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US30 trade ideas

US30 (Dow Jones) Probability Analysis – February 27, 2025 Current Market Structure: - Timeframe: 30-Minutes - Key Levels: - Premium Zone: 43,800 – 43,900 - Equilibrium: ~43,550 - Discount Zone: 43,260 – 43,340 - Previous Day’s High (PDH): 43,900 (near weak high) - Previous Day’s Low (PDL): 43,260 (strong low) - Change of Character (CHoCH): Bullish near equilibrium. - Break of Structure (BOS): Confirmed downside moves. --- 1️⃣ Bullish Entry Plan (Long Position) Entry Criteria (Long) - Ideal Entry Zone:** 43,340 – 43,420 (Discount Zone) - Confirmations Needed: - CHoCH to the upside**, confirming shift in market structure. - Liquidity grab at PWL (Previous Weak Low). - Bullish rejection pattern** (Pin Bar, Engulfing, or Order Block reaction). - Price must stay above PDL (43,260) and Discount Zone. Entry Trigger - If price **retests PWL (43,340) and holds**, enter long. Stop Loss (SL) - Below PDL (~43,250). Take Profit (TP) - **First TP:** 43,700 (Equilibrium zone). - **Final TP:** 43,850 – 43,900 (Premium Zone & PDH). 📈 Risk-to-Reward (R:R) → 1:3 or higher. 2️⃣ Bearish Entry Plan (Short Position) Entry Criteria (Short) - **Ideal Entry Zone:** 43,800 – 43,900 (Premium Zone). - Confirmations Needed: - Liquidity grab above PDH (~43,900). - Bearish rejection (Engulfing candle or BOS to downside). - Price must fail to hold above PDH. Entry Trigger - If price *breaks PDH (43,900) but fails to hold*, enter short. Stop Loss (SL) - Above 43,950 (Strong High). Take Profit (TP) -First TP: 43,600 (Equilibrium). - Final TP: 43,340 – 43,260 (Discount Zone & PDL). 📉 Risk-to-Reward (R:R) → 1:4 or higher 3️⃣ Neutral Strategy (Wait for Confirmation) - If price **remains between Equilibrium (43,550) & Premium Zone (43,800)**, avoid trading. - Wait for **clear BOS or liquidity grab before executing trades**. Trading Plan Summary | Setup | Entry Zone | SL | TP1 | TP2 | R:R | |--------|----------|----|-----|-----|----| | ✅ Long | 43,340 – 43,420 | Below 43,250 | 43,700 | 43,900 | 1:3+ | | 🚨 Short | 43,800 – 43,900 | Above 43,950 | 43,600 | 43,260 | 1:4+ | Final Thoughts - **Bullish Bias:** If price holds above **PWL & Discount Zone**. - **Bearish Bias:** If price **fails at PDH & Premium Zone**. - **Avoid Choppy Market:** Wait for clear **BOS or liquidity grab**.
