Tesla to the down sideTesla going down Short of the retest of the moat recent Bearish Fair Value Gap.
TSLA trade ideas
TSLA wayyyy too high! Will crash to $280-$320 rangeRSI levels are completely elevated to a point that is just not sustainable for a car company. I buy the TSLA technology and "extras" but this level of elevated prices will drop very soon once reality hits and profit takers take advantage.
Leverage TSLZ to take advantage of this nice short x2 opportunity. Best of luck and do your dd!
TSLA to $420?TSLA has been on a tear over the past month or so. Using the Magic Linear Regression Channel indicator we look at the chart of TSLA and see that it has blown through a lot of the parallel channels, making it seem difficult to pinpoint. But, by adding an outer Fibonacci band to the Magic Linear Regression Channel, and selecting starting pivot highs followed by the biggest drops, we can form a channel that has an upper Fibonacci channel that coincides with the all-time high. However, since TSLA didn't get to Elon's favorite number, 420, last time around, I think it will make it there this time before correcting or consolidating. And, it could make it there before the end of the year.
TSLA Technical Analysis: Gamma Exposure for Levels, Price Action1. Key Levels Identified:
* Highest Positive NETGEX (Call Resistance): $400
* Represents a strong resistance level due to the accumulation of call options. If TSLA approaches this level, market maker hedging could slow upward momentum or cause consolidation.
* Second Call Wall: $420
* Indicates additional resistance and a potential target for bullish momentum if $400 is breached.
* HVL (Hedging Volatility Level): $347.50
* A critical support area where market makers adjust hedging to neutralize exposure. Price movements near this level could lead to temporary stabilization.
* PUT Walls:
* 3rd PUT Wall: $340 (-1.37% Gamma Exposure)
* A moderate support level with notable hedging activity.
* 2nd PUT Wall: $330
* Stronger support, likely to hold unless broader market sentiment turns bearish.
2. Price Action:
* TSLA is trading around $403, testing the resistance at the $400 level. A break above $400 could push the price towards $420, while a rejection might result in a retracement towards $390 or lower.
Technical Indicators Analysis:
1. MACD:
* The MACD line is showing bullish momentum, with the histogram suggesting potential upside. However, watch for any divergence near resistance levels.
2. Stochastic RSI:
* Currently overbought, signaling potential short-term exhaustion. A downward crossover could indicate a pullback.
3. Trendlines:
* An ascending trendline supports the bullish structure, intersecting near $390. A breakdown below this trendline would invalidate the bullish momentum.
Options Strategy Plan:
1. Bullish Scenario:
* If TSLA sustains above $400:
* Call Option Entry: Strike price at $410 or $420, expiration within 1-2 weeks.
* Target: $420.
* Stop-Loss: $395.
2. Bearish Scenario:
* If TSLA rejects $400 and drops below $390:
* Put Option Entry: Strike price at $380 or $370, expiration within 1-2 weeks.
* Target: $370 (next major support zone).
* Stop-Loss: $395.
3. Neutral Strategy:
* If TSLA consolidates between $390 and $400:
* Iron Condor Strategy:
* Sell a call at $410 and a put at $380.
* Buy a call at $420 and a put at $370 to limit risk.
Recommendation for Expiration Date:
* Short-Term Expiry (1-2 weeks): Best for directional trades based on breakouts or rejections from key gamma levels.
* Longer Expiry (2-3 weeks): Ideal for capturing momentum plays or wider ranges.
Summary of Gamma Insights:
* The $400 level is pivotal for TSLA. A breakout above this level aligns with gamma positioning that supports upward momentum.
* Support levels around $390 and $347.50 provide clear areas for stop-loss placement or potential reversals.
* Traders can use gamma levels to anticipate volatility spikes and align their strategies accordingly.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and risk management before executing trades.
TESLA option play planFirst of all thanks to papa E and orange toasty for becoming besties, we getting the mad pump.
Second of all it was a reasonably easy bet to take. Why take 2x on vanilla trump vs harris when you can slap on some out of the money option calls? its a full win/lose bet but the options get you 5-10x average for this one.
Risk - Reward ratio is everything. If your taking the risk make sure the reward pays for it.
