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US100 4HIn continuation of the previous analysis Introduction: The NASDAQ shows potential for continued bullish momentum towards the 22370 level. Main Scenarios: Expecting a climb to 22370, which will be a key resistance level. After reaching this level, a correction could lead the price back down to approximately 19000, as indicated in the chart. Following the potential correction, we anticipate the resumption of the upward trend. Forecast and Strategy: Bullish scenario: If the price breaks past 22370, the next target would be 26400. Bearish scenario: A dip towards 19000 before the upward movement resumes. Conclusion: A bullish continuation after the correction seems likely, with 26400 as the next target. High-accuracy analysis, amazing results!
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by GreyFX-NDS
1
February 3–7: NAS100 Market Outlook & Has the Market Peaked? February 3–7, 2025 (The following is solely personal opinion, not investment advice. Please conduct your own assessment before making any decisions.) This is a market context update using Elliott Wave Theory. As shown in the chart, considering the Nasdaq bull market from the 2008 bottom to the present, there is a high probability that we are currently in a B Wave rebound within the ABC corrective wave. However, it remains uncertain how high the B Wave can rise. According to Elliott Wave Theory, the C Wave correction should fall below the bottom of the A Wave, which means for the Nasdaq cash index, the price could drop to at least 10,600, representing a 50%+ correction. Of course, this process may take several years. Scenario 1: The Market Has Not Peaked Yet I am watching price action within the 22,465–23,001 range. If this scenario holds, the weekly price needs to stay above 19,200, and the daily price must remain above 20,300. From a macro trend perspective, the market can still be cautiously bullish. Scenario 2: The Market Has Already Peaked If the price breaks below 20,300 quickly and remains below it, this could be the first technical confirmation that the market has topped. If this happens, we should see further consolidation around 21,000 next week, followed by a breakdown. However, if the price finds support above 21,200 and breaks upward, there is still a possibility of new highs and further gains. Last week, Nasdaq 100 moved in line with my previous analysis. On Friday, the price rebounded to the 21,600–21,700 target range before declining. If this decline breaks 20,300 swiftly, the probability of the market already peaking increases significantly. Typically, downward movements are faster than upward ones. The market took four days to rebound to the target range, so if the current trend holds, we should see a breakdown early next week (Monday–Tuesday) to confirm the trend. If the price fails to break lower between Monday and Wednesday and finds strong support or rebounds, the market could push higher and break new highs—this needs further observation. Deepseek & AI Industry Observations Over the past few days, I’ve read more about Deepseek and industry insights. One of the key cost-control strategies for training models is distillation, where a large model is used to train a smaller model. This suggests that Deepseek’s smaller models depend on larger ones and have certain limitations. Many industry experts have also stated that Deepseek’s emergence does not reduce AI investment and that the market may have overestimated its impact. As I am not an AI expert, I cannot verify the accuracy of these claims or whether Deepseek’s impact is overestimated. However, Anthropic CEO Dario mentioned in a post last week that AI model training costs are decreasing by 75% per year. A model that costs $100M to train in 2024 will only cost GETTEX:25M in 2025, and by 2026, the cost may drop below $5M. Dario also noted that this cost reduction trend is accelerating, meaning that early investments in AI without strong technical barriers and market dominance could be wiped out. The next few years will see explosive AI development, but many AI investments may fail. Competitive Perspective: Can the U.S. Maintain Its AI Lead? From a competitive standpoint, I do not believe the U.S. can maintain its AI dominance solely through investment. I strongly agree with Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang’s AI development roadmap: The Four Stages of AI Development 1. Perception AI 2. Generative AI 3. Agentic AI 4. Physical AI According to Jensen, we are still in the Generative AI stage, where training models mainly rely on internet data. At this stage, the U.S. holds a huge advantage due to its leading semiconductor technology. However, when AI enters the physical realm, internet data will no longer be sufficient, and stable, large-scale data sources will be key to AI success. In this phase, China and India, with their vast populations, will have a major advantage. Since the Huawei incident, China has accelerated its chip R&D and manufacturing. While still lagging behind TSMC, tighter trade restrictions will further drive development in this sector. If a competitor to Nvidia emerges in China, what impact would that have on the high-valued U.S. tech sector? AI Bubble & Investment Strategy I believe Deepseek is just the beginning of exposing the AI bubble. While its direct impact may be overestimated, the fact that AI training costs are falling rapidly is undeniable. Investment Perspective From an investment standpoint, I believe that market price action is the ultimate confirmation. - For long-term views, take a macro approach. - For short-term decisions, use technical analysis.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by zygliu
