PYPL for a bounce play or LT.Adding PYPL for a bounce for over reaction, add mayor support. Chart doesnt have to be very technical for the obvious
PYPL trade ideas
Paypal full cycle
PYPL - Elliott Wave Analysis
From the first day of listing we see a 5 waves up, an impulsive wave up, with something very interesting: Wave 5 is almost a truncation or failure. Which it meant that the fallowing correction will be very dramatic.
That is exactly what it happened.
From the top of wave 5 $309 price we see a big drop the unfolding correction. So far we had wave A subdivided in 5 waves as in the graphic above, Wave B corrective subdivided in a-b-c-d-e traveling sideways.
I see Wave C unfolding in 5 waves down. With the bottom in the region of $68-$83 supported by the guideline of equality between waves A and C and the previous support held by the price.
Disclaimer: This is my analysis and does not constitute financial advice.
If you want more stock analysis like this please send me a message.
PYPL - bullish divergenceGood long here @ demand zone for PAYPAL. Heavily oversold
Target is $230-$240
HUGE Long-Term BUYING opportunity on PayPal #PYPLWe've just opened a LONG #PYPL (PayPal Holdings) position using 2.50% of our equity as we believe that the current post-earnings sell-off is quite overdone at these levels.
The stock is down over 58% from its all-time highs of $310 that it reached mid-summer last year. Our view is that while there are definitely issues related to the future growth trajectory of the company that investors are rightfully worried about, the current price action is pricing in the worst possible scenario for the company moving forward, which in our opinion has a very low probability of actually materializing. Furthermore, the weak forward guidance and the severely lowered investor expectations will make it that much easier for the company to beat its own forecasts in the coming months, considering its leadership position in its sector, thus surprising the street positively. This will then cause a chain reaction of positive analyst upgrades and price target revisions. Yes, this whole process might take some time to materialize, but if you are looking for a solid growth stock with a remarkable long-term potential to double your money, then #PYPL is a screaming buy anywhere around the $125-130 range.
There is no question about the fact that the miss on the bottom line (EPS) in the most recent earnings report together with the poor forward guidance that the management gave on the earnings call after have been the major drivers for the vicious sell-off that we are seeing today.
For 2022, management expects net revenue to increase about 15% to 17% (19% to 21% ex-eBay), and that’s below the roughly 18% analysts were forecasting. The earnings outlook wasn’t any better, with management forecasting adjusted earnings of $4.60 to $4.75, well below analyst estimates of $5.21.
On the new users front, PayPal expects to add about 15 million to 20 million net new active accounts this year, and analysts were forecasting growth of about 55 million. This was definitely one of the most disappointing components of the report.
However, we believe that the down-beat forward guidance given by the company is hugely blown out of proportions and it seems that investors have been very quick to forget that #PYPL is the leader in the digital payments space and could technically be considered as the largest digital bank in the world with over 300 million clients. Our analysis shows that the eBay transition that the company has been going through has definitely weighted on its financial performance. However, we are in the final stages of it and it will be over and done with by the second half of the year.
What investors need to focus on is the fact that the company’s growth rates excluding eBay have remained above 20%. In addition to that the #AMZN (Amazon) partnership with Venmo hasn’t even started yet, and PayPal is free to explore many new partnerships now that it is no longer constrained by its relationship with #EBAY (eBay) . Also, operating expenditure growth is also expected to moderate down the road, allowing management to flex the leverage in the business model and help expand margins.
Apart from adding the stock to our long-term corporate investment portfolio here, we've also opened few long-term CALL options on $PYPL, which we expect to substantially boost our portfolio returns in 2022.
Follow and copy us for more detailed market analyses, profitable trading ideas and a consistent portfolio performance.
Sincerely,
@DowExperts
What is the common feature between PayPal, Block, and DocU?The simple answer is ARK invest and social media Fools ..!
When on February 28, 2021, I wrote the article:
The Social Media Trading Bubble comes to its end..!
These kids (generation Z) called me PERMA BEAR..!
After 339 days you can read that and if I were right or wrong..!
I think most of them are now Near Margin Call if they have not been wiped out yet..!
I am pretty much confident that this phenomenon will be called the "Social Media Bubble" in the future..!
Do not be angry with me, be angry with those who offered these and promised you a trip to the Moon..!