Putting this one down so I can reference going forward. Yeh we might go flat for few months.. or dump because of tarrifs and xyz blah blah,, but This is just the strong bull option which is the scenario im aiming to hopefully play.
Euphoria/blow off phases tend to have two main features
1. its velocity/momentum is faster than you think (its over before you know it; just when your getting really excited)
2. it tends to go higher than you thought
PE ratios, valuations etc are hinting at top energy here.
lets ride it and hopefully jump ship in time.
Long $TSLAI am getting 100% of my exposure currently through NASDAQ:TSLL , I am very bullish on this setup for Tesla.
Bull catalysts:
Trump Victory - if this happens, I assume TSLA will pump just because of their close relationship
Federal EV Charging Re-compete - in the vein above, I don't see why Trump wouldn't open the failed federal funds of ~ SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:9B to companies to recompute the contract- obviously Tesla could actually deliver the network of chargers more efficiently than GM et al.
QE - I overlaid the FFR on the bottom of this chart, since I think it is valuable information regarding the last time TSLA's face-melting rally began, it coincided with QE beginning.
Their humanoid robots also could be something, but I am not as versed with them. Any other catalysts I'm missing?
Tesla Inc. (TSLA) - Potential Elliott Wave Setup🔍 Analysis Overview
This chart showcases a potential Elliott Wave structure on Tesla's daily timeframe. Here's the detailed breakdown:
Wave Progression:
Wave (1), (2), and (3) completed, with wave (4) anticipated to retrace.
Wave (4) Retracement Zone:
- Targeting the Fibonacci retracement zone between 0.382 (340.99) and 0.618 (280.16).
- This zone aligns with a confluence of the trendline and previous support levels.
Bullish Targets:
- First target at 440.13.
- Secondary targets at 470.80 (1.236) and 489.88 (1.382 extension).
Risk Management:
- Stop-loss positioned at 275.00 to manage downside risk.
📊 Indicators:
- RSI and MFI reflect potential overbought conditions in the current wave (3), supporting the likelihood of a corrective wave (4).
🚨 Important Notes:
This is a speculative wave count and assumes the continuation of the broader uptrend. Breaks below the stop-loss zone could invalidate the setup.
TSLA: Sell As we reached ATH, we have to be aware that the cup of cup & handle Motif is finished and we might see a correction of 1/3 or 2/3 of cup hight. This corresponds also to daily and weekly mean reversion target's. Risk/Reward ratio is to unfavourable to stay in. Better to sell
TSLA - Next Bull Market ApproachesTSLA
Will hit ATH resistance soon.
There will likely be some sort of sell off...
But this trend looks strong.
I think this will soon break into the next bull market 👍.
The arrow was well drawn 😅 but I didn't post this one on TradingView
Not advice
Simple Bull vs Bear Targets and ConditionsSome simple bullish targets (yellow) for Tesla, conditioned upon remaining above the white neckline and getting and holding above the red one.
Simple bearish targets (orange) are conditioned upon losing the white neckline, and then dropping and losing the green one.
Nearer term bear targets could also simply be the white line, the green line, or the area of the weekly high and low of the last weekly low above the green line
TESLA $TSLA | TESLA RALLY TO 400?! (ASCENDING TRIANGLE) Dec05'24TESLA NASDAQ:TSLA | TESLA RALLY TO 400?! (ASCENDING TRIANGLE) Dec05'24
NASDAQ:TSLA BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $357.50 - $400.00
NASDAQ:TSLA DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $331.00 - $357.50
NASDAQ:TSLA SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $270.00 - $331.00
NASDAQ:TSLA Trends:
NASDAQ:TSLA Weekly Trend: Bullish
NASDAQ:TSLA Daily Trend: Bullish
NASDAQ:TSLA 4H Trend: Bullish
NASDAQ:TSLA 1H Trend: Bullish
NASDAQ:TSLA is hanging on to the strong bullish rally that first began after the most recent earnings report (Oct23), followed by the Trump rally after the presidential election. NASDAQ:TSLA has been building an ascending triangle at the 360 price level, and a popular belief is that a break above this level will be the start of the push to the 400 price level. Here is what I'm personally looking at for possible NASDAQ:TSLA trade opportunities, potential for upside and downside, and how I'm viewing price structure and technicals with the help of some of my personal indicators!
