US 100 AKA NASDAQ 11 MARCH TRADE IDEAThe NASDAQ 100 (US100) is currently experiencing a pullback after reaching resistance near 22,198 - 22,138, marking a rejection from the upper boundary of its ascending channel. The price has broken below the midline of the channel, suggesting a potential move towards lower support levels. The key downside target in this correction is the 20,758 level, which serves as an initial support area. If this level fails to hold, we could see a further decline towards 18,155 - 17,699, where a stronger demand zone exists. A breakdown below this range would shift the broader bullish outlook and expose the 16,941 level as the next critical support.
Fundamental Analysis:
The NASDAQ 100, being tech-heavy, is highly sensitive to interest rate expectations and overall economic sentiment. Federal Reserve policy decisions, inflation data, and corporate earnings reports from major tech firms will significantly impact its trajectory. If the Fed signals rate cuts or easing monetary policy, it could support a bullish rebound. However, persistent inflation or higher-for-longer rates could lead to further downside pressure. The ongoing AI and semiconductor boom may provide sector-specific support, but broader market conditions and global macroeconomic risks, including U.S.-China tensions and recession fears, could introduce volatility.
Conclusion:
Technically, NASDAQ 100 is in a corrective phase, with potential downside targets at 20,758 and 18,155 - 17,699. If support holds, the long-term uptrend remains intact, presenting potential long opportunities. However, a break below 16,941 would shift the outlook bearish, opening the door for deeper retracements. Traders should monitor economic reports, interest rate updates, and earnings releases for further confirmation of market direction. 🚀