.58 has been pivotal.
66.39 has been pivotal.
Early pessimism is likely to lead to losses although extended attempts lower are expected to fail.
We look to buy dips.
This stock has seen good sales growth.
Our profit targets will be 78.51 and 80.51
Resistance: 75.30 / 77.80 / 79.30
Support: 73.00 / 71.09 / 69.00
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
New PressureThe window that has opened on January 3rd supports the price now. The ADX is beginning to rise now and despite the small candle body I expect a retracement of the February decline.
It doesn't rush the climb, even though I'm trying to find relatiTrue, it is already out of the wedge shape, and that is a fairly optimistic situation. Maybe it's building a triangle formation now, which is two-way, so I'm just expecting a massive $40, so the -20 percent already jumps to -40 percent, but I'm waiting patiently. I bought it, I'm keeping it.
PYPL | Accumulation phase and bullish reversal expectedFeb 27 2023 - UTC-5 1:00 PM
BULLISH INDICATOR (Feb 27)
1. The significant support channel between 66.77 and 71.86 has been tested thrice in past 9 months.
2. On Daily and 4H Chart, a Falling Wedge is spotted, which is a reversal pattern.
3. After the bottom is hit, the price stayed sideways (Accumulation phase). So after 4th testing of same support channel bullish reversal is expected.
4. From the last swing high and swing low, the price stayed between Fib level 0% and 50%. If the price will rise upward from 50% level then start of bullish trend is expected.
5. Harmonic ABCD pattern is in formation on Daily chart. Another signal for reversal.
BEARISH INDICATOR (Feb 27)
1. A strong bearish rally hit the significant support channel between 66.77 and 71.86.
2. From the last swing high and swing low, the price stayed between Fib level 0% and 50%. There is a possibility the price can break downwards.
3. No divergence on RCI has been spotted yet.
PREDICTIONS
1. Bullish reversal is expected but will wait to enter the Long trade after bullish reversal is confirmed when price will cross Fib level 38.20% (88.20) upwards.
2. Confirmed Long trade will happen when price will break Fib 50% level (95.34).
3. Possibility of bullish trend with trailing stop loss.
4. If the rectangular box is broken on bearish side then, short trade will be considered below price of 64.60.
BIAS 1 = LONG - PLAN A (@ Pending Buy Stop around 95.34)
BIAS 2 = SHORT - PLAN B, (@ Pending Sell Stop around price 64.60)
