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UPS trade ideas

United Postal Service | UPS | Long at $92.00The United Postal Service NYSE:UPS finally closed out the last remaining price gap on the daily chart (since 2020) and entered my "crash" simple moving average zone. With a P/E of 15x, earnings forecast growth of 8.12% per year, and a dividend over 6%, NYSE:UPS "may" be a good buy and hold through these tumultuous economic/trade war times. I wouldn't place a continued price drop near $75-$85 out of the question, but I'm not in the game of calling bottoms. At $92.00, NYSE:UPS is in a personal buy zone. Word of caution: if this stock really tanks due to trade issues and massive recession, $50s... Targets: $108.00 $120.00 $133.00
NYSE:UPSLong
by WorthlessViews
1
UPS looking DOWNSNice head and Shoulders on the United Parcel Service #UPS and FEDEX are the new dow transport indicator. An underlying determinant of how the consumer is faring Since the US is a consumer economy and Online shopping is the majority of retail if we see new highs on the Indicies, and the home delivery carriers continue to deteriorate it would give your non confirmation Top Similar to Dow theory of new High's in the Industrials , but the transports lagging and indeed falling.
NShort
by BallaJi
14
Selling Pressure Ahead as UPS Approaching Key ResistanceUPS, after breaking below the critical support, is currently trading within a descending channel, indicating the potential validity of a long-term downtrend. At present, the price has once again approached the resistance at the 38.2% Fibonacci level. This is expected to generate significant selling pressure, resulting in a downward push in price. Considering the 3-day chart, the drop could be relatively substantial. The final downside target is identified at the 78.6% Fibonacci level, which corresponds to the $120 mark. However, a breakout above the channel would serve as a strong warning sign for sellers. If the price manages to produce a new higher high thereafter, it is likely that bulls will regain complete control. Nonetheless, at the moment, bears are clearly dominating the market. Therefore, we are currently initiating our short position.
CAPITALCOM:UPSShort
by CryptoPAMM
UPS Share Price Plunges to a 4.5-Year LowUPS Share Price Plunges to a 4.5-Year Low Last week, United Parcel Service (UPS)—one of the world's largest parcel delivery, supply chain management, and courier service companies—released its quarterly report. → Earnings per share: Actual = $2.75, Expected = $2.53 → Total revenue: Actual = $25.4 billion, Expected = $25.3 billion Despite EPS exceeding forecasts by over 8%, UPS shares plunged to $110, a level last seen in mid-2020 when the US economy was recovering from the pandemic. Investor Disappointment Over Amazon Cutbacks The stock decline was driven by UPS’s decision to further reduce its business with Amazon. The company stated that its 2025 revenue would be around $6 billion below analysts’ expectations due to halving the volume of Amazon parcels it processes—despite Amazon being its largest customer. UPS CEO Carol Tomé explained that the company wants to move away from Amazon as profit margins in this segment are too low, negatively impacting overall profitability. According to The Wall Street Journal (WSJ), UPS management is under pressure from dissatisfied investors, a significant portion of whom are long-serving company employees. Due to UPS's unique shareholder structure, veteran employees—who control 63% of voting rights—have suffered billions in collective losses due to the stock's decline. Shortly after releasing the report, UPS announced a quarterly dividend increase from $1.63 to $1.64 per share, though this is unlikely to offset the stock’s 40% decline over the past three years. Technical Analysis of UPS Stock UPS shares remain in a downward trend (as indicated by the red channel). Following the latest drop: → The price fell below $124, a key resistance level in 2018–2019. → The stock reached the lower boundary of the channel, which may act as a support level, preventing a further decline toward the psychological $100 mark. Is Now the Time to Buy UPS Shares? Analysts have lowered their UPS price targets: → Stephens revised its target from $140 to $127. → DA Davidson downgraded UPS from "Buy/Add" to "Neutral", cutting the target from $154 to $116. → Redburn Atlantic reduced its target from $159 to $137. → Loop Capital revised its target from $120 to $115. → Oppenheimer lowered its target from $146 to $126. From a technical perspective, reversing the multi-month downtrend seems challenging. However, if UPS reconsiders its Amazon strategy under investor pressure, this could provide an opportunity for buyers. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
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by FXOpen
2
Rising Costs & Economic Uncertainty: What January Taught Us and And then there’s UPS. A 20% drop is not just a stock market hiccup—it’s a symptom. The logistics giant, a bellwether for commerce, is struggling under the weight of declining demand, operational cost increases, and shifting consumer behavior. The question is, who’s next? If a company as ingrained in global trade as UPS is faltering, what does that signal for the rest of the economy? Retail? Small businesses? Tech? February looms with uncertainty. Will we see further price hikes, layoffs, or corporate contractions? Or will there be a recalibration, an attempt to stabilize? If January was a lesson in upheaval, February may well be a test of resilience. economy update, cost of living, milk and egg prices, gas prices 2025, UPS stock drop, inflation impact, economic downturn, market analysis, America First policy, supply chain crisis, financial news, economic forecast February 2025, stock market trends, political economy, consumer prices
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by TwoBULLISH
Opening (IRA): UPS June 20th 90C/March 21st -115C... for a 19.60 debit. Comments: Buying the back month 90 delta call and selling a front month that pays for at least all of the extrinsic in the long such that the break even is at or below where the stock is currently trading. Metrics: Buying Power Effect: 19.60 Break Even: 109.60/share Max Profit: 5.40 ROC at Max: 27.6% I generally look to take profit on these at 110% of what I put them on for and/or roll out the short call if my take profit isn't hit.
