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All Time Highs on the Horizon!!!Price is on a Bullish Up trend In a Current Retracement. This Thesis uses several different concepts. Based off of Market structure, support & resistance, RSI Divergence, Fib lvl's, ICT Concepts, Daily: Bullish, Price is Rejecting Bullish TL and Testing structure , 61.8 prz (Daily Breaker Block forming) H4: Bullish, Morning star R Pattern at H4 lvl H1: Bearish (Wait for price action to return Bullish before entering) Thesis: Looking for price to bullish break H4 lvl to order block and retest back to daily lvl 20595 / previous structure high zone, for bullish entry. Notes: price has a overall retracement 61.8 prz Price rejecting off bullish Trend line Price rejecting 4H FVG H4 Hidden Bullish Divergence Daily Bullish Breaker Block Cons: -4H could be a Head and shoulders Pattern if price rejects and doesn't break through Daily lvl 20595 Wait for H1 Time frame and Execution time frames to line up with macro Bullish Trend before Executing! TP1: 21,150 TP2: 21,468 (ATH) TP3: 22,242 Stretch Goal (ATH)
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by brianfj
29
Nasdaq reflects caution on inflation and ratesWall Street turned red at the close. The Nasdaq Composite, the main reference for the technology sector in the United States, fell -0.25% on Tuesday, closing at 19,687.24 points. This decline reflects the impact of a combination of macroeconomic and sectoral factors that are keeping the entire market on its toes. Nasdaq Performance in Context Although the index has had an outstanding performance this year, with a cumulative gain of close to 40%, led by technology giants such as Apple, Microsoft, and Alphabet, it has generated . However, the stock's pullback this week that underscores the sector's sensitivity to monetary policy expectations and global regulatory risks. Among the factors that contributed to the Nasdaq's decline this week were: • Regulatory pressures - China's investigation into Nvidia, one of the world's largest chipmakers, dragged down the Philadelphia semiconductor index (-2.5%) and weighed on tech stocks. • Mixed corporate results: Oracle declined 6.7% after missing revenue estimates despite being consistent, and MongoDB lost 16.9% despite improving its annual forecast. Short-term outlook The tech market faces additional uncertainties with upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) data key to the Fed's rate decision. If the November CPI meets estimates of 2.7% y/y, it could facilitate a 25 basis point rate cut in December, strengthening market sentiment. Currently the FedWatch data indicates that there is an increasing likelihood of a cut rather than a hold at current rates. In addition, the Fed's tone is expected to provide signals on the future direction of rates, which will directly impact appetite for high-growth assets such as technology. Technical Aspect Currently, yesterday the index made a crossover of averages generating that the average of 50 crossed over the average of 100 marking the fall of yesterday's prices. At the moment there is still a long distance to go before the averages approach the 200, but this crossover has positioned the price in the check point (POC) zone. So, if the CPI and rates news do not strongly modify this trend, we could be witnessing a possible temporary sideways movement of the index in this last part of the year. Overall, although the Nasdaq continues to show strength for the year, macroeconomic and regulatory challenges are key factors to watch, especially in an environment where monetary policies could moderate the pace of economic recovery. Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
U
by ActivTrades
NAS100USD / TRADING UNDER ATH PRICES AROUND 21,520 / 4HNAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Breaking the supply zone is expected to lead to an increase in prices, potentially reaching a new all-time high (ATH) , The current price is trading below the ATH level at 21,512. If the price remains and stabilizes below 21,512, it is expected to decline further , The first expected demand zone is between 21,226 and 21,107 , If the price closes a 4-hour candle below this zone, it is anticipated to decline to the next demand zone between 20,863 and 20,762. If the ATH level (21,512) is broken, prices are expected to rise and reach a new historical zone between 21,520 and 21,890. As long as the price remains below the ATH, the market is expected to face downward pressure.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by ArinaKarayi
2
Short-term pressure seen on USTECFundamental Perspective: USTEC pared recent gains as Oracle's (ORCL) disappointing earnings and Nvidia's (NVDA) ongoing scrutiny from Chinese regulators dampened investor confidence. Alphabet (GOOGL) surged after unveiling a quantum computing breakthrough. However, lofty valuations and concerns over potential antitrust scrutiny of tech giants weighed on USTEC. President-elect Trump has appointed Andrew Ferguson as FTC Chair, replacing Lina Khan. Ferguson could ease regulatory pressure on business mergers, potentially streamlining deal approvals while maintaining a tough stance on antitrust enforcement against tech giants. This mirrors Trump’s first-term approach, with major lawsuits targeting big tech like Google (GOOGL) and Meta Platforms (META). The ongoing scrutiny of tech stocks could temper upward momentum in the USTEC. Technical Perspective: USTEC pared recent gains and formed a head-and-shoulders pattern following a break of the pattern's neckline near 21420. If the price sustains its bearish momentum below 21420, a further decline toward the 21200 support might occur. This support zone aligns with the ascending trend line and is a significant resistance-turned-support zone, as the price peaked in November before a further rally. Conversely, a break above 21420 could prompt a deeper pullback toward the next resistance at 21580. Author: Li Xing Gan, CMT, CFTe, Financial Market Strategist Consultant to Exness
