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Are Small Caps Taking Leadership Again?The Russell 2000 led markets to the downside in recent months . Now it may be leading the rebound. Notice how RUT made new February highs yesterday and today, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 are below their highs last week. Next, consider the price zone around 2,000. This is not only a “nice round number.” It’s also a level RUT broke on high volume early last year. (You can use IWM’s chart for the volume.) Third, RUT is back above both its 8- and 21-day exponential moving averages. Fourth, consider this long-term chart showing the ratio between small caps and the Nasdaq-100. It shows RUT near its lowest relative valuation since the tech bubble started deflating in mid-2000: TradeStation is a pioneer in the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options, futures and cryptocurrencies. See our Overview for more. Important Information TradingView is not affiliated with TradeStation Securities Inc. or its affiliates. TradeStation Securities, Inc., TradeStation Crypto, Inc., and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., all operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Please click here for further important information explaining what this means. This content is for informational and educational purposes only. This is not a recommendation regarding any investment or investment strategy. Any opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not represent the views or opinions of TradeStation or any of its affiliates. Investing involves risks. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options, futures, or digital assets); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Before trading any asset class, first read the relevant risk disclosure statements on the Important Documents page, found here: www.tradestation.com .
TVC:RUT
by TradeStation
4
In which phase do you think small caps are?What would be the point of publishing something without making the audience think about it? Questions: 1- Do you think there is a similarity between this chart and the picture below it? 2-If you think there is a similarity, which phase do you think small-caps are in? 3- do you want to learn more about this type of analysis? if your answer is yes, you can read the free articles: www.investopedia.com www.investopedia.com www.investopedia.com Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
TVC:RUTEducation
by Moshkelgosha
6
Bear Market is official for Small Caps ..!What Is a Bear Market? A bear market is when a market experiences prolonged price declines. It typically describes a condition in which securities prices fall 20% or more from recent highs amid widespread pessimism and negative investor sentiment.(Investopedia) 21% decline in the past 12 weeks makes Bear Market in Small-cap official..! I think there is no need to say it was in my 2022 Forecast published on January 4th, 2022! Conclusion: 1-The Energy and Banks sector could continue their rally in January 2022..! 2-Tech stocks especially those which still burn cash, will experience a hard time in 2022, and any positive must be considered as transitory! 3-Small caps may experience lower prices and even Negative returns in 2022. 4-SPX, NDX, and DJI could have 10-15% returns in 2022. 5-Keep in mind that 12 monthly rates of change decreased by half in the past 10 months for SPX , NDX, and DJI which means expected market ROI should be lower in 2022 in comparison to 2021 and 2020! 6-For small caps this phenomenon is even worse, they lost 85% of their gains, and continuation of this phenomenon could lead to a negative return in 2022. ( Fundamentals also support depreciation of unprofitable business in high inflation era) 7- 2022 will be the year for those who know how to handle high volatility! A year for aggressive portfolio management strategies! I will provide updates for this analysis as needed. Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA , an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
TVC:RUTShort
by Moshkelgosha
6
Confirmed Rectangle TopToday We can say a Rectangular Top pattern has been confirmed and small-cap will experience another 10-15% decline! This is the lowest level since Jan 29th, 2021. This could happen very fast in the next 2-6 weeks! TZA (Small-cap 3x inverse ETF) volume doubled in volume in the past 3 months, and could go up to 37-42 levels! You can see the most important support(green line) and resistance (red line) levels. Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
TVC:RUTShort
by Moshkelgosha
2
Most important level for Small caps..!The Russell 2000 Index is a small-cap stock market index that makes up the smallest 2,000 stocks in the Russell 3000 Index. It was started by the Frank Russell Company in 1984. The index is maintained by FTSE Russell, a subsidiary of the London Stock Exchange Group. As you can see in this chart Small caps had a sinewave pattern in the past trading year, anytime they entered this level they bounce back: A: RUT close below 2080 this pattern could make a rectangular Top..! B: otherwise, we see another upward move between 10-15% in small caps! You can see the most important support(green line) and resistance (red line) levels. Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
TVC:RUT
by Moshkelgosha
5
TIIIIIMMMBBBBBEEEEERRRRRRussell 2000: • No buyers higher • Testing support for the thousandth time in a year • Rate hikes • Inflation • All bad • Fibonacci show oversold in lieu of reversal ○ My Thought: TIMMMBBBBERRRRR!!!!!!!! Small caps looks so weak up here it is not even funny we are testing this support for the umpteenth time since last year. Its time we go lower. This is where rate hikes could impact the earliest. A lot of bag holders up here hoping rate hikes and corrections come in. honestly why people bought so high when they there is literally no volume lower.. I would short the mess out of this This can go 1 of two ways we can bounce again for the thousandth and one time which I highly doubt or we are coming down to 1761, and then 14 ETF: IWM: Overall: BEARISH Today: BEARISH
OANDA:US2000USDShort
by Bmmcoo009