1
NAS100USD Bullish Reversal: Gap Fill & Upside Target in Focus📢 Title: NAS100USD Bullish Reversal: Gap Fill & Upside Target in Focus 🚀 📊 Current Price Action: The latest price is 21,490.1 📈, showing a +0.29% gain (+62.3 points) ✅. The 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) 📊 is at 21,365.2, suggesting the price is slightly above this key moving average. 📌 Key Levels & Market Structure: 🔻 BOS (Break of Structure): Indicates a bearish structure break before the current recovery. 📉 GAP: There is a visible gap in the price action, which often acts as a magnet for price movements. 💰 Liquidity & Internal Liquidity (Int. LQ): Suggests areas where institutional interest may have been present. 📈 Trend & Potential Direction: The price recently bounced off the 200 EMA 🔄, indicating possible bullish momentum 📈. The ⬆️ arrow projection suggests a bullish outlook, targeting the gap fill and potentially moving higher towards 21,800 - 22,000. If price holds above 21,365, the bullish thesis remains valid ✅. 🏆 Conclusion: 🐂 Bullish Bias: Price is recovering from a break of structure (BOS) and pushing higher towards unfilled gaps 📊. 📍 Key Levels to Watch: 🛑 Support: 21,365 (200 EMA) – If it breaks below, downside risk increases ⚠️. 🚧 Resistance: 21,600 (gap area) – Price might struggle before breaking through 🚀. 💡 Trade Idea: A 📈 long position targeting 21,800+, with a stop loss below 21,365 🔥.
OANDA:NAS100USD
by MrStellanSight
NAS100 looks to be bullish📊 Analyzing **NASDAQ 100 (NAS100)** across multiple timeframes: **22-day time frame**, **Weekly time frame**, **Daily time frame**, and **4-hour time frame**. 📈 NAS100 is showing bullish momentum, indicating a potential long opportunity! Key support levels are holding strong, suggesting a move toward higher resistance zones. 🔒 Stop Loss can be placed below the support zone for risk management. 🔍 We are using trend analysis and support/resistance levels to identify this setup. NASDAQ 100 is showing signs of a breakout, confirming bullish strength. **Bullish View:** Expecting an upward move as key support holds. **Bearish View:** If NAS100 breaks below the support zone, a downward move may follow. 🌟 A strong formation is developing! Watch for confirmation before entering. 🚀 ⚠️ **Note:** A breakout above resistance may lead to further bullish momentum. Conversely, breaking below support could shift the trend. ⚠️ 🔔 **Be sure to follow the updated ideas for real-time insights!** 🔔 ⏰ **Analysis Time:** NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) across multiple timeframes. ⚖️ **Do not forget to set a Stop Loss** for risk management! Protect your capital! 🔒 💡 **Follow your trading plan; this is just my analysis. I’d love to see your thoughts in the comments!** ✅ **Don't forget to hit the 'Like' button** ✅ 🙏😊 & share it with your friends; thanks, and happy trading! 📈🔥
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by MarxBabu
Nas100 - 15min ( Sell Scalping Target Range 150 PIP ) The recent analysis of the Nasdaq 100 (Nas100) on the 15-minute timeframe indicates a significant bearish sentiment following a breach of the key level at approximately 21,470, accompanied by elevated trading volume. This development suggests a potential continuation of downward momentum. It is imperative to rely on precise opportunities and analyses rather than mere numerical data, ensuring a more informed decision-making process in the current market environment. ⚡️Nas100 / FXCM Best Break Our / Key level's 15m Tf 🚨Bearish After Break key level + High Volume / 21470 Area ⚡️ We Only Sent Most Accurate Opportunity and Analysis 💲 Not by Number ..+
FX:NAS100Short
by GentleGoldenEngine
1
Nas100 - 15 min ( Best Buy And Sell Scalping After Break out ) The Nasdaq 100 (Nas100) trading analysis provided by FXCM identifies critical breakout levels on the 15-minute time frame. A bullish sentiment is anticipated following a breakout above the key level at 21,600, particularly if accompanied by high trading volume. Conversely, a bearish outlook would emerge upon a decisive break below the 21,520 level, also supported by significant volume. It is noteworthy that our focus is on delivering the most accurate opportunities and analyses, underscoring a qualitative approach rather than a quantitative one. ⚡️Nas100 / FXCM Best Break Our / Key level's 15m Tf 🚨Bullish After Break key level + High Volume / 21600 Area 🚨Bearish After Break key level + High Volume / 21520 Area ⚡️ We Only Sent Most Accurate Opportunity and Analysis 💲 Not by Number ..+
FX:NAS100
by GentleGoldenEngine
1