US100 trade ideas
Nas100 1. Market Structure & Context
The market has been in a bullish uptrend within a rising channel (trendlines).
A "Diagonal Expecting" zone suggests a potential exhaustion of bullish momentum.
A "Trend Trap" indicates a possible liquidity grab before a major move.
2. ICT Concepts Applied
Liquidity Grab & Manipulation:
The market may have engineered liquidity above the previous highs before the sell-off.
The "Sell Off" label suggests Smart Money could be distributing positions at the premium levels.
Market Structure Shift (MSS):
If the price breaks the trend trap zone with conviction, it signals a shift from bullish to bearish order flow.
Fair Value Gap (FVG) & Price Targets:
The first take-profit level at 16,529.9 aligns with an area where liquidity might rest.
The final target at 14,125.1 suggests price filling an imbalance or mitigating an order block (OB) at a lower timeframe.
3. Expected Move
Potential Short-Term Rebound:
A small retracement could occur before the major drop (blue projection).
Overall Bearish Expectation:
A strong downward move into lower levels where Smart Money may reaccumulate positions.
Conclusion
This chart is anticipating a significant bearish move after a liquidity grab at highs, with take-profit zones aligning with ICT principles like FVG fills and order block mitigation. If the market respects these areas, traders could look for confirmation (e.g., displacement, breaker structures) to enter short positions.
US100 Technical Analysis by TradingDONIf the NQ CAPITALCOM:US100 closes a 1-hour candle below the Fibonacci trend line and shows strong bearish momentum, I will set my target at 19,580. Conversely, if the NQ closes a 1-hour candle above the trend line with a strong bullish candle, I will identify 19,930 as the resistance level.
US100 dropping? here's why I think soAs we can see the previous trend was an uptrend, we got a Change of Trend before the market dropped showing strong selling pressure and now the price looks like it's Retracing(Retest) before it continues it's movement down
what are your opinions on NAS100?🙃comment below
NAS100 Bullish Trading IdeaMarket Structure & Key Levels
Bullish Market Structure: The price has been making higher highs and higher lows.
4-Hour Order Block (OB): The price recently reacted from a 4-hour order block, confirming bullish intent.
Unmitigated Wick: There’s an unmitigated wick above 20,160, acting as a liquidity target.
Liquidity Pool Below: A possible retracement to sweep liquidity before the next bullish push.
Trade Setup (ICT)
Entry Zone: Look for a retracement to the 19,800 - 19,820 region, which aligns with an order block and potential fair value gap (FVG).
Stop-Loss: Below 19,700 (under the liquidity sweep level).
First Target (TP1): 19,995 (previous high and potential resistance).
Final Target (TP2): 20,160+ (liquidity grab from the unmitigated wick).
Confirmation Factors
Displacement & FVG: Look for an aggressive bullish push from discounted price levels.
London & New York Session Influence: NY session open may trigger liquidity grab before the bullish move.
Nasdaq 100 key levels to watch as index tries to extend recoveryMarkets have been grappling to establish a definitive bottom in recent sessions, before finally the bulls showed up on Friday to stage a strong rebound from oversold levels. Could the Nasdaq 100 now be poised for a more substantial recovery?
After Friday’s recovery, the big question now is whether we are witnessing the early stages of another rally or just a pause before deeper losses.
Last week, the Nasdaq 100 found some footing in the 19,115-19,240 zone, which coincides with a prior support/resistance region and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the August rally. With the daily RSI firmly entrenched in oversold territory, the index was able to find dip buyers yet again.
The key technical factor to watch today is to see whether the index will show follow-through after Friday’s sharp recovery. A positive close would further erode the bears’ control, while a negative close would suggest there is more selling to come.
A few nearby resistance barriers are in focus now. The first of these hurdles is at 19,735—the low from Friday that was breached in Monday’s sharp sell-off. This level also marks the underside of a broken trendline stretching back to January 2023. A decisive break above this area could open the door to additional upside, targeting psychological resistance at 20,000, followed by the 200-day moving average near 20,340. Should dip buyers regain control, these levels could soon come into focus.
On the flip side, if renewed selling pressure emerges, downside targets include 18,800 and potentially the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement near 18,310.
Taking everything into account, my Nasdaq 100 forecast has shifted. Where I previously leaned towards further correction—now largely realised—I am now inclined to anticipate a recovery.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
NAS100complete nas100 sell and buy zone as posted early today.the president trump tariff is affecting tech companies.
Nas100 Weekly BiasBased on how the market ranges are laid out, I am keen to seehow is it that the market will unfold and what is it that the Institutional Orderflow will rea h out for first. Overall I will be trading on internal ranges and keeping my focus narrowed on that. Anything else outside that will not be of my interest. Due to manual intervention I am expecting because of fundamentals.
OVERALL I would like to see a small run on the upside, going for the Premium arrays and then a deep run for shorts for the purpose of purging sell orders below Lows and then buying them prior long term reversals for longs
NAS100 is BullishPrice was in a strong downtrend, and it seems that the bottom is in for NAS100, as a double bottom reversal pattern along with bullish divergence has emerged on four hourly time frame hinting the arrival of bulls to the scene. If previous lower high is broken with volume then we can expect a bullish rally as per Dow theory. Targets are mentioned on the chart.
NAS100 - Not Out of the Red Forest Yet?How I see it:
Nasdaq did break out of 4Hr trend.
Convincingly enough, I'm not so sure?
If you look at the bigger picture, there is a lot of traffic upwards.
Now key resistance @ 19960.00
Potential " LONG" Target -
TP 1 = 20305.00
(The 38.20% FIB retracement on the complete 4HR bearish trend)
Potential " SHORT" Targets -
TP 1 = 19112.00
TP 2 = 18295.00
Keynote:
As previously mentioned, now you can see why I'm not even considering a
"Bullish Reversal" under 21000.00
Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis.
likely short-term bottom, watch for a potential rebound(The following is only a personal opinion, not investment advice. Please make your own judgment before making any decisions.)
This week, the price fluctuated between 19,129 and 19,700. A lower high (LH) has formed, and the price broke above the descending trendline on Friday. If the price can successfully remain above the descending trendline next week, there is a high probability of a significant rebound.
The ideal scenario would be for the price to stay above 19,300 and start rebounding. If the price briefly breaks below 19,300 but quickly recovers above this level, the rebound hypothesis remains valid.
However, if the price falls below 19,300 and stays below the descending trendline, further declines may occur.
Next Wednesday's FOMC meeting will be a key event. Currently, the CME suggests there is almost no chance of a rate cut. The main focus will be on the Fed’s post-meeting statement. The market currently expects the Fed to start cutting rates again in June, with only a 25% probability of a rate cut in May. If expectations for a May rate cut increase, market sentiment could receive a strong boost. Conversely, if rate cut expectations are pushed further back, the market may decline further.
Given this week's better-than-expected CPI data and the fact that recent economic data has not supported rising inflation, the Fed may adopt a relatively dovish stance.
Target TP levels are 20,256, 20,715, 21,098, and 21,370.
Further declines remain possible after a rebound.
If the price surpasses 21,345, pay close attention to its behavior between 21,400 and 21,600, as well as potential overbought conditions. The market may decline further after completing the rebound.
NASDAQ (1h) Golden Cross broke above the 3 week downtrend.Nasdaq has formed a Golden Cross on the (1h) time frame while also crossing above the Falling Resistance of the last 3 weeks.
This is a bullish reversal break out.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 20370 (the 2.0 Fibonacci extension from the last high).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1h) as already been on a Rising Support, hence bullish divergence since yesterday.
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