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
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TSLA huge potential check this out!!!Hi guys, I think tesla can go to 350+ really soon easily because of:
Bullish RSI b/o
Weekly MACD curl
5th time hitting 2y downtrend
Feds lowering rates
AI & Optimus potential
Tesla time to fireTesla ready for serious upmove from these levels. Cup and handle formation on the cards, some big announcement may come to push share up. Whats up elon ?
Trading JournalNew leader emerging post election,
got a 15% position, sold as it crossed ~~405 range as it is extended
and other leaders are getting hammered in the extended market.
WIll look to rebuy back
An Update For MY Followers Hey Everyone
Wanted to quickly update everyone as I have been MIA the last two weeks working on a really cool project to create even more value for everyone. I will be back in action tomorrow, so if you have any assets you want me to analyze let me know and I will do that for you. Secondly if you are wanting to increase your wellness and your trading send me a DM.
Hope everyone has a awesome day and I will see you tomorrow
Kris / Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
Sliding In December: Is Tesla (TSLA) Losing Its Spark?
As always, we like to keep it clean and simple, with technicals and analysis that's easy to see and understand. Let's get into it:
Losing all its spark? Nah. But, we see a correction for TSLA happening this December, starting within the next 1-2 days. Why?
- It’s currently bumping into price levels we last saw in 2022, which served as a strong ceiling back then and might trigger profit-taking now.
- It's well into a Wave 5 Elliott Wave, signaling exhaustion in 4h/8h/1D timeframes.
- Overbought.
Additionally, many are noting that Tesla’s valuation feels stretched compared to its earnings and growth prospects. Analysts point out that its current price may rely on overly optimistic assumptions about future market share, tech breakthroughs, and profitability. Some also highlight that competitors are catching up, which could eat into Tesla’s premium valuation. Meanwhile, skeptics argue that the stock’s recent run has simply gotten ahead of fundamentals, and a correction might be due as more realistic expectations set in.
We see a 10% slide to the $360 range.
Let's see what December brings.
Be Alert.
Trade Green.
TSLA CRACK!TSLA cracking higher with a gap up breaking out of a wedge after several attempts this year,
Personally, I don't like wedges since they have a tendency to crack one way and reverse the other.
But having the entire US gov't giving you a free pass to do whatever you want without fear of being prosecuted for illegal activity and getting even more free money from the taxpayers. It might be different this time.
I can only tell you what the charts say.
Tesla: Are We Dropping to $350 or Climbing to $480?Good morning, trading family.
Tesla is sitting at a key level, and it looks like we’re about to see a big move. Here’s what I’m seeing:
Option 1:
We could see a drop of $50-$60, taking Tesla down to $350-$360 before it finds support and bounces back.
Option 2:
If Tesla holds here and starts pushing higher, it could climb to $440. After that, we might see either:
A pullback of $50-$60, OR
A continued run all the way to $480.
This is one of those times where the chart is doing the talking. Trade what you see, not what you hope for.
If this breakdown makes sense, hit like, follow, and share your thoughts below. Where do you think Tesla is headed next? Let’s figure it out together.
Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange
TSLA (1-Hour Timeframe) Analysis. Dec. 9Market Overview
* TSLA has been trading in a clear uptrend, with a strong push to retest the resistance zone at $399.00.
* A rising wedge pattern is forming, which could signal a potential pullback if momentum slows.
* Volume is declining on the latest push upwards, suggesting reduced buyer enthusiasm near resistance.
Key Levels
1. Resistance:
* $399.00: Strong psychological and technical resistance. A breakout above could trigger a rally toward $410.00.
* $401.97: Intraday resistance based on recent highs.
2. Support:
* $379.00: Immediate support and previous consolidation area.
* $370.78: Critical support zone; a break below could signal a deeper correction.
* $326.59: Major support and previous demand zone.
Technical Indicators
* 9 EMA: Price is riding the EMA upward, confirming short-term bullish momentum.
* MACD: Histogram is showing weakening momentum as the MACD line flattens, indicating possible consolidation or reversal.