BLACKBULL:US30
by wizzywise1
US30 Dow Jones Equal Lows & Structure Shift - Is This Reversing?The US30 is showing key signs that could point to a potential reversal. 🔄 On the 4-hour timeframe, we can see equal lows 🟢 that have been tested three times, followed by a liquidity sweep 💧 and a sharp rally 🚀—indicating possible accumulation by larger market participants. For confirmation of a Dow Jones bullish reversal, we’ll need to see a pullback forming a higher low 🔽 and then a break in market structure to the upside 📊. In this analysis, we dive into potential price action scenarios based on specific conditions outlined in the video 🎥. If these conditions are not met, the setup will be invalidated ❌. ⚠️ This is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. 💼
THINKMARKETS:US30
by fxtraderanthony
US Wall St 30Hello dear traders! This is an updated analysis of Dow Jones. Please note that since you may not have enough information about smart money and liquidity, let me put it simply for you: Whenever this trend line breaks, you can set the stop loss above this trend line and determine your target based on your strategy. A scalper trader utilizes positions and always has a fixed risk to maintain a consistent outcome, and should never use unreasonable risk because the market is continuously changing. What matters is that we are winning. Yesterday, I was waiting for the price to reach the Secret Order Block zone, but when my trade entered a good profit, I closed it and didn't feel the need to hold the trade until the very end. So, this is the cleverness of a trader in how to use analysis to their advantage. The previous zone seemed to be ineffective for a significant drop, so I have replaced this updated analysis with the previous one. Key Points Resistance (1.H): 77943 Secret Order Block: 44994 Wishing you all success! Fereydoon Bahrami A retail trader in the Wall Street Trading Center (Forex)
OANDA:US30USDShort
by fereydoon1199
US30-Bearish Momentum in Play as DowJones Drops Below Pivot ZoneUS30 Analysis – February 25, 2025 🔻 Bearish Momentum in Play as Dow Jones Drops Below Pivot Zone US30 has continued its downward movement, as previously anticipated . The price remains below the pivot line (43,765) and has already tested the support at 43,350. However, to confirm further downside toward 42,770, the price must break below 43,212 with a 4H candle close. 🔹 Technical Outlook: 📉 Bearish Scenario: As long as US30 remains below 43,760, the downward pressure is expected to continue. A 4H candle close below 43,212 will confirm a bearish continuation toward 42,770. 📈 Bullish Reversal: Stability above 43,212 will lead to a range-bound movement between 43,212 and 43,765 until a breakout occurs. A 4H candle close above the pivot zone (43,765) is required for the bullish trend to resume. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: 43,690 | 43,900 | 44,210 Pivot: 43,580 Support: 43,212 | 43,030 | 42,770 ⚠️ Directional Bias: Currently, US30 is consolidating within the 43,212 – 43,765 range. A break below 43,212 will confirm the bearish trend continuation.
OANDA:US30USDShort
by SroshMayi
US30–Bearish Continues Below Pivot Amid Geopolitical UncertaintyUS30 Analysis & Market Impact – February 24, 2025 Bearish Momentum in Play as Dow Jones Drops Below Pivot Zone US30 has continued its downward movement as we mentioned in the previous idea , breaking below the pivot zone (43765- 43900) and confirming bearish momentum. The price is now trading near the 43760 level, with the next support zone at 43212. Technical Outlook: Bearish Scenario: As long as the price remains below 43760, the downward pressure is likely to continue toward 43212 and 42770 as the next key support levels. Bullish Reversal: A recovery above 43900 would indicate a potential upside toward 44210 and 44400. Market News Impact: Germany's election results indicate that the Christian Democrat Union is set to take over, with Friedrich Merz as the likely chancellor. This shift in leadership could influence EU-U.S. relations, especially in response to tariff threats from President Trump. U.S. stock futures are showing early signs of recovery, but market volatility is expected as investors react to potential economic policy changes in Germany. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: 44210| 44405| 44755 Pivot: 43765 Support: 43400| 43212| 42770 ⚠️ Directional Bias: As long as US30 remains below 43765, the bearish trend remains in control. However, geopolitical factors could increase market volatility, so stay alert. 📉🔥
OANDA:US30USDShort
by SroshMayi
US30 Struggles Below Pivot as Tariff Risks LoomUS30 Analysis & Market Impact – February 26, 2025 📉 Bearish Momentum Continues Below Pivot Zone US30 remains in a bearish phase after failing to reclaim the pivot zone (43,763 - 44,404). The price is struggling to gain upward traction, indicating that the bearish trend remains dominant. 🔍 Technical Outlook: 🔻 Bearish Scenario: If US30 continues to stabilize below 43,763, the next target will be 43,212 as the first support level. A break and 4H candle close below 43,212 will further extend the downside toward 42,769 and 42,588. 🔹 Bullish Recovery: For buyers to regain control, US30 must close a 4H candle above 43,763, pushing the price back into the pivot range. A sustained move above 44,404 would shift momentum towards 44,756. 🌍 Market Sentiment & Trade Impact: Investor sentiment remains fragile following Trump’s tariff announcement on Mexico and Canada, which has increased downside pressure on US indices. Trade tensions are sparking concerns about rising costs for US businesses, leading to higher volatility and potential downside risks for US30, SPX500, and NAS100. Safe-haven assets like Gold (XAUUSD) could see increased demand if risk-off sentiment prevails. 📌 Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: 43900| 44200 | 44404 Pivot: 43763 Support: 43590| 43,212 | 42770 ⚠️ Directional Bias: Bearish as long as US30 remains below 43,763. A break below 43,212 would accelerate downside momentum. However, geopolitical factors and market reaction to tariffs could increase volatility.