NLong
by NaughtyPines
2
UPS at a Make-or-Break Zone – Will Buyers Step In?Hi you all, United Parcel Service (UPS) has recently entered a potential buying zone. In its latest earnings report, the company announced a reduction in business with Amazon by more than 50% by the second half of 2026, aiming to focus on more profitable ventures. Despite a slight revenue miss, UPS beat profit expectations for the fourth quarter. From a technical perspective, several factors suggest a potential buying opportunity, so do your homework. If fundamentals will align then you should be ready... - Trendline: The stock is approaching a long-term trendline, third touch. - 50% Retracement: UPS has retraced approximately 50% from its all-time high. - Previous Yearly Highs as Support: Former resistance levels from previous years are now acting as support, indicating potential liquidity. - Psychological Support at $100: The round number of $100 serves as a psychological barrier, potentially providing additional support. Do your homework because this is just half of the story: technical analysis. From my side, this is inside a potential area, but do fundamentals support it? Good luck, Vaido
NLong
by VaidoVeek
$UPS - DOUBLE BOTTOM UPS completed a double bottom pattern with a tight stop of a daily close below $122. Earnings are initially set for January 30th. I believe it should reach the targets (horizontal ray) before earnings and the ER will decide if it retraces or be a catalyst to brake the trend line. Proposed play: 7 FEB 25 130 C Currently @ 2.65 (Ask) If target reached before ER will consider closing partially and coninue with the rest for ER. Please do your DD and this is a personal play. Updates will follow. GLTA
NLong
by BUMISHO
1
UPS - State of the EconomyUPS presents an interesting opportunity for investors looking for a potential rebound, especially if you believe there will be a turnaround in consumer demand due to looser financial conditions. The stock has dropped nearly 50% from its highs just a couple of years ago, presenting an attractive entry point for long-term investors. If financial conditions ease and consumer confidence improves, demand for shipping and e-commerce is likely to pick up, directly benefiting UPS's business. As we move more towards e-commerce and away from traditional shops, UPS is poised to benefit from this continued trend over the longer term. Additionally, UPS offers a strong, reliable dividend yield, making it an appealing safe compounder for those seeking stable income over the long term. As the company approaches key support levels that align with previous recession trendlines from 2008 and 2020, it could be poised for a recovery if economic conditions improve. The company’s ongoing automation initiatives, aimed at increasing efficiency and cutting costs, should also drive improvements in margins and earnings per share (EPS). Recent layoffs, while often a negative signal, may actually strengthen UPS’s financials by streamlining operations and reducing labor costs. These efforts are expected to contribute to increased profitability as the company works to optimize its operations. Even for those not directly investing in UPS, the stock remains an important one to monitor as it serves as a proxy for the broader economy. UPS’s performance is closely tied to consumer activity and global supply chains, making it a useful barometer for the health of the economy. If the company shows signs of improvement, it could signal a broader recovery, making UPS an essential stock for any investor keeping an eye on economic trends.
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by NoFOMO_
UPS Stock Analysis: Potential Long-Term Value Buy with Reversal The weekly chart for United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) on the NYSE suggests that the stock may have found a strong support level around the $125-$127 range. The Ichimoku Cloud indicator shows that the price has been consolidating near the lower boundary of the cloud, which often acts as a support zone. Additionally, the volume profile indicates significant trading activity around this price level, reinforcing the support. A descending trendline has been broken recently, which could signal the end of the downtrend and the beginning of a reversal. The stock is currently trading at $127.29, with a recent high of $127.56 and a low of $125.551. The Ichimoku Cloud components (Tenkan-sen, Kijun-sen, and Senkou Span A and B) are showing signs of potential bullish crossover, which is a positive indicator for a trend reversal. Given the current technical setup, UPS appears to be at a good value buy point for long-term investors. The combination of strong support, volume profile, and potential bullish signals from the Ichimoku Cloud suggests that a reversal could be imminent1. Investors looking for a long-term position may find this an opportune moment to enter the market.
NLong
by Lazyblob
UPS - Delivering A Trend Continuation...Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 UPS has been overall bullish long-term , trading above the orange trendline. Currently, UPS is in a correction phase trading within the falling channel marked in black. Moreover, the zone marked in blue is a strong demand zone and round number $100. 🏹 The highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the demand zone and lower trendlines acting as non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #UPS approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
NLong
by TheSignalyst
1