* Volume: Declining as price approaches resistance, a potential bearish divergence.
Scenarios and Trading Plan
Bullish Scenario:
* If TSLA breaks and holds above $399.00, it may head toward $410.00.
* Entry: $399.50 on breakout with volume confirmation.
* Stop Loss: $396.00.
* Take Profit: $405.00 and $410.00.
Bearish Scenario:
* If TSLA fails to break $399.00 and closes below $379.00, a pullback toward $370.78 or lower could occur.
* Entry: Short at $378.50.
* Stop Loss: $382.50.
* Take Profit: $370.00 and $365.00.
Risk Management Checklist
1. Watch for high-volume confirmation before entering any breakout trades.
2. Respect stop losses to manage risk.
3. Monitor MACD and volume trends for divergence.
Thoughts
* TSLA's current trend is bullish, but the weakening momentum suggests a short-term pullback could occur before another leg up.
* Traders should wait for confirmation of direction before committing to a position.
TSLA LongTSLA currently priced @ 389.79 ... with a target of 400 and an extended target of 410-420
TSLA chart currently shows a breakout above the upper trend-line...
- the move to the upside will target 400 as a psych level with heavy liquidity being at 410 and 420 due to current open interest levels on call options.
- a move back to the downside will be considered a buy the dip opportunity or re-test of Friday and todays price action
- the opening price on Friday's candle and the low of today's candle will serve as support levels at 377.42 and 378 respectively
- holding 390 and breaking above the slight resistance at 397 opens up 400 and higher (This will rage!!)
Indicators like MACD & RSI are trending upwards and looking bullish
9-day EMA and 50-day EMA are both trending upwards and the 9-day EMA is trending upward and away from the 50 which is bullish.
Call options that are interesting:
-TSLA 400 Call 12/13
-Volume: 144,881 (contracts traded)
-Open Interest: 37,205 (open positions and liquidity)
-Volume to Open Interest ratio ~ 3:1
-Open Interest for tomorrow has to open up around 75k plus. Why? As an investor or trader, you are looking to see people hold their investment position as a sign of trend confirmation and continuation
-TSLA 410 Call 12/13
-Volume: 43,965
-Open Interest: 4,923
-Volume to Open Interest ratio ~ 9:1
-Open Interest for tomorrow has to open up around 25k
-TSLA 420 Call 12/13
-Volume: 57,432
-Open Interest: 37,598
-Volume to Open Interest ratio ~ 1.5:1
-Open Interest has to open up around - 45k
TSLA on the go...Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 After rejecting the $200 round number zone and breaking above the red channel, TSLA's momentum shifted from bearish to bullish.
Currently, TSLA is in a correction phase and approaching the green demand zone and round number $300.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #TESLA approaches the $300 zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Tesla started on a descending channelFollowing up on the previous analysis, this update takes a more technical approach, focusing on a shorter timeframe. As observed last week, the stock has entered a descending channel. Significant resistance was encountered around the $420 price level.
Even though this resistance level was broken during the extended training hours, and may be a sign of things to come, during the regular trading hours, the support level was tested three separate times, with the stock rebounding each time.
Looking ahead to next week, it’s likely that some short positions may close as traders take profits, which could temporarily push the stock into the $440–$450 range. This would be a positive development for Tesla, as sustained trading near or above the $420 level improves the likelihood of consolidation, and the creation of a clearer future support line.
Considering implied volatility and option spreads, the expected trading range appears wide, with $380–$430 being a reasonable estimate. On the upside, a potential breakout could see the stock reaching back up to $473 as a temporary near-term peak. However, if the stock breaks downward from the channel, the next significant support level lies at $345.
That's all from my side. Please don't forget to hit that like button if you agree, hit that comment button to let me know why you disagree. And if you want to see other similar things, hit that subscribe button, as that would help, and motivate me tremendously to continue doing this kind of videos.
Thank you, and I wish you a great day ahead!
Previous analysis:
Current short time-frame update:
YouTube video: www.youtube.com
TESLATESLA will have a correction before moving further up for 2025.
2025 Target price 600. With Trump supporting, Tesla will go to ATH again in the next 4 years.
