US30 trade ideas
Dow Jones Wave Analysis – 12 May 2025
- Dow Jones broke the resistance area
- Likely to rise to resistance level 43000.00
Dow Jones index recently broke the resistance area between the resistance level 42000.00, 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from February and the resistance trendline from the same month.
The breakout of this resistance area accelerated the C-wave of the active ABC correction (2) from the start of April.
Dow Jones index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 43000.00 (former top of wave 4 from March).
Weekly Forex Outlook Sun.May.11.2025 - Fri.May.16.2025Like and Comments would be appreciated :D Not Financial Advice, Just my outlook/opinion
Weekly Forex Outlook Sun.May.11.2025 - Fri.May.16.2025Like and Comments would be appreciated :D Not Financial Advice, Just my outlook/opinion
US30 Breaks Out – New Highs Incoming (12/05/2025) 📈 US30 Breaks Out – New Highs Incoming? (12/05/2025) 🚀
US30 just smashed through key resistance at 41,400–41,700 and is now trading above 42,150 🟢. After weeks of range-bound structure, buyers finally broke the chokehold with volume and momentum confirmation.
Both the 20 EMA (white) and 50 EMA (blue) are angled up — and price is riding above them. We’re in strong bullish structure 🧠.
🔑 Updated Key Levels:
📍 New Support: 41,700–41,400 (previous resistance flipped)
⚠️ Mid-support: 40,694
🧱 Major Support: 39,775
🎯 Next resistance to watch: 42,359 (previous swing high zone)
🎯 Playbook Going Forward:
✅ Hold above 41,700? → Expect continuation to 42,359 and possibly 43K+
⚠️ Fakeout alert: If we close back below 41,400 on high volume → bear trap or liquidity grab
🧠 Pullbacks into EMAs = potential long entries with confluence
🧠 Psychology Check:
Don’t short strength — wait for breakdown structure
High breakout = higher risk → let price pull back to react
US30 Reaches Critical Resistance – Breakout or Major Rejection IThe Dow Jones is testing a key supply zone near 41,700 after a strong bullish rally. But with multiple U.S. economic events on deck, this could be a make-or-break moment for US30.
1H Technical Breakdown:
1. Major Supply Zone (Resistance):
41,119 – 41,800 zone is a major supply cluster identified by LuxAlgo’s Visible Range.
Price is consolidating right at the top – signs of distribution may be forming.
2. Key Support Levels to Watch:
39,274: If the price rejects and breaks below this, a medium-term reversal could start.
37,484: High volume demand area and previous macro support – this would be the key bounce zone in case of sharp correction.
3. Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish case: Break and hold above 41,800 could trigger a squeeze toward all-time highs.
Bearish case: If the index fails to clear this supply zone and drops below 41,119, expect pullbacks to 39,274 and potentially 37,484.
4. Macro Catalyst:
Multiple U.S. economic events approaching (highlighted on chart: CPI, FOMC, etc.)
These will bring volatility – timing your entries around them is critical!
Possible Trade Setups:
Short Setup: Wait for rejection near 41,800 with a breakdown below 41,119
TP1: 39,274
TP2: 37,484
SL: Above 41,900
Long Setup: Breakout retest above 41,800 with bullish momentum
TP1: 42,500
SL: Below 41,200
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Let’s debate:
Is this a bull trap or the beginning of another rally?
Comment with your thoughts and setups!
#US30 #DowJones #Indices #TechnicalAnalysis #MacroTrading #SupplyDemand #LuxAlgo #StockMarket
US30 Technical Analysis – GTE VIP Sell AlertUS30 Technical Analysis – GTE VIP Sell Alert
Price has tapped into a strong resistance zone near 41,700, where previous rejections occurred. After a sharp bullish push, momentum appears to be slowing, and the market is overextended on the 1H chart. We expect a potential retracement toward the mid-range or support zone near 41,600–41,550. Stochastic is in the overbought area, signaling a possible reversal.
Dow Jones Correction in May 2025: Key DriversDow Jones Correction in May 2025: Key Drivers
Summary: The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIA) is under pressure and likely headed for a correction due to the Federal Reserve’s tight monetary policy, trade uncertainty from Trump’s tariffs, and weak economic data.
Key Drivers:
➖ Federal Reserve Policy: At the May 6–7 meeting, the Fed is expected to maintain the 4.25–4.5% interest rate due to persistent inflation (2.7% forecast for 2025) and a robust labor market (+177K jobs in April). This dampens hopes for rate cuts, pressuring stocks.
➖ Trump’s Tariffs: New tariffs raise inflation risks and recession fears, reducing the appeal of Dow Jones constituents like Caterpillar and Walmart.
➖ Weak GDP and Global Volatility: A 0.3% GDP contraction in Q1 2025 and declines in Asian markets (1.6–1.8%) signal global instability.