Best,
Moshkelgosha
DISCLAIMER
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
Gap Fill opportunity Hello Friends!
Took a position at $129.89 and looking to fill that $140 to $151 gap fill. That sharp selloff might find traders to fill that gap.
As always thanks for your follows, likes, and comments. Let’s learn and grow together. Cheers!
PYPL PayPal: 1D Chart ReviewHello friends, today you can review the technical analysis idea on a 1D linear scale chart for PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL).
The chart is self-explanatory. Price dropped significantly and has the possibility for a retracement back up with the RSI in the oversold region. If price drops further, there is a strong support region below. Keep an eye on the 0.618 Fibonacci Retracement area if price moves back up.
Included in the chart: Trend line, Support and Resistance Lines, RSI, MFI, Double Top Pattern, Descending Broadening Wedge, Fibonacci Retracement, Death Cross, Simple Moving Average, Volume.
If you enjoy my ideas, feel free to like it and drop in a comment. I love reading your comments below.
I have additional charts below on cryptocurrencies, stocks and more to review. Check them out!
Disclosure: This is just my opinion and not any type of financial advice. I enjoy charting and discussing technical analysis . Don't trade based on my advice. Do your own research! #cryptopickk
Interpreting the PYPL fallPYPL has fallen ~25%, this provides a great dip buy opportunity. It is barely a dip but a pullback to a major trendline.
The falls can be attributed to each moving average, the first the 50MA (in green), the second the 100MA (in orange), and the third and current, the 200MA (in red)
Great buy
PayPal (NASDAQ: $PYPL) Just Closed Gap @ 0.786 Fib! 💯PayPal Holdings, Inc. operates as a technology platform and digital payments company that enables digital and mobile payments on behalf of consumers and merchants worldwide. Its payment solutions include PayPal, PayPal Credit, Braintree, Venmo, Xoom, Hyperwallet, and iZettle products. The company's payments platform allows consumers to send and receive payments, withdraw funds to their bank accounts, and hold balances in their PayPal accounts in various currencies. It also offers gateway services that enable merchants to accept payments online with credit or debit cards, as well as digital wallets. PayPal Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.
Paypal Gaps Gap made in May of 2020 is not filled yet $130-$140 It might just come down to fill it. There is also a gap on the upside at $216-$224 could also be filled before or after the lower gap.
PYPL looking to continue lower After breaking out of its wedge a bit ago, we have the first meaningful bull push. Short lived it will be. Looks to be a bear flag as it gets closer to that gap between 140-130.
Fundamental analysis on PYPL! Disclaimer: I do not hold any PYPL and may not hold them going forward as well. But, 17% drop over earnings got my interest into having a look into fundamentals. Please note all the analysis done here are derived from the scripts I have written - all of them are open source and free to use.
Let's dig deeper.
🎲 Earnings
News items highlights poor earnings and economic outlook. While economic outlook is unchanged, earnings can be read as below
Earnings miss by 1% 🟠
Revenue exceeds by 0.29% 🟡
Future earnings is expected to go down by 10% 🔴
Future revenue is expected to drop by 5% 🔴
Overall 10-20% drop can be considered as expected. We need to also keep in mind that for growth based stocks, revenue is more important than earnings. But, we cannot exactly say how much of this is already priced in as the stock had significant drop from last 6 months.
🎲 Financial Health
This is derived from the open source script Quality-Screen . The script colour codes the financial metrics listed based on what is considered as healthy/unhealthy as per norms.
We can say overall health of company is very good. 🟢
🎲 Growth Trajectory
Overall growth trajectory is still up. This is derived from open source script Relative-Growth-Screen . Script plots financial growth parameters on Bollinger bands to identify the overall trajectory over long term. This makes sure that short term weakness in growth numbers does not impact the overall stats.
Overall revenue and book value per share seems to be increasing. However, EPS and YoY revenue growth seems to be stagnating. Reduced revenue can have higher impact on stock price for growth stocks.
With this, we can say overall growth trajectory is mildly low. 🟠
🎲 Drawdown from All time high
Below stat is derived from an open source script Drawdown-Range
The stats percentile dropdown from ATH. As we can see in the outcome. PYPL at present is down 44% from ATH. It is still not considering pre-market price. Otherwise, the drawdown from ATH is 55%. As we can see in the chart, this is at 100th percentile. Which means, very rarely PYPL had such kind of drawdown from its all time high in its history of stock price.