OANDA:US30USDShort
by SroshMayi
Dow Jones D1 | Overlap support at 50% Fibonacci retracementDow Jones (US30) is trading close to an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 43,330.55 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 42,800.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 44,325.14 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:US30Long
by FXCM
US30 scenario 25/02/2025English description: After our macroeconomic analysis, we see that Dow remains bearish, but there is potential for a correction. Therefore, we should wait for a clear confirmation before taking a short position. Moroccan Darija description: F l'analyse dyalna Macroeconomie kanchofo bli Dow jones mazal fih lhbot mais kayna la possibilite dyal une correction apres ihbet dakchi 3lach antsana tban liya chi confirmation bana bach nakhod position short . ATTENTION : I SHARE JUST MY IDEAS, NOT A SIGNELS
TRADENATION:US30Short
by ED_bullish
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) Dips 1.69% The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI), a price-weighted measure of 30 U.S. blue-chip companies across various industries except transportation and utilities, faced a notable downturn in Monday’s premarket session. Despite a positive movement in U.S. equity futures, the index saw a 1.69% decline, with its 1-month low serving as a critical support level. A break below this level could see the Dow finding support around the $42,000 region. Technical Analysis The Dow Jones (^DJI) is currently hovering near its 1-month low, which is acting as a key support zone. If the index fails to hold this level, it could face further downside pressure, potentially testing the $42,000 mark as the next major support. The overall sentiment in the stock market remains cautious, with investors monitoring upcoming economic reports and corporate earnings that could influence market direction. Meanwhile, the broader market selloff has had a ripple effect, with the Nasdaq falling 2.5% on Friday, marking its worst weekly decline in three months. The S&P 500 also erased its February gains, while the Dow dropped nearly 750 points over the past week. The weakness in equities has largely been driven by concerns over slowing economic activity, disappointing PMI data, and rising inflation expectations. Economic Uncertainty & Corporate Earnings The broader stock market has been navigating economic uncertainty, with recent data signaling potential challenges. A disappointing services sector report from S&P Global’s PMI survey and a surge in inflation expectations from the University of Michigan’s consumer survey contributed to market jitters. Investors are now turning their attention to **this week’s key economic data releases, including: - Thursday: Second estimate of U.S. Q4 GDP from the Commerce Department - Friday: PCE price index data (the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge) from the Bureau of Economic Analysis These reports will play a crucial role in shaping market sentiment, particularly with **inflation and economic growth concerns** taking center stage. Market Reaction: A Positive Start to the Trading Day? Despite the premarket dip in the Dow, U.S. equity futures suggest a potential recovery: - S&P 500 futures indicate a 32-point gain at the opening bell - Dow Jones futures suggest a 297-point advance - Nasdaq futures are up 93 points, driven by premarket activity in Nvidia, Tesla (TSLA), and Intel (INTC) Additionally, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) shares are up 1.4% after Warren Buffett’s investment firm reported its third consecutive year of record profits, with a staggering $334.2 billion cash reserve. Conclusion The Dow Jones Industrial Average continues to face uncertainty amid economic headwinds and a volatile earnings season. While support at the 1-month low remains crucial, a break below could lead to a test of the $42,000 level. The upcoming economic data and Nvidia’s earnings report will be critical in determining whether the market can regain momentum or if further downside risks persist.
