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UPS trade ideas

Selling Pressure Ahead as UPS Approaching Key ResistanceUPS, after breaking below the critical support, is currently trading within a descending channel, indicating the potential validity of a long-term downtrend. At present, the price has once again approached the resistance at the 38.2% Fibonacci level. This is expected to generate significant selling pressure, resulting in a downward push in price. Considering the 3-day chart, the drop could be relatively substantial. The final downside target is identified at the 78.6% Fibonacci level, which corresponds to the $120 mark. However, a breakout above the channel would serve as a strong warning sign for sellers. If the price manages to produce a new higher high thereafter, it is likely that bulls will regain complete control. Nonetheless, at the moment, bears are clearly dominating the market. Therefore, we are currently initiating our short position.
CAPITALCOM:UPSShort
by CryptoPAMM
UPS Share Price Plunges to a 4.5-Year LowUPS Share Price Plunges to a 4.5-Year Low Last week, United Parcel Service (UPS)—one of the world's largest parcel delivery, supply chain management, and courier service companies—released its quarterly report. → Earnings per share: Actual = $2.75, Expected = $2.53 → Total revenue: Actual = $25.4 billion, Expected = $25.3 billion Despite EPS exceeding forecasts by over 8%, UPS shares plunged to $110, a level last seen in mid-2020 when the US economy was recovering from the pandemic. Investor Disappointment Over Amazon Cutbacks The stock decline was driven by UPS’s decision to further reduce its business with Amazon. The company stated that its 2025 revenue would be around $6 billion below analysts’ expectations due to halving the volume of Amazon parcels it processes—despite Amazon being its largest customer. UPS CEO Carol Tomé explained that the company wants to move away from Amazon as profit margins in this segment are too low, negatively impacting overall profitability. According to The Wall Street Journal (WSJ), UPS management is under pressure from dissatisfied investors, a significant portion of whom are long-serving company employees. Due to UPS's unique shareholder structure, veteran employees—who control 63% of voting rights—have suffered billions in collective losses due to the stock's decline. Shortly after releasing the report, UPS announced a quarterly dividend increase from $1.63 to $1.64 per share, though this is unlikely to offset the stock’s 40% decline over the past three years. Technical Analysis of UPS Stock UPS shares remain in a downward trend (as indicated by the red channel). Following the latest drop: → The price fell below $124, a key resistance level in 2018–2019. → The stock reached the lower boundary of the channel, which may act as a support level, preventing a further decline toward the psychological $100 mark. Is Now the Time to Buy UPS Shares? Analysts have lowered their UPS price targets: → Stephens revised its target from $140 to $127. → DA Davidson downgraded UPS from "Buy/Add" to "Neutral", cutting the target from $154 to $116. → Redburn Atlantic reduced its target from $159 to $137. → Loop Capital revised its target from $120 to $115. → Oppenheimer lowered its target from $146 to $126. From a technical perspective, reversing the multi-month downtrend seems challenging. However, if UPS reconsiders its Amazon strategy under investor pressure, this could provide an opportunity for buyers. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NYSE:UPS
by FXOpen
2
Rising Costs & Economic Uncertainty: What January Taught Us and And then there’s UPS. A 20% drop is not just a stock market hiccup—it’s a symptom. The logistics giant, a bellwether for commerce, is struggling under the weight of declining demand, operational cost increases, and shifting consumer behavior. The question is, who’s next? If a company as ingrained in global trade as UPS is faltering, what does that signal for the rest of the economy? Retail? Small businesses? Tech? February looms with uncertainty. Will we see further price hikes, layoffs, or corporate contractions? Or will there be a recalibration, an attempt to stabilize? If January was a lesson in upheaval, February may well be a test of resilience. economy update, cost of living, milk and egg prices, gas prices 2025, UPS stock drop, inflation impact, economic downturn, market analysis, America First policy, supply chain crisis, financial news, economic forecast February 2025, stock market trends, political economy, consumer prices
NYSE:UPS
by TwoBULLISH
Opening (IRA): UPS June 20th 90C/March 21st -115C... for a 19.60 debit. Comments: Buying the back month 90 delta call and selling a front month that pays for at least all of the extrinsic in the long such that the break even is at or below where the stock is currently trading. Metrics: Buying Power Effect: 19.60 Break Even: 109.60/share Max Profit: 5.40 ROC at Max: 27.6% I generally look to take profit on these at 110% of what I put them on for and/or roll out the short call if my take profit isn't hit.