➖ Technical Indicators: DIA trades below its 200-day moving average (~420 USD), with fewer stocks above this level (down from 76% to 55% since January), indicating market weakness.
➖ Outlook: Analysts (Long Forecast) predict volatility, with a potential drop to 38,958 in May, despite an average forecast of 43,370 by month-end. Historically, corrections occur every 1.88 years, and current conditions (tariffs, inflation, GDP) heighten the likelihood of a 10–15% decline.
Target: My downside target for the Dow Jones is 38,555.00.
Current factors and historical trends strongly suggest a near-term correction.
Idea for S&P 500:
DowJones INTRADAY important resistance retest Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 41,900
Resistance Level 2: 42,470
Resistance Level 3: 43,600
Support Level 1: 40,680
Support Level 2: 40,240
Support Level 3: 39,700
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DowJones INTRADAY resistance retestKey Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 41,900
Resistance Level 2: 42,470
Resistance Level 3: 43,600
Support Level 1: 40,680
Support Level 2: 40,240
Support Level 3: 39,700
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
the US30 may form a short-term SELL trendBased on the analysis, the US30 may form a short-term SELL trend. Based on this analysis, we can try to enter a Sell position TRADENATION:US30FU with a small risk margin.
US30 Pushing Into Resistance Again – 08/05/2025🧨 US30 Pushing Into Resistance Again – 08/05/2025 🧨
US30 is knocking on the resistance door again! 📈
After grinding up from 39,775 and defending the key 40,700–40,800 zone, price is now challenging the 41,300–41,400 area, which rejected price earlier this week.
Momentum is holding but slowing slightly — we’re stuck between strong support and a heavy ceiling 💥. EMAs still bullish, but risk of a fakeout is growing if we don’t break soon…
🔍 Updated Key Zones:
🔹 Resistance = 41,300 – 41,400
🔹 Support = 40,694 – 40,800
🔹 Last higher low = 39,775
🔹 EMA 20 + EMA 50 still trending up — short-term bullish bias ✅
🎯 Trade Scenarios to Watch:
🔺 Break + hold above 41,400 = potential expansion toward 41,800–42,000 zone
🔻 Fail to hold 40,700 → could trigger dump back toward 39,775
📉 Lose 39,775 = confirmed shift in structure → shorts into 38,800–39,200 🔥
🧠 Trader Mindset Reminder:
🟡 Don’t chase up here — wait for breakout confirmation or rejection
🟢 EMAs are still your friend → trend is your ally
❌ Avoid fakeouts — this zone has trapped before!
Trade Idea: US30 Long (BUY LIMIT)Technical Overview
Daily Chart (Macro View):
• Trend: Recent bounce from major support near ~37,600 after a sharp selloff.
• MACD: Still bearish but showing early signs of momentum reversal (histogram rising).
• RSI: Neutral (~53.8), coming up from oversold territory—indicative of potential recovery.
• Price: Holding above 41,000, a key psychological level and previous consolidation zone.
15-Minute Chart (Swing/Short-Term View):
• Price: Forming higher lows after a significant bounce.
• MACD: Nearing a bullish crossover.
• RSI: Moderately bullish at ~56.87.
3-Minute Chart (Entry Precision):
• Price: Recently broke above short-term moving average.
• MACD: Bullish with strong histogram momentum.
• RSI: Slightly overbought (~52.90), but not extreme.
⸻
Fundamental Context (as of May 2025):
• Market sentiment is cautiously bullish after Fed pause hints and solid tech earnings.
• Inflation pressures are easing slightly, supporting risk-on sentiment.
• Recent volatility due to rate expectations and macro data; however, markets are recovering from sharp selloffs.
⸻
Bias: Long Position
US30 shows a strong recovery setup with macro support, bullish lower-timeframe confirmation, and neutral-to-bullish momentum indicators.
Entry (Buy Limit):
40,960 – small retracement near the short-term EMA and previous breakout on the 3-min chart.
Stop Loss (SL):
40,700 – below the recent swing low and psychological round level.
Take Profit (TP):
41,560 – retest of minor resistance from earlier consolidation area, offering a solid risk-reward.
FUSIONMARKETS:US30
DJI Lost over 73% in 16 years versus inflationFrom 1966 to 1982, holding on to U.S. stocks was a painful experience, especially once you factor in inflation.
But guess what thrived during that time?
Gold, silver, uranium, crude oil & friends.
Risky Long Setup on Dow Jones Ahead of FOMC – Wait for ConfirmatPotential Risky Long Setup
If the price breaks and holds above 41,160, a risky long position could be considered. This path is illustrated with the blue line on the chart.
For a more reliable entry, we need to see the market retest the 41,392 level once more. If we get a third reaction from this level, we’ll wait for a clear trigger to go long. This potential setup is shown with the orange line on the chart.
