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VIX trade ideas

WARRING: Marco market conditions change incoming #SP500 $BTC CBOE Volatility Index has been used by investors for decades to identify macro market transitions. This is 1 Year analysis of TVC:VIX in conjunctions with market developments. 1. 28th Sep '22 is the date TVC:VIX signalled oversold conditions on #SP500 where price double-bottomed and commenced this bullish wave we are living through 2. 9th of March '23 TVC:VIX signalled heavy market oversold conditions and #SP500 completed the first significant correction 3. 20th Oct '23 TVC:VIX signalled another #SP500 oversold condition triggering another continuation At this stage is important to consider a important market rule "The Power of 3"; - TVC:VIX has topped 3 times now suggesting this intermediate bullish wave is coming to an end. Now turn your attention to 22nd Jan '22 where TVC:VIX for a fist time dropped back to COVID-lows. It had since repeatedly touched and rejected of these levels suggesting of bottom formation. At the same time TVC:VIX signalled first significant market overbought condition very close to what it seems the bottom and shortly after forming 3rd oversold peak. Traditionally CRYPTOCAP:BTC had front-run #SP500 and would expect crypto market to take downard turn before traditional markets which can serve as a final confirmation of an upcoming winter.
CBOE:VIXShort
by MarianusInconnuX
The odds of another spike in the VIX are growingOn Friday, the Volatility S&P 500 Index reached new lows unseen since January 2020. What is intriguing about this situation is that new lows in the value of the VIX tended to be followed by a subsequent spike in the index and weakness in the U.S. stock market (over the past year or so). Considering that the recovery of the Chinese stock market is starting to show signs of stagnation, with the Shanghai Composite Index and Hang Seng Index moving increasingly sideways, we are again on high alert. The odds of stock market reversal and spike in the VIX are growing. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 displays the daily chart of the Shanghai Composite Index, Hang Seng Index, and S&P 500 Index. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for an individual investor to take any trade action. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:VIXLong
by Tradersweekly
2
Decoding the VIX: Unraveling Market Sentiment in 2023's LowThis week, we've observed some intriguing movements in the VIX index, revealing key insights about the current state of market volatility. The VIX, often referred to as the market's 'fear gauge', achieved a new low for 2023, signaling a period of reduced market anxiety and volatility. This trend is especially noteworthy as the VIX typically inversely correlates with market performance, and its current levels are the lowest observed in four years. Historically, such low levels in the VIX have at times preceded market downturns, as seen in the past following significant events like the Silicon Valley Bank failure. This pattern suggests a potential caution for traders despite the current calm in the market.
TVC:VIX
by RamboTraderXXX
Back to trading the Vix?The market is in a euphoric state and we are expecting 2024 to be yet another strong year for the stock market. But if you pay attention, the Russell 2000 decoupled from the rest of the market, and the recovery has been sluggish. A possible sign that the general market is not as healthy as we price it to be. The Vix always trades in a channel during euphoric market conditions with outbursts when something triggers fear. If a trader trades this channel, it will be quite easy to make some good returns.
TVC:VIXLong
by Candles254
#VIXI was writing once about #VIX: As history shows, the VIX can move around these values for a longer time too. This means that even if we come to 15, 11, 8-9, it is not necessary to wait for an instant market crash. We can get a not bad rally. In front of you Monthly chart of #VIX There is still space to go down. Be careful when #VIX touches levels below ***11.14 - 8.77*** Ince the price comes there - it is when you should look for shorts. Also RSI on M TF shows me that there is still a place where to go. I highlighted levels at ***40.67$*** and ***38.91%*** on RSI for you, when its time to pay extra attention and look for shorts. You can see that whenever RSI was coming there, the market was doing a pullback.
TVC:VIX
by vazitrades
VIX is nearing 13! It's time to open a bullish VIX position 🚀✅ The VIX is nearing 13. Based on my analysis, this might be a good moment to consider cutting back on stocks and opening a bullish VIX position. I went long on a VIX CALL with a 10th strike. Historically, the VIX has rebounded from the 13 level. I'll increase the position if the VIX retreats further and take profit when it encroaches on the 16-19 bracket. Remember to always manage your risk. Don't put all your eggs in one basket. Happy trading!📈🚀
TVC:VIXLong
by bearishgreed
$VIX indicating market exhaustionI have been observing this closely. What I see is use now going to a third retest of a C19 lows forming a triple bottom and effectively indicating end of this bullish move that had carried across since Sep last year. As we are entering triple-tested overbought condition on CBOE:SPX believe we are holding the final straw waiting for a market catalyst that wil send prices lower. I also put this in the context of recent wall-street driven CRYPTOCAP:BTC rally and general market anticipation of 40K price milestone and heavily overbought conditions on low volume similar to the double top the past bull market.
CBOE:VIXShort
by MarianusInconnuX
VIX Volatility Index ~ Trend Analysis (2H Chart)TVC:VIX chart mapping/analysis. Always been a firm-believer in strong negative correlation with SPX. Key is not matching SPX highs with VIX lows ie "catching the bottom" - it should be used as a supplementary indicator for overall market direction, by identifying key support/resistance areas for trend switches that aids you in developing a Trading Edge . Chart Example: October 2022 peak in VIX marked (temporary?) bottom in SPX VIX unable to break above ~34 resistance zone after multiple attempts = gives way to lower highs & lower lows (change in trend) SPX responds by making series of higher highs & higher lows VIX bottoms around July 2023, unable to break below ~13 resistance zone (ie trend switch) SPX peaks in July & proceeds to pull back until recent reversal - coinciding with dramatic drop in volatility This is by no means a done & dusted chart - after all it's called the "Volatility Index" lol. It will require ongoing tweaking, back-testing & confluence with SPX TA work, as well as vigilance of evolving macro-economic events which get rapidly priced into both indices. Good luck :) Note: "SPX TEMP BOTTOM horizontal line should be adjusted higher to sit on VIX peaks - can't edit chart & cbf re-publishing...but you get the idea, cheers.
TVC:VIX
by BlueHatInvestor
Vix Minor 3: For real this timeUltimately, the last idea was early and invalidated, accordingly. I do think the count is nowripe for a Minor 3 to develop. Price is still 1s and 2s, but over the next 4-6 days, I will be observing short ES and NQ entries and looking to strike. If trading VIX, long entries could be nice, here, because we are in a range and maybe vega available. Plenty of confusion. In that regard, I want to point out that what looks like Minute ((ii)) in ES actually went lower in VIX, so if this is correct, the way that Vix is calculated may necessarily "force" it break EWT rules. Just an idea that I hear more discussion about. I am no mathematician, but find the query interesting. Will update as the track unfolds. Best, Cuz
CBOE:VIXLong
by CuzDelux