TSLA (Overextended) TSLA's market participants have been one sided primarily (Institutional). In the meantime, price is being propped up. The logarithmic chart and price volume distribution histogram display that accumulation is not taking place. Fibonacci levels and pivot points display price targets that market participants are willing to buy/sell. The stock price is floating in the atmosphere, but market makers can change their view anytime. The information being presented is for general informational purposes only and shall not be interpreted as personalized financial guidance or investments recommendation.
TSLA trade ideas
Tesla ($TSLA) Will Reject From These LevelsTimeframe: 15-Minutes
Ticker: NASDAQ:TSLA
Trade Type: Short
Setup Details:
- Entry: $464.87
- Stop-Loss: $470.50
- Target 1: $457.32
- Target 2: $447.27
Rationale:
- Wave Count: Appears to be completing an extended fifth wave in a corrective structure.
- Resistance Zone: Strong supply near $464.87-$470.50 (highlighted in yellow box).
- Risk-Reward: Favorable with targets aligning to key Fibonacci retracement levels.
Trade Management:
- Monitor rejection candles near the short zone.
- Tighten stops if significant bearish momentum emerges near $457.32.
- Exit partially at Target 1 and ride remaining for Target 2 if momentum sustains.
💡 Disclaimer: This setup is for educational purposes. Do your own research before entering trades.
#Tesla #ElliottWave #Fibonacci #TradingIdeas
TSLA... If we were to short, what are some confirmations?I highly reccomend just staying away from this chart altogether (unless you're a seasoned and proven trader or lucky gambler) - But if you are looking for confirmations to short this, this is what I'm looking at.
But again, better off staying away from this chart altogether for now as technical analysis here has proven to be insufficient versus the beast that is Elon Musk.
Happy (not) Trading!
Tesla UpdateI want to start by saying the lower box, at this time, is an estimate. This is assuming that price comes into the 0.786 and reverses. Should price breach that area but still have intentions of dropping in a c wave, the target will be slightly higher. Should price not hit the 0.786 and reverse lower, the target will be slightly lower. The differences between these two possibilities is negligent which is the only reason I am posting this target box.
However, there is still the chance that the pattern has intentions of striking another high to the larger 1.618 @ $537.32. I do not think this will come to pass...but it can. Therefore, whatever your position is or could be, you NEED to keep this in mind. We have no confirmation that the move higher is in fact done. Do I think that it is? Yes, I do. As I mentioned above though, I cannot guarantee that at this time. We still have neg div which does favor a move lower. Ultimately, we just need more data to say conclusively what the pattern has in mind.
This target box would be an ideal spot for the A wave of (4) to terminate should this be an ED. Ideally, we will know more by EOW, but it could make us wait until early next week for answers.
$TSLA Parabolic Chart
I charted the daily and this jumped out at me. Possible parabolic move coming for TSLA to 780 with a 30% pullback to 550?
It's reasonable considering that would take us to a 2.25 trillion market cap thereabouts which is still reasonable considering the likes of apple, msft, and others.
What About This #1 Stock Makes It A Good Buy?This stock is moving together with the NASDAQ.
This is one of the good signs that it is a good buy.
When I first started learning how to trade, I got a book from Amazon
kindle around 2017
after following a trader known as TIm Sykes.
Introduced to me by Robert Kiyosaki.
The book is written by Mathew Kratter
inside this book which is called "Rocket Stocks"
I discovered a strategy to easily buy stocks.
I got this strategy and then I adapted it
to form a simple strategy
which I call the rocket booster strategy
Which has the following 3 steps:
The price has to be above the 50 Simple Moving Average
The price has to be above the 200 Simple Moving Average
The price has to gap up
You are probably thinking right now. like
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If you want to learn more rocket boost this content
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TSLA-SELL strategy 3D chartThe share moved impressively again North of the horizon. This is a bull trap, since nothing has changed. The share is overbought and in fact very extreme. Further, GANN angle does not support the climb and we should eventually see $ 385.00 area before consolidation.
Strategy SELL @ $ 435-465 for a move to $ 393.50 profit area.
Tesla Stock Analysis: December Momentum and Technical OutlookTesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) has been on an impressive rally lately, gaining significant traction and catching the attention of traders worldwide. Let’s break down the current technical setup, as shown in the chart.
Price Action Overview
Recent Move: Tesla has been trending strongly within a rising channel, showing consistent higher highs and higher lows.