NYSE:UPSLong
by NaughtyPines
2
UPS at a Make-or-Break Zone – Will Buyers Step In?Hi you all, United Parcel Service (UPS) has recently entered a potential buying zone. In its latest earnings report, the company announced a reduction in business with Amazon by more than 50% by the second half of 2026, aiming to focus on more profitable ventures. Despite a slight revenue miss, UPS beat profit expectations for the fourth quarter. From a technical perspective, several factors suggest a potential buying opportunity, so do your homework. If fundamentals will align then you should be ready... - Trendline: The stock is approaching a long-term trendline, third touch. - 50% Retracement: UPS has retraced approximately 50% from its all-time high. - Previous Yearly Highs as Support: Former resistance levels from previous years are now acting as support, indicating potential liquidity. - Psychological Support at $100: The round number of $100 serves as a psychological barrier, potentially providing additional support. Do your homework because this is just half of the story: technical analysis. From my side, this is inside a potential area, but do fundamentals support it? Good luck, Vaido
NYSE:UPSLong
by VaidoVeek
$UPS - DOUBLE BOTTOM UPS completed a double bottom pattern with a tight stop of a daily close below $122. Earnings are initially set for January 30th. I believe it should reach the targets (horizontal ray) before earnings and the ER will decide if it retraces or be a catalyst to brake the trend line. Proposed play: 7 FEB 25 130 C Currently @ 2.65 (Ask) If target reached before ER will consider closing partially and coninue with the rest for ER. Please do your DD and this is a personal play. Updates will follow. GLTA
NYSE:UPSLong
by BUMISHO
1
UPS - State of the EconomyUPS presents an interesting opportunity for investors looking for a potential rebound, especially if you believe there will be a turnaround in consumer demand due to looser financial conditions. The stock has dropped nearly 50% from its highs just a couple of years ago, presenting an attractive entry point for long-term investors. If financial conditions ease and consumer confidence improves, demand for shipping and e-commerce is likely to pick up, directly benefiting UPS's business. As we move more towards e-commerce and away from traditional shops, UPS is poised to benefit from this continued trend over the longer term. Additionally, UPS offers a strong, reliable dividend yield, making it an appealing safe compounder for those seeking stable income over the long term. As the company approaches key support levels that align with previous recession trendlines from 2008 and 2020, it could be poised for a recovery if economic conditions improve. The company’s ongoing automation initiatives, aimed at increasing efficiency and cutting costs, should also drive improvements in margins and earnings per share (EPS). Recent layoffs, while often a negative signal, may actually strengthen UPS’s financials by streamlining operations and reducing labor costs. These efforts are expected to contribute to increased profitability as the company works to optimize its operations. Even for those not directly investing in UPS, the stock remains an important one to monitor as it serves as a proxy for the broader economy. UPS’s performance is closely tied to consumer activity and global supply chains, making it a useful barometer for the health of the economy. If the company shows signs of improvement, it could signal a broader recovery, making UPS an essential stock for any investor keeping an eye on economic trends.
NYSE:UPS
by NoFOMO_
UPS Stock Analysis: Potential Long-Term Value Buy with Reversal The weekly chart for United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) on the NYSE suggests that the stock may have found a strong support level around the $125-$127 range. The Ichimoku Cloud indicator shows that the price has been consolidating near the lower boundary of the cloud, which often acts as a support zone. Additionally, the volume profile indicates significant trading activity around this price level, reinforcing the support. A descending trendline has been broken recently, which could signal the end of the downtrend and the beginning of a reversal. The stock is currently trading at $127.29, with a recent high of $127.56 and a low of $125.551. The Ichimoku Cloud components (Tenkan-sen, Kijun-sen, and Senkou Span A and B) are showing signs of potential bullish crossover, which is a positive indicator for a trend reversal. Given the current technical setup, UPS appears to be at a good value buy point for long-term investors. The combination of strong support, volume profile, and potential bullish signals from the Ichimoku Cloud suggests that a reversal could be imminent1. Investors looking for a long-term position may find this an opportune moment to enter the market.
