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Small Cap Party is about to finish..! (Bull Trap)As I mentioned before, this recent bullish move is a part of a complex correction in small caps, and it is very unlikely to be repeated in the next 2 weeks! Looking at the 10 biggest company based on the Market cap will show the reality behind my analysis: 1- NASDAQ:CZR 2- GME 3- NASDAQ:PLUG 4- NYSE:AMC 5- NYSE:RH 6- NASDAQ:PENN 7- NYSE:DAR 8- NASDAQ:NVAX 9- NYSE:DECK 10- NYSE:CLF Obviously, nothing special happened and there is no money flow in these stocks but AMC..! buying inverse ETFs like SRTY (-3x) would be a better option with lower cost to benefit from the next AMC crash..! AMEX:SRTY
TVC:RUTShort
by Moshkelgosha
3
Complex Boring Correction..!The Russell 2000 index, created in 1984 by the Frank Russell Company, is comprised of 2,000 small-capitalization companies. The index is frequently used as a benchmark for measuring the performance of small-cap mutual funds. Many investors see its breadth as giving it an edge over narrower indexes of small-cap stocks. In the past 2 weeks, RUT 2000 experienced a +7.3% gain. As II previously said, this recent rally would not be considered a bullish market because of the low trading volume, but it is a part of a complex correction! I believe this situation could last for the next 1-2 months. Most probable scenario: A: If we see lower money flow: Bearish breakout (I think this is the most likely to happen) B: If we see an increase in money flow: Bullish breakout ( If 6 trillion dollar bill pass fully, this could be the case)
TVC:RUT
by Moshkelgosha
Russell 2000 - Please Stop Buying ItPick any path you want, none look appealing from a bull's perspective. I created this chart today because I found incomprehensible that the Russell tape kept getting bought aggressively into today's close. Forget about the fact that this index has tested the lows of this triangular range (black date range above) several times, but what is more troubling is that these are small-cap companies trading at what used to be Blue Chip prices, like a year ago. Small caps should be respected for their bearishness; they are the first to get punched when the indices agree downward and they are also the hardest to get punched. This makes sense because smaller companies are less likely to maintain operations during times of economic hardship due to a number of logical cash-flow-related items. Thus, while it hasn't been made abundantly clear by the media or US politicians yet (Europe is less delusional) that the economy is doing not-so-great, I find it ridiculous that the only index to get aggresively bought during this intensely bearish afternoon session was the Russell 2k. This is a testament to how little people fear markets these days, or rather, it is that they have only experienced this 2020 rally and do not care/were not alive during the year 2008. The type of fear that has been omnipresent since January 2021 is that of FOMO. Typically, when people are fearful of transient, bearish price action, the natural reaction is to panic-sell. Well, it's now clear that we have entered a new age where it is human nature to panic buy the riskiest assets when markets show bearishness. I only kid, of course - there is no actual no new age of anything. In fact, I'd imagine that it'll only take the first near-term apolcalyptic selloff to reprogram the market masses. All I ask is that you not be long the Russell at times where it makes more sense to be long just about anything unrelated to stocks. -Apigolyptic Selloff 2k21 AMEX:IWM RUSSELL:RUT GLOBALPRIME:US2000 TSE:SMALL500 BMFBOVESPA:SMLL SPCFD:SPX NASDAQ:IXIC DJCFD:DJI CURRENCYCOM:US500 CURRENCYCOM:US100 CURRENCYCOM:US30 CBOE:RVX
FOREXCOM:US2000Short
by UnknownUnicorn5511258
9
My favorite color is RED..!I prepared all my followers for this and convinced them to sit on Cash, Buy inverse ETFs, and Short The market..! My followers are the happiest traders today. and I am happy to see their smiles on the worst days of the market..! Those who have early access to my trading ideas have the chance to perform better. Don't you believe it? Check my recently private post: I have lots of technical and fundamental reasons that this correction will be different and is going to be more than 10%, you will see the technical reasons in my charts. Let’s review the fundamentals: 1- The most important factor is limiting margin for hedge funds by banks, after Archegos capital management phenomenon..! 2- The Buffett Indicator was at elevated levels before the dotcom crash of 2000 to 2002, and before the financial crisis of 2008, but at respective values of 137% and 105%, lower than today's reading of 157%.(Stansberry research) 3- Americans are now holding more money in stocks than ever before... and that includes the peak of the dot-com bubble. The data is from JPMorgan Chase and the Federal Reserve. It includes any stock that folks may hold in 401(k) accounts as well. Right now, 41% of our financial assets are allocated to stocks. Again, that's higher than the dot-com peak of 37%. 4- Constant money out flux since early 2021 which decreases the trading value in more than 95% of stocks! 5-Margin debt stands at $822 billion – an increase of more than 25% since September of last year.(Stansberry research) Conclusion: Any factor that limits new money influx will have negative effects on markets, and Bubbles always burst when they have their biggest size! To protect your capital: *Use tight stop loss even for your long-term investments. ** Hedge your positions using inverse ETFs like SQQQ, SPXU,… *** Always accept the loss when it is small, if it becomes bigger it will become harder to accept! Moshkelgosha If you are interested to have early access to my trading ideas, check the signature box below the post for more information.
TVC:RUTShort
by Moshkelgosha
1
What's the Russell 2000 telling us ? Hi there. Beginning trader and technical analyst who received my education from TRi school of trader development. *My charts are not financial and/or trade advice and are posted for entertainment purposes. Another day with head buried in charts. If there are any small cap, bottom hunters like me who have been in there hunting things that seem like they aren't going to stop going down or have finally found a bottom, then you may have been wondering when things might turn, and we begin seeing our portfolios going back up, and we can more aggressively hunt favorable long entries that show indication of stabilization and turning to add to our position. Well if this chart is any indication I'm starting to think the time may be soon. I'm starting to see some double bottoms coming in on price and indicators, granted it is as the top of price action. It does look like price action has broken out of a potential Head and Shoulder Pattern and will be invalidated at the areas noted in chart. Some fundamental considerations: Inflation fears particularly impact small caps and their cost in production. Possibly, there is a momentary pause on new money coming in from recent retail investors who have entered small cap positions in the past on the hype and Robinhood usability. Perhaps their retail money has been temporarily redirected to a more enthusiastic and euphoric crypto market? It will be interesting to keep an eye on the Russell to see if any sharp down turns-or more euphoria- in that space impact the 2000's trend. Appreciate sharing of different perspectives on my analysis or sharing of your own. Thanks for stopping by. Happy hunting. RUSSELL:RUT
TVC:RUT
by Cryptough
3