Support Zone: The highlighted pink region between $400-$420 has proven to be a critical demand area, where buyers stepped in after a short-term pullback.
Resistance Levels: Based on Fibonacci extensions and historical price levels, the $500-$520 range is shaping up as the next potential resistance zone.
Technical Indicators
EMA Alignment: The EMAs are stacked bullishly, with the EMA 21, EMA 100, and EMA 200 showing clear upward momentum. This confirms the stock’s current bullish trend.
Supertrend: The Supertrend indicator remains in the buy zone, further supporting a bullish sentiment.
Trendline Confluence: The stock recently bounced off the lower boundary of the ascending channel, respecting the trendline and signaling potential continuation toward the upper boundary.
What to Watch For
Breakout Potential: If Tesla clears $480 decisively, we could see a quick move toward the $500 psychological level and beyond.
Pullback Risks: A failure to hold the $450-$458 area might indicate a deeper correction toward the $420 support zone.
📈 Are you bullish or bearish on Tesla’s next move? Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and consult with a certified financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
TESLA TO THE MOON AFTER BREAK OF SUPPLY ROOF Tesla stocks is going moon on Political Influence and Regulatory Expectations: The recent election of Donald Trump has sparked optimism among investors regarding the future of autonomous vehicles and potential regulatory easing. Many believe that the Trump administration will facilitate a more favorable environment for Tesla's self-driving initiatives, which has contributed to a significant rally in Tesla's stock price .
the diversification of tesla investment portfolio in aerospace , renewable energy ,AI and robotics will keep tesla seeing liquidity floor .
TSLA consolidationThe last few days' strong rebound in the Nasdaq and SPX reads like a corrective move to me (B wave). Syncing up with this assumption, I think TSLA is also in a corrective bounce right now and another 14%-15%-ish leg down can be expected. I am reading this bounce as a running flat formation, hence the five wave move up from the local low - which is tricky and can appear that the low is in. And it can be... however, I am expecting a leg down. For classic TA, the chart has formed a megaphone pattern. (The reason why I am not counting this as an ABCDE, but more like a running flat, because the move up from the low was in five waves). In line with this I reduced my position but looking to add back at the 390-ish area.
Tesla unstoppableNASDAQ:TSLA Tesla is coming out from a modest pullback and on its way for another rally.
I measured the move from the previous swing low (326.59) up to the last swing high (488.54) before the pullback.
I did the same exercise from the next swing point at 415.41 and the projected measured move of 161.95. For confluence, I am using 5-12 EMA pair for trend direction.
Take profit at around 577 area. Follow your own risk management as for your defined loss.
Frankly !!NASDAQ:TSLA is in the ascending phase by the cup and handle.
Tesla is in a large C&H if it follows these pattern, the price will have a nice rally.
⭐The pattern increases the price by the amount of the measured price movement (AB=CD).
Tesla shares in Frankfurt rose by 12% on Thursday, reaching a two-week high, as strong sales forecasts pleased investors. Elon Musk, the company's CEO, predicted on Wednesday that car sales would grow by 20 to 30% next year, reassuring investors that Tesla is improving its core electric vehicle business and alleviating concerns about the production timeline of a taxi robot . However, last night Tesla shares again failed to meet expectations and reported lower earnings. The only slight improvement was in dividend distribution. But due to Elon Musk's repeated promises of improved production, similar to previous periods, its stock will open with a surge today. Each time, he has given the same assurance but failed to deliver on it !!
previous Analysis
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
GME Bullish 4H Ascending Triangle After making good profits as a TSLA bull when it was forming the same pattern battling $360s resistance before a breakout run to all time highs, I am now paying close attention to GME which is forming a very similar pattern.
A weekly bull flag is trying to confirm, and there is little resistance in the mid FWB:30S to mid $40s. This certainly would be the ideal time for Mr. Kitty to drop a tweet and spark a move.
Another small note is Wall Street Bets has been trying to short squeeze TLRY the last couple days.
$TSLA is now "Playing Ping Pong" Trade Analysis DarkPoolsOverview
Tesla Inc. (TSLA) is currently trading at $430.60, with significant dark pool activity at $430.75 (DP 1.5M). The stock is in an uptrend, but recent price action shows a pullback from the $492 high, indicating indecision. Tesla is now "playing ping pong" between the 4 EMA and 8 EMA, with price reacting to the $430.75 dark pool level.
Technical Analysis
Key Observations
Ping Pong Action:
The stock is oscillating between the 4 EMA (red) and 8 EMA (yellow), creating a range-bound movement as buyers and sellers fight for control.