📅 This analysis is conditional on FOMC news aligning with the overall trend of the market.
🧠 All scenarios reflect the thoughts of a risk-taking trader – remember, nothing is impossible in the market!
#DowJones #DJI #FOMC #TechnicalAnalysis #RiskyTrade #PriceAction #Forex #TradingView #MarketAnalysis #LongSetup #BreakoutTrade #DOW #US30
Dow Jones at Critical Levels!Dow Jones Technical Outlook:
Currently, the Dow Jones remains within a broader bearish structure 📉, trading near the lower boundary of its descending channel.
Nonetheless, the formation of higher highs and higher lows on the daily and 4H timeframes ⏰ suggests that a potential bullish reversal may be developing 🔄.
The 40,700 – 40,300 range is a key decision zone ⚡️:
• A confirmed breakout above this level could trigger a minor bullish rally 🚀.
• Conversely, a failure to hold above this area and the formation of new lower highs and lower lows would reinforce the ongoing bearish trend 📉.
Additionally, the recent bullish weekly and monthly closes 📅 support a bias toward further upside momentum.
In the initial phase, we may see a corrective move to the downside on lower timeframes to form a wick (shadow) for the monthly candle before any significant bullish continuation 🔄📈.
Stay flexible and monitor price action closely! 👀
US30 =Dow Jone (SHORT)
Resistance from Weekly time frame
Breakout of uptrend to the downside
Low low starting to form after the Double Top
DOW JONES BUY SETUP M30 market BOFYesterday market trap for buyer but main important thing was TODAY FOMC AFTER MARKET GONNA MORE FLY💸💯
MORE DETAILS DM
US30 Technical Analysis – GTE VIP Buy SetupUS30 Technical Analysis – GTE VIP Buy Setup
Price is respecting a strong ascending channel on the 1H timeframe, with multiple clean bounces off the trendline. Our GTE VIP entry was placed at the lower boundary of the channel, where price showed bullish rejection and confluence with previous support.
Stochastic also confirmed hidden bullish divergence, signaling continuation. Targets are aligned with the upper boundary of the channel and previous resistance zones at 41,230 and 41,319.
This is a classic trend continuation setup — riding momentum back toward liquidity at the highs.
Tariff Tension = Dow Explosion? | US30 Setup You Can't MissTechnical + News-Driven Outlook
📌 What’s Happening?
The Dow Jones (US30) is sitting at a critical decision point — tightly consolidating while the market braces for potential tariff decisions from the U.S. government. With price stuck between key zones, the next move could be explosive. Here's what I'm watching:
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
⚠️ Resistance/Imbalance Zone: 41,650 – 41,750
🧲 Liquidity Zone: 41,000 – 41,400 (range bound)
🧨 Downside Target if Broken: 40,200 → 39,750
🚀 Bullish Scenario:
If price breaks and closes above 41,400, expect a fast move toward 41,750, filling the imbalance. This setup could trigger especially if tariff news is positive (e.g., delay or reduction in trade penalties).
🛑 Bearish Breakdown:
Failure to hold 41,000 support and a strong bearish rejection could send us back toward 40,200. A hawkish trade policy update could accelerate this sell-off.
✅ Trade Idea Summary:
Buy Above 41,400, Target: 41,750
Sell Below 41,000, Target: 40,200 / 39,750
🔄 Wait for confirmation candles, avoid chasing!
💬 Follow me for real-time chart drops, high-probability setups, and news-backed analysis.
📊 Consistency | Discipline | Risk-First Thinking
Rejection at Supply Zone – Bearish Targets Loaded!Price has been rejected at the key supply zone near 41,119, with a sharp drop confirming bearish momentum.
We’re now trading below 40,736, heading toward the first demand zone around 39,884. If that breaks, the next high-volume support area is 38,397, as shown by the visible range and demand zone.
Bearish Bias
Strong rejection from supply
Lower highs forming
Watching for breakdown below 39,884 to add more short positions
Upcoming Events:
Big US data + FOMC sentiment could accelerate the move. Stay sharp!
What’s your bias – Short or Buy the Dip? Drop your thoughts below!
#US30 #DowJones #SupplyAndDemand #PriceAction #TradingView #SmartMoney #BearishSetup
$DJI & $NDX at MAJOR RESISTANCEDaily
The TVC:DJI has done well since April & we noticed a sentiment change. This is why we turned bullish. Only problem? Lack of volume. We can see that volume stayed under the pink dots. This is an average of 90 days.
We can also see this by the Money Flow. As of now the lowest peak since mid March on this indicator.
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Weekly
The TVC:DJI RSI hasn't broken the halfway point. This is needed for more bullish momentum.
Money flow is slanting lower. The interesting tid bit is that volume for the week is not bad at all. But compare this to Jan 2024 and 4th quarter of the same year... LOWER.
Posted this yesterday, see profile for more info.
