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US Russel 2000

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The market is talking. Can YOU hear it?Pareto's law says that roughly the top 20% of the market constituents should roughly represent 80% roughly of the overall market cap, and vice versa: the bottom 80% of constituents will represent 20% of the overall market cap. When price seems irrational, and higher cap stocks start to represent more of the market than previous decades, and thus are given a higher weight in the major indices, it can be very useful to look at a large portion of the bottom 80% to get a more rational prospect of market value. Russell 2000 represents many small and mid cap stocks, which are mostly given low weights in large portfolios and indices, compared to larger cap stocks such as TSLA or the FAANG stocks. We get an interesting peek at the overall market value if we look at these companies in the median of the market, in addition to accounting for money supply expansion. We can see that if we account for inflation, the relativity of the money supply in relation to the Russell 2000 has always topped out at about where it is now, in the past 20 years. The price seems to be disconnected from value at the moment, off by a factor of 2 or 3. For the larger caps that are not included in this index, this overpriced factor is probably larger, maybe 5 or 10, given the current conditions of an irrationally large-cap dominated market. Let me know what you think. Do you think the dip of 1200 in 2020 was a valid retest? Or was it just forced participation, coercion by the FED? Do you think that, given such coercion, we're in for a further lower retest when said coercion becomes less effective? Cheers
TVC:RUTShort
by fringe_chartist
1
Russell 2000 at a key point. Where is the market going next?The Russell 2000 (RUT) is at the lower support area of a bound trading range since February. Two key indicators already broke down this week. 1) The index dipped below its 200d moving average today. 2) The index is made up of small-caps, and the ratio of performance between small and large caps broke down this past week as well. It's either time for small-caps to head back up, or this could be the start of a lower move. Bullish: The US dollar strengthening for small caps is bullish. The 10y Treasury Yield remains low, keeping borrowing rates low for small, but growing companies. Employment data continues to strengthen, showing companies of all sizes, but especially small-caps across recovery sectors are hiring back employees to meet demand. Bearish: The Fed is talking about a possible start to tapering this year. There are indications that the economic recovery is slowing. Retail Sales were lower than expected. Manufacturing Indexes showed a slow down this week. Small-caps are the most sensitive to changes in direction for the economy.
TVC:RUT
by drewby4321
Are we in Post Melt-Up phaseMy answer to this question is Yes..! It is highly likely that we were experienced the Melt-up in Small caps between March 2020 and February 2021 in the small caps! The sharpest move (+144% in 12 months) in the past 23 years! What Is a Melt-Up? A melt-up is a sustained and often unexpected improvement in the investment performance of an asset or asset class, driven partly by a stampede of investors who don't want to miss out on its rise, rather than by fundamental improvements in the economy. Gains that a melt-up creates are considered to be unreliable indications of the direction the market is ultimately headed. Melt-ups often precede meltdowns. What is the Price Rate Of Change (ROC) Indicator The Price Rate of Change (ROC) is a momentum-based technical indicator that measures the percentage change in price between the current price and the price a certain number of periods ago. The ROC indicator is plotted against zero, with the indicator moving upwards into positive territory if price changes are to the upside, and moving into negative territory if price changes are to the downside. The indicator can be used to spot divergences, overbought and oversold conditions, and centerline crossovers. The Price Rate of Change (ROC) oscillator is an unbounded momentum indicator used in the technical analysis set against a zero-level midpoint. A rising ROC above zero typically confirms an uptrend while a falling ROC below zero indicates a downtrend. When the price is consolidating, the ROC will hover near zero. In this case, it is important traders watch the overall price trend since the ROC will provide little insight except for confirming the consolidation. Daily Charts in the past 7 months: Pure sideway! Weekly Chart: Monthly Chart: Conclusion: If you have small caps in your portfolio, define your emergency exit plan..! It will be needed soon! Reference Article: www.investopedia.com www.investopedia.com
TVC:RUT
by Moshkelgosha
2
TryAs you remember good day starts with a good trade, folks🔥 There is an interesting formation on US2000 . Flag pattern on this. The price is in a longterm Bullish trend , so this formation can be another confirmation to go long🔥 The price bounced from support and resistance level multiple times. So follow the chart and look for the breakout carefully. _____________________________________________________ If you enjoy my FREE Technical Analysis , support the idea with a big LIKE👍 and don't forget to SUBSCRIBE my channel, you won't miss anything! Feel free to leave comments✉️ And always remember: "we don't predict, we react".
FX:US2000
by Berzerk_invest
4