The dark pool level at $430.75 is acting as a pivot point, with the price consolidating around this critical level.
Trend Analysis:
Tesla remains above the 21 EMA (blue), which indicates the uptrend is still intact despite the pullback.
A breakdown below the $430.75 dark pool level could signal further bearish momentum.
Dark Pool Activity:
The $430.75 (DP 1.5M) level represents significant institutional interest and is a critical support/resistance zone.
Failure to hold this level would likely lead to a test of lower targets, such as $399.45.
Fibonacci and Targets:
Target 1: $348.74.
Target 2: $306.85.
Target 3: $269.95.
These levels align with Fibonacci retracement zones and long-term support areas.
Trade Plan
Bullish Scenario:
Key Factors:
The price bounces off the 8 EMA or $430.75 dark pool level and reclaims the 4 EMA, signaling a bullish continuation.
Entry:
Long position above $435, confirming a bounce above the 8 EMA.
Profit Targets:
First Target: $450.
Second Target: $492.
Stop Loss:
Close below $430, as it invalidates the bullish setup.
Bearish Scenario:
Key Factors:
The price breaks below the 8 EMA and the $430.75 dark pool level, confirming bearish pressure.
Failure to hold the 21 EMA would accelerate the downtrend.
Entry:
Short position below $429, confirming a breakdown.
Profit Targets:
Target 1: $399.45.
Target 2: $348.74.
Target 3: $306.85.
Stop Loss:
Close above $435, as it invalidates the bearish setup.
Conclusion
Tesla is currently oscillating ("ping pong") between the 4 EMA, 8 EMA, and the $430.75 dark pool level, signaling consolidation with no clear trend direction yet. A break above $435 could lead to a retest of $450, while a breakdown below $430.75 may target $399.45 or lower. This setup offers clear entry points and risk management for both bullish and bearish scenarios.
Tesla $500+ friday or early to mid next Week ??After reaching a new All Time High last week of about 488, The stock price began to sell off but we might have found its bottom for now and can be anticipating another leg up to push us above 500 before heading back below 400 to test crucial Support levels. Good luck.
Yesterday was an Inverted hammer close and today followed up with a doji that tested previous all time high levels that were broken last week and then recovered closing near opening price. Could be time for an upward move. Good Luck
Tesla (TSLA): Big Levels Ahead—Here’s What to Watch!Good morning, trading family!
Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is at a key point, and here’s what could happen:
-If the price breaks above $439.57: We’re likely headed toward $500.
-If the price falls below $410: A drop to $358 or even lower could be next.
These are big levels to watch, so let’s stay focused and trade smart!
Wellness Tip of the Day:
Make time to eat meals at the same time each day. Keeping a regular eating schedule helps maintain energy and focus, so you’re sharp and ready to trade.
Comment, like, follow, or send me a message if you want more insights on this setup!
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
Tesla started on a descending channelFollowing up on the previous analysis, this update takes a more technical approach, focusing on a shorter timeframe. As observed last week, the stock has entered a descending channel. Significant resistance was encountered around the $420 price level.
Even though this resistance level was broken during the extended training hours, and may be a sign of things to come, during the regular trading hours, the support level was tested three separate times, with the stock rebounding each time.
Looking ahead to next week, it’s likely that some short positions may close as traders take profits, which could temporarily push the stock into the $440–$450 range. This would be a positive development for Tesla, as sustained trading near or above the $420 level improves the likelihood of consolidation, and the creation of a clearer future support line.
Considering implied volatility and option spreads, the expected trading range appears wide, with $380–$430 being a reasonable estimate. On the upside, a potential breakout could see the stock reaching back up to $473 as a temporary near-term peak. However, if the stock breaks downward from the channel, the next significant support level lies at $345.
That's all from my side. Please don't forget to hit that like button if you agree, hit that comment button to let me know why you disagree. And if you want to see other similar things, hit that subscribe button, as that would help, and motivate me tremendously to continue publishing these types of ideas.
Thank you, and I wish you a great day ahead!
Previous analysis:
Current short time-frame update:
Note: This was republished as previously I had a link to a Youtube video.
$TSLA Trade Analysis DarkPoolsOverview of Chart
The updated chart for TSLA shows additional volume information, key pivot levels (R1, R2, R3, P, and S1), and dark pool prints, which provide a clearer picture of institutional activity and support/resistance zones. The chart continues to reflect the stock's bullish trend but highlights a potential consolidation phase around critical resistance.