TVC:DJILong
by DEXWireNews
"US30/DJ30" Indices CFD Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤🐱‍🏍 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "US30/DJ30" Indices CFD Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (44,000.0) then make your move - Bearish profits await!" however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 44,600.0 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 43,000.0 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook: "US30/DJ30" Indices CFD Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors. ⚪Fundamental Analysis The US30 index is influenced by the overall performance of the US economy, including GDP growth rate, inflation, and interest rates. Currently, the US economy is experiencing a moderate growth rate, with a slight increase in inflation. 🔴Macroeconomic Analysis The Federal Reserve has maintained a hawkish stance, with interest rates expected to remain high in the short term. This has led to a strengthening of the US dollar, which may impact the US30 index. 🟢COT Data Analysis The Commitments of Traders (COT) report shows that commercial traders are net short, while non-commercial traders are net long. This indicates a potential trend reversal. 🟡Sentimental Analysis Market sentiment is slightly bearish, with 55% of traders holding short positions. 🟤Positioning Data Analysis Institutional traders are holding short positions, while corporate traders are holding long positions. Banks are maintaining a bearish stance. 🔵Market Sentiment - Institutional Traders: 60% bearish, 40% bullish - Hedge Funds: 70% bearish, 30% bullish - Retail Traders: 55% bullish, 45% bearish 🟣Overall Outlook The US30 index is expected to remain volatile in the short term, with a slight bearish bias due to the hawkish stance of the Federal Reserve. However, the index's movement will largely depend on the overall performance of the US economy and global economic trends. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
CAPITALCOM:US30Short
by Thief_Trader
Us30 strong bullish opportunity 1. Overly Bullish Bias The analysis assumes a clean breakout above support and a strong push to resistance. However, Dow Jones is known for fakeouts—meaning: A false breakout above resistance could trap buyers before reversing. A liquidity grab below support might happen before the real move. 2. Weak Confirmation for the Uptrend There's no clear volume confirmation—breakouts need high volume to be valid. Price is consolidating near key Fibonacci levels, meaning a reversal is just as likely as a breakout. A better approach would be waiting for a strong retest and breakout confirmation. 3. Ignoring Key Fibonacci Levels The chart includes multiple Fibonacci levels but does not integrate them into the projection. The 2.618 (43,535) and 3.618 (43,446) levels suggest possible retracements before an upward move Instead of an instant push-up, a dip to test Fibonacci support is likely. 4. Resistance Might Hold Strong The resistance area is broad, meaning: A rejection at resistance could lead to a short-term bearish pullback. The market might range between the two levels instead of moving in a straight line. Alternative Scenario: Instead of assuming an instant bullish move: 1. Bearish Trap First: A false breakout above resistance to trap buyers, followed by a drop. 2. Deeper Retest: Price could revisit support or a Fibonacci level before a true breakout. 3. Wait for Volume Confirmation: If resistance breaks with strong momentum, then an entry makes sense
SKILLING:US30Long
by Fx_Oliviaa