This means, price is at record discount level. Which can be very good for value investors. 🟢
🎲 Drawdown from ATH of fundamentals
This is again another fundamentals based stat derived from the open source script Percentile-Price-vs-Fundamentals
The script compares drop in fundaments with that of drop in price to understand if the price drop is justifiable or if it is an overreaction.
From the details highlighted, it does indeed look like price drop is bit overreaction. 🟢
This stat does not consider earnings and revenue estimates into picture. Hence, the impact of this may be limited if there is huge variation between present earnings and estimated guidance for next earnings.
My views on this stock is neutral as being trend follower, I never try to catch a falling knife. But, if you are looking for value based bargains, this can be good pick for you.
All the best and let me know your views in the comments :)
Patience is KeyIt might go further down to support from almost exactly one year ago. It goes down first as the EPS missed expectations by $0.01 and the earnings outlook for the coming period worse than expected by analysts. A rebound is probable to happen since a selloff like this is often matched with a rebound and PayPal is also just trying to lower their P/E ratio as some other companies are doing.
Paypal BUY from 130 US dollarPaypal -16% drop after the earning release open the opportunity slowly to open or increase position, namely, I will start buying from ca. 130 Dollar
bought the dipI am pretty sure that the drop is because of some short-sellers being smart and short the crap out of the stock minutes before the earnings announcement.
let's see how it plays out :) 0 or 1 :)
Possible support areas for PYPLIf 146 doesn't hold, support at 136, 121, 110. Can short under these levels and also look to scalp a potential bounce.
PYPL ARK Invest sold PYPL ahead of EarningsYesterday Ark Invest sold more than 23K shares of PYPL just before the upcoming earnings this week.
Most likely today will do the same, since they tend to continue a buy or a sell trend.
The options are slightly bearish too, with more puts than buys recently.
PayPal (PYPL) is expected to earn $1.12 a share on sales of $6.89 billion.
With the rise of so many payment companies with low fees, and also banks who want to keep up with the new fintech, i wonder how PayPal can still have such a high PE Ratio (TTM) of 41.34!
My day to day experience with PayPal as a merchant makes me consider it an extremely expensive way of payment compared to others.
Considering the chart, fundamentals and current market conditions, my price target is $124.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Earnings watch 2/1 post-marketEarnings watch 2/1 post-market:
PYPL
GILD
AMD
GOOG
GM
SBUX
EA
MTCH
MSTR
ATEN
Do your own due diligence, your risk is 100% your responsibility. This is for educational and entertainment purposes only. You win some or you learn some. Consider being charitable with some of your profit to help humankind. Good luck and happy trading friends...
*3x lucky 7s of trading*
7pt Trading compass:
Price action, entry/exit
Volume average/direction
Trend, patterns, momentum
Newsworthy current events
Revenue
Earnings
Balance sheet
7 Common mistakes:
+5% portfolio trades, capital risk management
Beware of analyst's motives
Emotions & Opinions
FOMO : bad timing, the market is ruthless, be shrewd
Lack of planning & discipline
Forgetting restraint
Obdurate repetitive errors, no adaptation
7 Important tools:
Trading View app!, Brokerage UI
Accurate indicators & settings
Wide screen monitor/s
Trading log (pencil & graph paper)
Big, organized desk
Reading books, playing chess
Sorted watch-list
Checkout my indicators:
Fibonacci VIP - volume
Fibonacci MA7 - price
pi RSI - trend momentum
TTC - trend channel
AlertiT - notification
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PYPL HIT THE TARGET 154 I AM LONGWave structure looks to have ended its multi month decline now and I look for a rally back to last support 177/174 if we break above 178 then a run near 190,s
PYPL Weeklyexpanded flat wave 5 of C has a .618 extension at $115, confluence with demand zone at $115-120. looking for a long here
PYPL - Good levels for Bounce to 200+Within our buybox now between 144-154. Nice setup for a wave 4 bounce into 200's before next leg down. Stop loss 133
Paypal about to break the floor. PYPLShort term outlook.
Bearish outlook for gains at 165, then 157. Invalidation at 239.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe!