Key Observations
Trend Continuation with Consolidation:
TSLA remains in an uptrend, with the price still above the 8 EMA (white line), which acts as a short-term dynamic support.
However, the current candles indicate consolidation near the R2 pivot level ($443.60), where selling pressure is evident.
Dark Pool Prints and Institutional Activity:
The dark pool print at $436.17 (1.6M shares) remains a critical support level. This suggests institutional interest in this price area, likely acting as a floor for further pullbacks.
Holding above this level confirms bullish sentiment. A failure to hold this level could accelerate a bearish pullback toward lower pivot levels.
Volume Analysis:
The chart now shows elevated volume on recent red candles, which suggests increased selling pressure near resistance levels.
Notably, the volume spike is not overwhelmingly bearish, indicating potential profit-taking rather than a complete reversal of the trend.
Pivot Levels and Support/Resistance Zones:
Immediate Resistance: The R2 pivot ($443.60) is acting as a ceiling for TSLA's recent upward momentum. Breaking this level could result in a move toward R3 ($514.82).
Immediate Support: The dark pool level ($436.17) and the 8 EMA align as immediate support levels. Below this, the R1 pivot ($391.77) and 21 EMA ($393.86) represent the next significant supports.
Bearish Divergence Risk:
While the overall trend is bullish, the consolidation near R2 and elevated selling volume suggest a potential pullback if support levels fail to hold.
Trade Plan
Bullish Scenario:
Entry: A confirmed breakout above the R2 pivot ($443.60) with increasing volume. Ideally, a daily close above this level will confirm the breakout.
Targets:
First Target (T1): $456 (recent swing high).
Second Target (T2): $514.82 (R3 pivot).
Stop Loss: Below the dark pool level ($436.17).
Bearish Scenario:
Entry: If TSLA closes below $436.17 and the 8 EMA, indicating a loss of short-term bullish momentum.
Targets:
First Target (T1): $413 (pivot support).
Second Target (T2): $393.86 (21 EMA).
Stop Loss: Above the R2 pivot ($443.60).
Additional Considerations
Risk Management:
TSLA is volatile, and trades should consider position sizing and stop-loss placement to manage risk effectively.
Monitor the overall market sentiment (e.g., SPY, QQQ) for confirmation of broader trends.
Institutional Influence:
Keep an eye on how the price reacts to the dark pool print at $436.17. Institutional support or rejection here will guide the next move.
Broader Market Factors:
Tesla's price can be influenced by sector-wide news (e.g., EV market trends) and macroeconomic factors (e.g., interest rates or broader tech sentiment).
Tesla Q4 2024 Deliveries Expected to Hit Record, but.Tesla's fourth-quarter 2024 delivery figures are anticipated to reach a record high, according to a note from Barclays. Analysts estimate Q4 deliveries at approximately 515,000 units, slightly above the consensus estimate of around 511,000 units, marking a 6% year-over-year increase. Despite these impressive numbers, Barclays believes they will have limited impact on Tesla's stock.
Key Takeaways:
Delivery Estimates: Barclays projects Q4 deliveries to be around 515,000 units, slightly exceeding expectations.
Stock Impact: The delivery numbers are expected to have minimal influence on Tesla's stock, as investors are more focused on the company's long-term opportunities in autonomous driving and artificial intelligence (AI).
Long-Term Growth: Tesla's recent momentum is driven by its potential in the AV/AI sectors rather than short-term delivery metrics.
Future Outlook:
2024 Sales: Barclays forecasts Tesla's full-year 2024 sales at approximately 1.81 million units, aligning with 2023 figures but falling short of the company's guidance for year-over-year growth.
Autonomous Driving and AI: The introduction of "Unsupervised Full Self-Driving" (FSD) in 2025 is expected to bolster Tesla's AV/AI initiatives, mitigating any near-term volume misses.
New Models: The upcoming low-cost model, "Model 2.5," anticipated in the first half of 2025, is seen as a crucial growth driver.
Delivery Growth: CEO Elon Musk suggests 20-30% year-over-year delivery growth in 2025, which Barclays believes will address any concerns from the Q4 figures.
Barclays emphasizes that while the Q4 results are crucial, the stock's recent rally—up 68% post-election versus the S&P 500's 2.6%—reflects positive sentiment on Tesla's long-term potential and technical factors. As the market shifts focus towards future developments, the emphasis remains on Tesla's ability to innovate and lead in the autonomous driving and AI sectors.