UShort
by lixing_gan
NASDAQ - Technology Leads Amid Challenges and OpportunitiesNASDAQ - Technology Leads Amid Challenges and Opportunities The NASDAQ index continues to capture investor interest, buoyed by the strength of technology and artificial intelligence (AI) stocks, while navigating regulatory, economic, and geopolitical hurdles. The latest macroeconomic updates and Federal Reserve signals add further dimensions to the narrative shaping the index’s performance. Here’s an expanded analysis, incorporating fresh data and insights. --- Key Macroeconomic Updates Influencing NASDAQ Inflation and Sentiment - University of Michigan 1-Year Inflation Expectations: Actual 2.9% (Forecast 2.7%, Previous 2.6%) This slight increase in inflation expectations signals that consumer inflation concerns remain elevated, despite Federal Reserve efforts. Persistent inflationary pressure could temper optimism around rate cuts. - University of Michigan Sentiment Index: Actual 74.0 (Forecast 73.2, Previous 71.8) The stronger-than-expected sentiment reading reflects consumer confidence in economic resilience, which could support continued spending on technology and digital services, bolstering the NASDAQ index. Labor Market Insights - US Unemployment Rate: Actual 4.2% (Forecast 4.1%, Previous 4.1%) A modest uptick in the unemployment rate suggests a cooling labor market, potentially reinforcing the case for monetary easing. - US Nonfarm Payrolls: Actual 227k (Forecast 220k, Previous 12k, Revised 36k) Strong job growth underscores economic stability but adds complexity to the Federal Reserve's inflation battle. - US Average Earnings YoY: Actual 4.0% (Forecast 3.9%, Previous 4.0%) Wage growth remains steady, indicating ongoing consumer spending power but also signaling potential inflationary pressures. Federal Reserve Dynamics - Fed's Bowman: Progress on inflation seems to have stalled. This commentary reinforces market expectations of a more accommodative monetary stance to counter economic headwinds. - Short-Term Interest Rate Futures: A sharp rise post-jobs report indicates an 85% chance of a rate cut in December, up from 67%. Lower borrowing costs would directly benefit the tech-heavy NASDAQ, as growth stocks typically outperform in low-rate environments. --- Seasonal and Sentiment Factors Historical Seasonality December has historically been favorable for the NASDAQ, driven by: - **Seasonal Consumer Spending:** Electronics and digital services see a surge, supporting revenue for tech companies. - **Portfolio Rebalancing:** Institutional investors often position portfolios for growth into the new year. - **Optimism Around Innovation:** End-of-year announcements and advancements in technology further fuel investor enthusiasm. Investor Sentiment - The **Fear & Greed Index** remains at 55, leaning toward greed, signaling potential for continued short-term market gains. --- Revised NASDAQ Outlook Positives: 1. **Tech Momentum:** The AI-driven rally continues, with companies like Microsoft and Meta capitalizing on innovation and demand. 2. **Federal Reserve Support:** Increasing odds of rate cuts and gradual disinflation expectations create a favorable macro backdrop. 3. **Resilient Economic Indicators:** Strong labor market and durable goods data point to economic stability. Risks: 1. **Regulatory Headwinds:** Scrutiny over AI and antitrust issues may weigh on tech giants like Microsoft and Meta. 2. **Inflation Uncertainty:** Stalled progress on disinflation could delay aggressive monetary easing. 3. **Geopolitical Tensions:** Ongoing global supply chain disruptions pose risks to the tech sector. Conclusion The NASDAQ index is well-positioned to close the year on a strong note, underpinned by robust demand for technology, favorable monetary conditions, and consumer confidence. However, vigilance is essential as regulatory, geopolitical, and inflation-related risks remain prevalent. Key developments, including Federal Reserve decisions and corporate earnings, will be pivotal in shaping the index's trajectory into 2024.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by InvestMate
USNAS100 / ATH, CONTINUE OR REVERSING Technical Analysis The price reached another ATH 21675, and now consolidating between 21535 and 21680 till breaking, stability below 21530 means it will drop to get 21420 and below that will get 21220 Otherwise, stability is above 21675 which means will push up to get 22000, especially if the 4h candle closes above it. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 21590 Resistance Levels: 21675, 21820, 22020 Support Levels: 21530, 21420, 21215 previous idea:
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
NAS100 - A Small Inkling of a Ceiling?20SMA - Blue 200SMA - Pink Key Confluence Areas - Grey Lines Market Structure Support/Resistance - Green/Red Dashed Lines Dear Friends: If you find my analysis helpful, please boost and follow me for future analysis at your service. How I see it: 1HR TF is showing development of a bearish order block Possible re-test of key confluence, now support Keynote! The bull trend rapidly changed angle to almost vertical previous sessions. Short sellers are circling on sideline... Institutions are hunting liquidity and/or maximizing profits for year-end closing of long positions. The FED (Powell) mentioning further rate cuts: (Only for above mentioned purpose naturally!!) I have made a note on these promises exactly at this time of year, which will also drive US stocks up far beyond overbought prices. Since 2022, rate cut promises @ year end never materialized until second half of the following year, or only the last quarter of the following year. With new administration taking over in January, this time It might be different, and I might be wrong! I deeply appreciate you taking the time to study my analysis and point of view.