NYSE:UPSLong
by Lazyblob
UPS - Delivering A Trend Continuation...Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 UPS has been overall bullish long-term , trading above the orange trendline. Currently, UPS is in a correction phase trading within the falling channel marked in black. Moreover, the zone marked in blue is a strong demand zone and round number $100. 🏹 The highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the demand zone and lower trendlines acting as non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #UPS approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
NYSE:UPSLong
by TheSignalyst
1
TURN ME UP: $UPS FORECAST 🛡Analysis inspired by the Royal mail acquisition by Czech billionaire, Daniel Kretinsky I realised with e commerce growth delivery players are just as susceptible to growth you know what they say 🛡 During a gold rush sell shovels 🛡so when everyone selling things online we gone need delivery services for the various websites and who better than an established player with a global market already established SWOT ANALYSIS UPS Strengths Strong Global Presence: UPS expanded its UPS Worldwide Express and UPS Express Plus to 40 countries part and now offers time-definite delivery shipments to businesses across 140 countries and territories. Additionally, it operates small delivery services in more than 220 countries under International Package operations. Online Tracking: UPS has one of the most advanced online tracking capabilities in the industry, which tracks 295 million deliveries per day. SMART Network: Effective delivery operations relies on seamless integration of collection and distribution mechanisms. UPS invested $20 billion to build its Southeast Metro Automated Routing Terminal (SMART) logistics network facility in Atlanta, which connects all systems and equipment in its entire network. Excellent Customer Service: To attract, satisfy, and retain customers, businesses have to deliver high-quality service consistently, which is particularly important in the delivery service. UPS offers excellent customer service and has higher customer satisfaction than FedEx. Highly Innovative: Delivering parcels globally on time requires immense innovation. To deliver each package on time, the Chief Information Officer of UPS developed a smart logistics network and won the Forbes CIO Innovation Award. Fast Deliveries: Timely deliveries consistently is a major strength. UPS streamlines its operation with simple handheld devices for communication, scanning packages, customer signatures as well as complex automation like its GPS navigation and reroute technology. All these operational strategies ensure UPS delivers faster than competitors. Competitive Prices: Offering high-quality service at affordable prices is the most effective way to attract and retain customers. In the logistics and delivery service, UPS offers competitive prices for overnight shipping and across all other different categories. UPS Weaknesses Reliance on US Market: Even though UPS operates globally, it relies heavily on the US market. In 2019, US domestic package delivery and freight generated $58.6 billion while international delivery brought in $15.41 billion. If the US market slows down due to recession, UPS will be adversely affected. Adverse Financial Impact during Peak Holiday Season: For UPS to keep up with demand and deliver on time during high peak online shopping season, it has to spend way more than normal periods. The huge amount spent to handle as much as double the average daily package volume affects the profitability of the company to reap the maximum benefits offered by peak holiday seasons. Operational Issues: The management has been postponing upgrades of equipment and delivery systems for decades. Using 19th-century infrastructure to operate in the fast-moving world of the 21st century is increasingly becoming a challenge but upgrading the system costs $20 billion, which is about 5-year worth of UPS profits. Poor Employee Safety: Poor and unsafe work environment undermine the morale, efficiency, and productivity of employees. There are several cases of UPS employees being injured and one employee passed away after contracting the Covid-19 virus. Burdening Purchased Transportation Costs: The delivery business is influenced immensely by transport costs. Purchased transportation cost is incurred when UPS uses third-party transportation carriers. Around 19% of UPS operating expense is directed to purchased transportation in the fiscal year 2019. If transport costs continue to increase, UPS can lose its profitability. UPS Opportunities Drone Testing: UPS has been testing and expanding its drone delivery capabilities. UPS tested its drone delivery technology at Wake Med hospital campuses, transporting lab samples across different hospital campus buildings. Strengthen e-Commerce Operations: The E-Commerce sector is growing rapidly with new players getting into the business constantly. This sector relies on delivery services, which UPS can exploit by strengthening its e-Commerce operations and services. Expand through Mergers and Acquisition: Mergers and acquisitions allow companies to expand quickly into new markets. Even though UPS failed to capture the European market fully after the collapse of its bid to merge with TNT Express, it can acquire small European logistics companies to increase its market share. Diversify Portfolio: There are 3 primary business segments in UPS operations. For instance, it can diversify into the B2C ecommerce retail sector, supporting Small and Medium-sized Businesses (SMBs) and use its extensive global networkagainst competitors. Expand the target market: UPS operates primarily as a business delivery service (B2B and B2C) for online retailers like Amazon even though the number of ordinary consumers using delivery services is increasing rapidly. The company can fuel its growth by expanding its target market to include ordinary consumers. Expand to 7-Day Delivery: UPS has started a 7-day delivery service. Earlier, UPS pickup and delivery service operated for 6 days (Monday – Saturday). With the surge in online shopping and high customer expectations, now UPS has included deliveries on Sundays. UPS Threats Intense Competition: With stiff competition from FedEx, DHL, Amazon, YRC, Old Dominion, and many more, the market share and profits of UPS are always under threat. Over-reliance on one customer “Amazon”: Ecommerce giant – Amazon represented about 11.6% of UPS revenue in the fiscal year 2019. As Amazon is gearing up to compete in delivery and transportation service, UPS revenue can be at risk due to any change in their relationship. Trade Tensions: As a global operator, the stability, sustainability, and profitability of UPS rely on revenues from different regions. This makes trade tensions a major threat to the company. The threat of Strike: Even though UPS employees have not gone on strike since 1997, the risks and challenges of working through the pandemic coupled with several contractions are fueling anger and frustration in the workforce. Even a short strike can cost the company millions. Looming Recession: The pandemic has left devastation and destruction across the world with several countries already deep into recession. UPS pulled its 2020 earnings forecast after posting a 13% drop in profit in the first quarter. If the recession is severe, the company will experience a larger decline in profits. Global Pandemic: UPS earning is projected to decline by 7% in full year 2020 as the pandemic brought the entire world to a halt. If there is a second wave, UPS could lose even more. courtesy of: bstrategyhub.com
NYSE:UPSLong
by Bekiumuzi_Dube