US30 PROBABILITH ANALYSIS# 1️⃣ Bullish Entry Plan (Long Position)** This is the **high-probability** scenario where price continues upward. Entry Criteria (Long)** - **Ideal Entry:** If price pulls back into the **discount zone** or holds above the **equilibrium level**. - **Confirmations Needed:** - A **bullish BOS (Break of Structure) on lower timeframes** (5M or 15M). - Bullish rejection (e.g., **pin bar, engulfing candle, or liquidity sweep**). - **Price must stay above the discount zone** and not break below BOS. Entry Trigger** - Look for price action near **43,365 – 43,425 (equilibrium area)** - If price shows bullish reaction in this area, enter long. Stop Loss (SL)** - Below the **weak low** or **PDL (Previous Day’s Low)** - **Target:** - **First TP:** PDH (Previous Day’s High) around **43,800**. - **Final TP:** The strong high near **43,850 – 43,900**. 📈 **Risk-to-Reward (R:R)** → Aim for **1:3 or higher**. 2️⃣ Bearish Entry Plan (Short Position)** This setup assumes price **rejects from the premium zone** and sells off. Entry Criteria (Short)** - **Ideal Entry:** At the **premium zone** near **43,750 – 43,850**. - **Confirmations Needed:** - A **liquidity grab** above PDH (**price fakes out then drops**). - **Bearish engulfing candle** or strong rejection. - A **Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside on lower timeframes Entry Trigger** - If price **sweeps PDH (Previous Day’s High) but fails to hold above**, enter short. Stop Loss (SL)** - Above the **strong high (~43,900)**. Target (TP)** - **First TP:** Equilibrium (~43,450). - **Final TP:** PDL (~43,245). 📉 **Risk-to-Reward (R:R)** → **1:4 or higher**. 3️⃣ Neutral Strategy (Wait for Confirmation)** - If price consolidates **between equilibrium & PDH**, avoid taking trades. - Only enter if **clear BOS or liquidity grab** happens. Trading Plan Summary** | Setup | Entry Zone | SL | TP1 | TP2 | R:R | |--------|----------|----|-----|-----|----| | ✅ Long | 43,365 – 43,425 | Below PDL | 43,800 | 43,900 | 1:3+ | | 🚨 Short | 43,750 – 43,850 | Above 43,900 | 43,450 | 43,245 | 1:4+ | Final Thoughts** - **For Longs:** Wait for a bullish rejection in the discount zone. - **For Shorts:** Look for a liquidity grab at the premium zone. - Use a **1:3 or 1:4 R:R** for better profitability. - Stick to **risk management** (max **1% per trade**).
BLACKBULL:US30Short
by wizzywise1
$US30 DOW JONES—STEADY AMID THE STORMDOW JONES—STEADY AMID THE STORM (1/9) Good morning, Tradingview! The Dow Jones is the cool-headed cousin—less wild than Nasdaq’s growth party 📈🔥. Blue-chip stability shines, even as inflation bites—let’s unpack it! 🚀 (2/9) – WHY SO CALM? • Makeup: 30 big, steady names—Walmart, Goldman 💥 • Price-Weighted: High flyers lead, not tech zingers 📊 • Edge: Less sway from growth stock swings Dow’s the tortoise—slow and steady wins? (3/9) – RECENT VIBES • Feb 22: 1.7% dip—support at 43,400 holds 🌍 • VIX: Stays chill—Nasdaq would’ve freaked 🚗 • CPI Hit: 400-point drop, 300 back—meh 🌟 Stability’s the Dow’s secret sauce! (4/9) – SECTOR SNAP • Vs. Nasdaq: Tech’s jittery—Dow’s diversified 📈 • Volatility: ~15-20% vs. Nasdaq’s 25-30% • Champs: Blue-chips buffer the chaos Steadier ship—less Nasdaq nuttiness! 🌍 (5/9) – INFLATION RIPPLES • CPI Spike: 3% YoY—400-point jolt ⚠️ • Fed: No rush to cut—rates sting 🏛️ • X Buzz: Tariffs, inflation spook recovery 📉 Even the Dow feels the heat—but shrugs! (6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS • Stability: Blue-chip backbone holds firm 🌟 • Dividends: Cash flows steady the ship 🔍 • Mix: Less tech tantrums—broad base 🚦 Dow’s the rock in choppy waters! (7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES • Weaknesses: Inflation nicks costs—ouch 💸 • Opportunities: Safety shines if tech flops 🌍 Can Dow dodge the inflation blues? (8/9) – Dow’s steady play—what’s your vibe? 1️⃣ Bullish—Stability’s golden. 2️⃣ Neutral—Holds, but inflation looms. 3️⃣ Bearish—Growth wins anyway. Vote below! 🗳️👇 (9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY Dow’s less jittery—blue-chips cushion the storm 🌍🪙. Inflation’s a nag, but stability rules. Rock or relic?
ICMARKETS:US30Long
by DCAChampion