UShort
by ANROC
NASDAQ - Technology Leads Amid Challenges and OpportunitiesNASDAQ - Technology Leads Amid Challenges and Opportunities The NASDAQ index continues to capture investor interest, buoyed by the strength of technology and artificial intelligence (AI) stocks, while navigating regulatory, economic, and geopolitical hurdles. The latest macroeconomic updates and Federal Reserve signals add further dimensions to the narrative shaping the index’s performance. Here’s an expanded analysis, incorporating fresh data and insights. --- Key Macroeconomic Updates Influencing NASDAQ Inflation and Sentiment - University of Michigan 1-Year Inflation Expectations: Actual 2.9% (Forecast 2.7%, Previous 2.6%) This slight increase in inflation expectations signals that consumer inflation concerns remain elevated, despite Federal Reserve efforts. Persistent inflationary pressure could temper optimism around rate cuts. - University of Michigan Sentiment Index: Actual 74.0 (Forecast 73.2, Previous 71.8) The stronger-than-expected sentiment reading reflects consumer confidence in economic resilience, which could support continued spending on technology and digital services, bolstering the NASDAQ index. Labor Market Insights - US Unemployment Rate: Actual 4.2% (Forecast 4.1%, Previous 4.1%) A modest uptick in the unemployment rate suggests a cooling labor market, potentially reinforcing the case for monetary easing. - US Nonfarm Payrolls: Actual 227k (Forecast 220k, Previous 12k, Revised 36k) Strong job growth underscores economic stability but adds complexity to the Federal Reserve's inflation battle. - US Average Earnings YoY: Actual 4.0% (Forecast 3.9%, Previous 4.0%) Wage growth remains steady, indicating ongoing consumer spending power but also signaling potential inflationary pressures. Federal Reserve Dynamics - Fed's Bowman: Progress on inflation seems to have stalled. This commentary reinforces market expectations of a more accommodative monetary stance to counter economic headwinds. - Short-Term Interest Rate Futures: A sharp rise post-jobs report indicates an 85% chance of a rate cut in December, up from 67%. Lower borrowing costs would directly benefit the tech-heavy NASDAQ, as growth stocks typically outperform in low-rate environments. --- Seasonal and Sentiment Factors Historical Seasonality December has historically been favorable for the NASDAQ, driven by: - **Seasonal Consumer Spending:** Electronics and digital services see a surge, supporting revenue for tech companies. - **Portfolio Rebalancing:** Institutional investors often position portfolios for growth into the new year. - **Optimism Around Innovation:** End-of-year announcements and advancements in technology further fuel investor enthusiasm. Investor Sentiment - The **Fear & Greed Index** remains at 53, leaning toward greed, signaling potential for continued short-term market gains. --- Revised NASDAQ Outlook Positives: 1. **Tech Momentum:** The AI-driven rally continues, with companies like Microsoft and Meta capitalizing on innovation and demand. 2. **Federal Reserve Support:** Increasing odds of rate cuts and gradual disinflation expectations create a favorable macro backdrop. 3. **Resilient Economic Indicators:** Strong labor market and durable goods data point to economic stability. Risks: 1. **Regulatory Headwinds:** Scrutiny over AI and antitrust issues may weigh on tech giants like Microsoft and Meta. 2. **Inflation Uncertainty:** Stalled progress on disinflation could delay aggressive monetary easing. 3. **Geopolitical Tensions:** Ongoing global supply chain disruptions pose risks to the tech sector. Conclusion The NASDAQ index is well-positioned to close the year on a strong note, underpinned by robust demand for technology, favorable monetary conditions, and consumer confidence. However, vigilance is essential as regulatory, geopolitical, and inflation-related risks remain prevalent. Key developments, including Federal Reserve decisions and corporate earnings, will be pivotal in shaping the index's trajectory into 2024.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by InvestMate
USNAS100: Consolidation with Key Breakout levelTechnical Analysis The price is currently consolidating between 21535 and 21420, awaiting a breakout. Bullish Scenario: Stability above 21535, confirmed by a 1-hour or 4-hour candle close, could push the price higher toward the all-time high (ATH) at 21675. Bearish Scenario: As long as the price trades below 21535, it may retest 21420. A break below 21420 will confirm a bearish trend, with the next target at 21220. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 21535 Resistance Levels: 21675, 21820, 22020 Support Levels: 21420, 21220, 21150
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi